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An Overview of Slamet Riyadi, PhD Early Warning Systems: A Tool for Mitigation and Coordination Two views concerning risk: as an entity and as a process. CONCEPTUAL DEFINITION OF RISK: Early Warning Systems: A Tool for Mitigation and Coordination Conceptual framework concerning risk management. Early Warning Systems (EWS) are examples of measures related to preparedness, and complement other measures such a the implementation of emergency committees, emergency planning, posting evacuation routes, simulations, and exercises. Early Warning Systems: A Tool for Mitigation and Coordination Monitoring of precursors to natural events. Conceptual framework concerning Early Warning. NO Early Warning Systems (EWS) operate on a very simple operational framework. Precursors to events are monitored on a continuous basis. Data is analyzed to generate a forecast. Forecasting: Will there be an event? YES Issue a Warning or an Alert. If there is a forecast of a large event, a warning is issued. In the modern framework of EW the emergency committees will begin actions as proposed in the emergency plans. Initiate actions according to emergency plans A simple process: Sound amplifier • Input Devices = Sensors “sense” a physical change in some characteristic that changes in response to some excitation, for example heat or force, and covert that into an electrical signal. • Output Devices = Actuators are used to control some external device, for example movement or sound. Other examples Quantity being Input Device Measured (Sensor) Light Dependant Resistor (LDR) Photodiode Light Level Photo-transistor Solar Cell Thermocouple Thermistor Temperature Thermostat Resistive Temperature Detectors Strain Gauge Force/Pressure Pressure Switch Load Cells Potentiometer Encoders Position Reflective/Slotted Opto-switch LVDT Output Device (Actuator) Lights & Lamps LED’s & Displays Fibre Optics Heater Fan Lifts & Jacks Electromagnet Vibration Motor Solenoid Panel Meters Speed Tacho-generator Reflective/Slotted Opto-coupler Doppler Effect Sensors AC and DC Motors Stepper Motor Brake Sound Carbon Microphone Piezo-electric Crystal Bell Buzzer Loudspeaker Analog Sensor • Analogue Sensors produce a continuous output signal or voltage which is generally proportional to the quantity being measured. • Physical quantities such as Temperature, Speed, Pressure, Displacement, Strain etc are all analogue quantities as they tend to be continuous in nature. • For example, the temperature of a liquid can be measured using a thermometer or thermocouple which continuously responds to temperature changes as the liquid is heated up or cooled down. • Analogue sensors tend to produce output signals that are changing smoothly and continuously over time. • These signals tend to be very small in value from a few mico-volts (uV) to several milli-volts (mV), so some form of amplification is required. • Then circuits which measure analogue signals usually have a slow response and/or low accuracy. • Also analogue signals can be easily converted into digital type signals for use in micro-controller systems by the use of analogue-to-digital converters, or ADC’s. Digital sensor • Digital Sensors produce a discrete digital output signals or voltages that are a digital representation of the quantity being measured. • Digital sensors produce a Binary output signal in the form of a logic “1” or a logic “0”, (“ON” or “OFF”). This means then that a digital signal only produces discrete (non-continuous) values. • Compared to analogue signals, digital signals or quantities have very high accuracies and can be both measured and “sampled” at a very high clock speed. • The accuracy of the digital signal is proportional to the number of bits used to represent the measured quantity. Flood EWS Water/liquid level sensor • Contains a series of exposed traces connected to ground • Before put in water: not grounded high resistance no current no signal • After: grounded low resistance current flow signal A seismograph or seismometer is the measuring instrument that creates a record of the seismic waves from an earthquake Wave/velocity sensor • An accelerometer is an apparatus, either mechanical or electromechanical, for measuring acceleration or deceleration - that is, the rate of increase or decrease in the velocity of a moving object. Significant of Earthquake EWS Even a few seconds of warning can enable protective actions such as: • Public: Citizens, including schoolchildren, drop, cover, and hold on; turn off stoves, safely stop vehicles. • Businesses: Personnel move to safe locations, automated systems ensure elevators doors open, production lines are shut down, sensitive equipment is placed in a safe mode. • Medical services: Surgeons, dentists, and others stop delicate procedures. • Emergency responders: Open firehouse doors, personnel prepare and prioritize response decisions. • Power infrastructure: Protect power stations and grid facilities from strong shaking. Tsunami EWS Japan earthquake and tsunami detection