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1 SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum Development Project 2014–2015 Creating meaningful transformation in mathematics education Developing learners who are independent, assertive constructors of their own understanding SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 2 Algebra 1 S.1 Categorical and Quantitative Data Number of Days 1 8 Lesson Reproducibles Entry Task Lesson Series 1 1 6 Apprentice Task Lesson Series 2 1 Expert Task Scatter it! Predict Billy’s Height (2 pages) CPM CCC1 Lesson 8.1.1 (3 pages) Lesson 4: Creating a Histogram Creating a Histogram Exercises 1-9 (2 pages) CPM CCC1 Lesson 8.1.2 (6 pages) CPM CCC1 Lesson 8.1.3 (3 pages) Introduction to Standard Deviation (2 pages) Making a Boxplot (2 pages) CPM CCC1 Lesson 8.1.4 (3 pages) Lesson 8.1.4 Resource Page: High-Temperature Data CPM CCC1 Lesson 8.1.5 (2 pages) Counters Game (4 pages) Heights of Basketball Players (2 pages) Z-Score Table (2 pages) Matching Histograms and Boxplots (2 pages) A Sweet Task (3 pages) A Sweet Task Exit Ticket Two-Way Table Practice (2 pages) CPM CCA Lesson 10.1.1 (2 pages) How High Can You Jump (4 pages) Pizza Party CPM CCA Lesson 6.1.1 CPM CCA Lesson 6.1.2 (2 pages) CPM CCA Lesson 6.1.2 Homework (2 pages) How Strong is the Association between Income and Race? Number of Copies 1 per student 1 per pair 1 per pair 1 per student 1 per pair 1 per pair 1 per student 1 per student 1 per pair 1 per student 1 per pair 1 per student 1 per student 1 per pair 1 per student 1 per student 1 per student 1 per student 1 per pair 1 per student 1 per student 1 per pair 1 per pair 1 per student 1 per pair Materials Graph paper, spaghetti Dice M&Ms and Skittles SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 3 8 Lesson Series 3 1-2 Milestone Task CPM CCA Lesson 6.1.4 (6 pages) Lesson 6.1.4 Resource Page: El Toro Basketball CPM CCA Lesson 6.2.1 (6 pages) CPM CCA Lesson 6.2.2 (6 pages) CPM CCA Lesson 6.2.3 Methods and Meanings (2 pages) CPM CCA Lesson 6.2.3 (4 pages) CPM CCA Lesson 6.2.5 (3 pages) CPM CCA Chapter 6 Review (2 pages) Who Stole the iPhone? 1 per pair 1 per student 1 per pair 1 per pair 1 per pair 1 per pair 1 per pair 1 per student 1 per student Graphing calculators or software Graphing calculators or software SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 4 Unit Overview Big Idea Representing and analyzing categorical and quantitative data in univariate and bivariate data and using linear models to establish and explain correlation and/or causation in a set of data. Unit Objectives ● Students will be able to represent univariate data with dot plots, histograms and boxplots and bivariate data with scatterplots and two-way frequency tables; Students will be able recognize associations and trends in the two-way tables ● Students will be able to perform numerical analyses of the data using shape, center and spread and interpret the significance of those elements within context; students know that the median is a more appropriate measure of center for skewed data ● Students will be able to estimate population percentages using the area under the normal curve and z-scores ● Students will be able to choose appropriate linear, quadratic and exponential functions to model a set of data and solve problems in context ● For a linear function, Students will be able to interpret slope and y-intercept in context ● For a linear function, Students will be able to compute (with technology) and interpret the correlation coefficient, r, using strength and direction in context ● Students will be able to compare two distributions of data and determine which distribution is most likely to contain a particular data point ● Students will be able to distinguish between correlation and causation (correlation does not always imply causation) Unit Description Students will begin by displaying data in one variable using dot plots, box plots and histograms. Then, they will analyze shape and spread by calculating measures of center (mean, median), measures of spread (IQR and standard deviation) and discussing shape (skewed right/left, symmetric, bimodal) and the effect of outliers. Then, students will represent data on 2 quantitative variables using a scatterplot and describe the relationship in context. Given different scatterplots, student will decide if a linear, quadratic or exponential model would be the best fit and use that model to solve for the valuable of a variable. Then, students will focus on linear models and use graphing calculators to find the line of best fit and the correlation coefficient (r). Students will interpret the slope and y-intercept in context and discuss the strength of the model given the “r” value and by calculating and plotting the residuals. Lastly, students will determine if correlation implies causation or if lurking variables may be a factor in the relationship. In the final section of the unit, students will display categorical data using a two-way table and describe possible trends. Students will also be able to pull relative frequencies from a two-way table. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 5 CCSS-M Content Standards S- ID Interpreting Categorical and Quantitative Data Summarize, represent, and interpret data on a single count or measurement variable. 1. Represent data with plots on the real number line (dot plots, histograms, and box plots). 2. Use statistics appropriate to the shape of the data distribution to compare center (median, mean) and spread (interquartile range, standard deviation) of two or more different data sets. 3. Interpret differences in shape, center, and spread in the context of the data sets, accounting for possible effects of extreme data points (outliers). 4. Use the mean and standard deviation of a data set to fit it to a normal distribution and to estimate population percentages. Recognize that there are data sets for which such a procedure is not appropriate. Use calculators, spreadsheets, and tables to estimate areas under the normal curve. Summarize, represent, and interpret data on two categorical and quantitative variables. 5. Summarize categorical data for two categories in two-way frequency tables. Interpret relative frequencies in the context of the data (including joint, marginal, and conditional relative frequencies). Recognize possible associations and trends in the data. 6. Represent data on two quantitative variables on a scatter plot, and describe how the variables are related. a. Fit a function to the data; use functions fitted to data to solve problems in the context of the data. Use given functions or choose a function suggested by the context. Emphasize linear, quadratic, and exponential models. b. Informally assess the fit of a function by plotting and analyzing residuals. c. Fit a linear function for a scatter plot that suggests a linear association. Interpret linear models 7. Interpret the slope (rate of change) and the intercept (constant term) of a linear model in the context of the data. 8. Compute (using technology) and interpret the correlation coefficient of a linear fit. 9. Distinguish between correlation and causation. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 6 Progression of Mathematical Ideas Prior Supporting Mathematics Current Essential Mathematics Students should have developed an understanding of statistical variability of data and be able to analyze the information by finding the center (mean and/or median), variability (interquartile range and/or mean absolute deviation), spread, and overall shape. They are able to graphically display such data using box plots, histograms, and scatterplots. While investigating patterns in bivariate data, students are able to use linear equations to model relationships between two quantitative variables and to interpret the slope and intercept in context of the problem. Students will be able to construct and interpreting two-way tables by summarizing data on two categorical variables. Students revisit displaying and analyzing data in one and two variables. In 9th grade, students will investigate the standard deviation of a set of data for the first time and use this to calculate z-scores and the area under the normal curve. Students also revisit fitting a linear model to a set of data, but use the correlation coefficient, r, for the first time to discuss the legitimacy of the model. The word, “residual”, is formalized for the first time and used to defend the fit of the linear model. Future Mathematics Students use z-scores and the normal curve to report the probability of getting a certain value given a set of data. Use the mean and standard deviation to fit it to a normal distribution and estimate populations percentages. Students are making inferences and justifying conclusions. They will understand and evaluate random processes underlying statistical experiments and observational studies. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 7 Unit Design All SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum Units are developed with a combination of rich tasks and lessons series. The tasks are both formative assessments of student learning. The tasks are designed to address four central questions: Entry Task: Apprentice Task: Expert Task: Milestone Task: 1 Day What do you already know? What sense are you making of what you are learning? How can you apply what you have learned so far to a new situation? Did you learn what was expected of you from this unit? 8 Days 1 Day 6 Days 1 Day 8 Days 1 Day Total Days: 26 SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 8 Entry Task Apprentice Task Expert Task Milestone Task Predict Billy’s Height Matching Histograms and Boxplots How Strong is the Association Between Race and Income? Who Stole the iPhone? CCSS-M Standards 8. SP. 1, 8. SP. 2, 8. SP. 3 S-ID 1,S-ID 2, S-ID 3 S-ID 7, S-ID 8, S-ID 9 S-I D 2,S-I D 3, S-ID 5, S-ID 8 Brief Description of Task Assesses students knowledge of independent variables, graphing univariate data, numerical analysis, and justification of conclusions. Assesses student understanding of shape, center and spread and differing methods of displaying and comparing data sets. Assesses student understanding of how to represent and analyze univariate vs. bivariate data and determine the validity of a linear model based on the residuals. Also assesses interpretation of slope and y-intercept in context and analysis of association in a two-way table. Assessing student understanding of the appropriateness of the least square regression line through the use of the correlation coefficient,residual plots and the equation of the least square regression line. Also student understanding of the process of comparing two data sets and selecting who belongs in one of the two given data sets. Source adapted from http://www.amstat.org/education/stew/ pdfs/ScatterIt!PredictBillysHeight.pdf. adapted from: https://math.la.asu.edu/~saldanha /STP420Webpage/attachments/G raphMatchingTasks.pdf SFUSD Teacher Created data from: http://www.sfplanning.org/Modules/ShowDocum ent.aspx?documentid=8501 adapted from “If the Shoe Fits” http://www.amstat.org/education/st SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 9 Lesson Series 1 Lesson Series 2 Lesson Series 3 CCSS-M Standards S-ID 1, S-ID 2, S-ID3, S-ID4 S-ID 5, S-ID 6 a, b ,c S-ID 7, S-ID 8, S-ID 9 Brief Description of Lessons Students will review how to generate histograms and the mean and median of a given set of data. Students will be able to find the center, spread, range, and IQR of a set of data. Students will be able to graph a boxplot, graph a normal curve, find the median absolute deviation, standard deviation, and zscore of a set of data. Students will be able to construct two way tables, find the equation of a linear Line of Best-Fit, and calculate residuals. There will be continued spiraling of content from Lesson Series 1 such as boxplots and numerical analysis. Students will learn how to use graphing calculators to graph the Least Squares Regression Line, graph Residual Plots, find r (Correlation Coefficient), determine the association between two variables, and find a non-linear line of best-fit. Sources Heights of Basketball Players - DOE of Virginia http://www.doe.virginia.gov/testing/solsearch/s ol/math/A/m_ess_a-9_4.pdf Histogram Mini Lesson - from http://www.engageny.org/sites/default/files/res ource/attachments/math-g6-m6-teachermaterials.pdf Making a Boxplot - SFUSD Grade 9 Mathematics Core Curriculum Development Team, June 2014 A Sweet Task (adapted from STEW, http://www.amstat.org/education/stew/) A Sweet Task Exit Ticket (from STEW, http://www.amstat.org/education/stew/). Pizza Party (adapted from Statistics Through Applications 2nd Edition, W.H. Freeman and Company, 1996, Chapter 4, page 173.) Methods and Meanings Resource Pages (adapted from Statistics Supplement: CPM Common Core Algebra , 2013, Chapter 6, pages 1-92) SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 10 Entry Task Predict Billy’s Height What will students do? Mathematics Objectives and Standards Framing Student Experience Math Objectives: ● Students will identify the independent variable. ● Students will construct a graph to model the relationship between two variables and describe the relationship between them. ● Students will find the mean and median of the set of data. ● Students will be to informally identify a line of best-fit and estimate the slope. Scatter It! Predict Billy’s Height. Launch: ● Formulate a hypothetical situation. ● Billy is an eighth-grade student who loves to play basketball. Because of this, he wants to know how tall he will be when he is in tenth-grade – the first year he will be eligible to play on his high school basketball team. Billy was looking through his school pictures and noticed that he seemed to grow in height about the same amount each year and wants to know if he can use his height from each year to predict how tall he will be in two years. ● Ask students to write some questions that they would be interested in investigating about students’ age and height. Some possible questions might include: ● What are some typical heights of students? ● Is there a relationship between age and height? If so, what kind of relationship? ● Can we use the relationship between age and height to predict the height of a student in the future? If so, for how many years is this relationship valid? During: ● Students are given data. ● Students will work in group. ● Students are asked to graph the points. ● Students will find the mean and median of data. ● Students will find possible equation of line of best-fit. ● Estimate the slope the line of best-fit. ● Groups will predict height at age 15. CCSS-M Standards Addressed: 8. SP. 1. Construct and interpret scatterplots for bivariate measurement data to investigate patterns of association between two quantities. Describe patterns such as clustering, outliers, positive or negative association, linear association, and nonlinear association. 8. SP. 2. Know that straight lines are widely used to model relationships between two quantitative variables. For scatter plots that suggest a linear association, informally fit a straight line, and informally assess the model fit by judging the closeness of the data points to the line. 8. SP. 3. Use the equation of the linear model to solve problems in the context of bivariate measurement data, interpreting the slope and intercept. Notes (* questions should be asked 2015-2016 and beyond). ● Students will identify the slope and intercept of the line of best-fit. ● Students will be able to predict a value. Closure/Extension: ● Groups will come up to present estimates of line of best-fit and predictions. ● Groups will explain how they found their line of best-fit. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 11 Predict Billy’s Height How will students do this? Focus Standards for Mathematical Practice: 1. Make sense of problems and persevere in solving them. 4. Model with mathematics. Structures for Student Learning: Academic Language Support: Vocabulary: Independent variable, Mean, Median, Line of Best Fit, Scale Sentence frames: The _______ is the independent variable because __________________. We believe the line of best fit is because __________________________. We think that Billy’s height is _________ at age 15 because ___________________. Participation Structures (group, partners, individual, other): ● This activity can be done in pairs or groups of four. The whole class discussion at the end pulls out the mathematics. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 12 Lesson Series #1 Lesson Series Overview: Students review how to construct histograms, dot plots, and calculate the mean and median from a set of data. Students find the mean absolute deviation, shape, spread, range, construct a boxplot, and find the IQR of a set of data. Students estimate population percentages under a normal curve and find the z-score. Students compare two distributions of data and determine which is likely to contain a certain point. CCSS-M Standards Addressed: S-ID 1, S-ID 2, S-ID 3, S-ID 4 Time: 8 days Lesson Overview – Day 1 Description of Lesson: Take a census of the class and have them record with dots on a large graph in front of the class. Once all dots are placed, have a class discussion about the questions in 8-1. Students should record ideas from the class as the teacher records them on the board. Resources Core Connections, Course 1, CPM 8.1.1, Problems 8-1 to 8-4 and 8-6. Students should work in pairs on 8-2 to 8-4. If they finish early, the challenge is 8-6. When all groups are done with 8-4, bring class back together to link the conceptual idea of mean (from 8-3) to the algorithm most of them should remember from middle school (add all values and divide by the number of value). Put this in a toolkit for “mean”. Also, put “median” and “range” in the toolkit. Add “outlier” to the toolkit if any of the data points are far award from the other point. Exit Ticket: Give student a set of data and have them calculate the mean, median and range of the data. Lesson Overview – Day 2 Resources Description of Lesson: Reteach students how to make a histogram using the assignment in the resources folder (students should have learned this in 8th grade). Lesson 4: Creating a Histogram – from EngageNY: http://www.engageny.org/sites/default/files/resource/attachments/ math-g6-m6-teacher-materials.pdf Afterwards, students should work in groups on 8-12 to 8-15. For 8-12, students should Core Connections, Course 1, CPM 8.1.2 SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 13 draw the histogram by hand. If histograms seem new for most students, then you can give them the width of the bins for each set of data. Also, put the definition of “outlier” on the board (if not already in the toolkit) so students can remember what it means for problems 813 and 8-15. Problems 8-12 to 8-15 and 8-21 to 8-26 After most groups are done with 8-15, put the idea that outliers affect the mean much more than the median in the toolkit. Exit Ticket or individual work: 8-21 and 8-26 Lesson Overview – Day 3 Description of Lesson: Do CPM 8.1.3 problems 8-30 to 8-36. Tell students that they are learning about 2 new ways to represent data, shape and spread. Resources Core Connections, Course 1, CPM 8.1.3 Problems 8-30 to 8-36 Introduction to Standard Deviation worksheet For the section about shape, add “skewed right and skewed left” to the descriptions. Provide the CPM glossary as a resource for students who are not familiar with certain words. Also, add this to the toolkit and remind students that skewed data should use the median as a measure of center since the extreme large and small values will impact the mean more than the median. Tell student to get a checkpoint after 8-35 so they have the appropriate understanding to do 8-36. After students are done, review meaning of absolute mean deviation. Then, pass out the standard deviation worksheet to teach students how to find the standard deviation. You can take the students through this as a whole class or have students work in pairs to decipher how to find the standard deviation. After this, Students will be able to calculate the standard deviation from the calculator, but this teaches them where it comes from. At the end of this worksheet, student should realize that balanced and symmetric distributions have a mean and median that are pretty close in value while skewed data will have different values (connect back to the effect of an outlier). At the end of the lesson, put “standard deviation” in the toolkit. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 14 Notes: Teaching the standard deviation may require 2 days or a block day. Lesson Overview – Days 4-5 Description of Lesson: For day 4, Start with mini-lesson “How to Make a Boxplot” to introduce students to the notion of constructing a boxplot and how to find quartiles and the IQR. Do CPM 8.1.4 problems 8.44 to 8.46. Students should work in groups on these problems. The objective is to represent data graphically in a different way utilizing the boxplot that they’ve just learned about. Resources Making a Boxplot - SFUSD Grade 9 Mathematics Core Curriculum Development Team, June 2014 Core Connections, Course 1, CPM 8.1.4 Problems 8-44 to 8-49 Lesson 8.1.4 Resource Page: High-Temperature Data For day 5, do CPM 8.1.4 problems 8-47 to 8-49. These set of problems allows more practice on how to construct a boxplot and how to interpret data from a box plot. These two lesson days focus mainly on the construction of boxplots and the interpretation of data. During the conclusion of the lessons, put boxplots in their toolkits or learning logs. Notes: The mini-lesson may require some direct-instruction. Lesson Overview – Day 6 Description of Lesson: Do CPM 8.1.5 problems 8-61 to 8-64. Focus on Histograms and boxplots. It is up to the teacher’s discretion on how much focus is emphasized on stem-leaf plots. Resources Core Connections, Course 1, CPM 8.1.5 Problems 8-61 to 8-64 The objective of this lesson is to help students develop a sense to use the appropriate tool to best represent the data. Students will either use a boxplot or histogram to solve the problem and interpret the data. Notes: This website can be used to give students more practice matching histograms with boxplots http://higheredbcs.wiley.com/legacy/college/mann/0470444665/applets/applet_01_v4.html SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 15 Lesson Overview – Day 7 Description of Lesson: Introduce students to the idea of a normal curve with the following video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sqq4k50dxbI Resources Counters Game Worksheet Dice Time: 6:56-9:03 Have students write individually on what they think a “normal curve” is and predict what things in the real world might create a normal distribution. Have a few students share out. Pass out Counters Game and have students bet on numbers 2-12 in their group when adding the sum of 2 dice. Once groups have chosen a strategy, play a game as an entire class and roll dice as a teacher and record outcomes on the board (students should also record on their paper and remove pennies). Stop recording when there is a winner. Students should make a histogram from the data and then find the theoretical probability of rolling sums of 2-12. This is the first opportunity to introduce probability very briefly, but students should have background from 7th grade. The definition is explained in the task, but you may need to spiral this earlier or present it in the do now. For the debrief, teach students how to find the standard deviation and the mean from the calculator. Then, take notes on how to find a z-score given a value, the standard deviation and mean. Use this formula to find the probability (using the table of values) of getting a sum of 3 or less and 11 or more. Students should discuss why these are identical. Notes: You do not have to introduce probability here, but it will come up again in lesson series 2 and again in Advanced Algebra. The standards do not explicitly state that we need to discuss probability in the context of relative frequencies, but we decided to use this language in order to prepare students for future statistics content. Lesson Overview – Day 8 Resources Description of Lesson: The objective of this lesson is to have students be able to find the z-score of a value in a population. Have students work in groups to work through the activity “Height of Basketball Height of Basketball Players (adapted from http://www.doe.virginia.gov/testing/solsearch/sol/math/A/m_ess_a9_.pdf SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 16 Players.” Once most teams have reached the conclusion, this would be an ideal time to lead a class discussion about what it means for a value to be certain number of standard deviations away from the mean. From there, direct students to a z-score table to lead a discussion on to read a z-score table and what do the numbers mean (percentage of the area under the normal curve). Z-score table (from http://www.utdallas.edu/dept/abp/zscoretable.pdf Have students calculate the z-scores for the elements 69 and 78, using the formula. Ask why one z-score is positive and one is negative. If students used a positive z-score for the last question on the activity sheet, go back and address this now Have students look at the data and determine how many z-scores would be positive and how many would be negative. Have them explain why this makes sense. Ask students whether they could figure out an element of a data set if they knew only its zscore. Ask what additional information they would need. Help them see how to use the formula and solve for x. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 17 Apprentice Task Matching Histograms and Boxplots What will students do? Mathematics Objectives and Standards Math Objectives: ● Students ● ● ● will be able represent univariate data with dot plots, histograms and boxplots and bivariable data with scatterplots and two-way frequency tables Students will be able perform numerical analyses of the data using shape, center and spread and interpret the significance of those elements within context; students know that the median is a more appropriate measure of center for skewed data Students will be able to estimate population percentages using the area under the normal curve and z-scores Students will be able to compare two distributions of data and determine which distribution is most likely to contain a particular data point Framing Student Experience Launch: Today you will use your knowledge of distributions to match different graphical representations of data and to discuss shape, center and spread. You may use your notes, toolkits and any previous work to help you. We will be using a participation quiz to make sure that you are staying together and giving justifications for your answers. During: Record justifications that you hear in each group. Give points for use of vocabulary and sticking together before moving to a different match. At the 1st checkpoint, tell students if there is an error, but walk away so they can correct it. If correct, do a shuffle quiz to ask one person from the group to defend a match. S-ID 1, S-ID 2, S-ID 3, S-ID 4 For the 2nd checkpoint, do another shuffle quiz to have one person defend which measure of center and spread they used depending on the shape. Make sure students are creating parallel boxplots and labeling their scale as they go. Again, write down when groups use vocabulary. Potential Misconceptions Closure/Extension: CCSS-M Standards Addressed: ● ● ● Students may combine the data and create 1 boxplot for both classes. Instead of subtracting the percent from 100% to find the area to the right, students may just use the percent reported in the table, which is the percent of student who would be shorter. Students may forget that skewed data required the use of IQR and median since extreme values will affect the mean more significantly As an extension, ask students to find the height that would be taller than 89.8% of the population. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 18 Matching Histograms and Boxplots How will students do this? Focus Standards for Mathematical Practice: 2) Reason abstractly and quantitatively; 7) Look for and make use of structure Structures for Student Learning: Toolkits, roles, previous work Academic Language Support: Vocabulary: outliers, shape, center, spread, quartile, boxplot, IQR, standard deviation, mean, median Sentence frames: The shape of the distribution is...because…; I will use the median and IQR because…; I will use the mean and the standard deviation because…; The value...is an outlier because…. Differentiation Strategies: Participation Structures (group, partners, individual, other): Group of 4 with roles and checkpoints SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 19 Lesson Series #2 Lesson Series Overview: Students find joint, marginal and conditional relative frequencies from a 2-way table, fit a function to linear and quadratic data, and find and analyze the residuals in order to determine the fit of a function CCSS-M Standards Addressed: S-ID 5, S- ID 6a, S- ID 6b, S-ID 6b Time: 7 days Lesson Overview – Day 1-2 Description of Lesson: Resources A Sweet Task (adapted from STEW, http://www.amstat.org/education/stew/) Do Now: Create a one-way table for the neighborhoods students live in (or you can choose another identifying characteristic for which each student only belongs to one category) for your classroom. Include the total, but leave one of the neighborhoods blank. Ask students to find the ratio of students who live in certain neighborhoods. A Sweet Task Exit Ticket (from STEW, http://www.amstat.org/education/stew/). In the debrief of the Do Now, talk about how the ratio also represents the probability if a student from the class is chosen at random. (Probability is not mentioned in this unit’s standards, but it can be introduced here so students are more familiar with it in Advanced Algebra). Show reported statistics for the distribution of colors for M&Ms and Skittles using the website: http://www.exeter.edu/documents/mandm.pdf We are going to use statistics to see if this claim is true. Pass out Sweet Task, 1 per student. Groups show work together to fill out the table and sort candy. Teacher needs to collect data from all group and report class data for the 2-way table. Put joint, marginal and conditional probability in toolkit towards the end of class. Ask groups to determine if they think the M&M company’s claim is true based on their individual vs. whole class data. Pass out exit ticket and give 10 minutes for students to work individually. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 20 Notes: This lesson may take 2 days or one block period. A good place to stop would be before the conditional probabilities. Lesson Overview – Day 3 Description of Lesson: Students will need more practice analyzing two-way tables and joint, marginal and conditional frequencies. Tell them that this is a new skill, so mistake and confusion are ok and help with the learning process. Resources CPM CCA 10.1.1 Problems 10-8 to 10-9 Do a Do Now that review changing fractions to percents since students will need this for the task. Pass out Two-way table practice. Students should work in pairs. Remind students of the given notation, where the given comes after the line. Students should use toolkits and notes from the previous day to help. The second part of the task ask students to calculate percents and determine if there is an association between the variables. Popular has no association since the percents remain pretty much the same. Students may think that grades and athletic have an association, even though there is no clear pattern. Let me share their ideas and compare to the high school table where the association is much more obvious. When student are finished, they should work on problems 10-8 and 10-9 from CPM Core Connections Algebra Statistic Supplement. Lesson Overview – Day 4 Resources Description of Lesson: The objective of this lesson is an introduction to determine association between two variables of data and informally find the line of best-fit. How High Can You Jump Worksheet from STEW http://www.amstat.org/education/stew/pdfs/HowHighCanYouJ ump.pdf Prior to this lesson, designate an area big and tall enough for students to jump. Teacher may want to place markers on the wall before this activity so that students can get a more accurate CPM CCA Chapter 6 Methods and Meanings Resource SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 21 reading for their data. Students will work in groups on this worksheet. Groups will gather data about their jump heights. After each group has completed gathering data, have the class come together, and write down the totals for every as a class total. Have each student/group construct boxplots, compare the data, and have them draw conclusions. Have each student/group draw a scatterplot and complete the worksheet. Draw the class back together and discuss what kind of relationship exists between the student heights and jump heights. Is that relationship positive? Negative? Neutral? Can they fit a line through the data points? How can they find that line? How many different lines can there be? Teacher may want to model this. Lesson Overview – Day 5 Resources Description of Lesson: This lesson begins with groups working on the the Pizza Party problem. This problem introduces the concept of a negative association between two variables. Students should try to find the equation of the line of best-fit. After groups have completed the worksheet, lead a discussion about the slope and y-intercept of the line of best-fit. Why are they important? What do groups think the slope and intercept mean? Can they use this information to predict a value? Pizza Party (adapted from Statistics Through Applications 2nd Edition, W.H. Freeman and Company, 1996, Chapter 4, p. 173) CPM CCA 6.1.1 Problem 6-4 The second half of the day is from CPM problem 6-4. This problem gives more practice on finding the line of best fit, interpreting the data, and predicting a value. Lesson Overview – Day 6 Description of Lesson: The objective of this lesson is to study residuals. Have groups work on CPM problems 6-10 through 6-14. Residuals are defined from the beginning and students will have the opportunity to see the physical representation of residuals as the distance of a point from the line of best fit. Resources CPM CCA 6.1.2 Problem 6-10 through 6-14 Recommended HW: CCA 6-16 and 6-24 6-13 gives the students practice with residuals and continues to spiral in the interpretations of slope and y-intercepts. 6-14 brings in the notion of negative residuals and what do they mean. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 22 Lead a class discussion at the end to summarize the definition of residuals and to ensure that all students know how to calculate them. Notes: A 6-page Methods and Meanings handout that includes all the notes from the CPM Statistics Supplement for Core Connections Course 1 is included in the Resources folder. This might be a resource you provide to students. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 23 Expert Task How Strong is the Association Between Income and Race? What will students do? Mathematics Objectives and Standards Framing Student Experience Math Objectives: ● Students will be able to represent univariate data with dot plots, histograms and boxplots and bivariate data with scatterplots and twoway frequency tables; Students will be able to recognize associations and trends in the two-way tables ● Students will be able to perform numerical analyses of the data using shape, center and spread and interpret the significance of those elements within context; students know that the median is a more appropriate measure of center for skewed data ● For a linear function, Students will be able to interpret slope and yintercept in context. Launch: Today we will investigate our own neighborhoods in San Francisco in order to determine if there is an association between median household income and race. CCSS-M Standards Addressed: S-ID 1, 2, 3, 5, 6b, 7 *Since this is the end of the year, hopefully there will be norms and ground rules that allow students to share their ideas safely, without judgement. If not, it may be helpful to set explicit ground rules before this conversation: confidentiality, respect the experience of others, one mic, etc. Remind students about the different graphical representations--boxplot, scatterplot, histogram--and the different parts of the equation of the line of best fit. Potential Misconceptions ● Do Now: Have students do a quick write about their impression of the relationship between race and income. They should pair share with a partner and then ask for volunteers to share with the whole class. Students may switch the values of x and y for the line of best fit. Students may use the wrong representation for univariate vs bivariate data. Students may read the given incorrectly when finding conditional probabilities. Students should be able to use their toolkits and any previous assignments that will help them with the two-way tables or residual plotting. During: Similar to the apprentice task, the teacher can conduct this as a participation quiz where groups are given points for using their role and staying together. Pay particular attention to vocabulary usage and justifications. Before the first checkpoint, make sure the student choose an appropriate graphical display. At the first checkpoint, do a shuffle quiz to ask students to defend one of the following: shape center, spread. Before the second checkpoint, make sure the scale of the scatterplot will allow students to see the association. Since the income value may be larger than typical value, you can also give them a hint or provide the scale for them. At the second checkpoint, SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 24 do another shuffle quiz to have students defend the strength and direction of the association using the scatterplot. Before the third checkpoint, make sure students are plugging in percent (1 instead of 0.01) for x and calculating the y, median household income. You can also provide the formula for residual (actual - predicted) or have them reference their notes if they forget. At the third checkpoint, do a final shuffle quiz for the interpretation of the residual plot or the outliers--whichever you think needs the most emphasis for your particular class. The last part goes back to two-way tables in context and is not the most important part of this task since student knowledge was assessed at the beginning of lesson series 2. Think of this as more of an extension and review of previous material. Closure/Extension: Compare the statistical analysis of the data with the pre-write at the beginning of class and students experience with different neighborhoods of San Francisco. You can also have students hypothesize about the association between median household income and other races in San Francisco--Black, Asian, Latino. You can also show this video to highlight the dire state of wealth inequality in the USA: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LlYojsi3Zqw It uses good vocabulary like “quintile” (connect to quartile) and can be related back to the state of wealth inequality in San Francisco. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 25 How Strong is the Association Between Income and Race? How will students do this? Focus Standards for Mathematical Practice: 3) Construct viable arguments and critique the reasoning of others (Mayor Lee); 6) Attend to precision Structures for Student Learning: Think-pair-share before task; participation quiz during assessment; shuffle quiz at checkpoints Academic Language Support: Vocabulary: residual, line of best fit, slope, y-intercept, association, shape, center, spread, quartile, conditional probability, validity, Sentence frames: We chose to use a ... (graphical representation) because…; % White and median household income have a ….association because…; The slope means…; The y-intercept means…; The residuals do/do not provide convincing evidence for the linear model because…; The outliers are...because…; The real world supports this conclusion because…; The table is/is not correct because…; Mayor Lee’s conclusion is/is not correct because... Differentiation Strategies: The last part of the task can be used as an extension for the students who finish early; students can also be asked to plot the nonwhite percent vs. median household income Participation Structures (group, partners, individual, other): individual and pair for pre-write; group for task SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 26 Lesson Series #3 Lesson Series Overview: The objective of this lesson series is to go more in-depth with the statistical analysis of a set of data. Students find the Least Squares Regression Line, do Residual Plots, find the Correlation Coefficient, differentiate between causation and correlation, and fit a parabolic line to a scatterplot. CCSS-M Standards Addressed: S-ID 7, S-ID 8, S-ID 9 Time: 8 days Lesson Overview – Day 1-2 Description of Lesson: Day 1 - Students will use graphing calculators to find the equation of a Least Squares Regression Line. Begin with problems CPM 6-30 to 6-31. These problems should be done in groups. After giving them time to work on the problems, lead a class discussion on residuals and the notion about how residuals is the distance from the predictions are to the actual observed value. Keep in mind about the sum of the residuals, positive residuals, and negative residuals. Ensure that every group finds the sum of the residuals for this part of the discussion to happen. If possible, continue on to 6.32. Resources Core Connections, Algebra/Integrated 1, CCA CPM 6.1.4 Problems 6-30 through 6-33. Lesson 6.1.4 Resource Page Day 2 - Have groups work on CPM problems 6-32 to 6-33. The objective of this lesson is to show students how to use graphing calculators to find the LSRL and residuals. Notes: It is recommended that on Day 2, to spend a few minutes to review the commands and functions of the graphing calculator. Lesson Overview – Day 3-4 Description of Lesson: Day 3 - Have groups work on CPM CCA 6-47 to 6-50. The objective of this lesson is to practice generating scatterplots and LSRL’s with a graphing calculator. Students will be able to interpret these graphs and be able to connect that with a separate graph that shows the distances of the residuals from the LSRL. If you can not fit 50 into Day 1, do it on Day 2. Resources Core Connections, Algebra/Integrated 1, CCA CPM 6.2.1 Problems 6-47 through 52, 6-55 a, d, e, f. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 27 Day 4 - Have groups work on CPM CCA 6-51 to 6-52 and 6-55 a, d, e, f. Students will calculate residuals by hand and sum them up, which should equal zero. This will solidify the concept that was eluded to on Day 1. Model how to generate a residual plot for students. The last few problems are practice. Notes: Ensure that students read or summarize methods and meanings on LSRL Lesson Overview – Day 5-6 Description of Lesson: Resources Core Connections, Algebra/Integrated 1, CCA CPM 6.2.2 Problems 6-67 to 6-69, 6-71, 6-73, 6-85, 6-86. Day 5 - Have groups work on CPM prbol6-67 to 6-69, 6-71, 6-73. Students will be able to calculate the correlation coefficient and observe the scatter for various extremes of r. Students will describe an association between two variables in more mathematical terms. The correlation coefficient, r, is an “arbitrary” computation of the strength of linear dependence between the variables—the strength of the linear association. Unlike slope, which has a real-world meaning as the rate of growth, the correlation coefficient does not have an obvious interpretation in an everyday context. As a wrap up of ideas or when circulating, check in with students to see if they noticed that as the data points get closer to the line of best-fit, the value of r gets closer to 1 or -1. Day 6 - Have groups work on CPM problems 6-85 and 6-86. These problems give students more practice with LSRL, Residual plots, and finding r. Lesson Overview – Day 7 Description of Lesson: Have groups work together on CPM 6-79 through 6-83. The objective of this lesson is to have students better understand that cause and effect can’t be determined from a study that reports an association. In other words, association is not causation. Resources Core Connections, Algebra/Integrated 1, CCA CPM 6.2.3 Problems 6-79 through 6-83 Correlation is a computation of the mathematical coefficient. The word “association” is akin to relation. For example: “There is a negative association between the number of cars on the SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 28 road and the quality of the air. The correlation coefficient is -0.4” A non-example would be “There is a negative correlation between the number of cars on the road and the quality of the air.” Notes: EL students may struggle with the vocabulary and discussion starters for these activities. It is highly suggested that sentence frames/starters be made available or discussed at the beginning of this lesson. Recommended HW 6-99 and 6-100. Lesson Overview – Day 8 Description of Lesson: Have groups work together on CPM 6-105 a, b, c to 6-106 and 6-111. Students will explore an example of a non-linear line of best-fit. You may want to have students try to fit a line of best-fit by hand first before going to the technology. They will quickly realize that a linear line will not always be the line of best fit. The teacher may pose the question, “If a linear line of best-fit does not work, what shape should the line of best-fit be?” The checkpoint is for students to see that a quadratic function is ideal for that particular situation. Resources Core Connections, Algebra/Integrated 1, CCA CPM 6.2.5 Problems 6-105 a, b, c to 6-106 Review Problems 6-111, 6-122, 6-123 a, b, 6-124, 6-127 Problem 6-111 is a review on causation. If you have time suggested review problems are 6-122, 123 a,b, 6-124, and 6-127. Notes: Ensure that all TI graphing calculators are set to FLOAT to prevent excessive rounding of numbers. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 29 Milestone Task Who Stole the iPhone? What will students do? Mathematics Objectives and Standards Framing Student Experience Math Objectives: ● Students will be able to perform numerical analyses of the data using shape, center and spread and interpret the significance of those elements within context; students know that the median is a more appropriate measure of center for skewed data ● For a linear function, Students will be able to interpret slope and yintercept in context ● For a linear function, Students will be able to compute (with technology) and interpret the correlation coefficient, r, using strength and direction in context ● Students will be able to compare two distributions of data and determine which distribution is most likely to contain a particular data point Launch: Today, you will use your knowledge of linear models and shape, center and spread to figure out who stole an iPhone! CCSS-M Standards Addressed: For part 2, the teacher should remind students to construct parallel boxplots so they can compare the distributions. S-I 2, 3, 5, 8. Potential Misconceptions ● ● As part of a do now, review different types of association--strong, weak, positive and negative. It may also be a good idea to review how to input data in the graphing calculator (or other device) and calculate the r value and line of best fit. During: Since this is an individual task, students should be working quietly. The teacher should make sure students are providing at least 3 justifications for part 1 and pushing them to explain their reasons in a clear, thorough way. Closure/Extension: Students may think that all students could be the thief, but there are only 4 possibilities--Pat, Pablo, Quan and Maurice--since these backpack weights are unknown. Students may think it is sufficient to state the strength and direction of the association, but must use the actual line or the equation to determine which students owns the backpack. After collecting the task, take a poll of the class to see who chose which thief. Or, share methods that you saw students using during class to expose all students to different approaches. SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015 30 Who Stole the iPhone? How will students do this? Focus Standards for Mathematical Practice: 1) Make sense of problems and persevere in solving them; 2) Reason abstractly and quantitatively Structures for Student Learning: toolkits, word wall, visual aids (posters) Academic Language Support: Vocabulary: positive/negative, strong/weak association, scatterplot, boxplot, correlation, residual, slope, y-intercept, distribution Sentence frames: I think _________ stole the iPhone because _______________. My conclusion makes sense because ___________________. Differentiation Strategies: The number of justifications can vary per student. Participation Structures (group, partners, individual, other): individual SFUSD Mathematics Core Curriculum, Algebra 1, Unit S.1: Categorical and Quantitative Data, 2014–2015