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Mexico’s National Advisory Board to the Social Impact Investment Taskforce July 9th, 2015 London, UK Mexico: A Prominent Global Player Latin America’s second largest economy • US$ 1.18T in GDP • 120M population • US$ 9,800 GDP per capita • 3rd largest US trading partner, US$ 500B in 2013 Sound macroeconomic context • Fiscal deficit under control: -4% • Moderate debt to GDP ratio: 46% ‒ Well below Brazil, India, and the US • Strong fundamentals reflected in credit ratings and pricing ‒ BBB+ S&P rating ‒ <100 5-year CDS Spread • Boom in foreign investment since 2008-09 recession • Low inflation and a strong currency make Mexico a more attractive foreign capital destination than many of its global peers • 1.4% inflation and currency risk • 2.1% country credit risk Sources: Mexico: Different Investment Lens Required, By Henry H. McVey, Head of Global Macro & Asset Allocation, And Vance Serchuk, Executive Director of the KKR Global Institute, 2014; UN statistics 2 However, highly contrasting development paces High Human Development… United States … But High Inequality 0.914 United Kingdom Colombia 53.5 Brazil 52.7 0.892 Turkey 0.759 Mexico Mexico 0.756 United States Brazil 0.744 Turkey China 0.719 United Kingdom Colombia 0.711 China India 0.586 0 0.2 0.4 41.1 40 38 37 India 0.6 0.8 1 Med ium 33.6 0 Human Development Index Low 48.1 10 20 30 40 50 60 GINI index H i g h Very High 0 Perfect equality 100 Perfect inequality Note: Gini index measures the extent to which the distribution of income or consumption expenditure among individuals or households within an economy deviates from a perfectly equal distribution. Sources: UN statistics, World Bank 3 Great Opportunities Lay Ahead McKinsey has called Mexico a two-speed economy moving in opposite directions • A highly productive modern economy that is flourishing and competing globally • A traditional, often informal economy where productivity is plunging Great gaps in basic social services represent market opportunity for social enterprises… • Health, education, affordable housing, financial inclusion, access to water, among others … As well as opportunities in urban and environmental development • According to the World Bank, Mexico has a challenge to make urban development more environment-friendly, efficient and resilient to climate change, as well as socially inclusive Overall, positive macroeconomic outlook • Structural reforms could increase GDP growth from 2.8% to 4.5% • Working population will peak in 2042 • Geographic and economic diversity Sources: Mexico: Different Investment Lens Required, By Henry H. McVey, Head of Global Macro & Asset Allocation, And Vance Serchuk, Executive Director of the KKR Global Institute, 2014; UN statistics; A tale of two Mexicos: Growth and prosperity in a two-speed economy, McKinsey Global Institute, 2014; UNDP statistics; World Bank 4 Flourishing Impact Investment Ecosystem Out of US$ 10.6B capital committed to impact investment globally, approx. 11% or US$ 1.2B has been committed to Latin America • After Brazil, Mexico has captured the largest amount, south of US$ 300M Impact investing in Latin America is still in early stages, or “Marketplace Building” phase • Fast growth of industry players, hubs of activity begin to develop, supporting institutions form, higher competition • Main hubs of activity are Sao Paulo, Mexico City and Bogota Burgeoning ecosystem includes a range of local and international funds focused on a variety of sectors • Most popular topics include housing, education, agriculture, financial inclusion, health, sustainability, entrepreneurship, among others Range of challenges remain a focus of regional players • Sourcing investment opportunities, difficulty in measuring impact, finding suitable exit opportunities, lack of supporting institutions Sources: Eyes on the Horizon, The Impact Investor Survey, GIIN and JP Morgan, 2015; State of Impact Investing in Latin America, Bain & Company, 2014 5 Mexico – An Active Player A robust Mexican ecosystem built over the last 5 years supporting impact investment initiatives • Over 514 organizations identified involved in impact investment initiatives, including – 25 funding organizations – 31 accelerators and incubators – 22 corporations – 10 government agencies – 13 foundations – 17 universities and research centers – 29 consultants and other service providers Latin American Impact Investing Forum based in Mexico has become the most important gathering in the region • Over 420 attendees representing funds, foundations, entrepreneurs, accelerators, consultants, NGOs, corporations, government agencies, multilateral organizations, academics, investors, among others • 24 countries represented from Latin America, North America, the European Union, Asia and Africa Sources: Eyes on the Horizon, The Impact Investor Survey, GIIN and JP Morgan, 2015; State of Impact Investing in Latin America, Bain & Company, 2014; GIIMAP – Mexican Impact Investment Sector Mapping, 2013 6 Mexico’s National Advisory Board to the Social Impact Investment Taskforce Members Rodrigo Villar • Founder and CEO at New Ventures • President of Mexico’s Advisory Board • Represents most important platform that catalyses impact entrepreneurs Juan Sandoval • Managing Director Venture Capital Fund at Nacional Monte de Piedad • Represents country’s largest foundation and its impact fund Francisco Martínez • Environmental Sustainability Officer, FEMSA • Represents one of largest bottler franchises of Coca-Cola products in the world and fosters its development initiatives Katia Dumont • Mexico and Central America’s Chapter Manager at The Aspen Network of Development Entrepreneurs (ANDE) • Coordinates member initiatives Fulvia Morales • Fomento Social Banamex (Citibank) • Represents the foundation of one of the country’s largest banks and fosters its impact initiatives Miguel Laporta • Head of Corporate Sustainability at HSBC Mexico and Latin America • Leads one of the country’s largest banks impact initiatives Juan Carlos Domenzain • Co-Founder and CEO at Promotora Social México • Represents pioneer risk philanthropy organization 7 Simple But Ambitious Two-fold Agenda Domestic Agenda 1. 2. 3. Strengthen the impact investment ecosystem • Continue to actively engage new players Promote the impact investment ecosystem • Disseminate content and educate relevant players and organisations Influence public policy • Foster dialogue between public, private and civil sector organisations Internal Agenda 1. 2. Internalise the key ideas surrounding impact investment • Share, adapt and implement ideas discussed at the Global Steering Committee Share best practices with the international community • Put forward the Mexican case, using insights and best practices learnt to foster collaboration among countries 8 Thank you 9