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Utilizing Crop Biodiversity for Future Agriculture: Food for Thought Wilhelm Gruissem | United States of America | North Carolina $341 per week (Menzel, 2005) Mexico (Menzel, 2005) $ 189 per week India $ 39 per week (Menzel, 2005) Ecuador (Menzel, 2005) $ 34 per week Chad $ 25 per week (Menzel, 2005) Sustainable food security is facing a potential bottleneck • Since the beginning of agriculture, humans have cultivated 7,000 plant species • Today only 150 plant species (2%) are agriculturally relevant for food and clothing • Only 10 plant species are cultivated today to provide 95% of food and feed Cultivated today 95% of food and feed Total cultivated since the beginning of agriculture Total kultiviert Heute kultiviert 95% der Ernährung Only three cereal crops deliver nearly 60% of the global calories Most important crops for food and feed calorie supply Maize 7% Rice 26% Wheat 23% And in 2013, the challenge of global food security remains • World's hungry are still nearly 1 billion people! • Increasing poverty in Africa, South Asia and CWANA • 75% of the poor live in rural areas • Increasing malnutrition Paulo Whitaker/Reuters In the next 50 years we have to produce more food than ever before in the history of humankind GROWING WORLD POPULATION (B) 9 3000 8 2500 7 6 2000 5 1500 4 3 1000 2 500 1 1981 1999 2015 TRANSITION NATIONS • • • RISING CEREAL DEMAND (MMT) 2030 1981 DEVELOPED NATIONS 1999 2015 2030 DEVELOPING NATIONS World population continues to increase Per capita food consumption continues to rise Consumers continue to demand improved taste, convenience, and nutrition Source: FAO, WHO This has unprecedented growth demands on agricultural commodities—despite what is claimed by many NGOs 3.000 Million Metric Tons 2.500 +28% +102% 2.000 Rice +125% Cotton 1.500 Soybeans +40% Wheat 1.000 Corn +76% 500 0 2000 2010 2015 2020 2030 Society is in transition—something we often forget OIL ECONOMY BIO ECONOMY Implications for land-use, the environment, rural development, agriculture and the use of agricultural feedstocks We need innovative and disruptive technologies and approaches to address emerging global challenges… Demand Food security Changing diets Energy Biofuels Feedstocks Soil Urbanization Erosion and depletion Climate change Abiotic stress and CO2 Unpredictable weather Water Ground water Surface water Plant diseases Pathogen populations More virulent pathogens …because global crop yield averages are declining Philip G. Pardey, University of Minnesota 6 1920-1960 Commodity Rate Maize 0.69% Wheat 0.99% Rice 0.49% 5 1960-1990 Commodity Rate Maize 1.73% Wheat 2.57% Rice 2.19% 1990-2008 Commodity Rate Maize 1.78% Wheat 0.97% Rice 1.07% Yield (MT/Ha.) 4 Rice Maize 3 Wheat 2 1 barley maize millet oats rice rye sorghum soybeans 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970 1965 1960 1955 1950 1945 1940 1935 1930 1925 1920 0 wheat The increase in crop production between the 1960‘s to 1990‘s was the result of the “Green Revolution” High-yielding varieties with shorter stems and improved nitrogen use efficiency resulted in increased use of fertilizer and pesticides Breeder and Nobel Laureate Norman Borlaug 1914-2009 Photos courtesy of S. Harrison, LSU Ag center and The World Food Prize. The Green Revolution greatly improved crop production and food security, but also decreased crop diversity Year High-yielding varieties in % Traditional varieties in % Decreasing crop biodiversity and spreading monoculture are a potential threat to food security • Rice diversity is decreasing - in 1986, the single rice variety “IR36” was grown on 11 million hectares in Asia - in China, all rice F1 hybrids grown on 15 million hectares share the same male sterility genes - all modern rice varieties have the same dwarfing gene • Wheat diversity is decreasing - in 1983, 67% of the wheat fields in Bangladesh were planted to a single variety - in Ireland, 90% of the total wheat area is planted to six varieties - in 1949, China used over 10,000 varieties for production, in 1970 on 1,000 remained in use • Diversity of other crops is decreasing - in the Netherlands, for example, the three top varieties of nine major crops covered from 81 to 99% of the respective areas planted. - one cultivar accounted for 94% of the spring barley planted Source: FAO Monocultures favor the spread of pathogens “The new strains of stem rust UG99,…, are much more dangerous than those that, 50 years ago, destroyed as much as 20 percent of the American wheat crop.” Climate Change – mitigation and adaptation are needed to sustain agricultural crop production and food security Source: World Bank World Development Report (2010) Biodiversity loss and ecosystem change need to be considered Ecosystem Functions | Genetic Resources | Crop Resilience | Diverse Diets Increasing plant productivity is needed… Plant breeding is a key factor to increase plant productivity (Swiss REDES Project, 2013) High effectiveness Sustainable To meet the expected global food demand, we will need around 1.5 to 2.5% breeding progress per year (Fischer and Edmeades, 2010, 2013) Can not be achieved with current/commercial breeding tools Innovative breeding strategies, novel tools (including gene technology), and new genes/alleles are needed! Modern breeding and sustainable intensification of agriculture to meet global challenges are often viewed as being incompatible with the maintenance of ecosystem services Economy Yield stability Quality Cost Ecology Low input and organic farming Nutrient use efficiency Biodiversity Agricultural centers of origin developed independently in different parts of the world and remain valuable resources of genetic diversity Wheat, Barley, Peas, Grapes ~ 13,000 years ago Rice, Soybean ~ 9,000 years ago Sorghum, Millet, Coffee Maize, Pumpkin, Bean, Potato ~ 10,000 years ago Banana, Coconut Ancient or wild crop varieties often contain valuable genes that were neglected or lost while breeding high-yielding elite varieties The Kasalath PSTOL1 gene is a good example of genes present in diverse rice varieties but not in elite mega-varieties Exploring the potential of Aus-type rice varieties for genes that make them tolerant to drought and phosphorous deficiency FR13A Kasalath N22 Garris et al Genetics, 2006 Tolerant varieties Pokkali - Dular (Aus-type) - Kasalath (Aus-type) Intolerant varieties - IR64 (Indica-type) - Nipponbare (Japonica-type) The Aus-type varieties Kasalath and Dular have several genes that are differentially expressed during drought and P-deficiency but that are not differentially expressed or not present in IR64 Differentially expressed genes in the Austype varieties will be particularly valuable for irrigated lowland rice production We need to explore crop biodiversity for water use efficiency (WUE) genes because water use for agricultural production will continue to rise Source: UNEP/GRID-Arendal 2002, based on Shiklomanov and UNESCO 1999 We need to explore crop biodiversity for nutrient use efficiency (NUE) genes because existing mineral fertilizer resources will not be able to meet the long-term agricultural needs • Nitrogen • Current production plants under construction will meet the increasing demand for nitrogen fertilizer (about 3% / year) • Phosphate • Current rock phosphate resources are estimated to last the next 200 years • Development of a mining site takes about 5 years • Potassium • Current resources similar to phosphate but larger deposits • Development of a mining site takes about 8 years Source: www.yarra.com The International Rice Gene Bank Collection is a rich source of valuable resistance alleles to fight the devastating rice blast disease • IRGC-International Rice Genebank Collection • World’s largest collection of rice germplasm • Over 112,000 registered accessions • from 117 source countries We are using this source of rice accessions for allele mining Novel & potent blast resistant genes/alleles identified. Introgression into breeding programs We need to explore crop biodiversity for novel resistance alleles and genes to intensify agricultural production and assure food security Seed banks are treasure troves of crop genetic diversity that we must explore for novel genes from molecular to phenotypic performance http://www.britannica.com http://www.theguardian.com http://www.seedbuzz.com Courtesy Prof. Achim Walter, ETH Zurich http://www.britannica.com http://www.scientificamerican.com www.fs.fed.us Storing our global crop diversity in the Svalbard Global Seed Vault is a step in the right direction, but not peace of mind! http://www.croptrust.org The Global Plant Council and the Global Plant Diversity Trust have joined forces to capture and understand the mechanisms of biodiversity of our crops present in seed banks around the world SeedSeq Passport information for seed banks around the world Susan McCouch Hannes Dempewolf The Global Crop Diversity Trust Digital Seed Bank Exploring the basis of crop biodiversity and mining for useful genes Wilhelm Gruissem The Global Plant Council Thank you …and Science for a Better Life for the next 150 Years… …because global problems demand global solutions and public-private partnerships for sustainable agricultural production Thank you to my colleagues Navreet Bhullar Jonghwa Park Kumar Vasudevan Susan Heuer (International Rice Resarch Institute) Casiana Vera Cruz (International Rice Resarch InstituteI)