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Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper STATISTICS 1, S1 Practice Paper S1-A TIME 1 hour 30 minutes INSTRUCTIONS Write your Name on each sheet of paper used or the front of the booklet used. Answer all the questions. You may use a graphical calculator in this paper. INFORMATION The number of marks is given in brackets [] at the end of each question or part-question. You are advised that you may receive no marks unless you show sufficient detail of the working to indicate that a correct method is being used. Final answers should be given to a degree of accuracy appropriate to the context. The total number of marks for this paper is 72. Section A (36 marks) 1 The box-and-whisker plot in Fig. illustrates the scores, out of 80, of 120 people in a diving competition. 38 50 60 65 72 Draw a cumulative frequency graph to illustrate these data. 2 [4] 100 people attend a music festival. They are asked which, if any, of the instruments piano, cello, violin they play. Maths Practice Question Paper Page 1 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper Their answers are illustrated in Fig. Piano Cello 2 30 9 5 8 24 10 12 Violin A person is chosen at random from those attending the festival and asked which of the three instruments he or she plays. Find the probability that this person plays (i) 3 the piano, (ii) exactly one of the other instruments given that he or she plays the piano. In a year group of three classes the distribution of sexes is given in the table below. Males Females Class 1 10 15 Class 2 11 9 Class 3 9 9 Three students are selected, one from each class, at random. Find the probability that (i) all 3 are male, (ii) only one is male. 4 [4] [2] [3] A train company runs a non-stop service from Oxbridge to Camford. The numbers of passengers on the 07:30 service on 20 weekdays were as follows. 184 193 195 189 173 175 171 178 174 163 184 162 171 154 199 Maths Practice Question Paper Page 2 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service 217 (i) Mathematics Practice Question Paper 187 169 183 186 Calculate the median and the inter-quartile range. [3] (ii) Using the inter-quartile range, show that there is just one outlier. Find the effect of its removal on the median and the inter-quartile range. 5 [4] A random sample of cyclists were asked how many days they had used their bicycles in the last week. The results are given in the following table. (i) Number of days (x) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Frequency (f) 15 10 9 5 7 24 8 2 Illustrate the distribution using a suitable diagram and describe its shape. [3] (ii) Calculate the mean and the standard deviation, s, of the data. Give your answers to 4 decimal places. 6 [3] (iii) As a reward for taking part in the survey, the cyclists’ names are entered for a draw. There are 3 identical prizes. In how many ways can the 3 winners be chosen ? [2] In one turn of the game of Polopoly a player throws three ordinary dice, the score being the largest of the numbers appearing face up. The score, X, is given by the probability distribution given in the following table. r P(X = r) (i) 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 216 7 216 19 216 37 216 61 216 91 216 Find E(X) and Var(X) . [4] (ii) Find the probability that the player will score a total of exactly 10 in two turns. [4] Section B (36 marks) 7 A survey is conducted to find which type of property people live in and whether the property is owned or rented by its occupier. The results for a particular region of the country are as follows. Type of Property Maths Practice Question Paper Proportion of Proportion of properties Page 3 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper each type Owned Rented Detached / semi-detached 45% 75% 25% Terraced house 35% 50% 50% Flat / bedsit 20% 35% 65% A property is chosen at random. (i) Construct a tree diagram to represent the information in the table. [3] (ii) Find the probability that the property is owned. [3] (iii) Find the probability that the property is a terraced house or rented. [4] (iv)Given that the property is owned, calculate the probability that it is a terraced house. [3] Two properties are now chosen at random. (v) 8 Find the probability that they are (A) of the same type, (B) of different types. [5] Phil likes rifle shooting at an amusement arcade. He reckons that he can hit the target on 3 out of 4 shots on average. Each “go” at the amusement arcade consists of 10 independent shots at a moving target. A prize is awarded if at least 9 shots hit the target. (i) Show that the probability that Phil wins a prize in one “go” is 0.244, correct to 3 significant figures. [2] (ii) Phil has 3 “goes”. Find the probability that he wins (A) exactly one prize, (B) at least one prize. [6] (iii) How many “goes” does Phil need to have so that the probability of winning at least one prize is more than 90% ? [4] Maths Practice Question Paper Page 4 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper Val is less experienced at rifle shooting. She thinks that she has an even chance of hitting the target with one shot. Phil thinks that she has a better chance of hitting the target. He conducts a hypothesis test at the 10% significance level by getting Val to have 10 shots at the target. (iv) Write down suitable hypotheses for this test in terms of p, the probability that Val hits the target, giving a reason for your alternative hypothesis. [3] (v) Find the least number of times Val should hit the target to suggest that Phil is correct. [3] Maths Practice Question Paper Page 5 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper Practice Paper S1-A MARK SHEME Qu Answer Mark Comment Section A 1 G1 Correctly scaled axes, with attempted ogive. G1 Maximum & minimum points plotted G1 Median plotted G1 4 Quartiles plotted Curve or line segments accepted 2 (i) (ii) 3 (i) (ii) P(plays piano) = P(plays one other instrument | plays piano) = P(all 3 male) = P(1 male) = = 4 (i) M1 A1 45 or 0.45 100 2 10 2 = 45 9 10 11 9 11 or 0.11 25 20 18 100 10 9 9 15 11 9 15 9 9 25 20 18 25 20 18 25 20 18 39 or 0.39 100 Median = 180.5 Inter-quartile range [ or For (30 + 8 + 5 + 2) = 188 – 171 = 17 = 188.5 – 171 = 17.5 ] M1 A1 For 2 M1 A1 n 45 Product of 3 terms 2 M1 M1 Product of 3 terms Digits correct on top of at least one A1 3 B1 For median M1 A1 For sensible attempt at finding IQR 3 Maths Practice Question Paper Page 6 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service (ii) Mathematics Practice Question Paper Q1 – 1.5 IQR = 171 – 1.5 17 = 145.5 If 217 is removed, median drops to 178 B1 For showing 217 is > 1.5 IQR above Q3 For showing there are no values < 1.5 IQR below Q1 For effect on median IQR becomes 187 – 171 = 16 or 187.5 – 171 = 16.5 B1 For effect on IQR Q3 + 1.5 IQR = 188 + 1.5 17 = 213.5 E1 E1 Hence only data item outside the interval [145.5, 213.5] is 217. or 186.25 – 170.5 = 15.75 5 4 (i) G1 G1 For linear scales on Distribution is bimodal B1 both axes 3 For heights of lines of vertical line chart (ii) Mean = 253 = 3.1625 days (to 4 d.p.) 80 1189 80 3.16252 79 4.922626582 = 2.2187 (to 4 d.p.) Standard deviation = = B1 For comment For mean M1 For variance A1 3 (iii) Number of ways of choosing the 3 winners For nC3 M1 A1 2 Maths Practice Question Paper Page 7 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service = (i) 6 80 C3 = 82160 E(X) = rP( X r ) = = Mathematics Practice Question Paper 1071 216 1 216 (1 x 1 + 2 x 7 + ... + 6 x 91) A1 = 4.96 (to 3 s.f.) 1 r 2 P( X r ) = 216 (12 x 1 + 22 x 7 + ... + 62 x 91) 1071 Var(X) = 5593 216 216 2 = 1.31 (to 3 s.f.) = P(4, 6) + P(5, 5) + P(6, 4) 37 216 91 216 61 216 61 216 91 216 A1 4 For 2 pairs soi For a product of 2 correct probabilities For sum of 3 correct products M1 M1 P(score exactly 10 in 2 turns) = For r 2 P( X r ) M1 = 5593 216 (ii) For rP( X r ) M1 M1 37 216 A1 = 0.224 (to 3 s.f.) 4 Total = 36 Qu Answer Section B 7 (i) Mark 0.75 Owned Detached or semi-d 0.45 0.35 0.20 (ii) Comment 0.25 Rented 0.50 Owned 0.50 Rented 0.35 Owned 0.65 Rented Terraced B1 For overall structure B1 For 1st set branches B1 For 2nd set branches Flat or bedsit P(property is owned) = 0.45 0.75 + 0.35 0.50 + 0.20 0.35 Maths Practice Question Paper 3 M1 M1 For one product For sum of 3 prods Page 8 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper = 0.5825 A1 (iii) P(property terraced or rented) = P(terraced) + P(rented) – P(terraced and rented) = 0.35 + (1 – 0.5825) 0.35 0.50 = 0.5925 or 0.45 0.25 + 0.35 + 0.20 0.65 = 0.5925 (iv) P(property terraced | owned) P(property terraced and owned) = P(property owned) 0.35 0.5 = = 0.30 (2 s.f.) 0.5825 (v) P(each is the same type of property) = 0.452 + 0.352 + 0.202 3 M1 M1 A1 A1 or M1 A1 M1 A1 4 M1 M1 For “addition law” for terms or For 2 products For sum For numerator For quotient A1 3 M1 M1 A1 For “p2” For sum of 3 squares M1 For “1 – their 0.365” = 0.365 P(each is a different type of property) = 1 – 0.365 A1 = 0.635 [ or 2 0.45 0.35 + 2 0.45 0.20 + 2 0.35 0.20 = 0.635 ] 8 (i) 5 [ Let X ~ B(10, 0.75) ] P(Phil wins a prize) = P(X 9) = 1 – P(X 8) = 1 – 0.7560 [ or = 10 0.759 0.25 + 0.7510 = 0.1877… + 0.0563… ] M1 A1 P(X 9) = 0.244 (to 3 s.f.) (ii)(A) [ Let Y ~ B(3, 0.244) ] P(Y = 1) = 3 0.244 0.7562 2 P(Y 1) = 1 – P(Y = 0) = 1 – 0.7563 Maths Practice Question Paper For “0.244 0.7562” For “3 p q2” M1 M1 A1 = 0.418 (3 s.f.) (ii)(B) For use of tables 3 M1 M1 For “0.7563” For “1 – p3” Page 9 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper = 0.568 (3 s.f.) A1 3 (iii) [ Let n represent the number of goes, then ] Require 1 – 0.756n > 0.9 0.756n < 0.10 By trial: or by logs: 1 – 0.7568 = 0.893 < 0.90 1 – 0.7569 = 0.919 > 0.90 (v) For “1 – 0.7563” M1 For inequality M1 For attempt at solving inequality n log(0.756) < log(0.10) n> log(0.10) = 8.23 log(0.756) hence Phil needs to have 9 goes. (iv) M1 A1 4 H0: p = 0.5 B1 For null hypothesis H1: p > 0.5 B1 For alternative hypothesis since we want to see if Val is more likely to hit the target than not. E1 Using binomial tables for n = 10: M1 For one comparison P(X 7) = 1 – P(X 6) = 1 – 0.8281 = 0.1719 > 0.10 M1 For 2nd comparison For reason 3 P(X 8) = 1 – P(X 7) = 1 – 0.9453 = 0.0547 < 0.10 A1 So Val should hit the target at least 8 times. 3 Total = 36 Maths Practice Question Paper Page 10 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper Practice Paper S1-B TIME 1 hour 30 minutes INSTRUCTIONS Write your Name on each sheet of paper used or the front of the booklet used. Answer all the questions. You may use a graphical calculator in this paper. INFORMATION The number of marks is given in brackets [] at the end of each question or part-question. You are advised that you may receive no marks unless you show sufficient detail of the working to indicate that a correct method is being used. Final answers should be given to a degree of accuracy appropriate to the context. The total number of marks for this paper is 72. Section A (36 marks) 1 In a certain region of the country the percentages of blood donors in each of four different blood groups are as follows. Group Percentage (i) O A B AB 45% 43% 9% 3% Two of the region’s donors are chosen at random. Find the probability that (A) at least one has blood group O, [2] (B) both have the same blood group. [3] (ii) Show that at least 8 donors would have to be chosen, at random, to be 99% sure of finding at least one donor of blood type O. [3] 2 A company which hires out equipment by the day has three mowers. The number, X, of mowers which are hired on any one day has the following probability distribution. 1 P(X = r) = k 2 Maths Practice Question Paper r for r = 0, 1, 2 and 3. Page 11 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper 8 . 15 (i) Show that k = [2] (ii) Sketch the probability distribution of X . [2] (iii) Calculate the expectation and variance of X. 3 [4] Next September I intend to buy a new car. Its registration plate will be of the form HW 55 MSD where HW is the local area code for the Isle of Wight, 55 represents the second half of the year 2005, and the last three letters are chosen at random. Both parts of the question refer to the last three letters of the registration plate. You may assume that each of the 26 letters in the alphabet, of which 5 are vowels and 21 are consonants, is available for each of the random choices. (i) Find the probability that the random letters on the plate are MSD, appearing in that order. [2] (ii) Find the probability that the letters are M, S, D in any order. 4 [2] New-born babies are tested for a mild illness which affects 1 in 500 babies. The result of a test is either positive or negative. A positive result suggests that the baby has the illness. However, the test is not perfect. For babies with the illness, the probability of a positive result is 0.99 For babies without the illness, the probability of a negative result is 0.95 A new-born baby is chosen at random and tested for the illness. (i) Copy and complete this probability tree diagram to illustrate the situation. Maths Practice Question Paper Page 12 of 19 [2] Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper (ii) Find the probability that the result is positive. [3] (iii) Given that the result of a test is positive, show that the conditional probability that the baby has the illness is 0.038 (correct to 3 decimal places). [3] 5 The magazine Nearly Eighteen has a web site, on which it recently ran a pop trivia quiz with ten questions. The results of the first 1000 entries were analysed. Summary statistics for the numbers of questions answered correctly, x, and associated frequencies, f, are as follows: n = 1000 (i) (ii) xf = 6100 x2f = 42260 Show that the mean score is 6.1. [1] Calculate the mean square deviation and the variance, s2, of the data. Comment on the relative size of the two answers. [3] Each question in the quiz was in fact of the multiple choice variety, with four possible answers. Three points are awarded for a question answered correctly and one point is deducted for a question which is not answered correctly. (iii) Show that, if x questions are answered correctly, the number of points, y, is given by y = 4x 10 . [1] (iv) Hence find the mean and variance of the points scored. [3] Section B (36 marks) 6 A motoring magazine carried out a survey of the value of 60 petrol-driven cars that were five years old. In the survey, the value of each car was expressed as a percentage of its value when new. The results of the survey are summarised in the following table. Percentage of original value (x) 15 x < 20 Number of cars 20 x < 25 12 25 x < 30 18 30 x < 35 13 35 x < 40 6 40 x < 45 5 45 x < 55 2 Maths Practice Question Paper 4 Page 13 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service (i) Mathematics Practice Question Paper Draw a histogram on graph paper to illustrate the data. [4] (ii) Carefully describe the shape of the distribution. [2] (iii) Calculate an estimate of the median of the data. [2] (iv) Use your calculator to find estimates of the mean and standard deviation of the data, giving your answers correct to 2 decimal places. [4] (v) Hence identify any outliers, explaining your method. [4] A similar survey of 60 five-year old diesel-driven cars produced a mean of 34.2% and a standard deviation of 11.7%. (vi) Use these statistics to compare the values of petrol and diesel cars, five years after they were purchased as new. [2] 7 A motoring organisation reports that the proportion of drivers who would fail a basic sight test is 1 in 6. For parts (i) to (iii) you may assume that the report is correct. (i) Write down the value of p, the probability that a driver chosen at random would pass the sight test. [1] (ii) A random sample of 30 drivers is taken. (A) How many would be expected to pass the test ? (B) Find the probability that exactly this number pass the test. [4] (iii) A random sample of n drivers is taken. (A) Find the probability that all pass the sight test when n = 13. (B) Find the smallest value of n such that the probability of all drivers passing is less than 5% . [4] A journalist wishes to test the accuracy of the motoring organisation’s report by checking the sight of a random sample of 15 drivers. (iv) Write down suitable hypotheses for this test in terms of p. [2] (v) Find the critical region for the test at the 10% significance level and illustrate it on a number line. [5] (vi) Find the minimum sample size for which the upper tail of the critical region would not be empty. [2] Maths Practice Question Paper Page 14 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper Practice Paper S1-B MARK SHEME Qu Answer Mark Comment Section A 1 (i) (A) P(at least one has blood group O) = 1 – 0.552 = 0.698 (to 3 s.f.) M1 A1 P(both have same blood group) M1 M1 A1 For calculation 2 (B) = 0.452 + 0.432 + 0.092 + 0.032 = 0.396 (to 3.s.f.) (ii) For at least 2 squares For sum of 4 squares 3 For n = 7, P(at least one has blood group O) = 1 – 0.557 = 0.985 (to 3 s.f.) < 99% M1 Attempt at least one evaluation & comparison For n = 8, P(at least one has blood group O) A1 Both evaluations correct E1 Comparisons = 1 – 0.558 = 0.992 (to 3 s.f.) > 99% 3 2 r 0 1 2 3 P(X = r) k 1k 2 1k 4 1k 8 15 8 k = 1 k = 8 15 (i) k 1 12 14 18 = 1 M1 For forming equation For solution with fractions A1 2 (ii) G1 For lines in proportion G1 (dependent) For scaled axes 2 (iii) E(X) = r P(X = r) M1 For E(X) A1 Maths Practice Question Paper Page 15 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service = 0x 8 15 4 15 +1x +2x Mathematics Practice Question Paper 2 15 +3x 1 15 = Var(X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2 = 0x = 3 (i) 194 225 8 15 +1x 4 15 11 15 M1 A1 +4x 2 15 +9x 1 15 1511 2 4 = 0.862 (to 3 s.f.) P(letters on plate are MSD, in that order) 3 1 1 = = 0.000057 (to 2 s.f.) 17576 26 (ii) For E(X2) P(letters on plate are M, S, D in any order) 1 For 26 M1 A1 3 2 For “3! their part (i)” M1 3 6 3 1 = 3! = 0.00034 (to 2 s.f.) 17576 8788 26 4 (i) A1 2 Tree diagram: 0.002 0.998 0.99 Positive result 0.01 Negative result 0.05 Positive result Has the illness Does not have the illness 0.95 B1 B1 Negative result 2 For 3 correct probabilities For 2 further correct probabilities (ii) P(result is positive) = 0.002 0.99 + 0.998 0.05 = 0.05188 = 0.052 (to 2 s.f.) M1 M1 A1 For one product For sum of 2 products 3 (iii) P(baby has the illness | positive test result) = P(baby has the illness and test result positive) P(test result positive) M1 M1 for numerator M1 M1 for quotient with their part (ii) A1 Maths Practice Question Paper Page 16 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper 3 0.002 0.99 = = 0.038 (3 d.p.) 0.05188 5 (i) (ii) Mean = 6100 = 6.1 1000 B1 For mean 1 42260 1000 6.12 5050 msd = = = 5.05 1000 1000 M1 For Sxx 42260 1000 6.12 5050 variance = = = 5.055 999 999 A1 For both values They are almost the same due to large n. Number of points = 3x – (10 – x) = 4x – 10 E1 For reference to n 3 For “3x – (10 – x)” B1 (iii) 1 y = 4 x 10 = 4 6.1 – 10 = 14.4 (iv) variance(y) = 16 variance(x) M1 A1 For y B1 = 16 5.055… = 80.9 (to 3 s.f.) 3 For “16 their variance(x)” Total = 36 Qu Answer Section B 6 Mark Comment G1 For linear scaled axes G1 For frequency density or equivalent or key G1 For heights of first 6 bars (joined); all correctly positioned G1 For size of 7th bar (i) 4 (ii) Shape of distribution: It has positive skew. B1 B1 Find median by simple interpolation M1 For skew For positive 2 (iii) Maths Practice Question Paper For identifying interval Page 17 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service = 25 + (iv) 14.5 5 = 29 18 Mathematics Practice Question Paper or 25 + 14 5 = 28.9 18 Mid-interval points: 17.5, 22.5, 27.5, 32.5, 37.5, 42.5, 50 1795 Mean = = 29.92 (to 2 d.p.) 60 57112.5 60 29.922 = 7.60 (to 2 d.p.) 59 Mean 2 s.d. = 29.92 2 x 7.60 = 14.71 (to 2 d.p.) containing median A1 2 B1 For mid-interval points B1 For mean M1 A1 For variance ft their mean s.d. = (v) (vi) 4 M1 For attempt at x 2sd Mean + 2 s.d. = 29.92 + 2 x 7.60 = 45.13 (to 2 d.p.) A1 For both values Hence the 2 percentages in range 45 to 55 could be outliers, since they may lie more than 2 s.d. from the mean. M1 A1 For “2 outliers” or equivalent On average cars with diesel engines held their value better than cars with petrol engines. E1 Greater variation in the percentage values for cars with diesel engines compared to cars with petrol engines. 7 For precise value 4 or equivalent E1 or equivalent 2 (i) p = 56 B1 (ii)(A) Expected number to pass = 30 56 = 25 B1 For expected number M1 For (5/6)r (1/6)30-r For probability 1 2 For 30Cr … (ii)(B) (iii)(A) 30 P(exactly 25 pass) = C25 56 16 25 5 = 0.192 (to 3 s.f.) = 0.19 (to 2 s.f.) P(all pass sight test) M1 A1 2 M1 For use of tables or working out = 1 – 0.9065 = 0.0935 [using tables] or (iii)(B) = 56 13 = 0.0935 (to 3 s.f.) A1 2 Searching for appropriate n: for n = 16: P(all pass) Maths Practice Question Paper For attempt at search M1 Page 18 of 19 Intensive Tutorial Service Mathematics Practice Question Paper = 1 – 0.9459 [tables] or for n = 17: P(all pass) = 1 – 0.9549 [tables] or 165 16 165 17 = 0.0541 A1 2 = 0.0451 hence smallest sample size is where n = 17 (iv) (v) H0: p = 56 ; B1,1 H1: p 56 For hypotheses 2 Using binomial tables for n = 15: M1 For at least one comparison P(X 9) = 0.0274 < 0.05, but P(X 10) = 0.0898 > 0.05 A1 So lower tail of crit. reg. is {0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9} M1 P(X 15) = 1 – P(X < 14) = 1 – 0.9351 A1 = 0.0649 > 0.05, So upper tail of crit. reg. is empty. Critical region For comparison Acceptance region G1 For diagram 5 0 (vi) 9 10 15 From part (iv), for n = 16: P(all pass) = 0.0541 > 5%, and for n = 17: P(all pass) = 0.0451 < 5%. M1 For comparisons A1 2 Hence minimum sample size for which upper tail is not empty is 17. Total = 36 Maths Practice Question Paper Page 19 of 19