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EF310: International Trade and Business Theories of International Trade Overview • • • • • Why trade? Efficiency arguments WTO 10 benefits… ‘Real World’ -- protectionism… Welfare Analysis… demonstrating the benefits of trade • Theories of trade: – – – – Absolute Advantage -- Adam Smith Comparative Advantage -- David Ricardo Heckscher-Ohlin Theory -- factor endowments Intra-industry trade… Paul Krugman’s New Trade Theory Why do countries trade with each other? In very simple terms… • Imports: – Increase choice for consumers (increased consumer utility) – More competition reduces prices – Goods not available domestically (natural resources, food & drink, goods we do not have expertise to produce…) • Exports: – Needed to pay for the imports! – Access to bigger markets -- potential to expand production/output, earn higher incomes… Efficiency arguments for trade • Adam Smith saw the division of labour (specialisation) as the source of economic growth… Increased capital accumulation allows Division of labour (specialisation) leads to increased productivity Greater output Greater wealth Efficiency arguments for trade Division of labour… according to Smith: • Purpose is ‘to make a smaller quantity of labour produce a greater quantity of work’ • The ‘trifling manufacture’ of a pin … (how many could you make if you had to do every element of the process yourself, without specialist tools/machines…??) • The individual ‘stands at all times in need of the co-operation and assistance of great multitudes…’ • ‘It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.’ (quotes are from Adam Smith’s ‘Wealth of Nations’, 1776) Efficiency arguments for trade • Trade takes the division of labour and specialisation to the international level… enables countries to specialise in the production of those goods and services in which they are most efficient (Smith’s theory of Absolute Advantage) • Specialisation increased efficiency higher productivity higher incomes • Trade expands the potential market… allows firms to grow and reach critical mass/scale… achieve economies of scale and therefore greater efficiencies • Scale economies allow firms to produce at lower average costs of production Efficiency arguments for trade The essential economic argument for free trade is greater efficiency… again, refer to Smith… markets allocate resources efficiently… (i.e. where productivity/returns are highest) Smith’s ‘invisible hand’… requires free movement of goods, capital and labour free trade Smith on Free Trade • Free trade required for market (i.e. demand) to keep pace with expanding production • Free Trade justified on basis of reduced prices for consumers - Smith saw protectionist policies as placing “a new tax” on workers for the “necessaries of life” • The ‘peace dividend’ of trade • British trade restrictions were “impertinent badges of slavery” imposed on the American colonies “without any sufficient reason, by the groundless jealousy of the merchants and manufacturers of the mother country.” Britain as ‘a nation of shopkeepers’! 10 benefits of the WTO trade system… 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. The system helps promote peace Disputes are handled constructively Rules make life easier for all (equality) Freer trade cuts the cost of living It provides more choice of products and qualities Trade raises incomes Trade stimulates economic growth The basic principles make life more efficient (e.g. common standards, rules etc.) Governments are shielded from lobbying The system encourages good government • (WTO propaganda!) Economic benefits of trade • Can demonstrate the economic benefits of opening up to free trade… • Will look at this in some detail -- welfare analysis; the benefits to consumers/producers • Can also show the costs imposed by protectionist policies (explicit barriers to trade: tariffs and quotas) -- both in abstract terms and by observing costs in the ‘real world’ in terms of higher prices etc. • And yet, protectionist policies remain commonplace in global trade… why?? Protectionism • Anti-globalization movement Reaction to ‘hard-nosed capitalism’ • Costs of opening up to free trade?… – Distinguish between economic and non-economic costs… • Economic costs: – Adjustment costs -- unemployment as traditional/weak sectors decline in face of competition – Countries get ‘locked in’ to particular production patterns… the ‘poverty trap’… low-wage/low-income sectors – In face of global competition, building up strong indigenous industry can be difficult or impossible Protectionism • Non-economic costs of free trade: – Traditional domestic culture can be weakened as international tastes dominate – Economic imperialism and external domination… trade dependence can lead to political/economic vulnerability… (gas and oil supplies) – Specific export success can worsen relations with the importing countries (cars from Japan in USA, textiles from China in EU)… suspicion or resentment of the more efficient producer… (“stealing our jobs”!)…