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KIGALI INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY INSTITUT DES SCIENCES ET TECHNOLOGIE Avenue de l'Armée, B.P. 3900 Kigali, Rwanda INSTITUTE EXAMINATIONS – ACADEMIC YEAR 2013 FACULTY OF SCIENCE MAIN EXAMINATION SECOND YEAR CEIT AND APPLIED PHYSICS SEMESTER II MAT 3222: APPLIED PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS TIME: 2 HOURS MAX.MARKS =60 DATE: ,2013 INSTRUCTIONS 1. This paper has SECTION A and B. 2. Questions in SECTION A are compulsory 3. Answer any TWO questions from SECTION B. 4. No written materials allowed in examination room. 5. Write all your answers in the answer booklet provided. 6. Do not forget to write your registration number. ................................................................................................................................. 1 SECTION A-COMPULSORY QUESTION QUESTION 1 a. For male and female age the following calculated values are given:For male Age For female Age 28.29 29.4 91771 97112 25th Percentile 19 20 75th Percentile 35.75 35 100 100 Sample Mean n X i 2 i 1 Sample size For this sample age, i. Calculate sample standard deviation for male and female age. (4 marks) ii. Among the two gender which shows higher variation of age. (4 marks) iii. Calculate and interpret 95% confidence interval for the true mean age difference between male and female individuals. (4 marks) iv. Calculate Inter Quartile Range for male and female age. (2 marks) v. Interpret the given value of 25th percentile for male age. (2 marks) vi. Interpret the given value of 75th percentile for female age. (2 marks) b. What is the application difference between stratified and cluster random sampling techniques? (4 marks). c. State the application difference between binomial and Poisson probability distribution. (3 marks) d. State the application difference between chi-square and paired t- test. (3 marks) e. What is the advantage of calculating Skewness and Kurtosis value for a given numerical data? (2 marks) 2 SECTION B-FROM THIS SECTION CHOOSE ONLY TWO QUESTIONS QUESTION 2 Assuming weight for the adult population of a given country is normally distributed with population mean, µ=50 kilogram and population coefficient of variation=4%. a) Find and interpret the probability that a randomly selected adult individual will have a weight of exactly 50 kilogram. (2 marks) b) Find and interpret the probability that a randomly selected adult individual will have a weight between 46.08 Kilogram and 53.29 Kilogram.(5 marks) c) For this question, why it is suggested to use normal probability distribution instead of binomial probability distribution? (3 marks) d) What is the difference between variable control charts and attribute control charts. (3 marks) e) In hypothesis testing what do we mean by Type I error? (2 marks) QUESTION 3 The following table presents six students’ number of lecture attending hours per semester and their performance in “Applied probability and statistics” course. Student Lecture attending Hours Performance (from 100%) 1. 32 75 2. 36 80 3. 28 65 4. 26 65 5. 30 70 6. 30 74 a. By fitting simple linear regression model, i. Find and interpret the value of slope in your model? (5 marks) ii. What is the test statistics to check the slope in your model is statistically significant or not? Why? (2 marks) iii. Predict a student’s performance in percentage whose lecture attending hours per semester is 20.(3 marks) iv. Calculate and interpret the Pearson correlation coefficient. (5 marks) 3 QUESTION 4 To measure equality of population means, the following data were collected from 10 individuals regarding their diastolic blood pressure measurement before and after taking rest. Individual Before After 1. 90 80 2. 85 80 3. 75 75 4. 82 80 5. 95 85 6. 90 85 7. 100 90 8. 96 89 9. 88 85 10. 90 88 a) Write the null and alternative hypothesis to be tested. (2 marks) b) Calculate appropriate test statistics and make conclusion at 5% level of significance. (7 marks) c) Discuss as how sample size (n) affect length of confidence interval. (3 marks) d) Write your own null and alternative hypothesis that can be tested using chisquare. ( 3 marks) “GOOD LUCK” 4