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part one The Basics of Environmental Economics George Horváth Building Q, room A235. [email protected] What is environmental economics? • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • It is a social science, focussing on the relationship and interactions of society and environment • It employs many concepts from „regular” economics: – the theoretic principles (like in externalities) – and methodology (such as marginal analysis) • It complements „regular” economics with interdisciplinary approach (ecology, environment and chemistry) How it all began… • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • In the 1920s, Arthur Cecil Pigou explored the relationship between pollution and economic externalities • The school of welfare economics enabled him to Arthur Cecil Pigou investigate environmental (1877-1959) problems regularly • As the questions about the environment grew in numbers, the area outgrew the „capacities of microeconomics” The rivals of environmental economics • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • Libertarian school of economics: there is no need for an extraordinary analysis of environmental relationships; all we need is to define ownership rights accurately, and the markets will do everything – Really? How? • Ecological economics: we need to unify the principles of ecology and economics, and we need to stress the ecological constraints – Are these compatible, though? What are we trying to investigate? • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • We are trying to understand and describe the occurrences and processes of pollution and the use of environmental resources, using the concepts of economics – What’s going on? • We’re trying to discover where the „rules of play of the economy” are imperfect in treating environmental resources – What’s causing it? • We’re trying to devise alternatives to optimalise the relationship between the economy and the environment – What needs to be changed? Things we need to pay attention to • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • We need to use the precise terminology – so that we mean what we say • We need to separate facts from opinions • We need to distinguish between consecutive events and cause-andeffect events – the fallacy of „post hoc ergo propter hoc” Is everything going like we think it is? • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • Our economies were booming before the crisis; the economies expanded by several percentage points per year • When the economic crisis broke out, our economies started contracting, causing havoc • Is economic growth good for us? • Does economic growth make us richer/happier/better? • Why are our economies growth-orientated, then? … in short: no! • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • Growth may bring more economic wealth, but the richer we get, the less our sense of welfare increases • When our economies started contracting, signs of rationalisation showed up. • Economic growth in itself is not good for us – In fact, some scientists have come up with the idea that zero growth is ideal • Our economies are growth oriented, because… uhm… well… – Does anybody know? More about this later. • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics The most important milestones of environmental economics – part one • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • • • • Rachel Carson (1962) – Silent Spring Foundation of the Club of Rome (1968) Appeal from UN Sec.-Gen. U Thant (1969) USA: Earth Day, establishment of EPA, Clean Air Act (1970) • UN conference on the human environment (1972) • „The Limits to Growth” (MIT, 1972) • Leontief’s World Model (1973) Rachel Carson – Silent Spring (1962) • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • An American marine biologist, writing about the adverse effects of DDT • Her work is fiction, but it is based on scientific facts • Points the limelight at the severity of environmental problems Rachel Carson (1907-1964) The Limits to Growth (1972) • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • Aim: to draw the attention of governments and international organisations by focussing on and investigating a global problem, ie. a particular threat to humanity. Research (1900-1970) • • • • • Outcome Population If the current trends in economic growth persist, we Industrial will reach the limits to growth Food production by the end of the 21st Century. Pollution Depletion of natural resources Recommendation: Zero growth Leontief’s World Model (1973) • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • The UN was seeking the relationships between its development strategy and the problems with the environment • Research into – how ecological factors influence economic growth – how good the international development strategies are • Hypothesis: – Pollution and environmental protection can be dealt with technically, but it’s rather costly The most important milestones of environmental economics – part two • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • UN establishes the „Brundtland Commission” (19841987) • Montréal Protocol on the protection of the ozone layer (1987) • Brundtland Commission publishes its report: Our Common Future (1987) • UN’s Rio Conference (1992) on the environment and development • Kyoto Summit (1997) • Johannesburg Summit (2002) • Copenhagen Summit (2009) The Brundtland Commission (1984-1987) • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics Aim: • To investigate the critical aspects of environmental protection and development, and a realistic proposition to solve the issues • Recommendation on forms of international cooperation • Initiation of programmes improving environmental sensitivity and readiness to take action Results: • Mapping of environment and development until 2000, while developing a global strategy for the period after that And now for something completely different • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics The principles of environmental and ecological economics • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • But before we begin: – what IS the „environment”? What do we call „environment”? • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • When we say „environment”, we usually mean the natural environment – Vernacular approach – This also includes living and non-living things • Built-up environment – Created by human beings How can we define „environment”? • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • It’s the part of the world surrounding human beings where humans live and act. What does our environment consist of? • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics … or perhaps not. The „spheres” of our environment • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • Biosphere: – „the place on Earth's surface where life dwells” (Eduard Suess, 1875) • Lithosphere – the Earth’s crust • Hydrosphere – the waters of Earth • Atmosphere – the air on Earth The macroeconomic problems of environmental economics • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • Economic growth • Scarcity • Indicators Economic growth • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • Growth-oriented economies increase the demand of natural resources • Growth produces additional resources needed for social welfare… BUT • It increases the demand for natural resources, whilst causing pollution • These adverse effects may over-compensate the direct economic benefits – ie.: we may end up worse off than before! The debate about economic growth • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • Malthus (1798) claimed that famine is inevitable, because we cannot feed an exponentially growing population from a limited amount of land • Meadows et al: The Limits to Growth • Ecological economists: – Growth is undesirable, the aim is development – See also: Herman Daly’s „Steady State Economics” The perspectives of economic growth • Growth is unacceptable, and is morally wrong • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics – immaterialists, eg. Schumacher and Daly • Growth is impossible on the long run – pessimists, eg. Meadows et al • Growth and technological advancement go hand in hand, thus the quality of the environment improves over time – technocrats • Growth and environmental deterioration is unavoidable, unstoppable – opportunists • Growth is necessary for the funding of environmental protection – optimists Economic growth and the environment • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics Fundamental explanatory principles: • Population growth and the increase in percapita consumption increase the demand for natural resources, whilst increasing the level of pollution • The technological advancements required for economic growth decrease the relative use of natural resources, and therefore, pollution (see: Solow’s growth theorem) • What is the resultant outcome of these two, opposing thoughts? The outcome: • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • If we take the ecological footprint into consideration, a larger GDP will mean more pollution • If we take the environmental performance index into consideration, a larger GDP will mean less pollution Is there a solution, then? • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics • Economic prosperity and the use of raw materials must be de-coupled – Greater welfare with constant or decreasing material use • Possible solutions – – – – Produce less (towards „Zero growth”) Produce less waste (cleaner technologies) Recycle more (…and also, re-use more) Growth in services and in low raw-material intensive sectors only That’s it for today! • About the course • Introduction • Historical background • The principles of environmental and ecological economics See you next week!