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Can Canada become a Responsible Oil Power? What it means to be a petro-state and the issue of democracy. I’m interested in discussing this relationship between mineral resources, economic performance, the State’s capacities and democracy or democratisation. What is the difference in the structure of the petro-state if it were an advanced democracy or of a more authoritarian nature? In order to answer that question, I intend to provide a brief comparative and historical study of countries that have succumbed to the resource curse, namely Venezuela, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia. In general, I want to look at the petro-states and see how many or few of them have been advanced democracies. In that part, I will inevitably discuss the case of Norway. With this study, I hope to analyze the Canadian context, in particular by examining the decisions that are carrying Canada into becoming a petro-state. Explaining the resource curse thesis: Oil is a resource that is considered to be both a blessing and a curse. A blessing because it brings its country great wealth and a curse because it hinders democracy. Countries depend on fossil fuels for 80% of its national energy1. The resource curse thesis, otherwise known as Dutch Disease, attempts to explain “how countries with abundant energy resources not only do not benefit from them but also post economic growth lower than that of countries with fewer natural resources […] it is governments that ultimately makes decisions, or at least have a high potential on oil policy and where revenue ends up2.” Comparative/historical study of three non-democratic petro-states, Venezuela, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia: political regimes and democratization. How oil-wealth influences the political structure of the state. In most of these poor yet oil-rich countries, the petro-state’s survival depends almost entirely on the steady export of oil. This in turn means that there is less concern for democracy and representation. In order to maintain the wealth of the state, the petro-state must continue to rely on oil revenues. Oil becomes a curse in so far as the resource is used to pursue and foster the interests of an oligarchic elite who are responsible for managing the country. Most of these petro-states are marked by weak institutions, unreliable leaders and violent behavior (suppressing Bruce Campbell. “Norway manages its oil wealth much better than Canada does”, Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, 1 November 2012 2 Manuel Hidalgo. “A Petro-State: Oil, Politics and Democracy in Venezuela (WP)”, Real Instituto Elcano, June 11, 2007. 1 citizens and unsettling their regional neighbors)3. Political Structure of the petro-states: most of the countries considered to be petro-states are weak governments, characterized by corrupt elites… Venezuela: irrespective of steady oil revenues, Venezuela has not capitalized on oil wealth for the procurement of public goods. Nigeria Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia can be classified as a “rentier state” because a large part of its revenue comes from external rents, for instance the sale of oil. Comparative/historical study of advanced democracies, Norway and Canada Norway: the exceptionally successful petro-state The basic assumption is that advanced democracies have the right institutions and are transparent and thus able to avoid succumbing to the resource curse. In fact, currently only one petro-state has managed to escape the resource curse and that is Norway. Canada: a ‘rogue’ petro-state in the making? The Canadian dollar is driven higher because of higher fossil fuel exports. By putting its eggs into one basket and neglecting other pressing issues such as climate change, Canada is heading towards being called a petro-state. With the Canadian economy being headed by fossil fuel exports, the Canadian government is not leaving any room for discussion regarding the oil sands industry and the pipeline projects. Anyone who criticizes the industry is seen to be unpatriotic and against Canada’s prosperity. This is turn means that Canada is heading towards a dangerous path, fueled by a narrow-sighted government who in turn is oil-hungry and less democratic and less representative than it claims. Resources are finite. By putting its eggs into one basket and neglecting to look towards other means for prosperity, the Canadian economy is a ticking time bomb. What will happen if there is no more resource? With so much focus going into the oil sands industry, Canada’s environmental policies are falling wayside. The government is clearly less interested in developing its climate change policies and this lack of transparency is jeopardizing investment in Canada’s energy sector, not to mention, discrediting the federal government when it comes to investing in issues of national concern to Canadians. All of this investment in higher fossil fuel exports as well as oil extraction is 3 Satya Das. 2010. “The only advanced democracy of the world’s oil powers”, Diplomat and International Canada, p.32-33 leaving Canada with depleted energy supplies, devastated landscapes and polluted waters. The biggest concern perhaps is that Canada, as a seemingly prosperous economy, is unable to compete with those of states that are on their way to further investment in the industry of renewable energy. What is a petro-state: According to Bruce Campbell, executive director of the Canadian Center for Policy Alternatives (CCPA), a petro-state is a country that is “dependent on petroleum for 50 percent or more of export revenues, 25 percent or more of GDP, and 25 percent or more of government revenues.” In Canada, jurisdiction over resources is allocated to the provinces, yet the monetary policy remains at the federal level. Centralization of power: the Canadian government is deeply invested in the development of the oil sands industry and has invested a lot of financial resources into it. This is turn means that other industries, such as, are being disregarded. Democratic rule and representation: the oil sands have become a topic of high concern for the government, namely one that it boasts. Anyone from the opposition or the public who criticizes the oil sands industry and pipeline projects is deemed to be unpatriotic and is dismissed rather awkwardly. No national energy plan for Canada What can be done to better manage this, or stop it from happening? Creating a savings fund resource wealth management like Norway: revenues from oil sands industry can be used for government funding. That government funding however does result in Canadians paying higher taxes, but unlike Norway, instead of representing the citizens (the tax-payers), the Canadian government prefers to serve the interests of oil-producing companies at the expense of public development and democracy. Bibliography “Alberta and The Curse of the Petro State”, Alberta Federation of Labour, 22 April 2011. Campbell, Bruce. “Norway manages its oil wealth much better than Canada does”, Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, 1 November 2012. Daniel, Cayley-Daoust and Girard, Richard. 2012. “Big Oil’s Oily Grasp: The Making of Canada as a Petro-State and how Oil Money is Corrupting Canadian Politics”. Polaris Institute. Ottawa, ON. 27 pages. Das, Satya. 2010. “The only advanced democracy of the world’s oil powers”, Diplomat and International Canada, p.32-33. Dobson, Sarah, Lemphers, Nathan and Guilbeault, Steven. 2013. “Risques bitumineux- Les consequences économiques de l’exploitation des sables bitumineux au Canada”. L’Institut Pembina et Équiterre. 41 pages. Drohan, Madelaine. 2013. “The 9 Habits of Highly Effective Resource Economies: Lessons for Canada”. Canadian International Council. Dunning, Thad. 2008. Crude Democracy: Natural Resource Wealth and Political Regimes. Cambridge University Press, New York. 327 pages. Gelb, Alan. 2014. “Should Canada Worry About a Resource Curse?” The School of Public Policy, University of Calgary 7 (2). 27 pages. Hidalgo, Manuel. “A Petro-State: Oil, Politics and Democracy in Venezuela (WP)”, Real Instituto Elcano, June 11, 2007. Holter, Mikael. “Norway Becomes Petro-State as Investors Balk at Hidden AAA Risks”, Bloomberg, 24 March 2013. Humphreys, Macartan, Sachs, Jeffrey and Stiglitz, Joseph E. 2013. Escaping the Resource Curse. Columbia University Press. USA. 408 pages. Karl, Terry Lynn. 1997. The Paradox of Plenty: Oil Booms and Petro-states. University of California Press. USA. 342 pages. Karl, Terry Lynn. 1999. The Perils of the Petro-State: Reflections on the Paradox of Plenty. Journal of International Affairs 53 (1): 31-48. Kim, Younkyoo. 2003. The Resource Curse in a Post-communist Regime: Russia in Comparative Perspective. Ashgate Publishing, Ltd. Great Britain. 181 pages. Martinez, Ibsen. “The Curse of the Petro-State: The Example of Venezuela”, Library of Economics and Liberty, 5 September 2005. Nikiforuk, Andrew. 2010. Tar Sands: Dirty Oil and the Future of a Continent. Greystone Books Ltd. Canada. 268 pages. Ross, Michael L. 2001. Does Oil Hinder Democracy? World Politics 53: 325-361. Wallwork, Lucy. “Be Careful What You Wish For: Nascent Petro-states in Colombia and Ghana”, Open Oil, 2 February 2012.