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Colorectal Cancer: What Next? Neal J. Meropol, MD Chief, Hematology and Oncology University Hospitals Case Medical Center Case Western Reserve University January 18, 2014 For our consideration: • Analysis of KRAS/NRAS mutations in the phase 3 20050181 study of panitumumab + FOLFIRI vs FOLFIRI as second-line treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer (Peeters et al) • Mutations within the EGFR signaling pathway: influence on efficacy in FIRE-3 (Stintzing et al) • Regular aspirin use improves survival in patients with PIK3CA mutated metastatic colorectal cancer (Kothari et al) • Maintenance treatment with capecitabine + bevacizumab versus observation after induction treatment with chemotherapy + bevacizumab in metastatic colorectal cancer (Koopman et al) Key Drivers in Colorectal Cancer RAS PI3K RAF Normanno et al. Nat Rev Clin Oncol, 2009 RAS Review • Belongs to a superfamily of GTPases • Commonly mutated in human cancer, constitutive activation • 3 members of the subfamily: N, K, and H-ras • Different expression patterns and localization in different tumors • Functional differences not fully delineated Castellano and Santos. Genes and Cancer, 2011 RAS, RAF and PIK3CA Mutations in Colorectal Cancer • Mutation frequency – KRAS: 40% – NRAS: 3% – BRAF: 5% – PIK3CA: 15% • BRAF and KRAS/NRAS mutations are mutually exclusive • KRAS and NRAS mutations are mutually exclusive De Roock, Lancet Oncol, 2010 EGFR Antibodies in Colorectal Cancer • 2004 - Regulatory approval initially required EGFR expression by IHC • 2009 - ASCO Provisional Clinical Opinion: do not administer anti-EGFR antibodies to patients with tumors that harbor codon 12/13 KRAS mutations (Allegra et al. JCO, 2009) Next Question: What about RAS family mutations other than exon 2 in KRAS? Datasets PRIME: FOLFOX +/-panitumumab (Doulliard, NEJM 2013) FIRE-3: FOLFIRI + cetuximab or bevacizumab (Stintzing, GI Symp 2014) 20050181: FOLFIRI +/- panitumumab (Peeters, GI Symp 2014 2014) First-line First-line Secondline Reminder – A prospective randomized clinical trial is the gold standard. A prospective-retrospective study may be adequate if: • a priori hypothesis and statistical design • biomarker assay validated • samples available from vast majority of patients • adequate follow up and annotation PRIME Study: FOLFOX +/- Pmab First-Line PFS Exon 2 WTOther Mut OS Exon 2 WTOther Mut Douillard J et al. N Engl J Med 2013;369:1023-1034. 20050181: FOLFIRI +/- Pmab Second-Line Favors Pmab Favors FOLFIRI Alone N HR WT KRAS Exon 2 MT KRAS Exon 2 WT RAS MT RAS WT KRAS Exon 2 MT RAS Unevaluable RAS 597 486 415 593 107 178 0.73 0.85 0.70 0.86 0.89 0.85 0.59 0.68 0.54 0.70 0.56 0.57 -0.90 -1.06 -0.90 -1.05 -1.42 -1.25 WT KRAS Exon 2 MT KRAS Exon 2 WT RAS MT RAS WT KRAS Exon 2 MT RAS Unevaluable RAS 597 486 415 593 107 178 0.85 0.94 0.80 0.91 0.83 1.01 0.70 0.76 0.63 0.76 0.53 0.71 -1.04 -1.15 -1.02 -1.10 -1.29 -1.45 Efficacy Analysis Sets PFS OS 0.10 1.00 95%CI 10.00 Hazard Ratio (Pmab+FOLFIRI / FOLFIRI Alone) • PFS benefit of Pmab restricted to RAS WT population • RR benefit of Pmab restricted to RAS WT population Peeters et al. GI Symp 2014 FIRE-3 Study: FOLFIRI + cetuximab or bevacizumab first-line • Favor bevacizumab – Improved PFS and response rate (trend) RAS mutant – Trend toward improved PFS (but not OS) with PIK3CA mutant • Favor cetuximab – Improved OS (but not PFS) with RAS wt (7.5 month improvement) What have we learned? • RAS mutations beyond exon 2 are common (15-18%) • Patients with any RAS mutations do not appear to benefit (at least no major benefit) from anti-EGFR treatment • Among patients with no RAS mutations, a clinically meaningful survival benefit is observed with cetux vs bevacizumab (but no difference in PFS) – Results of Alliance 80405 are eagerly awaited! • Currently, incomplete data regarding potential biologic differences when combining EGFR inhibitors with different chemotherapy backbones, and between different RAS mutations • A pooled analysis of ALL available studies is encouraged! Aspirin and PIK3CA PIK3CA, Prostaglandins, and Colon Cancer PIK3CA activating mutations are present in 15-20% of colorectal cancers Complex interactions exist between PI3K , other signaling pathways, and prostaglandin synthesis which contribute to development and growth of colorectal cancer Markowitz SD. N Engl J Med 2007 Does PIK3CA mutational status influence the response to aspirin? Aspirin’s affects extend well beyond tumor intracellular signalling Fuchs C S , and Ogino S JCO 2013;31:4358-4361 964 Participants in the Nurses’ Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-up Study with Colorectal Cancer Superior colorectal cancer-specific survival (HR=0.18, p<0.001) and overall survival (HR=0.54 , P=0.01) with regular aspirin use in PIK3CA mutants Liao X, et al. N Engl J Med. 2012;367: 1596-606. VICTOR Trial: Adjuvant Study of Rofecoxib vs. Placebo (N=896; 12% PIK3CA mutant) WT Mutant RFS OS Domingo E et al. JCO 2013;31:4297-4305 No greater benefit of rofecoxib based on PIK3CA mutation status Regular aspirin use (14%) associated with reduced rate of recurrence in patients with PIK3CA-mutant cancers (HR, 0.11; P .027; but not in patients lacking tumor PIK3CA mutation (HR, 0.92; P .71). Aspirin in PIK3CA Colorectal Cancer (Kothari et al. GI Symp 2014) • • • • Convenience sample of 185 patients 49 reported aspirin use Stage distribution: 1/2/3/4 8/66/67/44 No clear overall survival benefit among ASA users; trend towards benefit in stage 4 Do the “negative” data provided by Kothari et al refute the underlying hypothesis? NO. • • • • • • Challenges with current datasets No randomization between ASA and no ASA Reliance on patient reporting of ASA use Variation in dosing among ASA users Mix of stages included Small sample sizes of PIK3CA mutants Potential unmeasured variables that could impact ASA – PIK3CA relationship, including other treatments received Prospective evaluation of ASA and COX-2 inhibition in PIK3CA mutant CRC is needed Ongoing/Planned randomized trials of ASA and celecoxib in the adjuvant setting will provide meaningful data Is maintenance therapy superior to “treatment holiday” after induction? CAIRO3 (Koopman et al) • N=558, <20% prior adjuvant treatment; ~60% had resection of primary tumor • Only 60% of patients in obs arm restarted CAPOX-B; most received some treatment • PFS favors maintenance (HR=.67, p <.0001 ; PFS2 8.5 vs. 11. 7 mo) BUT no clear difference in overall survival (multivariate analysis suggests benefit of M) • Patients who achieve initial response or have primary tumor removed (in case of synchronous metastasis) may have improved survival with maintenance What have we learned from CAIRO3? • It is feasible yet challenging to conduct a “window of opportunity” study after induction (<2 patients per center per year) • Maintenance treatment clearly will delay progression • More work is needed to identify those patients who may safely receive a “treatment holiday” Patient Survival Colorectal Cancer S-Curve More Tweaking New Cytotoxics and Antibodies Tweaking 5-FU 1980s 1990s 2000s Era Patient Survival We must jump to the next curve Era How to get there Technology Teamwork Trials Genomics Big data Public-Private Biobanking Acknowledge that all cancers will be rare diseases -New clinical trials models -New infrastructure and regulatory models