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Population Geography Chapter 2 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Critical Issues in Population Geography • More people are alive today than at any other time in human history • The world’s population increased at a faster rate during the second half of the twentieth century than every before. • Virtually all population growth today occurs in less developed countries (LDCs) © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Population • Demographics is the study of human population distribution and migration. • Key Issues of Demographics are: • • • • Food Supply Health and life expectancy Status of women Migration © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. People are NOT distributed evenly across the Earth. Population is clustered in the mid latitude climates and relatively sparse in the dry and polar climates or the © 2011highlands. Pearson Education, Inc. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Where Is the World’s Population Distributed? • Population concentrations • Two-thirds of the world’s population are in four regions: • • • • East Asia South Asia Europe Southeast Asia • Exceptions in South America © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Population Distribution Figure 2-2 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Where Is the World’s Population Distributed? • Sparsely populated regions • The ecumene • Are that can sustain a population • People generally avoid: • • • • Dry lands Wet lands Cold lands High lands © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Ecumene Figure 2-4 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. • Distribution• ¾ of the world’s population lives on only 5% of the land. • Very uneven distribution was intensified in the 20th cent. as population soared. • 2/3 of the pop. lives near an ocean or river. • Carrying capacity• the number of people that can be supported in an area given the technology of production. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Where Is the World’s Population Distributed? • Population density • measure of the number of people per square mile/kilometer, etc. • Types of density • Arithmetic density • number of objects divided by the total land area. It is the most common statistic given • Physiological density • the number of people per unit of arable (farmable) land • Agricultural density • Number of farmers per/ arable land • Shows economic conditions © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. World Population Density © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Physiologic Population Density – number of people per unit area of agriculturally productive land (takes this map into account). © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Physiologic Population Density Luxor, Egypt. Egypt’s arable lands are along the Nile River Valley. Moving away from the river a few blocks, the land becomes sandy and wind-sculpted. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Measures of Density Table 2-1 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. World Population Cartogram Countries named have at least 50 million © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Major Population Concentrations • East Asia-1/4 of the world’s population is here-China with 1.3 billion. • extends into China along the Chang and Huang rivers, but most live on the east coast. • Most people are farmers, not city dwellers. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Major Population Concentrations • South Asia-the 2nd major population cluster. • Also extensions that follow the Ganges and Indus rivers. • There are 1.5 billion in South Asia • Mostly rural, farming high © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Major Population Concentrations • Europe-the 3rd in population with 700 million. • Europe is very urbanized with 75% to 90% living in cities. • Europe’s population distribution is not closely tied to terrain • Europe is not selfsustaining. • Population density varies from country to country. Closely spaced houses in Amsterdam, Netherlands © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Major Population Concentrations • North America- East Central US and SE Canada • Unlike Europe, North America has large areas of sparsely populated regions. • Megalopolis Boston to Washington, D.C. which includes New York, Philadelphia and Boston. Skyscrapers of Manhattan New York © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. United States Population Distribution © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Where Has the World’s Population Increased? • Natural increase rate • The percentage by which a population grows in a year • Crude birth rate (CBR) • The number of births per 1,000 population • Crude death rate (CDR) • The number of deaths per 1,000 population • Doubling time • The number of years needed to double a population • Dependency ratio• the number of people who are too young or too old to work compared to the number of people old enough to work. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Crude Birth Rate © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Crude Death Rates © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Natural Increase © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. World Population Growth Figure 2-8 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. World Population Growth – Rate of natural increase (does not take into account immigration and emigration). © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Where Has the World’s Population Increased? • Fertility • Total fertility rate (TFR): average number of children a woman will have during child-bearing years (~15-49) • Mortality • Infant mortality rate (IMR) • Annual # of deaths of infants under 1 • Life expectancy (at birth) • Average number of years a child born at that time will live © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Total Fertility Rate (TFR) of 2.1 to 2.5 children per woman is considered “replacement level.” © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Figure 2-13 Figure 2-14 • Notice that places with high TFRs tend to have high IMRs and that places with low TFRs have low IMRs. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. FLife Expectancy : The average number of years an individual can be expected to live, given current © 2011medical Pearson Education, Inc. social, economic, and conditions. FPopulation under the age of 15 - usually shown as a percentage of the total population of a country dependency age is ©0-15 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. What do all these stats mean? • Natural Increase (NR), Crude Birth Rate (CBR), Total Fertility (TFR), Infant Mortality (IMR), and Life Expectancy (LE) ALL SHOW YOU THE SAME PATTERN OF POPULATION • A LDC (poor country) will have HIGH numbers for everything except LE, which will be low (in the 30’s – 50’s) • MDCs (rich countries) will have LOW numbers for everything, except LE, which will be high (72-85) • Crude Death Rate (CDR) is NOT included in the above; Many MDCs have high CDRs whereas LDCs have low • this will be explained when we talk about the Demographic Transition Model © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. STATISTICS PRACTICE © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. HUMAN ISSUE: MATERNAL MORTALITY © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. • Maternal mortality ratio is the greatest health disparity between the developed and developing countries. • The World Health Organization reports that 600,000 women die each year from complications of pregnancy. • Social, cultural and economic barriers prevent women in the developing countries from receiving proper health care. © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Demographic Transition © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Why Is Population Increasing at Different Rates? • Population pyramids • A bar graph showing a place’s age and sex composition • Shape of the pyramid is determined mainly by the CBR • Age distribution • Dependency ratio • Sex distribution • Sex ratio © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Population Pyramids Figure 2-19 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. • In 1798 he published An Essay on the Principle of Population • Malthus 1st to argue that the world’s population was expanding more rapidly than food production. • He was the first to recognize exponential population growth. • Today those who share his concerns are NeoMalthusians Rev. Thomas Malthus 1766-1834 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Thomas Malthus Population is growing faster than Earth’s food supply Population increased geometrically; food supply increased arithmetically © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Neo-Malthusians • Transfer of medical technology leads to a rapid increase in population in poor countries • World population is outstripping a wide variety of resources • Wars and civil violence will increase because of scarcity of food and other resources © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Critics of Malthus’ supporters • Large populations stimulate economic growth • Poverty, hunger, and other social welfare problems are a result of unjust social and economic institutions (marxism) • NOT too many people © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Malthus Theory and Reality • Food production increased more rapidly than predicted • Population didn’t quadruple • Population is increasing a slower rate © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Food & Population, 1950-2000 Malthus vs. Actual Trends Fig. 2-20: Malthus predicted population would grow faster than food production, but food production actually © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Malthus: Theory & Reality Figure 2-25 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Why Might Overpopulation be a Concern? • As a whole, the world might not be facing a “Crisis” • Some regions do face significant issues • The Natural Increase Rate can decline for two reasons: • High CDR • Low CBR • Best way to control population is CBR © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Why Might Overpopulation be a Concern? • CBR has decline since 1990 in almost every country • Reasons for declining birth rates • Reliance on economic development • 1) If women are educated, won’t raise children • 2) Reduce need for ‘extra help’ • Distribution of contraceptives • Reducing birth rates with contraception • Most “effective” and rapid method © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Why Might Overpopulation be a Concern? • Success of contraception varies based on region and country of either method • Religion is biggest “obstacle” • Political pressure can also be both positive and negative towards “Family Planning” © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Family Planning Figure 2-30 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Why Might Overpopulation be a Concern? EPIDEMIOLOGIC TRANSITION © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Epidemiologic Transition • World Health Threats • Epidemiologic Transition shows how a countries deaths from diseases will change with modernization and economic development • IT FOLLOWS THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Epidemiologic Transition • Less economically developed countries (LEDC) have higher rates of infectious disease since medical care and standard of care are much lower than in MEDC. • In a More economically developed country, MEDC, people die not from infectious disease, but from “degenerative” diseases. • Infectious diseases are usually easy to treat, but people die from Cancer, Cardiovascular, and cerebrovascular issues © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Epidemiologic Transition – Stage 1 Key Features • Occurs at the same time as the Stage 1 of the DTM • Shift from hunting-gathering to agriculture • Infectious disease is wide-spread Why are diseases worse here than in hunter-gatherer? • People are sedentary, or in one place, meaning we come into contact with infected animals/humans © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Epidemiologic Transition – Stage 2 Key Features • Generally occurs at the same time as Stage 2 of DTM • Shift into Industrial Revolution/Industrialization • Most infectious diseases are under control • Non-infectious, degenerating disease on the rise • USUALL, only wealthy nations.. LEDCs still suffer stage 1 Why is there a rise in non-infectious disease? • Medicine can control infectious • Wealthy nations can afford treatment • Life expectancy rises • This gives people more issues seen © 2011 Pearsonnot Education, Inc. before Epidemiologic Transition – Stage 3 Key Features • Stage of human-created disease • Biological war, tobacco, cardiovascular, etc. • DECREASE in deaths from infectious disease • Disorders/issues that are a result of aging become common • Life expectancy rising, births falling (stage 2/3 of DTM) Why is there a rise in non-infectious disease? • Same as Stage 2 • People live longer and© 2011 ‘wear-down’ Pearson Education, Inc. Epidemiologic Transition – Stage 4 Key Features • Delayed degenerative disease • Major cause of death is cancer and heart-problems • Life expectancy is high, population growth low Why is there a rise in non-infectious disease? • Same as Stage 2&3 • Wealthy countries eat unhealthy food, shift from “need” to “want” in material culture © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Epidemiologic Transition – Stage 5 Key Features • Reemergence of infectious/parasitic disease • Disease once thought gone, comes back • New disease emerges Why is there a rise in infectious disease? • Medicine looses effectiveness • Antibiotics are rapidly becoming ineffective among MEDC countries due to overuse • Evolution • Contact with new regions/areas © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. The Most Lethal Infectious Disease: AIDS Figure 2-33 © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. The End. Figure 3-1 Up next: Migration © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.