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8.2 Estimating when standard deviation is unknown Notation Population mean: Population standard deviation: Sample mean: Sample standard deviation: Assumptions: _________________ ____________________ NOW there are two variables to estimate = increased variability(Reliability of our data) = wider CONFIDENCE INTERVAL Two cases: Standard deviation is KNOWN Standard deviation is UNKNOWN Confidence Interval: Confidence Interval: Margin of Error: Margin of Error: Determining Critical Value, tc, when standard deviation is UNKNOWN EXAMPLE: Find the critical value, tc, for a 0.99 confidence level for a t-distribution with sample size n=5 Other KEY points to know: 1- As n increases = t decreases 2- As n increases= t decreases = shorter CONFIDENCE INTERVAL The distribution when standard deviation is unknown is slightly different that when standard deviation is known. t – distributions are influenced by sample size and degrees of freedom (d.f = n-1) Distribution when standard deviation is UNKNOWN The distribution is called a t-distribution Properties: pg 343 1234- Criteria for estimating population mean when standard deviation is unknown Assumptions: 1234- EXAMPLE:Choose and determine…. Z distribution, t-distribution or neither 1. n=152, x 100, s 15 , population is skewed 2. n 8, x 100, s 15 , population is normal 3. n 8, x 100, s 15 , population is very skewed 4. n 150, x 100, s 15 , population is skewed EXAMPLE: Construct a confidence interval, given a sample of body temperatures. Sample size is 106, sample mean 98.20F, and we somehow know that 0.62F is the standard deviation. Use a 95% confidence interval. EXAMPLE: Do you want to own your own candy store? With some interest in running your own business and a decent credit rating, you can probably get a bank loan on startup costs for franchises such as Candy Factory. Startup costs for a random sample of candy are given as 95 173 129 95 75 94 116 100 85