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U.S. & Global Economies 4200 Montrose, Suite 590 Houston, TX 77006 (713) 522-9656 Phone (713) 522-9661 Fax www.wjmurray-assoc.com US and Global Economies What You Will Learn Each year the US and Global Economies seminar is updated to include the most relevant topics and information. The course is adapted to the specific needs of client organizations. A general outline of topics covered includes the Argentinean economic crisis, China’s growing economic power, Japan’s “lost economic decade,” the impact on 9/11 on the American and global economies, and the “synchronous” global recession and its impact on the energy sector (other sectors are covered depending on client focus). Participants in the program develop an understanding of these global economic issues and their likely impact on the US economy. The mechanisms of monetary and fiscal policy and their impact on inflation and growth are reviewed. Relationships are established between economic drivers and the US and global economies and how trade and investment have changed the American and European economies. While no one can accurately predict the future of the economy, class participants learn the key variables to watch and the likely impact of these variables. The program also presents the critical economic and political variables that should be inputs to decisions about whether to invest in foreign countries. What Others Have Learned 1. How to gauge the impact of the Argentina financial crisis on American firms and the global economy. 2. How to read the American economy and understand the business cycle. 3. Understand the meaning of the "synchronous" global recession and its impact on the energy sector. 4. An understanding of the growing economic power of China and its impact on Southeast Asia, the United States, and other developed countries. 5. A thorough grasp of the economic drivers of the American and global economy and their impact on oil and natural gas prices. 6. An awareness of Japan's "lost economic decade", Japan's growing "timebomb of debt" and how to operate in an economic climate of a weak yen. WJ Murray & Associates U.S. & Global Economies 7. A strong comprehension of how September 11, 2001 impacted the American and global economies. 8. How trends in trade and investment by multinational corporations have changed American and European economies. 9. How to gauge political and economic stability in countries as input for investment decisions. Who Should Attend The seminar is designed to assist business and marketing managers understand the economic driving forces that can impact their capital and operating expenses decisions, market thrusts, and new business development initiatives. The seminar provides a framework for understanding economic data and how to use it in investment decisions. Attendees have included: 1. Senior business and department managers 2. Marketing and sales managers 3. Staff planning personnel 4. Product managers 5. Manager of new business development and staff personnel 6. Personnel involved in economic forecasting 7. Staff personnel supporting the capital and operating expenses process Course Outline 1. Introduction a. The return to market oriented polices and the collapse of communism b. The role of monetary and fiscal policy – how effective is it today c. The power of global capital markets 2. Economic drivers: current trends a. The consumer b. Investments c. Government spending d. Imports/exports 3. Japan’s lost economic decade WJ Murray & Associates U.S. & Global Economies a. The “Time Bomb” of debt b. The failure of monetary and fiscal policy c. The impact of deflation d. Social versus economic issues 4. The Argentinean situation a. Where are they today b. Options – likely action c. The impact on the US and the global economies LUNCH 12:00 Noon to 1 PM 5. China’s growing economic power 1:00 PM to 5 PM a. Sources of strength b. What could derail the juggernaut c. The impact on Southeast Asia, the US, and other developed economies 6. The impact of US economic drivers on global economies and oil and gas prices 7. How has 9/11 impacted the US and global economies 8. Trends in trade and investment a. The impact on the US economy b. The impact on European economies 9. Foreign investment a. What factors help determine economic and political stability b. Gauging economic and political stability – what to look for. WJ Murray & Associates