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Global and Antarctic Climate Change and Biodiversity: Physical connections and Legal disconnections Tina Tin, Scott Hajost, James Barnes Antarctic and Southern Ocean Coalition (ASOC) Global climate change Antarctic climate change Global biodiversity Antarctic biodiversity Global climate change Antarctic climate change • Southern Ocean warming down to 3,000m and faster than global average • Sea ice off West Antarctic Peninsula reduced by 40% Global climate change Antarctic climate change • Antarctic Peninsula warming 5 times faster than global average • 90% of Antarctic Peninsula glaciers have retreated Global climate change Antarctic climate change Antarctic biodiversity • Less sea ice -> less krill • Fewer Adelie penguins in northern Antarctic Peninsula Global climate change Antarctic climate change Antarctic biodiversity • More Gentoo and Chinstrap penguins in northern Antarctic Peninsula • Rapid expansion of some plant communities Global climate change Antarctic climate change • Antarctica will warm by 3C by 2100 • Southern Ocean continues to warm and to greater depths • Annual average total sea ice area decrease by 33% by 2100 • Acidification of Southern Ocean • Retreat of glaciers and ice shelves Global climate change Antarctic climate change Antarctic biodiversity • Higher risk of invasion of non-native species (marine and terrestrial) • Perturbation of marine food web and ecosystem Global climate change West Antarctic Ice Sheet Amundsen Sea Embayment Antarctic climate change Global climate change Antarctic climate change • Less snow and ice -> lower global albedo -> more warming • Changes in global ocean circulation • Global sea level rise • Changes in global climate system?? Global climate change Global biodiversity Antarctic climate change Menon et al 2010 Global summary of percent areal reduction across global ecoregions under a scenario of 6 m of sea-level rise. Antarctic Treaty (1959) Preamble “Recognizing that it is in the interest of all mankind that Antarctica shall continue forever to be used exclusively for peaceful purposes and shall not become the scene or object of international discord.” Article IX “… preservation and conservation of living resources in Antarctica” Antarctic Treaty System Antarctic Treaty (1959) Agreed Measures for the Conservation of Antarctic Flora and Fauna (1964) Convention for the Conservation of Antarctic Seals (1972) (CCAS) Convention for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (1980) (CCAMLR) Protocol on Environmental Protection to the Antarctic Treaty (1991) Protocol on Environmental Protection to the Antarctic Treaty (1991) Article 2 Objective and Designation “The Parties commit themselves to the comprehensive protection of the Antarctic environment and dependent and associated ecosystems and hereby designate Antarctica as a natural reserve, devoted to peace and science.” Convention on the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (1980) (CCAMLR) Article II (1) “The objective of the Convention is the conservation of Antarctic marine living resources.” 28 Consultative Parties to the Antarctic Treaty Argentina Ecuador Korea (ROK) South Africa Australia Finland Netherlands Spain Belgium France New Zealand Sweden Germany Norway Ukraine India Peru United Kingdom Italy Poland United States Japan Russian Federation Uruguay Brazil Bulgaria Chile China Antarctic Treaty System Antarctic Treaty (1959) International Convention for the Regulation of Whaling (1946) Agreed Measures for the Conservation of Antarctic Flora and Fauna (1964) Agreement on the Conservation of Albatrosses and Petrels (2001) (ACAP) Convention for the Conservation of Antarctic Seals (1972) (CCAS) Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (1973) (CITES) Convention for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources (1980) (CCAMLR) Protocol on Environmental Protection to the Antarctic Treaty (1991) Convention on Biological Diversity (1992) (CBD) UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (1992) (UNFCCC) •Weak linkages between ATS and UNFCCC, CBD, CITES •Limited to invitation of experts, transmission of reports (UNFCCC); acknowlegment of importance in coordination (CBD) • ATS late in putting climate change on agenda. Only starting discussion on including CC in management and conservation. No discussion of GHG inventories or mitigation on the pretext of small overall emissions (true!) but moral obligation linked with justification of climate change science and GHG emission intensity of each person going to Antarctica far greater than global average. Future Linkages? Global climate change Antarctic climate change Global biodiversity Antarctic biodiversity