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Quality adjusted life years with a focus on studies about chronic hepatitis C (HCV) A seminar report presentation by: Viktorija Labroska Anita Pechenkovska Input parameters used for drug effectiveness and quality of life of patients • A Markov simulation model of CHC disease progression is used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of different treatment strategies based on genotype. The model calculates the expected lifetime medical costs and quality adjusted life years (QALYs) of hypothetical cohorts of identical patients receiving certain treatments. • Treatments are compared based on the ratio of the additional cost of the more costly treatment divided by the additional effectiveness of the treatment. Reference patient cohorts are defined according to the average characteristics, gender and age, obtained from the trials used in this study (52-years old, 64 % male, treatment-naïve who have CHC with or without cirrhosis). As input parameters are used the type of genotype, the type of treatment, duration of the treatment, SVR (%) , and clinical trials. Randomized controlled trials • What is randomized clinical trial? Randomized clinical trials are scientific investigations that examine and evaluate the safety and efficacy of new drugs or therapeutic procedures using human subjects. • In a randomized clinical trial, patients and trial personnel are deliberately kept unaware of which patient is on the new drug. Types of clinical trials? • Clinical trials vary depending on who is conducting the trial. • Pharmaceutical companies typically conduct trials involving new drugs or established drugs in disease areas where their drug may gain a new license. • The pharmaceutical industry has adopted a specific trial classification based on four clinical phases of development of a particular drug (Phase I-IV) • -In Phase I, manufactures usually test the effects of a new drug in healthy volunteers or patients unresponsive to usual therapies. They look at how the drug is handled in the human body (pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics ). • -In Phase II, examine dose-response curves in patients and what benefits might be seen in a small group of patients with a particular disease. • -In Phase III, a new drug is tested in a controlled fashion in a large patient population against a placebo or standard therapy. A positive study in Phase III is often known as a landmark study for a drug, through which it might gain a license to be prescribed for a specific disease. • -In Phase IV, the study is often called a postmarketing study as the drug has already been granted regulatory approval/license. These studies are crucial for gathering additional safety information from a larger group of patients in order to understand the long-term safety of the drug and appreciate drug interactions. Classification by design: • This classification is more descriptive in terms how patients are randomized to treatment • -Parallel-group trial – patients are randomized to the new treatment or to the standard treatment and following-up to determine the effect of each treatment in parallel group. • -Crossover trials randomize patients to different sequences of treatments, but all patients eventually get all treatments in varying order. • -Factorial trials assign patients to more than one treatmentcomparison group. • -Cluster randomized trials are performed when larger groups are randomized instead of individual patients. Why might clinical trial results not represent the true difference? • Reasons for erroneous results fall into three main categories: • • Firstly, the trial may have been biased in some predictable fashion. • • Secondly, it could have been contaminated (confounded) by an unpredictable factor. • • Thirdly, the result might simply have occurred by random chance. Clinical trail endpoints • What is a clinical trial endpoint? A clinical trial endpoint is defined as a measure that allows us to decide whether the null hypothesis of a clinical trial should be accepted or rejected. • In a clinical trial, the null hypothesis states that there is no statistically significant difference between two treatments or strategies being compared with respect to the endpoint measure chosen. Clinical trial endpoints can be classified as primary or secondary endpoints. • -Primary endpoints measure outcomes that will answer the primary (or most important) question being asked by a trial. Ex.Whether a new treatment is better at preventing disease-related death than the standard therapy. The primary endpoint would be based on the occurrence of disease-related deaths during the duration of the trial. • - Secondary endpoints ask other relevant questions about the same study. Ex. Whether there is also a reduction in disease measures other than death, or whether the new treatment reduces the overall cost of treating patients. • -Co-primary endpoints – when secondary endpoints are also important as the primary endpoints. What are the main types of endpoints? An endpoint may be based on: • a binary clinical outcome indicating whether an event– such as death from any cause – has occurred • death from a disease-specific cause (eg, a fatal stroke for a trial comparing blood pressure treatments) • the occurrence of disease signs or symptoms • the relief of symptoms • quality of life while disease is active • the use of healthcare resources (eg, the number of hospital admissions) Composite endpoints Advantages of using composite endpoints: There are two main advantages of using a composite endpoint. • An endpoint with multiple outcomes means that more outcome events will be observed in total. Since the number of patients needed in the trial decreases as the number of events occurring in the control group increases, a composite endpoint allows us to evaluate a new treatment by using a smaller number of patients in the trial. • The other advantage of combining several outcomes is that a more comprehensive evaluation of a treatment can be given across more than just one category of outcome. Limitations of composite endpoints: • In a composite endpoint of multiple outcomes we make the assumption that avoiding any one outcome has an equal importance as avoiding any other outcome. • The second assumption made when using composite endpoints is that all individual outcome measures are related to the disease process and are equally meaningful. • An additional limitation of composite endpoints is that they can also give inconsistent results, with certain outcomes improving and others worsening, making overall interpretation of the study difficult. Surrogate endpoints • • • • • It is not always practical or feasible to base endpoints on ‘true’ clinical outcomes that, like death, might only occur after some time. Therefore, to be able to assess potential treatment effects, alternative measures are needed. One solution that has recently been attracting interest is surrogate endpoints. A potential surrogate endpoint should be chosen based on strong biological rationale. Commonly used surrogate endpoints include: pharmacokinetic measurements, such as concentration–time curves for a drug or its active metabolites in the bloodstream in vitro measurements, such as the mean concentration of an antibiotic agent required to inhibit growth of a bacterial culture radiological appearance, such as increased shadowing seen on a chest X-ray film of a patient with smoking-related lung disease that is related to a patient’s breathing capacity. • a change in the levels of disease markers, such as a change in blood pressure as a predictor of a future occurrence of a stroke or kidney disease the macroscopic appearance of tissues, such as the endoscopic visualization of an area of erosion in the stomach that is considered by gastroenterologists to be the precursor of stomach bleeds. • Advantages of surrogate endpoints: Use of a surrogate endpoint can reduce the sample size needed for a study and thereby the duration and cost of performing a clinical trial. Surrogate endpoints are particularly useful when conducting Phase II screening trials to identify whether a new intervention has an effect, since a change is often seen in a surrogate endpoint long before an adverse event occurs. • Limitations of surrogate endpoints: Surrogate endpoints are only useful if they are a good predictor of a clinical outcome. If this relationship is not clearly defined, surrogate endpoints can be misleading. Health-economic endpoints • Health economics and technology are done to compare the quality of life or patients in different treatment group or the costs of care of new treatments (which are usually more expensive than standard treatments). • There are two main measures of health economics: quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained – a measurement of the duration of an individual’s life, taking into account the wellbeing that they experience during that time – and cost. • Advantages of health-economic endpoints: By calculating the cost per QALY gained for different treatments, healthcare providers can compare where best to invest their limited resources • Limitations of health-economic endpoints: The data captured for an economic analysis might not even be used if the treatment is both more expensive and less effective than standard care. Economic analyses might not be easily transferable across countries since the cost of care can be very different internationally Intention to treat analysis • An approach to post-randomization data analysis of clinical trials. • A presentation of the results of a clinical trial obtained from data of all subjects not only from those who adhered fully to their assigned treatment protocol. • Comparing all trial subjects according to the treatment groups in they were initially randomized, regardless of treatment compliance, or any treatment subsequently received. Even though this approach might not capture the full potential benefit of a certain therapy, still it is a useful method for minimizing the inclination or prejudice for the results. It ignores noncompliance, protocol deviations, withdrawal, and anything that happens after randomization. • An ITT analysis uses the information from all the subjects in a trial at any given time point in the study, which enables an interim analysis to be performed. • The ITT analysis can identify a possible bias (a conclusion that may be incorrect). • ITT analysis uses the information from all the subjects in a trial at any given time point in the study even also analysis of data that is conducted before data collection has been completed. • ITT takes into an account the administration of the treatment. Dissadvantages: • The ITT analysis does not aim to determine the maximum potential effectiveness of a treatment. • might not show a statistically significant benefit, or might show the benefit to be smaller. Intention to treat analysis vs. perprotocol (PP) analysis • PP or perprotocol analysis represents an alternative method of analysis which excludes subjects who were not fully compliant with the study protocol • it is an efficacy analysis /analysis by treatment administered. • The PP analysis attempts to remove the effects of variable compliance patterns. • The IPP approach depicts real-life situations better than the per-protocol (PP) method; PP gives slightly more significant results than ITT PP results are much more significant than ITT PP results are not significant, but ITT are – confounding? ITT analysis is not significant, PP results are crossover Design and the results of the study that was used for determination of utility values and used questionnaires • Utilities = values that reflect individual’s preferences for one health state that is of interest and in our case for chronic hepatitis C (HCV) and evaluation of different health outcomes. • The health utilities are measured on an interval scale with zero reflecting states of health equivalent to death. • The evaluation of the utilities is typically combined with survival estimates and aggregated across individuals to generate quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) for use in cost– utility analyses of healthcare interventions. • To see the influence of the mentioned health-state on the health but on the society factors too. - for studying the utilities were used indirect methods for utility measurement - by applying utility algorithms to questionnaires and by mapping from a disease-specific health-related quality of life (HRQoL) instrument onto the utility algorithm of a generic instrument such as the EQ-5D (EuroQol five dimension). • All patients completed three instruments: - Health Utility Index Mark 2 (scores 0–1), -Short Form-36 (scale scores 0–100), and -a disease-specific healthrelated quality of life instrument (Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire; scores 1–7) The participants valued a limited number of health states and a scoring algorithm was developed using econometric modelling (EQ-5D and SF-6D) or a multiplicative multiattribute utility function (HUI) to predict utilities for other health states not directly valued. Patients then completed a simple questionnaire which defines the generic health state they are in, and the appropriate utility from the scoring algorithm is applied. • Medical Outcomes Study Short Form 36 (SF- 36) contains 36 items divided into eight domains. -physical functioning; -role limitations due to physical health; -role limitations due to emotional problems; -energy/fatigue; -emotional well-being; -social functioning; pain; -general health. Both domain scores and summary scores (mental component summary [MCS] and a physical component summary [PCS]) were obtained. Domain scores for SF-36 range from 0 and 100 (0 representing a very low level of QoL in that item and 100 representing a very positive response to that item), • Health Utility Index (Mark 2), a self-administered 15-item questionnaire that assesses health status. Health status assessments were then converted into utility scores according to community preferences, providing an overall utility score between 1.00 (perfect health) and 0.00 (dead). HRQL (Health-related quality of life) instrument specifically designed for patients with liver disease, the Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire (CLDQ). Includes 29 items divided into six domains: - Abdominal Symptoms (AS), - Activity (AC), - Emotional Function (EF), - Fatigue (FA), - Systemic Symptoms (SS), -Worry (WO). • Utilities allow a direct comparison of the loss of qualityadjusted life years across patients with different conditions. • Utilities are suitable for economic analyses that compare different interventions in patients with chronic liver disease. • In the mentioned study we observed strikingly high correlations between utility measures and most domains of both a generic (SF-36) and a liver disease specific HRQL measure (CLDQ).