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Chapter 17 Money, Inflation, and Banking Copyright © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 17 Topics • • • • Alternative forms of money. Money and the absence of double coincidence of wants. The causes and effects of long-run inflation. Financial intermediation and banking. © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-2 Alternative Forms of Money • • • • • Commodity money Circulating private bank notes Commodity-backed paper currency Fiat money Transactions deposits at banks © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-3 The Double-Coincidence Problem and the Role of Money • Barter exchange is difficult in highly-developed, specialized economies. • Economic exchange requires search costs, and these costs are high when economic agents are specialized in consumption and production, and can only trade a good or service for another good or service. • Search costs are reduced dramatically if everyone accepts money in exchange for goods and services. © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-4 Figure 17.1 An Absence-of-Double-Coincidence Economy © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-5 Figure 17.2 Good 1 as a Commodity Money in the Absence-of-Double-Coincidence Economy © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-6 Figure 17.3 Fiat Money in the Absence-of-DoubleCoincidence Economy © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-7 The Effects of Long-Run Inflation • Use the monetary intertemporal model from Chapter 12. • Show that money is not superneutral – higher money growth causes higher inflation, which affects real economic variables. • An increase in the money growth rate increases the inflation rate and the nominal interest rate, and reduces employment and output. © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-8 Figure 17.4 Inflation vs. Money Growth: 1960-2007 © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-9 Figure 17.5 Inflation vs. Money Growth: 2008-2012 © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-10 Money Growth • Assume that the central bank causes the money supply to grow at a constant rate. M ' = (1 + x) M © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-11 Equilibrium In equilibrium, money supply equals money demand. M = PL(Y , r + i ) © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-12 In the Future • Money supply also equals money demand in the future period. © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-13 Then, Combine the previous two equations. © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-14 Consumer Optimization The consumer’s intertemporal marginal condition. © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-15 Another Marginal Condition • Marginal condition reflecting the consumer’s tradeoff between current leisure and future consumption: © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-16 And Another One • Marginal condition reflecting the consumer’s tradeoff between current leisure and current consumption: © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-17 Figure 17.6 The Long-Run Effects of an Increase in the Money Growth Rate © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-18 The Friedman Rule • Inflation causes an inefficiency, in that it distorts intertemporal decisions. • The Friedman rule is a prescription for monetary growth that eliminates the inefficiency caused by inflation. • The Friedman rule specifies that the money stock grow at a rate that makes the nominal interest rate zero. • In practice, no central bank appears to have adopted a Friedman rule to guide monetary policy. © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-19 Pareto Optimality Pareto optimality requires that © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-20 Competitive Equilibrium In a competitive equilibrium, © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-21 Competitive Equilibrium Also, in a competitive equilibrium, © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-22 Friedman Rule • Therefore, for efficiency, R = 0 and x = -r. That is, the money supply should shrink over time to produce a long-run deflation. This gives money the same rate of return as on other safe assets, and removes the inefficiency. © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-23 Properties of Assets • • • • Rate of return Risk Maturity Liquidity © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-24 Defining Characteristics of Financial Intermediaries 1. 2. 3. 4. Borrow from one group of economic agents and lend to another. Well-diversified with respect to both assets and liabilities. Transform assets. Process information. © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-25 The Diamond-Dybvig Banking Model • Three periods, 0, 1, and 2. • Two types of consumers: early (consume in period 1) and late (consume in period 2) • Efficient economic arrangement is for consumers to set up a bank in order to share risk. • Given the bank’s deposit contract, the bank is open to a run, which is a bad equilibrium. © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-26 Figure 17.7 The Utility Function for a Consumer in the Diamond–Dybvig Model © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-27 The Preferences of a Diamond–Dybvig Consumer © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-28 Marginal Rate of Substitution • The marginal rate of substitution of early consumption for late consumption is © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-29 Figure 17.8 The Preferences of a Diamond–Dybvig Consumer © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-30 Constraints on Deposit Contract Combine the two constraints to get one: © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-31 Rewrite the Constraint © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-32 Figure 17.9 The Equilibrium Deposit Contract Offered by the Diamond–Dybvig Bank © 2014 Pearson Education, Inc. 1-33