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Bond market development: The case of Hong Kong Alfred Wong Hong Kong Monetary Authority 1 Outline I. Motivation to develop bond market II. Authorities’ efforts III. Lessons and impediments 2 Part I What motivates the authorities to develop the local currency bond market? 3 An overview of the financial system Financial Markets Money market Bond market Equity market Lenders Borrowers Households Firms Central bank Households Firms Government Banks and other financial institutions Insurance companies and pension funds Other financial intermediaries Financial Intermediaries 4 Financing structure in Asia – 1996 % of GDP 350 Stock 300 Bond 250 Loan 200 150 100 Thailand Taiwan Singapore Philippines Malaysia Korea Indonesia India China 0 Hong Kong 50 5 Motivation of the authorities • Lessons from the Asia financial crisis – Currency and maturity mismatches – Prone to sudden capital flow reversal • To foster financial stability – As back-up facilities – Diversity in financial intermediation 6 The role of the State • A multifaceted role: – Investor protection – Innovation – Provision of market infrastructure • Positive non-interventionism – Facilitating, not forcing! 7 Part II What have the authorities done to develop the local currency bond market? 8 Major initiatives taken since the Asian financial crisis 1. 2. 3. 4. Product development Market infrastructure Tax and regulation Regional cooperation 9 1. Product development • • • • Government issues Securitised debts Bond funds Retail bonds 10 Government issues • Exchange Fund Bills and Notes (EFBNs) – – – – HK$ debt instruments issued by the HKMA Benchmark yield curve Good liquidity in the secondary market Banks collectively hold about 85% of the outstanding EFBNs for favourable risk weighting and can be used as collateral to borrow from the HKMA Government bonds – The Government successfully launched its first global bond offering in July 2004 – Total HK$20 billion of which US$1.25 (around 50%) in a 10-year US$ denominated bond 11 Securitised debts • The Hong Kong Mortgage Corporation – Established by the Hong Kong SAR Government in March 1997 – To promote development of a secondary mortgage market mortgage purchase debt issuance securitisation of mortgage loans mortgage insurance • In May 2004, the Government sold HK$6 billion (US$770 million) of securitisation bonds, backed by toll revenues from 5 tunnels and 1 bridge to finance infrastructure projects 12 Bond funds • An EMEAP initiative ABF1 (2003) – Closed-end: Confined to investment of the central banks only – USD-denominated sovereign and quasi-sovereign bonds in the region • ABF2 (2005) – Open to any interested investors – Domestic currency-denominated bonds in the region 13 Retail bonds • The Hong Kong Mortgage Corporation first offered bonds to retail investors in October 2001 • The HKMA operated a pilot scheme to stimulate retail investment in Exchange Fund Notes in 2003 – The programme was refined in 2005 under which the fee structure was simplified and retail distributors were appointed 14 2. Market infrastructure • Benchmark yield curve • Hong Kong bond settlement system • On-line access to market information for retail investors 15 Benchmark yield curve • A domestic yield curve gradually took shape when the HKMA began issuing Exchange Fund papers in 1990s • Considerable effort has been directed at maintaining a smooth and continuous yield curve in designing the EFBN issuance programme 16 Hong Kong dollar bond settlement system • Central Moneymarkets Unit (CMU) – Established in 1990 to provide computerised clearing and settlement facilities to debt securities – Linked with other major international securities settlement systems • To foster cross-border bond trading and investment 17 Clearing and settlement system CDC USD RTGS (2000) - China Clearstream Euroclear CMU HKD RTGS (1996) DvP AustraClear - Australia AustraClear - New Zealand KSD - South Korea EURO RTGS (2003) 18 On-line access to bond prices • CMU Bond Price Bulletin website – Launched in 2006 – Provides convenient access to indicative bond prices quoted by major banks in Hong Kong 19 CMU Bond Price Bulletin 20 3. Tax and regulation • Demand side: – tax concessions to bond buyers Trading profits from bonds with a maturity period of 7 years or more (issued after 5 March 2003) were exempted totally from profits tax (previously 50% tax concession) Minimum maturity requirement for the 50% tax concession was relaxed from 5 to 3 years • Supply side: – simplified issuance process for fund raisers The Government and the Securities and Futures Commission have together streamlined regulations and procedures for issuing and listing debt securities Enabled issuers to market their offers with greater flexibility and effectiveness to the public Lowered issuance costs 21 4. Regional cooperation • APEC Initiative on the Development of Securitisation and Credit Guarantee Markets Asian Bond Market Initiative (ABMI) Asian Bond Fund (ABF) 22 After all these… 23 Hong Kong dollar bond market • Steadily growth over the past decade – Outstanding Hong Kong dollar bond reached US$85 billion at end-2005 – Almost 50% of GDP 24 Local currency bond outstanding US$ billion 90 % of GDP 60 Ot hers (lhs) 80 P ublic sect or (lhs) 70 50 T ot al out st anding as a % of GDP (rhs) 60 40 50 30 40 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 25 Sources: HKMA and HK Census and Statistics Department. Market growth by issuer US$, bn US$, bn 90 80 70 90 80 Government & St at ut ory bodies Local Corporat es 70 60 60 50 50 Aut horized Inst it ut ion s 40 Non-MDB overseas 30 40 30 20 20 MDBs 10 10 Exchange Fund 0 1997 Source: HKMA. 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 0 2005 26 Financing structure in 2005* 2005* 1996 Malaysia Korea T aiwan Singapore T hailand India Philippines Mainland Hong Kong 100 80 60 40 % of GDP 20 0 Indonesia Public Average Private 0 20 40 60 % of GDP 80 100 27 *As at end-September 2005 Part III Lessons and impediments: any more we can do? 28 More work to do? • • • • • • • Macroeconomic policies Government bonds Banking sector soundness Corporate governance Regulatory framework Tax treatment / incentives Investor base 29 Impediments to the Hong Kong dollar bond market • Supply – Issuance of Exchange Fund papers is limited – Government issuance is politically sensitive – Lack of corporate issuers Business size Credit bureaux • Demand – Mutual funds invest mainly in equities – Currency board system 30 Retail demand for bonds • Transaction cost is high for individuals • Increased competition between banks made deposits fiercely competitive • Attraction is mainly on medium term papers • There is more interest in holding bonds via other investment vehicles (e.g. mutual funds) • Any more room for ABF2-typed initiatives? 31 Looking ahead • Market making system – League table – Tender arrangements – Uniform-price auction • • • • Length of the yield curve Number of EFN issues EFN futures market Electronic trading platform 32 Conclusion • The Hong Kong bond market has grown steadily since crisis • Structure of financing still tilted towards loans and equities • Scope for improvements 33