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Your Name: Economics 101 (SSII 2011) Midterm 1 Write your answer on the space provided. Problem 1: Nominal v. Real GDP, GDP Deflator & CPI (Total 12 points) Consider an economy that only produces bread, steel (to be used in missile production) and patriot missiles. This economy imports Italian wines and exports missiles. Use the data below: 2010 Price Bread Cement Patriot missile Italian wine 2011 Quantity 6 12 20 10 40 4 2 8 Price Quantity 8 16 40 20 60 4 2 4 Using 2010 as the base year, compute the following statistics for 2011: a) nominal GDP = 8*60+40*2 =560 b) real GDP = 6*60+20*2= 400 c) GDP deflator = 560/400 = 1.4 d) CPI = (8*40+20*8)/(6*40+10*8)=480/320 =1.5 Problem 2: National Income Accounting (Total 8 points, 2 points each) a) Name the three approaches for measuring GDP Spending approach, Income approach and the Value Added approach b) What is difference between GDP and GNP GDP measure value of good and services produced domestically regardless of the nationality of owners of those who have produced them while GNP is a measure of goods and services produced by factors of production owned by citizens of the country in question regardless of their whereabouts. c) What is considered to be investment in national Accounts? Are the stocks you buy in the stock market considered to be investment? What about inventories? Investment in purchases made for investment purposes. Stocks are not investment but a form of savings. Inventories are defined as Investment. d) In the following national income identity: Y = C + I + G + EX – IM Does an increase in IM decrease Y? Explain your answer. No. C, I and G all have import component and hence with an increase in IM they increase too and the two cancel out. 1 Problem 3: Neoclassical Model (18 points, 2 pts each part) Suppose the U.S. economy could be described by the following equations: Production: Y = 40K1/2L1/2 Factors of Production: L = 100 K = 400 Government Behavior: G = 1100 T = 200 Consumer Behavior: C = 200 + 0.8(Y-T) Investment Behavior: I = 500 – 1000r a) Compute the real wage W/P = MPL = 20K1/2L-1/2 = 20(400)1/2(100)-1/2 = 40 b) What is the total factor payment to labor? Total Factor Payment to Labor = MPL x L = 40 x 100 = 4000 a) Compute GDP Y = 40(400)1/2(100)1/2 = 8000 c) Compute the equilibrium levels of the following variables: i) Consumption C = 200 + 0.8(8000-200) = 6440 ii) Interest Rate Use the fact that Y = C + I + G 8000 = 6440 + 500 – 1000r + 1100 8000 = 8040 – 1000r => r = 0.04 iii) Investment I = 500 – 1000(0.04) = 460 d) Compute the following variables: i) Public Savings T – G = 200 – 1100 = -900 ii) Private Savings Y – C – T = 8000 – 6440 – 200 = 1360 iii) National Savings Y – C – G = 8000 – 6440 – 1100 = 460 Public Savings + Private Savings = -900 + 1360 = 460 2 Problem 4: Circle the correct answer (10 pts, 2 pts each) Suppose that the U.S. Congress lowers taxes. What effect will this have on the variables below? (Assume everything else is held constant) a) Interest Rate rise b) Consumption rise c) Investment fall d) Public Savings fall e) National Savings fall Problem 5: Circle the correct answer (10 point) No explanation is needed. Suppose that a country promotes a one-child policy which has the effect of drastically lowering the population growth rate. What will happen to the steady-state values of the following variables: Capital per worker rise fall no change Output per worker rise fall no change Consumption per worker rise fall no change Growth rate of output per worker rise fall no change Growth rate of total output rise fall no change Problem 6: Growth Accounting (7 points, 4 and 3) The table below shows the growth rate of real output Y, Labor force L and real capital stock K in U.S. over two periods of 1948-2007. Percentage Change Year 1948-2007 Y L K 3.6 1.7 4 Suppose the following Cobb Douglas production function: Y= ALa Kb, where a=.07 (output elasticity of labor) and b=0.3 (output elasticity of capital). a) Calculate the contribution of capital accumulation and labor to the US economic growth over 1948-2007. b) Calculate the Solow residual over this period. What does this measure? Percentage change Year 1948-2007 aL/L .7*1.7=1.19 A/A 3.6-1.2-1.2=1.21 bK/K .3*4=1.2 3 Problem 7: Convergence (15 points total, 3 points each) Use the growth theories studied in class (use Solow growth model unless stated) to answer the following questions. Discuss your reasoning briefly. Unless stated otherwise, assume that the underlying features of the two economies are the same: the same saving rate, depreciation rate, the production function, population growth rate, the level economic efficiency, and the same technological growth rate (for simplicity you can assume technological growth rates are zero in both countries, unless stated otherwise). Obviously their starting income per capita is not the same. a) State whether the level of income per person in China in the long run will be higher than in the U.S., lower, or the same, or if it is impossible to tell. Income per person in China will increase and converge to that of U.S. in the long run Now re-answer the question in part (a) if you know that ceteris paribus (meaning all else equal) b) China has a lower population growth rate Income per person in China will be higher than U.S. in the long run c) China has a higher rate of technological progress (as defined in class). Income per person in China will increase and surpass that of U.S. in the long run d) China and US have the production function Y=AK and zero technological growth rate. Income per person in China will remain lower. With equal saving rates, output per person in both countries will grow at the same rate but they will not converge (because US have a head start) e) China has a higher saving rate (in answering this question, consider Solow growth model and the AK model separately, assume zero technological growth rate). Income per person in China will increase and surpass that of US under both the Solow and the “AK” model. Problem 8: Unemployment (6 points total) (a) Assume that for Belize the natural rate of unemployment is 0.125 and the rate of job finding is 0.56. What is the fraction of employed workers who lose their jobs each month (the rate of job separation)? s = 0.08 (b) Explain what is meant by wage-rigidity. What are three examples of wage-rigidity? Wage rigidity is the idea that there is something preventing the labor market to adjust to where labor supply equals labor demand. 1. Minimum wage 2. Unions 3. Efficiency Wages 4 Problem 9: Quantity Theory of Money (12 points total, each part 6 points) Suppose that in Canada the velocity of money is constant, real GDP grows by 0% per year each year, the money stock grows by 1% per year, and the nominal interest rate is 3%. a) Using the quantity theory of money and the Fisher relation, what should be the inflation rate and the real interest rate in Canada? M V P Y P P 1 0 0 1 Inflation rate should be 1% M V P Y P P i r 3 r 1 r 2 The real interest rate is 2% b) Suppose the central bank of Canada decides to increase inflation by increasing the money supply growth rate to 4% (all else constant). Now what would be the equilibrium values of inflation and the nominal interest rate? (Assume the Classical Dichotomy holds here.) M V P Y P P 40 0 4 M V P Y P P The inflation rate has increased to 4% i r i 2 4 6 The nominal interest rate would need to increase to 6% in order to keep the real interest rate at 2%. 5