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Annual Progress Report CLEO 2013 Project 4.2 Integrated assessment of forest management in a changing climate Project leader Cecilia Akselsson Institutionen för Naturgeografi och Ekosystemvetenskap Lunds Universitet Sölvegatan 12 223 62 Lund E-mail: cecilia.akselsson @nateko.lu.se General Objective: To analyse synergies and conflicts between the CLEO environmental objectives at different forest management scenarios under climate change. Short description of activities 2013: The mass balance calculations on the CLEObase platform have been continued during 2013, and related to the work on the environmental objective “Natural Acidification Only”. The work on mass balance calculations on SWETHRO sites started in 2013. The mass balance activities continue in 2014. ForSAFE has been run on three SWETHRO sites so far, and runs on more sites are in progress. One paper by Zanchi et al: “Modelling the effects of management intensifications on multiple forest services: A Swedish case study”, is close to acceptance (minor revisions). Thorough discussions have taken place with SMHI, about formats etc for deposition and climate input data to the dynamic modelling. The first runs with the updated deposition scenarios from SMHI will be done in the beginning of 2014. One paper, “Acidification trends in south Swedish forest soils 1986-2008 – slow recovery and high sensitivity to sea-salt periods”, was finalized in 2013. Furthermore, work was performed on two more papers , about effects of storms and bark beetles on N leaching. This work continues in 2014. Weathering data for 2050 and 2100 have been delivered to cluster 3, for ECHAM and HADLEY. During 2013 two new employees, related to CLEO, have been introduced at Lund University (Jörgen Olofsson as post doc and Veronika Kronnäs as PhD student). Deliverables 2013: D4.2.5 Paper: Acidification trends in south Swedish forest soils 1986-2008 – slow recovery and high sensitivity to sea-salt periods. Delivery month: 6. Status: Done. Additional staff involved in project: Veronika Kronnäs, Jörgen Olofsson, Giuliana Zanchi, Salim Belyazid (Lund University), Per Erik Karlsson, Sofie Hellsten, Gunilla Pihl Karlsson (IVL) Co-operation outside CLEO: We have cooperated with the BECC and Mistra-SWECIA programs. For example, we arranged a joint seminar at KSLA about “Forest management in a changing climate – how is biodiversity and the environment affected”. We have also cooperated with the strong research environment QWARTS (financed by FORMAS), about weathering. CLEO shares a PhD student (Veronika Kronnäs) with QWARTS. Reports and publications: Paper: Akselsson et al., 2013. Acidification trends in south Swedish forest soils 1986-2008 – slow recovery and high sensitivity to sea-salt periods. Oral presentations: Akselsson, C., 2013. Är skogsbruket den stora surgöraren idag? Hur kan vi i så fall bromsa utvecklingen? (Is the forestry the main contributer to acidification today? If it is, how can we slow down the acidification?). Havs- och vattenforum, Gothenburg, arranged by HAV (Swedish Agency for Marine and Water Management). 16-17 April 2013. Akselsson, C., Olsson, J., Belyazid, S., 2013. Can increased weathering rates due to future warming compensate for base cation losses at whole-tree harvesting? IUFRO conference 2013: Vegetation Response to Climate Change and Air Pollution – Unifying Evidence and Research across Northern and Southern Hemisphere. Ilheus, Brazil. September, 2013. Akselsson, C., 2013. Kan ökad vittring i ett förändrat klimat motverka försurning vid helträdsuttag? (Can increased weathering rates in a changing climate counteract acidification from whole-tree harvesting?) KSLA seminar: Skogsbruk i ett förändrat klimat – hur påverkas mångfald och miljö? (Forest management in a changing climate – how is biodiversity and the environment affected.) Arranged by KSLA (The Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and Forestry) in cooperation with BECC, Mistra-SWECIA and CLEO. Stockholm, 16 October 2013. Belyazid, S, 2013. Samverkan mellan klimatförändring och skogsbruk - Effekter på skogsmark och avrinnande vatten (Interactions between climate change and forestry – Effects on forest soils and runoff water) KSLA seminar: Skogsbruk i ett förändrat klimat – hur påverkas mångfald och miljö? (Forest management in a changing climate – how is biodiversity and the environment affected.) Arranged by KSLA (The Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and Forestry) in cooperation with BECC, Mistra-SWECIA and CLEO. Stockholm, 16 October 2013. Akselsson, C., 2013. Kvävenedfall och miljömålen (Nitrogen deposition and the environmental objectives). Autumn meeting for municipality representatives responsible for air pollution sampling in the county of Västra Götaland, arranged by Luft i Väst. Uddevalla, 18 Oct 2013.