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I NATIONAL INCOME AND PRODUCTION Despite a high degree of uncertainty surrounding the global economic environment throughout 2001, the Mauritian economy held up quite well, growing by 5.8 per cent compared to 8.9 per cent in 2000. Excluding the sugar sector, economic growth stood at 5.4 per cent in 2001 compared to 7.2 per cent in 2000. The major sectors of the economy performed satisfactorily, registering positive growth rates. The implementation of the Sugar Sector Strategic Plan is well under way and many employees of the sugar industry have already opted for voluntary retirement. There was a slowdown in real consumption, reflecting the deceleration in the growth rates of both household and government consumption in 2001. Inclusive of the purchase of aircraft and marine vessel, investment grew, in real terms, by 3.3 percent in 2001 in contrast to a contraction of 8.2 per cent in 2000. However, excluding the purchase of aircraft and marine vessel, investment in 2001 contracted by 2.0 per cent in real terms. With nominal income growing faster than consumption, savings went up and exceeded investment in 2001. The financial services, agricultural, manufacturing and tourism sectors grew by 13.6 per cent, 8.1 per cent, 4.3 per cent and 1.0 per cent, respectively, in 2001. The sugar sector expanded by 13.4 per cent with sugar production amounting to 645,598 tonnes, its highest level since 1987. Gross tourism earnings reached Rs18.2 billion and the number of tourists visiting Mauritius exceeded 660,000. The EPZ sector recorded a growth rate of 4.0 per cent in 2001. In absolute terms, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at basic prices grew from Rs104,271 million in 2000 to Rs117,225 million in 2001. Per capita Gross National Income (GNI) at market prices increased from Rs99,651 in 2000 to Rs110,254 in 2001. In US dollar terms, per capita GNI stood at US$3,768 in 2001 compared to US$3,772 in 2000. Despite the weak external economic environment, exports of goods and services increased, in nominal terms, from Rs73,841 million in 2000 to Rs89,373 million in 2001, or 21.0 per cent, while in real terms, the growth rate was to the tune of 15.9 per cent. Imports of goods and services increased, in nominal terms, from Rs74,513 million in 2000 to Rs84,290 million in 2001, or 13.1 per cent, while in real terms the growth rate was 8.5 per cent. Table I.1: Main National Accounting Aggregates and Ratios 1999 A. 1 2001 2 2002 3 Aggregates (Rs million) 1. GDP at basic prices Annual Real Growth Rate (Per cent) 93,633 104,271 117,225 127,180 +2.3 +8.9 +5.8 +4.6 2. GDP at market prices 107,749 119,085 132,130 143,180 3. GNI at market prices 107,283 118,302 132,323 142,640 4. Per Capita GNI at market prices (Rupees) 91,271 99,651 110,254 117,561 5. Aggregate Consumption Expenditure 82,904 89,485 97,616 106,815 6. Compensation of Employees 42,718 46,367 49,665 52,835 7. Gross Domestic Fixed Capital Formation 29,676 28,069 30,049 31,545 8. Gross Capital Formation 28,607 30,272 29,431 33,085 9. Gross Domestic Savings 24,845 29,600 34,514 36,365 10. Resource Balance ( 9 - 8 ) -3,762 -672 5,083 3,280 11. Gross National Disposable Income 110,899 119,964 134,018 144,455 B. Ratios: As a Percentage of GDP at market prices 1. Gross Domestic Savings 23.1 24.9 26.1 25.4 2. Aggregate Consumption Expenditure 77.0 75.2 73.9 74.6 3. Gross Domestic Fixed Capital Formation 27.5 23.6 22.7 22.0 4. Resource Balance -3.5 -0.6 3.8 2.3 45.6 44.5 1. Ratio: As a Percentage of GDP at basic prices Compensation of Employees 2 3 Revised estimates. Preliminary estimates. First forecast. Source: Central Statistical Office, Government of Mauritius. 1 42.4 20 E 10 5 0 00 + 0 199 23 41.5 0 1 C. 1 2000 AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE Aggregate consumption expenditure grew, in real terms, at a slower pace of 3.5 per cent in 2001 compared to 4.1 per cent in 2000. Growth in household consumption expenditure fell, in real terms, from 3.5 per cent in 2000 to 3.3 per cent in 2001. Growth in general government consumption expenditure registered a marked decline, from 7.1 per cent in 2000 to 4.7 per cent in 2001. As a percentage of GDP at market prices, nominal aggregate consumption expenditure decreased from 75.2 per cent in 2000 to 73.9 per cent in 2001, resulting from a drop in the ratios of both household consumption expenditure and general government consumption expenditure to GDP from 62.1 per cent and 13.1 per cent in 2000 to 61.3 per cent and 12.6 per cent, respectively, in 2001. Table I.1 shows the main national accounting aggregates and ratios from 1999 to 2002. GROSS DOMESTIC FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION (GDFCF) Investment in the economy was rather subdued in 2001, growing by 3.3 per cent, in real terms, following a contraction of 8.2 per cent in 2000. Exclusive of the purchase of aircraft and marine vessel, growth in Gross Domestic Fixed Capital Formation, declined, in real terms, from 1.0 per cent in 2000 to negative 2.0 per cent in 2001. As a result, the ratio of GDFCF to GDP at market prices fell from 23.6 per cent in 2000 to 22.7 per cent in 2001. Private sector investment grew by 1.1 per cent in 2001 as against a contraction of 11.5 per cent in 2000. Public sector investment recorded a growth of 9.4 per cent in 2001 compared to 2.3 per cent in 2000. The share of private sector investment in total GDFCF decreased from 73.2 per cent in 2000 to 71.6 per cent in 2001 while that of the public sector increased from 26.8 per cent in 2000 to 28.4 per cent in 2001. An analysis of investment by type of capital goods shows that investment in "Building and Construction Work" recorded, in nominal terms, an increase of 4.5 per cent from Rs15,167 million in 2000 to Rs15,848 million in 2001 and, in real terms, this rise amounted to 1.4 per cent. Construction activity in the non-residential sub-sector was relatively depressed in 2001, contracting by 7.7 per cent compared to a growth of 11.2 per cent in 2000 while the real growth rate of investment in "Residential Building" decreased from 7.3 per cent in 2000 to 4.6 per cent in 2001. Growth of investment in "Other Construction Work" rose from 6.0 per cent in 2000 to 11.8 per cent in 2001, mainly due to the high level of investment in the telecommunications sector, sewerage works and the construction of the Midlands dam. Investment in "Machinery and Equipment" grew, in real terms, by 5.5 per cent in 2001 as against a contraction of 22.2 per cent in 2000 but, exclusive of the purchase of aircraft and marine vessel, the growth rates in both 2000 and 2001 were negative at 6.5 per cent and 6.0 per cent, respectively. Investment in "Passenger Car" contracted by 2.8 per cent in 2001 compared to 2.5 per cent in 2000. Growth of investment in "Other Transport Equipment", excluding the purchase of aircraft and marine vessel, went up from 1.8 per cent in 2000 to 13.7 per cent in 2001 while for "Other Machinery and Equipment", it rose from 8.1 per cent in 2000 to 9.3 per cent in 2001. Table I.2: Real Growth Rates of GDFCF by Type of Capital Goods (Per cent) 1999 A. Building and Construction Work Residential Building +8.5 2001 2 +8.5 +1.4 +3.3 +7.3 +4.6 Non-residential Building +25.9 +11.2 -7.7 Other Construction Work -4.8 +6.0 +11.8 +37.0 -22.2 5.5 +13.3 -6.5 -6.0 -2.7 -2.5 -2.8 +191.0 -65.1 +114.4 -0.3 +17.9 +1.8 -8.1 +13.7 -9.3 +22.1 -8.2 +3.3 B. Machinery and Equipment Machinery and Equipment (excluding aircraft & marine vessel) Passenger Car Other Transport Equipment 3 Other Transport Equipment (excluding aircraft & marine vessel) Other Machinery and Equipment Gross Domestic Fixed Capital Formation 1 2000 1 2 Revised estimates. Preliminary estimates. Inclusive of the purchase of aircraft and marine vessel. Source: Central Statistical Office, Government of Mauritius. 3 A breakdown of GDFCF by industrial use shows that investment activities in a number of sectors were adversely affected, posting negative real growth rates in 2001. Investment in "Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry and Fishing" registered a contraction, in real terms, of 11.4 per cent in 2001 following the drop of 22.2 per cent in 2000. Likewise, investment in "Manufacturing", "Construction" and "Hotels and Restaurants" contracted, in real terms, by 2.7 per cent, 30.9 per cent and 9.3 per cent, respectively, in 2001. Investment in the "Electricity, Gas and Water" sector contracted, in real terms, by 18.7 per cent in 2001 compared to a drop of 28.8 per cent in 2000. Investment in the "Financial Intermediation" sector, however, grew in real terms, by 81.5 per cent in 2001 as against a contraction of 16.0 per cent in 2000. The real growth rate of investment in "Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities" decelerated from 8.4 per cent in 2000 to 1.5 per cent in 2001. As a percentage to total GDFCF, investment in "Transport, Storage and Communication", "Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities" and "Manufacturing" accounted for 22 per cent, 24 per cent and 15 per cent, respectively, in 2001. Tables I.2 and I.3 show the growth of GDFCF, in real terms, by type of capital goods and by industrial use, respectively, for the years 1999 through 2001. Chart I.1 depicts movements in the ratios of GDFCF and Gross Domestic Savings (GDS) to GDP at market prices for the years 1994 through 2001. Chart I.2 shows investment by sector in 2001. Table I.3: Real Growth Rates of GDFCF by Industrial Use (Per cent) 1999 1. Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry and Fishing 2000 1 2001 2 +4.1 -22.2 -11.4 - - - +5.6 +0.0 -2.7 +13.0 -5.8 -2.8 +11.7 -28.8 -18.7 5. Construction -4.2 +8.0 -30.9 6. Wholesale and Retail Trade, Repair of Motor Vehicles, +9.7 +13.7 -7.6 +8.8 +15.4 -8.4 7. Hotels and Restaurants +64.1 -0.2 -9.3 8. Transport, Storage and Communication +86.0 -39.9 +40.1 -6.9 -16.0 +81.5 2. Mining and Quarrying 3. Manufacturing of which: EPZ 4. Electricity, Gas and Water Motor Cycles, Personal and Household Goods of which: Wholesale and Retail Trade 9. Financial Intermediation 10. Real estate, Renting, and Business Activities +4.4 +8.4 +1.5 +3.3 +7.3 +4.6 +12.9 +15.9 -19.4 11. Public Administration and Defence; Compulsory Social Security +36.6 -3.7 -12.9 12. Education -16.6 +9.7 +4.7 13. Health and Social Work -28.3 +45.8 -15.7 14. Other Services -31.9 +147.4 -4.8 +22.1 -8.2 +3.3 Owner occupied dwellings Other Gross Domestic Fixed Capital Formation 1 2 Revised estimates. Preliminary estimates. Source: Central Statistical Office, Government of Mauritius. NATIONAL DISPOSABLE INCOME, NATIONAL SAVINGS AND RESOURCE BALANCE Gross National Disposable Income (GNDI) grew, in nominal terms, by 11.7 per cent in 2001, up from 8.2 per cent in 2000, and faster than nominal consumption expenditure, which registered a growth of 9.1 per cent in 2001 compared to 7.9 per cent in 2000. As a result, the ratio of Gross National Savings (GNS) to GDP at market prices increased from 25.6 per cent in 2000 to 27.5 per cent in 2001. As a percentage of GDP at market prices, the Resource Balance (defined as Savings minus Investment) registered an improvement from negative 0.6 per cent in 2000 to a positive figure of 3.8 per cent in 2001. Chart I.1: Ratio of GDFCF and GDS to GDP at Market Prices Per cent 32 30 GDFCF to GDP Ratio 28 26 24 GDS to GDP Ratio 22 20 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Central Statistical Office, Government of Mauritius. Chart I.2: Investment by sector in 2001 Government and Others 12% Agriculture 2% Manufacturing 15% Real Estate, Renting & Business Activities 24% Electricity, Gas and Water 5% Construction 1% Wholesale and Retail Trade 7% Financial Intermediation 3% Transport, Storage and Communication 22% Source: Central Statistical Office, Government of Mauritius. AGRICULTURE Hotels and Restaurants 9% The agricultural sector performed well in 2001, mainly due to improved climatic conditions and higher sugarcane production. In real terms, the agricultural sector expanded by 8.1 per cent in 2001 compared to 28.1 per cent in 2000. The sugar sector recorded a real growth rate of 13.4 per cent in 2001 compared to 52.5 per cent in 2000. The growth rate of the non-sugar agricultural sector decelerated from 9.4 per cent in 2000 to 2.6 per cent in 2001. Table I.4: Main Aggregates of the Agricultural Sector 1999 1. Value Added at current basic prices (Rs million) of which: Sugarcane 2. Annual Real Growth Rate (Per cent) 3. Share of Agriculture in total GDP at basic prices (Per cent) 4. Investment at current prices (Rs million) 5. Share of Investment in Agriculture in total GDFCF (Per cent) 6. Sugar Exports (Rs million) 7. Agricultural Exports other than Sugar (Rs million) 8. Share of Agricultural Exports in total Domestic Exports (Per cent) 1 5,613 2,433 -25.8 6.0 864 2.9 7,602 150 20.6 2000 1 2001 6,871 3,469 +28.1 6.6 692 2.5 5,544 179 15.2 2 7,970 4,330 +8.1 6.8 636 2.1 8,138 273 19.4 2 Revised estimates. Preliminary estimates. Source: Central Statistical Office, Government of Mauritius. Table I.4 shows the main aggregates of the agricultural sector for the years 1999 through 2001. Chart I.3 shows the sectoral distribution of GDP at basic prices in 2001. Chart I.3: Sectoral Distribution of GDP at Basic Prices in 2001 Real Estate, Renting & Business Activities 9% Government and Others 12% Agriculture 7% Financial Intermediation 10% Transport and Communication 13% Manufacturing 23% Electricity, Gas and Water 2% Hotels and Restaurants 6% Wholesale and Retail Trade 12% Construction 6% Source: Central Statistical Office, Government of Mauritius. Sugar In the context of the government's objective of rendering the sugar sector more competitive internationally and thus ensuring its long-term viability, the sugar industry underwent several reforms in 2001, namely, the ongoing centralisation of milling operations, the introduction of a Voluntary Retirement Scheme (VRS) package and the exploitation of new growth areas. The VRS package will bring about a reduction in the labour force, which is expected to curtail production costs and thus enhance productivity in the sugar sector. In 2001, sugar output grew by 13.4 per cent and accounted for 54 per cent of value added in the agricultural sector. Sugar production stood at 645,598 tonnes in 2001 compared to 569,289 tonnes in 2000. This improved performance in 2001 was due to the regular rainfall recorded with an almost equal distribution over the island and adequate sunshine, which are the prerequisites for optimum cane growth. The total area under sugarcane harvested in 2001 amounted to 73,302 hectares compared to 73,056 hectares in 2000. The average yield of sugarcane per hectare increased from 69.94 tonnes in 2000 to 79.13 tonnes in 2001. The rate of extraction of sugar, however, remained unchanged at 11.15 per cent in 2001. Table I.5 shows sugar production and exports for the years 1998-99 through 2001-02. Table I.5: Sugar Production and Exports (Tonnes Tel Quel) 1998-99 Opening Stock (1 July) Available supplies Exports: 2001-02 19,158 27,174 36,496 0 0 0 0 619,042 689,139 389,033 1 445,164 2 583,820 648,387 3 624,867 678,413 4 628,461 378,514 571,647 611,473 United Kingdom 482,841 329,011 502,215 500,538 Other European Union 122,650 39,752 59,504 84,787 18,478 6,028 4,143 19,667 84 144 41 112 United States Canada Other 4,408 3,579 5,744 6,369 40,415 39,178 39,911 40,663 Surplus/(Loss) in Storage 1,105 0 333 0 Closing Stock (30 June) Closing ISA Special Stock 19,158 0 27,174 0 36,496 0 26,278 0 Domestic Consumption 1 2000-01 32,061 Opening ISA Special Stock Production 1999-00 Includes 38,036 tonnes of imported sugar. 3 2 Includes 36,973 tonnes of imported sugar. 4 Includes 37,393 tonnes of imported sugar. Includes 17,050 tonnes of imported sugar. Note: The above figures refer to fiscal years, which extend from July to June, and not to crop years, which extend from June to May. Source: Mauritius Sugar News Bulletin, Mauritius Chamber of Agriculture. Sugar production for fiscal year 2001-02 reached 624,867 tonnes compared to 583,820 tonnes for fiscal year 2000-01. For 2001-02, exports and imports of sugar stood at 611,473 tonnes and 17,050 tonnes compared to 571,647 tonnes and 37,393 tonnes, respectively, for the year 2000-01. Around 96 per cent of total exports, or 585,325 tonnes, were directed to the European Union under the Sugar Protocol. Domestic consumption increased from 39,911 tonnes in 2000-01 to 40,663 tonnes in 2001-02. Reflecting the higher export volume, export proceeds of cane sugar increased significantly from Rs5,544 million in 2000 to Rs8,138 million in 2001 and accounted for 18.8 per cent of total domestic exports. Export receipts from cane molasses also went up from Rs46 million in 2000 to Rs134 million in 2001. Non-Sugar Agricultural Sector The non-sugar agricultural sector recorded a real growth of 2.6 per cent in 2001 compared to 9.4 per cent in 2000. In nominal terms, value added by this sector increased from Rs3,402 million in 2000 to Rs3,640 million in 2001. Its share in the agricultural sector, however, declined from 49.5 per cent in 2000 to 45.7 per cent in 2001. The total area under foodcrop production grew from 7,357 hectares in 2000 to 7,918 hectares in 2001 with foodcrop production increasing to 129,119 tonnes in 2001 compared to 114,484 tonnes in 2000. The production of tea rose from 6,440 tonnes in 2000 to 7,440 tonnes in 2001 while tobacco production declined slightly from 563 tonnes in 2000 to 556 tonnes in 2001. MANUFACTURING In the context of the global economic slowdown, the manufacturing sector, which consists of sugar milling, EPZ and "other manufacturing" grew, in real terms, at a slower rate of 4.3 per cent in 2001 compared to a growth of 7.6 per cent in 2000. The "Manufacturing" sector represented 22.7 per cent of total value added in the economy in 2001. The real growth rate of the EPZ sector declined from 6.0 per cent in 2000 to 4.0 per cent in 2001. Output from the sugar milling sub-sector recorded a growth of 13.4 per cent in 2001 compared to 52.5 per cent in 2000. Value added by the non-sugar milling and non-EPZ subsectors grew, in real terms, by 4.0 per cent in 2001 compared to 7.0 per cent in 2000. Table I.6 shows the main aggregates of the manufacturing sector for the period 1999 through 2001. Table I.6: Main Aggregates of the Manufacturing Sector 1999 1. Value Added at current basic prices (Rs million) 2000 1 2001 2 22,432 24,640 26,652 2. Annual Real Growth Rate (Per cent) +2.0 +7.6 +4.3 3. Share of Value Added in total GDP at basic prices (Per cent) 24.0 23.6 22.7 4,332 4,464 4,526 14.6 15.9 15.1 4. Investment at current prices (Rs million) 5. Share of Investment in total GDFCF (Per cent) 1 Revised estimates. 2 Preliminary estimates. Source: Central Statistical Office, Government of Mauritius. EPZ exports went up by 8.8 per cent, from Rs30,961 million in 2000 to Rs33,695 million in 2001, up from 6.3 per cent in 2000. The rise was mainly on account of an increase in the exports of fish and fish preparations, textile yarn, fabrics, made-up articles, and articles of apparel and clothing. EPZ imports increased from Rs16,399 million in 2000 to Rs17,139 million in 2001, or 4.5 per cent, up from 4.2 per cent in 2000. Net EPZ exports registered a growth of 13.7 per cent, from Rs14,562 million in 2000 to Rs16,556 million in 2001. EPZ exports in 2001 were directed towards three major countries, namely, the United States, France and United Kingdom, which represented 26.1 per cent, 23.4 per cent and 21.3 per cent, respectively, of total EPZ exports' destination. The main countries of origin of EPZ imports in 2001 were India, China, Hong Kong, France, South Africa and Italy. EPZ imports from European and African countries increased by 8.1 per cent and 50.3 per cent, respectively, while those from Asian countries contracted by 7.2 per cent in 2001. In order to take advantage of trade opportunities arising from the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), namely, duty-free and quota-free access to the US market for EPZ products manufactured in less developed countries with no constraint on sources of origin till 2004, some Mauritian EPZ firms had relocated some of their operations to Madagascar. However, the political turmoil in Madagascar proved to be a major setback for Mauritian investors there and increased concerns about the vulnerability of the EPZ sector. Growth prospects for EPZ exports to the US are expected to improve significantly with the US economic recovery and the passing of the AGOA II, under which the products of the "knit to shape" category are entitled to duty-free access, representing a saving of 17 per cent in terms of customs duties. Table I.7 shows some major aggregates relating to the EPZ for the period 1999 through 2001. Table I.7: Main Aggregates of the EPZ 1999 1. Number of Enterprises (as at December) 2000 1 2001 2 512 518 522 11,697 12,523 13,415 3. Annual Real Growth Rate (Per cent) +6.0 +6.0 +4.0 4. Share of EPZ in total GDP at basic prices (Per cent) 12.5 12.0 11.4 1,755 1,702 1,724 5.9 6.1 5.7 7. Exports (f.o.b.) (Rs million) 29,131 30,961 33,695 8. Imports (c.i.f.) (Rs million) 15,735 13,396 16,399 14,562 17,139 16,556 2. Value Added at current basic prices (Rs million) 5. Investment at current prices (Rs million) 6. Share of EPZ Investment in total GDFCF (Per cent) 9. Net Exports (Rs million) 1 Revised estimates. 2 Preliminary estimates. Source: Central Statistical Office, Government of Mauritius. TOURISM As a result of the economic slowdown in the United States and European countries, and the increased risks associated with travelling following the 11 September 2001 attacks in the US, the tourism sector operated on a low key in 2001, standing at 1.0 per cent compared to 13.5 per cent in 2000. However, gross tourism receipts increased significantly from Rs14,234 million in 2000 to Rs18,166 million in 2001, or 27.6 per cent, compared to a growth of 4.1 per cent in 2000. The increased earnings in 2001 were partly attributed to the relatively firmer euro and aggressive marketing strategy policies being pursued. The number of tourist arrivals increased from 656,453 in 2000 to 660,318 in 2001. Total tourist nights increased from 6,500,000 in 2000 to 6,528,000 in 2001. Around 91.9 per cent of tourists came to Mauritius on holidays while some 3.5 per cent turned up for business purposes. In 2001, tourist arrivals from European countries contracted by 0.6 per cent, from 439,989 in 2000 to 437,305, compared to an expansion of 16.2 per cent in 2000. Tourist arrivals from the African region went up from 163,921 in 2000 to 168,522 in 2001, or 2.8 per cent, compared to a growth of 4.9 per cent in 2000. Tourist arrivals from Asia and America went up by 5.6 per cent and 5.1 per cent, respectively, in 2001. Tourist arrivals from Europe accounted for around 66 per cent of total tourist arrivals in 2001 compared to 67 per cent in 2000. The number of tourists from France, Germany and Italy contracted by 0.4 per cent, 3.8 per cent and 4.2 per cent, respectively in 2001 while tourist arrivals from the United Kingdom registered an increase of 4.6 per cent. Tourist arrivals from Reunion Island increased by 4.8 per cent whereas arrivals from the Republic of South Africa fell by 1.6 per cent in 2001. The total number of hotels remained unchanged at 95 in 2001. Some hotels, however, carried out renovation and extension projects in order to offer better services to their customers. The number of rooms and bedplaces went up from 8,657 and 17,776 in 2000 to 9,024 and 18,350, respectively, in 2001. The monthly room occupancy rate for all hotels taken together decreased from 70 per cent in 2000 to 66 per cent in 2001. For "large" hotels, the occupancy rate decreased from 73 per cent in 2000 to 70 per cent in 2001. Direct employment in the tourist industry increased from 17,811 at the end of March 2000 to 19,944 at the end of March 2001, registering a growth of 12.0 per cent. To give a further boost to the tourism industry, the government enacted specific legislation for an orderly development of tourism-related activities and service providers. In addition, there are ongoing efforts to diversify tourist markets. FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION Value added in the services sector grew, in real terms, by 13.6 per cent in 2001 compared to 14.6 per cent in 2000. The growth in this sector was led by banking activities, which expanded, in real terms, by 16.5 per cent in 2001 compared to 18.5 per cent in 2000, mainly because of the high growth rate maintained by "offshore" banks. Growth in the "Insurance" sub-sector remained unchanged at 5.0 per cent in 2001. REAL ESTATE, RENTING AND BUSINESS ACTIVITIES Growth of the "Real Estate, Renting and Business Activities" sector, which regroups owner occupied dwellings, renting of machinery and operator, computer activities and other business activities increased from 6.8 per cent in 2000 to 7.3 per cent in 2001. Growth was led by activities other than those relating to "Owner occupied dwellings", which increased from 10.7 per cent in 2000 to 10.9 per cent in 2001. The "Owner occupied dwellings" subsector grew by 3.6 per cent in 2001 compared to 3.1 per cent in 2000. OTHER SECTORS Value added in the "Electricity, Gas and Water" sector grew, in real terms, by 12.2 per cent in 2001 compared to 23.2 per cent in 2000. The "Construction" sector grew marginally by 1.0 per cent in 2001 compared to 7.5 per cent in 2000. The real growth rate of "Transport, Storage and Communication" stood at 9.3 per cent in 2001, following higher levels of investment in the telecommunications sector, compared to 10.0 per cent in 2000. Value added by "Public Administration and Defence and Compulsory Social Security" grew, in real terms, by 4.1 per cent in 2001 compared to 5.6 per cent in 2000. The "Education" sector expanded by 3.7 per cent in 2001 compared to 8.3 per cent in 2000 while "Health and Social Work" and "Other Services" registered increases of 5.3 per cent and 7.6 per cent in 2001 compared to 5.1 per cent and 6.0 per cent, respectively, in 2000. OUTLOOK FOR 2002 For the year 2002, the economy is estimated to expand by 4.6 per cent. Excluding the sugar sector, the growth rate is estimated at 5.3 per cent. The financial intermediation, tourism and manufacturing sectors are expected to grow by 8.9 per cent, 4.0 per cent and 3.4 per cent, respectively, in 2002. The growth rate of the EPZ sector is estimated at 4.0 per cent. The agricultural sector, however, is expected to contract by 6.1 per cent, mainly on account of the drop of 11.7 per cent in the sugar sector in the wake of cyclone Dina that hit Mauritius in February 2002. Aggregate consumption expenditure is expected to pick up, in real terms, by 3.6 per cent while the savings rate and the ratio of GDFCF to GDP at market prices are expected to decline slightly to 26.3 per cent and 22.0 per cent, respectively, in 2002. It is expected that with global economic recovery, external demand, especially from European countries and the United States, will strengthen and give a boost to exports in the manufacturing sector. Significant efforts and resources will be devoted to tap the vast opportunities arising from the AGOA through the setting up of additional spinning mills and by way of increased regional integration through investment and partnerships with African countries so as to increase the supply of AGOA-eligible yarn and fabric. In the same vein, efforts will be directed towards increasing the competitiveness of the EPZ by moving up the value-added chain and by introducing the clustering concept. The aggressive marketing strategy adopted recently with regard to tourism will no doubt produce results and the number of tourist arrivals could reach 695,000 in 2002. In addition, hotels are expected to continue their renovation and extension projects. Besides, promotional campaigns aimed at targeting new markets and offering other aspects of tourism, such as eco-tourism and cultural tourism, are well under way. Also, amid ongoing centralisation efforts, sugar estates are expected to make additional investment to increase productivity in their operations. Moreover, developments in the field of Information and Communication Technology (lCT), which will contribute towards improving our competitive edge and discovery of new markets, combined with enhancements in the offshore business environment carry the potential to take the economy on a higher growth path.