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MMAT 3315.01R: Probability and Statistics Syllabus INSTRUCTOR INFORMATION Instructor: Andres Padilla Oviedo Office: MAGC 3.204 Office Hours: Monday and Wednesday from 1:00 pm-3:05 pm and Tuesday from 2:05pm-3:55pm Do not hesitate to send me an email if we need to talk so we can agree on a convenient time for a phone call, Connect session, or a meeting. Office Telephone: (956) 665-7087 E-mail: [email protected] Generally I will respond to emails within two business days of receiving them. If I plan to be away from my computer for more than a couple of days, I will let you know in advance. COURSE DESCRIPTION This course is intended to provide students with an elementary overview of the mathematical nature and uses of descriptive statistics, probability, and inferential statistics. Topics include the definitions and fundamental theorems concerning measures of central tendency and dispersion, empirical and theoretical concepts of probability, the central limit theorem, tests of hypotheses, interval estimation and correlation. Calculator will be emphasized throughout the course. Prerequisite Prerequisite: EMAT 2307 with a grade of "C" or better. Prerequisites will be strictly enforced. Students lacking prerequisites will be dropped from the course. TEXTBOOK & COURSE MATERIALS Required: The Open Learning Initiative at Carnegie Mellon University (OLI-CMU) has years of experience helping adult students to understand elementary concepts of statistics. Their material incorporates the TI-Calculators, R and Excel software package, which we will use extensively. OLI-CMU The OLI-CMU material will be our textbook. Access your course at: https://oli.cmu.edu/ . You will need the course key listed below. The OLI-CMU registration is available on January, 19 2015. MMAT 3315-01 Probability and Statistics Course Key: Spring2015 Institution: University of Texas-Pan American Duration: 01/19/2015 - 05/15/2015 Price per student: $25.00 USD Page 1 University of Texas-Pan American MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Spring 2015 Syllabus Students will be required to pay Carnegie Mellon University $25.00 USD for the course before they can access the materials. Visa and MasterCard credit and debit cards are accepted. Students' secure payment will be processed by Carnegie Mellon University. The creators, Candace Thille and her colleagues, of OLI have spent years studying how adult students learn online. They promise a response to technical difficulties within 24 hours. Content questions must be addressed to me but CMU will solve any OLI technical problems. You can learn more about OLI and Professor Thille at http://oli.cmu.edu/get-to-know-oli/learn-moreabout-oli/leadership-and-staff/candace-thille/ OLI divides the course into fourteen modules. Those modules are the foundation and guide posts for what we will do. OLI is your main textbook. It provides: (1) Instruction (2) Practice (3) Feedback and self-assessment (4) Summative Assessment OLI uses a concept called \cognitive tutor" which gives you loads of support designed to assure your fluency in the ideas and tools. The OLI team has studied many students as they have used the materials. Based on those observations, the instruction has been restructured and improved. You are the beneficiaries of this work. Others will benefit from what we learn as you work your way through the material. Within OLI, feedback supports what you are learning. The “Did you get this" activities gives you a chance to evaluate yourself before you complete activities that will assess your understanding and count to the grade. An introductory module discusses learning styles, meta-cognition, and strategies for interacting with OLI. Recommended Texts & Other Readings Supplemental text: Online Statistics Education: A Multimedia Course of Study (http://onlinestatbook.com/). Project Leader: David M. Lane, Rice University http://www.centerofmath.org It is free, not required. Supplemental text: OpenIntro: Statistics, David M Diez, Christopher D Barr, Mine etinkayaRundel is a free download from http://www.openintro.org/stat/ or can be purchased in hard copy for less than 10 dollars. COURSE OBJECTIVES Student Learning Outcomes: To be able to verbally, numerically, graphically and symbolically describe the real world problem, using statistical concepts, models, and terminologies. To apply appropriate statistical methods to modeling and solving problems arising from real world, and judge the reasonableness of the results. To interpret statistical models and inferences, and use them to help decision making. To recognize the limitations of statistical methods. To develop the view that statistics is an evolving discipline, interrelated with human culture, and understands its connections to other disciplines. Student should have some basic knowledge in experimental design. You will meet the objectives listed above through a combination of the following activities in this course: Page 2 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Spring 2015 Syllabus Commit to spend 6-9 hours per week on this course. Read Open Learning Initiative content Complete OLI checkpoints at a level of 70% or better. Complete the Project, at a level of 70% or better by completing all portions on time. Complete a face to face Midterm Exam and Comprehensive Final Exam without the use of notes, at a level of 70% or better. TECHNICAL REQUIREMENTS Computer Hardware To participate in this online course, you should have easy access to a computer less than 5-years old with high-speed internet connection via cable modem, LAN or DSL. To ensure you are using a supported browser and have required plug-ins please refer to Supported Browsers, Plugins & Operating Systems for Blackboard Learn from Blackboards resource page. Student Technical Skills You are expected to be proficient with installing and using basic computer applications and have the ability to send and receive email attachments. Software Microsoft Office’s Internet Explorer (latest version) Mozilla’s Firefox (latest version; Macintosh or Windows) Adobe’s Flash Player & Reader plug-in (latest version). Apple’s QuickTime plug-in (latest version). A free download is available at Virus protection Microsoft Office Technical Assistance If you need technical assistance at any time during the course or to report a problem with Blackboard you can: Visit the Blackboard Student Help Site Submit a Blackboard Problem Form In your course menu, select UTPA Resources and see COLTT Help Desk, they are UTPA’s Blackboard Support. If you need technical assistance at any time during the course or to report a problem with OLICMU you can: Visit the OLI Help at https://oli.cmu.edu/jcourse/webui/help.do Page 3 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Spring 2015 Syllabus COURSE ORGANIZATION & ONLINE TOOLS Course Structure: This course will be delivered face to face and online, students are required to use the course management system Blackboard Learn. You will use your UTPA account to login to the course from the My UTPA site and under applications click on Blackboard Learn. Assignments OLI Checkpoints: OLI has 29 checkpoints and each produces a grade. Checkpoints are due each Sunday at 11:59PM. On average you will be expected to complete more than 2 checkpoints a week. The due dates for checkpoints are in the OLI syllabus which can be seen once you log-in to OLI. Module Facilitation: Students will be required present two modules if working individually and three modules if working in pairs. In addition, students will facilitate a discussion or activity that reinforces cooperative learning and active learning. The presentation will be during face-to-face class time. Project: The goal of these projects is to give you the opportunity to make your own connections between statistics and education by considering a wide variety of problems ranging from evaluating teaching strategies in mathematics to analyzing economic, social and political factors that contribute to our education system. They will help you establish connections between MMAT 3315 and your other courses, and they will allow you to make contributions in areas of your interest and expertise. In addition, they will provide you with an opportunity to interact and collaborate with your classmates. Under my direction you are expected to analyze data (collected by the student or retrieved from the internet) using appropriate statistical techniques and report and interpret the results. Time permitting each group will be required to make a short presentation at the end of the semester. Areas of further studies should be incorporated in the report. The double-spaced typewritten paper, not exceeding ten (10pages) should include: Title Page Abstract Section 1: Introduction including statement of the problem. Section 2: Literature Review Section 3: Methodology or Procedure Section 4: Data Analysis; Results Section 5: Summary; Conclusions; Recommendations; References. Please refer to project materials to find more information on project guidelines, timeline, sample and rubric. Participation: Students are expected to participate and be on time during all class meetings. However, it is impossible for a student who is absent to participate. Therefore, students who are absent will receive the following grades: 1 class 7%, 2 classes 3% and 3 or more classes 0% out of their final grade. Further, the instructor has the prerogative to drop any student who has 3 or more absences during the semester. The Attendance Policy will be strictly enforced face-to-face and online. Page 4 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Spring 2015 Syllabus TOPIC OUTLINE/SCHEDULE Important Note: Activity and assignment details will be explained in detail within each module corresponding weekly content area. If you have any questions, please contact your instructor. Mode of delivery coding: F2F-classroom, face to face Online-takes place on Blackboard and https//oli.cmu.edu Days of the week T-Tuesday R-Thursday Week Mode of Delivery/Day Assignments Due Assigned Readings 1 Review: F2F/T Syllabus Review Module Objectives Read Project information Activity: Create an account in OLI-CMU Create group for the project and module facilitation Online/R Week 1 11:59 PM 1/25/2015 Read UNIT 1: Explanatory Data Analysis 2 F2F/T Online/R Module 1: Examining Distributions Readings: Read Unit 2 Producing Data, Module 3: Sampling Week 2 11:59 PM 2/1/2015 Assessment: Module 1 Checkpoints 1 and 2 Project Section 1 Activities: Module Forum Discussion: Students can ask questions and get help from other classmates. Page 5 Week 2 11:59 PM 2/1/2015 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Week Mode of Delivery/Day Spring 2015 Syllabus Assignments Due 3 F2F/T Module 2: Examining Relationships Module 3: Sampling Readings: Online/R Read Unit 2 Producing Data, Module 4: Designing Studies and Unit 3 Module 5 and Module 6 Week 3 11:59 PM 2/8/2015 Assessment: Module 2 Checkpoints 1 and 2, and Module 3 Checkpoint 1 Week 3 11:59 PM 2/8/2015 Activities: Module Forum Discussion: Students can ask questions and get help from other classmates. 4 F2F/T Unit 2: Producing Data Module 4: Designing Studies Unit 3: Probability Module 5 Readings: Online/R Read Unit 3: Probability, Module 6: Finding Probability of Events, and Module 7: Conditional Probability of Events Week 4 11:59 PM 2/15/2015 Read Project information Assessment: Module 4: Checkpoints 1 and 2, and Probability Checkpoint 1 Project Section 2 Activities: Module Forum Discussion: Students can ask questions and get help from other classmates. Page 6 Week 4 11:59 PM 2/15/2015 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Week Mode of Delivery/Day Spring 2015 Syllabus Assignments Due 5 F2F/T Unit 3: Probability Module 6: Finding Probability of Events Module 7 Conditional Probability and Independence Readings: Read Unit 3: Probability Online/R Week 5 11:59 PM 2/22/2015 Module 8: Random Variables Assessment: Probability Checkpoint 2, Module 7 Checkpoint 1 and 2 Activities: Week 5 11:59 PM 2/22/2015 Module Forum Discussion: Students can ask questions and get help from other classmates. 6 F2F/T Unit 3: Probability Module 8: Random Variables Online/R Readings: Read Unit 3 Probability, Module 9: Sampling Distributions Week 6 11:59 PM 3/1/2015 Assessment: Module 8: Checkpoints 1, 2 and 3 Project Section 3 Week 6 11:59 PM 3/1/2015 Activities: Module Forum Discussion: Students can ask questions and get help from other classmates. 7 F2F/T Unit 3: Probability Module 9: Sampling Distributions Page 7 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Week Mode of Delivery/Day Spring 2015 Syllabus Assignments Due Readings: Online/R Read Unit 4 Inference, Module 10: Introduction (Inference), Module 11: Estimation and Module 12: Overview Week 7 11:59 PM 3/8/2015 Assessment: Module 8: Checkpoint 4, and Module 9 Checkpoints 1 and 2 Week 7 11:59 PM 3/8/2015 Activities: Module Forum Discussion: Students can ask questions and get help from other classmates. 8 F2F/T Unit 4: Inference Module 10: Introduction Module 11: Estimation Module 12: Hypothesis Testing Overview Hypothesis Testing for the Population Proportion Readings: Online/R Read Unit 4 Inference, Module 12: Hypothesis Testing for a Population Mean, Hypothesis Testing, and Type I and Type II Week 8 11:59 PM 3/15/2015 Assessment: Estimation Checkpoint, Module 12: Overview Checkpoint and Hypothesis Testing for a Population Proportion Checkpoint Project Section 4 Activities: Module Forum Discussion: Students can ask Page 8 Week 8 11:59 PM 3/15/2015 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Week Mode of Delivery/Day Spring 2015 Syllabus Assignments Due questions and get help from other classmates. 9 SPRING BREAK Week 9 11:59 PM 3/22/2015 10 F2F/T Unit 4: Inference Module 12: Hypothesis Testing for a Population Mean, Hypothesis Testing, and Type I and Type II Checkpoint. Online/R Readings: Read Unit 4: Inference Module 13: Two Independent Samples Matched Pairs ANOVA Week 10 11:59 PM 3/29/2015 Assessment: Module 12: Hypothesis Testing for a Population Mean Checkpoint, Hypothesis Testing Checkpoint, and Type I and Type II Checkpoint Project Due Activities: Module Forum Discussion: Students can ask questions and get help from other classmates. 11 F2F/T Unit 4: Inference Module 13: Two Independent Samples Matched Pairs ANOVA Readings: Page 9 Week 10 11:59 PM 3/29/2015 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Week Mode of Delivery/Day Online/R Spring 2015 Syllabus Assignments Read Unit 4 Inference, Module 13: Case C→Q, and Module 14 Case C→C and Q→Q Due Week 11 11:59 PM 4/5/2015 Assessment: Module 13: Two Independent Samples Checkpoint, Matched Pairs Checkpoint and ANOVA Checkpoint Week 11 11:59 PM 4/5/2015 Activities: Module Forum Discussion: Students can ask questions and get help from other classmates. 12 F2F/T Unit 4 Inference, Module 13: Case C→Q, Module 14: Case C→C and Q→Q Readings: Online/R Read Unit 4 Inference, Module 14: Inference for Relationships Week 12 11:59 PM 4/12/2015 Assessment: Module 13: Case C→Q Checkpoint, and Module 14: Case C→C and Q→Q Checkpoint Week 12 11:59 PM 4/12/2015 Activities: Module Forum Discussion: Students can ask questions and get help from other classmates. 13 F2F/T Unit 4 Inference Module 14: Inference for Relationships Online/R Assessment: Module 14: Inference for Relationships Checkpoint Page 10 Week 13 11:59 PM 4/19/2015 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Week Mode of Delivery/Day Spring 2015 Syllabus Assignments Due Activities: Module Forum Discussion: Students can ask questions and get help from other classmates. Week 14 11:59 PM 4/26/2015 14 F2F/T Online/R Project Presentations Peer Review Week 15 11:59 PM 5/3/2015 15 F2F/T Online/R Project Presentations Peer Review Grading Policy Graded Course Activities Description Points OLI-Checkpoints 400 points Module Facilitation 300 points Project 200 points Participation 100 points Total Points Possible 1000 points Final grades assigned for this course will be based on the percentage of total points earned and are assigned as follows: Component OLI-Checkpoints Module Facilitation Project Participation Total A = 90-100% B = 80-89% C = 70-79% F = Below 70% Page 11 Weight 40% 30% 20% 10% 100% MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Spring 2015 Syllabus Late Work Policy Be sure to pay close attention to deadlines—there will be no make-up assignments or late work accepted without a serious and compelling reason and instructor approval. Viewing Grades in OLI Points you receive for checkpoints will be posted to the OLI Grade Book. Click on the Gradebook link on the top navigation to view your points. Instructor Feedback for Project and Module Facilitation Your instructor will update the online grades each time a grading session has been complete— typically 7 business days following the completion of an activity; however, your grades for the OLI Checkpoints will be in your grade book from OLI. Course Policies Participation Online courses require your active participation. Here are some tips for success: In discussion forums, you learn from one another by posing questions, justifying your comments, and providing multiple perspectives. When you prepare for discussions through thoughtful reflection, you contribute to your own successful learning experience as well as to the experience of your peers. Log in to the course frequently (at least several times per week for long semesters and daily for summer sessions) and check the announcements. This will keep you apprised of any course updates, progress in discussions, assignment information, and messages requiring immediate attention. Be aware of and keep up with the Course Schedule in the Syllabus. Participate in team activities to the best of your ability. How well your team does—and how well you do—depends on all the team members working cooperatively. Netiquette 1. Be aware that typing in all capital letters indicates shouting. 2. Be careful with humor and sarcasm. Both can easily be misunderstood! 3. Review all discussion postings before posting your own to prevent redundancy [and repetition]. 4. Check your writing for errors by reviewing what you’ve written before submitting it. 5. Acronyms (LOL, etc.) and emoticons (smilies) are commonly used online, but be careful not to overuse them. - See more at: http://www.dontwasteyourtime.co.uk/elearning/netiquette-a-handy-guide-foronline-students/#sthash.23rdevwy.dpuf Behind every name there is a person. Respect each other. We are all in this together. Page 12 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Spring 2015 Syllabus Keep in mind you are taking a college class. Something that would be inappropriate in a traditional class is also inappropriate in an online class. Be aware that typing in all capital letters indicates shouting Be careful with humor and sarcasm. Both can be misunderstood. Review all discussion postings before posting your own to prevent redundancy. Acronyms (LOL, etc.) and emoticons (smiles) are commonly used online, but be careful not to overuse them. Build Rapport If you find that you have any trouble keeping up with assignments or other aspects of the course, make sure you let your instructor know as early as possible. As you will find, building rapport and effective relationships are key to becoming an effective professional. Make sure that you are proactive in informing your instructor when difficulties arise during the semester so that we can help you find a solution. Complete Assignments All assignments for this course will be submitted through OLI-CMU and BB Learn. Assignments and project must be submitted by the given deadline or special permission must be requested from instructor before the due date. Extensions will not be given beyond the next assignment except under extreme circumstances. Communication Skills All students must have adequate writing skills to communicate content in a professional and concise manner. Time Commitment Hybrid courses are typically just as time intensive, and may be more rigorous than traditional courses. Many students claim that hybrid courses require more time and commitment. As you begin this course, you would be wise to schedule 9 or more hours per week for studying materials and completing assignments. Falling behind in this course is particularly problematic because the concepts we cover are cumulative. This means that not becoming proficient with information and objectives presented and assessed in a particular week can lead to low scores for that week as well as in subsequent weeks. The following are ways to get free help outside of class: 1. 2. 3. Contact your instructor during their office hours or make appointment. Get free Math tutoring from the Math Learning Center located in the LEAC building in room 114 phone # 956-665-2532. Tutoring hours are: Monday-Thursday 8:30 am 6:00 pm and Friday 8:30 am - 1:00 pm. Get free Math tutoring from Math Lab in Math building (MAGC) in rooms 1.106 and 1.308, Monday –Thursday : 8:00 am – 7:00 pm and Friday: 8:00 am – 1:30 pm. Page 13 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Spring 2015 Syllabus Understand When You May Drop This Course It is the student’s responsibility to understand when they need to consider de-enrolling from a course. Refer to the UTPA Course Schedule for dates and deadlines for registration. After this period, a serious and compelling reason is required to drop from the course. Serious and compelling reasons includes: (1) documented and significant change in work hours, leaving student unable to attend class, or (2) documented and severe physical/mental illness/injury to the student or student’s family. Inform Your Instructor of Any Accommodations Needed If you have a documented disability and verification from the Disability Services, and wish to discuss academic accommodations, please contact your instructor as soon as possible. It is the student’s responsibility to provide documentation of disability to Disability Services and meet with a SSWD counselor to request special accommodation before classes start. Disability Services is located in room 322 University Center and can be contacted by phone at (956) 316-7911 (Voice) (956) 316-7911 or via email at [email protected]. Commit to Integrity As a student in this course (and at this university) you are expected to maintain high degrees of professionalism, commitment to active learning and participation in this class and also integrity in your behavior in and out of the classroom. Mandatory Course Evaluation Period (April 15 – May 6). Students are required to complete an ONLINE evaluation of this course, accessed through your UTPA account (https://my.utpa.edu/); you will be contacted through email with further instructions on the evaluation process. The evaluation window closes at 11:59 pm on May 6th, the last day of classes for the spring semester. Students who complete their evaluations by May 6th will have priority access to their grades. UTPA Academic Honesty Policy & Procedures “The principles of truth and honesty are recognized as fundamental to a community of scholars and teachers. California State University, Sacramento expects that both faculty and students will honor these principles, and in so doing, will protect the integrity of academic work and student grades.” Read more about UTPA’s Academic Honesty Policy & Procedures Definitions At UTPA, Scholastic dishonesty includes but is not limited to cheating, plagiarism, collusion, the submission for credit of any work or materials that are attributable in whole or in part to another person, taking an examination for another person, any act designed to give unfair advantage to a student or the attempt to commit such acts. Page 14 MMAT-3315.01R Probability and Statistics Spring 2015 Syllabus “Plagiarism is a form of cheating. At UTPA, “plagiarism is the appropriation, buying, receiving as a gift, or obtaining by any means another's work and the unacknowledged submission or incorporation of it in one's own academic work offered for credit..” Source: UTPA HOP Important Note: Any form of academic dishonesty, including cheating and plagiarism, may be reported to the office of student affairs. Course policies are subject to change. It is the student’s responsibility to check Blackboard for corrections or updates to the syllabus. Any changes will be posted in Blackboard. Page 15