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Editorial Influenza season potentially more severe this year in Europe ECDC produced this month a risk assessment on this year’s seasonal influenza epidemic. Its key conclusion is that the epidemic in Europe this winter could be more severe and exert bigger pressure on health care systems than in the last few winters. The influenza season usually starts in January, and each year around 10% of Europeans are infected. What is difficult to predict in advance, however, is exactly which strain - or strains - of the influenza virus will be circulating during the epidemic. From data gathered so far for the season, the pre-dominant virus this winter is A(H3N2), however, the circulating virus has drifted from the strain used in the seasonal influenza vaccine reducing the vaccine’s effectiveness. The influenza A(H3N2) strains generally cause more severe illness, especially among older people and those in medical risk groups. It is therefore paramount that physicians across Europe consider treatment and post-exposure prophylaxis with antivirals especially for elderly patients and those in medical risk groups (e.g. immune compromised patients, patients with asthma or heart disease). I would also like to highlight the first Joint Interagency Antimicrobial Consumption and Resistance Analysis (JIACRA) report. This report on antimicrobial resistance that ECDC published together with the European Food Safety Authority and the European Medicines Agency, combines data from five European surveillance networks. It provides an integrated analysis of the consumption of antibiotics and the occurrence of antimicrobial resistance in bacteria from humans and food-producing animals, bringing together data and analysis from all three Agencies. The joint report will ultimately allow policy makers to decide on the best way to tackle antimicrobial resistance in humans and animals. Marc Sprenger, Director of ECDC RISK ASSESSMENTS Risk assessment: Seasonal influenza 2014-2015 in the EU/EEA countries Date of publication: 28 January 2015 The EU/EAA influenza season started in week 1/2015, with 26% of sentinel specimens positive for influenza. Subtype A(H3N2) viruses are dominant in almost all reporting European countries. As a consequence of the mismatch between vaccine and circulating strains, a reduced vaccine effectiveness is expected, as suggested by early effectiveness estimates (< 25%) in the USA, where similar circulating drift variants were detected. Available online on the ECDC website Rapid Risk Assessment: Severe respiratory disease associated with Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus, 13th update Date of publication: 21 January 2015 The thirteenth updated rapid risk assessment on MERS-CoV shows a decrease in cases after the surge in October 2014, with the majority of MERS-CoV cases still reported from the Arabian Peninsula, mainly from Saudi Arabia. Available online on the ECDC website TECHNICAL REPORTS Seasonal influenza vaccination in Europe - Vaccination recommendations and coverage rates, 2012-13 Date of publication: 21 January 2015 This report provides an update on seasonal influenza immunisation policies and vaccination coverage rates in EU/EEA Member States for the 2012-13 influenza season. Available online on the ECDC website Infection prevention and control measures for Ebola virus disease. Management of healthcare workers returning from Ebola-affected areas Date of publication: 22 January 2015 This document outlines current monitoring processes for returning healthcare workers and provides different options for reducing the risk of transmission of EVD from infected healthcare workers returning to the EU/EEA. Available online on the ECDC website JOINT REPORTS ECDC/EFSA/EMA first joint report on the integrated analysis of the consumption of antimicrobial agents and occurrence of antimicrobial resistance in bacteria from humans and food-producing animals Date of publication: 30 January 2015 The ECDC, the EFSA and the EMA have for the first time jointly explored associations between consumption of antimicrobials in humans and food-producing animals, and antimicrobial resistance in bacteria from humans and food-producing animals, using 2011 and 2012 data currently available from their relevant five EU monitoring networks. Combined data on antimicrobial consumption and corresponding resistance in animals and humans for EU Member States and reporting countries were analysed using logistic regression models for selected combinations of bacteria and antimicrobials. Available online on the ECDC website European Union Summary Report on Trends and Sources of Zoonoses, Zoonotic Agents and Food-borne Outbreaks in 2013 Date of publication: 28 January 2015 The report presents the results of the zoonoses monitoring activities carried out in 2013 in 32 European countries: 28 Member States and four non-Member States European Free Trade Association (EFTA) countries. The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) and the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) summarised all submitted data on the occurrence of zoonoses and food-borne outbreaks. Available online on the ECDC website SURVEILLANCE REPORTS Annual epidemiological report 2014 - Respiratory tract infections - Tuberculosis Date of publication: 27 January 2015 The Annual Epidemiological Report 2014 gives an overview of the epidemiology of communicable diseases of public health significance in Europe, drawn from surveillance information on the 52 communicable diseases and health issues for which surveillance is mandatory in the European Union and European Economic Area countries. In order to facilitate more timely publication, this year’s edition of the Annual Epidemiological Report is being first published a disease group at a time and will later be compiled into one comprehensive report. This report presents the epidemiological situation for respiratory tract infections - tuberculosis as of 2012 and describes the statistical and epidemiological methods used. Available online on the ECDC website Influenza virus characterisation, Summary Europe, December 2014 Date of publication: 22 January 2015 The Community Network of Reference Laboratories (CNRL) for Human Influenza in Europe presents a summary of the latest results of genetic and antigenic characterisation of influenza viruses received at the WHO Collaborating Centre in London from ECDC-affiliated countries. Available online on the ECDC website ECDC communicable disease threats report Date of publication: every Friday The ECDC communicable disease threats report is a weekly bulletin intended for epidemiologists and health professionals in the area of communicable disease prevention and control. Summarising information gathered by ECDC through its epidemic intelligence activities regarding communicable disease threats of concern to the European Union, it also provides updates on the global situation and changes in the epidemiology of communicable diseases with potential to affect Europe, including diseases that are the focus of eradication efforts. Available online on the ECDC website SCIENTIFIC PEER-REVIEWED PUBLICATIONS Publications by ECDC staff in scientific journals Updated: October 2014 The full list of all scientific peer-reviewed publications produced by ECDC staff on behalf of the Centre for the period January 2005 - June 2014 is available on the ECDC website. This list is updated every six months. Available online on the ECDC website