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Atmospheric Drag Modeling the Space Environment Manuel Ruiz Delgado European Masters in Aeronautics and Space E.T.S.I. Aeronáuticos Universidad Politécnica de Madrid April 2008 Atmospheric Drag – p. 1/29 Image courtesy NASA Atmospheric Drag Atmospheric Drag – p. 2/29 Image courtesy NASA Atmospheric Drag Effects of Air Drag: MIR Station Reentry March 22, 2001 Watch MIR deorbit video on Youtube (simulation by AGI) Atmospheric Drag – p. 3/29 Aerodynamic Drag Space Aerodynamics Perturbations of Keplerian motion Free molecular flow Ballistic coefficient Drag computation High atmosphere Structure of the atmosphere Sun influence: F10.7 Geomagnetic activity influence: Kp Atmospheric Models Static: Exponential, Harris-Priester, US Standard Dynamic: Jacchia, MSISE, COSMOS Atmospheric Drag – p. 4/29 Perturbations of Keplerian Motion Accelerations of the Satellite (BC=50) 1e+006 Kepler J2 C22 Sun Moon Drag (low) Drag (high) Prad Shuttle 10000 Acceleration (m/s2) 100 1 ISS 0.01 0.0001 1e−006 1e−008 0 100 200 300 400 500 Height (km) 600 700 800 900 Atmospheric Drag – p. 5/29 Perturbations of Keplerian Motion Accelerations of the Satellite (BC=50) 1e+006 Kepler J2 C22 Sun Moon Drag (low) Drag (high) Prad 10000 Acceleration (m/s2) 100 1 0.01 GPS GEO 0.0001 1e−006 1e−008 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 Height (km) 30000 35000 40000 Atmospheric Drag – p. 6/29 Space Aerodynamics Free molecular flow: Knudsen No. ≫1 Molecules interact one by one with the body: incident flow not disturbed by the body. Space Aerodynamics Free molecular flow: Knudsen No. ≫1 Molecules interact one by one with the body: incident flow not disturbed by the body. Ma L Kn = = d Re L : Mean free path of the molecules d : Characteristic longitude of satellite Space Aerodynamics Free molecular flow: Knudsen No. ≫1 Molecules interact one by one with the body: incident flow not disturbed by the body. Ma L Kn = = d Re Kn ≫ 1 Kn ∼ 1 Kn ≪ 1 L : Mean free path of the molecules d : Characteristic longitude of satellite Free molecular flow Transition Continuum flow Space environment (Complex: reentry) Classical aerodynamics ECSS-E-10-04A defines Kn > 3 as free molecular regime Free molecular flow over 150 km (small satellites) or 250 km (shuttle, ISS) Atmospheric Drag – p. 7/29 Impact Types p1 n θ θ p2 Elastic impact: Drag coefficient: p1 n p2 p2 = p1 + 2p1 cos θn CD = 4 p2 = p1 /2 Diffuse refflection: Drag coefficient: CD = 2 − 4 Impact Types p1 n θ θ p2 Elastic impact: Drag coefficient: p1 n p2 p2 = p1 + 2p1 cos θn CD = 4 p2 = p1 /2 Diffuse refflection: Drag coefficient: CD = 2 − 4 p1 Absorption (diffuse emission later): Drag coefficient: p2 = 0 CD = 2 p1 Atmospheric Drag – p. 8/29 Atmospheric Drag Force over the surface dA⊥ , incidence angle θ: ∆m = ρvdA⊥ ∆t ⇒ θ v∆ t z dA⊥ ∆p x dF = = ρv 2 [1 + f (θ)]dA⊥ ∆t v y Atmospheric Drag Force over the surface dA⊥ , incidence angle θ: ∆m = ρvdA⊥ ∆t ⇒ θ v∆ t z dA⊥ ∆p x dF = = ρv 2 [1 + f (θ)]dA⊥ ∆t Integrating over the whole surface gives the drag acceleration: 1 CD A D =− aD = ρ |vrel | vrel m 2 m v y Atmospheric Drag Force over the surface dA⊥ , incidence angle θ: ∆m = ρvdA⊥ ∆t ⇒ θ v∆ t z dA⊥ v ∆p x dF = = ρv 2 [1 + f (θ)]dA⊥ ∆t y Integrating over the whole surface gives the drag acceleration: 1 CD A D =− aD = ρ |vrel | vrel m 2 m Lateral drag: vrel vt CD = Ak CD⊥ + CDk A⊥ Orbital speed: vrel ∼ 8 km/s Thermal speed: vt ∼ 1 km/s ( 12 mv 2 = 32 kT ) Important for light or svelte craft Atmospheric Drag – p. 9/29 Atmospheric Drag 1 CD A D aD = =− ρ |vrel | vrel m 2 m vrel Speed relative to the atmosphere ◮ Rotation, winds Atmospheric Drag 1 CD A D aD = =− ρ |vrel | vrel m 2 m vrel CD Speed relative to the atmosphere Drag Coefficient: ◮ Rotation, winds ◮ difficult to measure ◮ CD ∼ 2 − 2.4 (1-4) Atmospheric Drag D 1 CD A aD = ρ |vrel | vrel =− m 2 m vrel CD A Speed relative to the atmosphere Drag Coefficient: Frontal area ◮ Rotation, winds ◮ difficult to measure ◮ CD ∼ 2 − 2.4 (1-4) ◮ depends on attitude Atmospheric Drag 1 CD A D aD = =− ρ |vrel | vrel m 2 m vrel CD A ρ Speed relative to the atmosphere Drag Coefficient: Frontal area Atmospheric density: ◮ Rotation, winds ◮ difficult to measure ◮ CD ∼ 2 − 2.4 (1-4) ◮ depends on attitude ◮ ∼ 15% error Atmospheric Drag 1 CD A D aD = =− ρ |vrel | vrel m 2 m vrel CD A ρ Speed relative to the atmosphere Drag Coefficient: ◮ Rotation, winds ◮ difficult to measure ◮ CD ∼ 2 − 2.4 (1-4) ◮ depends on attitude Frontal area Atmospheric density: ◮ ∼ 15% error m β= Ballistic coefficient: (β ↑, aD ↓) CD A CD A Some authors use the opposite form: BC= m Atmospheric Drag – p. 10/29 Computing Drag 4 problems: Calibrating CD or β : Differential Correction MapleOD Propagating orbits with drag: atmospheric model Computing satellite lifetime: averaged equations Atmospheric research King-Hele Computing Drag 4 problems: Calibrating CD or β : Differential Correction MapleOD Propagating orbits with drag: atmospheric model Computing satellite lifetime: averaged equations Atmospheric research King-Hele Effects on the orbit Seculars: a ↓, e ↓→ Reentry Circularization phase Spiral phase: reenty Spiral Maplanim Mir ISS Mars Periodic: Ω, ω, i (through atmospheric rotation) Atmospheric Drag – p. 11/29 Structure of the Atmosphere 102 km Ionosphere 103 Exosphere Thermopause Dominant constituent He Thermosphere ISS, Shuttle O Mesopause Mesosphere Stratopause Stratosphere 101 Clouds ↑ N2 Tropopause Mt Everest Troposphere 100 Sea Level Atmospheric Drag – p. 12/29 Constituents - Solar low Constituents: Low Solar Activity 1e+030 N2 O O2 He Ar H N 3 Density (molec/m ) 1e+025 1e+020 1e+015 1e+010 100000 1 1e−005 1e−010 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Height (km) Atmospheric Drag – p. 13/29 Exospheric Temperature T∞ vs Solar Activity ◮ 1800 1600 1400 High Mean Low T (ºK) 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Atmospheric Drag – p. 14/29 Density vs Solar Activity ◮◮ 100 High Mean Low 1 3 Density (kg/m ) 0.01 0.0001 1e−006 1e−008 1e−010 1e−012 1e−014 1e−016 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Atmospheric Drag – p. 15/29 Location-Related Changes In Static Models, properties change only with location: Location-Related Changes In Static Models, properties change only with location: *** Height: Hydrostatic equilibrium ⇒ ρ = ρ0 e h0 −h H ◮ hell Location-Related Changes In Static Models, properties change only with location: *** Height: Hydrostatic equilibrium ⇒ ρ = ρ0 e h0 −h H hell ◮ φg ** Latitude: change of height through flattening S Height over the Ellipsoid changes with longitude: ∆hell = 0 − 21 km ⇔ ∆ρ hcir h''ell S h'ell φg E h ell S Location-Related Changes In Static Models, properties change only with location: *** Height: Hydrostatic equilibrium ⇒ ρ = ρ0 e h0 −h H hell ◮ φg ** Latitude: change of height through flattening S Height over the Ellipsoid changes with longitude: ∆hell = 0 − 21 km ⇔ ∆ρ hcir h''ell S h'ell φg h ell S E * Longitude: Temporal change (day/night) λg Subsolar hump Small space variation (seas, mountains → atmosphere), mainly at low heights. Atmospheric Drag – p. 16/29 Causes of Time-Related Changes In Time-varying Models, properties change with location and time: Sun spots UV/EUV radiation Index F10.7 Solar activity Density ρ(t) Solar wind Internal geomagnetic field Geomagnetic activity Index Kp / Ap Atmospheric Drag – p. 17/29 Time Changes Due to the Sun ∼ 85% ◮ Image courtesy NASA Sunspot 11 year cycle: Sunspot Number ∼ EUV (10-120 nm) ⇒ T∞ ⇒ ρ EUV not measurable: PROXY F10,7 , F10.7 81 Atmospheric Drag – p. 18/29 Time Changes: Sun and Geomagnetic Field Diurnal variations: ∼ 15% Solar UV radiation heats up the atmosphere: ρ ↑ Max: subsolar hump, delayed 2-2:30 pm. Antipod Min Density ρ depends on: Apparent local solar time LHA⊙ of satellite Solar declination δ⊙ Geodetic latitude φg of satellite jach/hed Time Changes: Sun and Geomagnetic Field ∼ 15% Diurnal variations: Solar UV radiation heats up the atmosphere: ρ ↑ Max: subsolar hump, delayed 2-2:30 pm. Antipod Min Density ρ depends on: Apparent local solar time LHA⊙ of satellite jach/hed Solar declination δ⊙ Geodetic latitude φg of satellite Magnetic storms: Earth field’s fluctuations: Solar storms: short but large effect: small effect Up to 30% Influence ρ through the geomagnetic indices Kp or Ap Atmospheric Drag – p. 19/29 Other Changes Variable 0 − 10% Solar rotation period of 27 days: Visible sunspots change EUV radiation changes Affects ρ through F10.7 and F10.7 81 (81 day average) Other Changes Variable 0 − 10% Solar rotation period of 27 days: Visible sunspots change EUV radiation changes Affects ρ through F10.7 and F10.7 81 (81 day average) Semi-annual variation: Sun distance changes. Small Cyclical variations: 11-year cycles are not regular. ESA’s standard cycle. Small Atmospheric rotation: difficult to know. Decreases with height. Co-rotation is a good estimate. < 5% Winds: Not well known. Models not mature. Low orbits. Tides: The atmosphere also suffers tides. Models. Small Small Atmospheric Drag – p. 20/29 Data Sources Before Space Age: nothing known about the properties of the atmosphere above 150 km Early satellites: orbit tracking. Assume CD , compute ρ Careful with NORAD TLE’s ṅ: may include other accelerations On-board accelerometers: non-gravitational accelerations On-board mass spectrometers: chemical composition, temperature Incoherent scatter ground-based radar: electron and ion distribution, which is related to neutral density and composition Atmospheric Drag – p. 21/29 Static Models Properties Simple, low computation time, reasonable results Good for theoretical or long-range studies (averaged) Errors up to 40% (Mean Sun) or 60% (High Sun) Time-varying models also have errors (∼15%) Static Models Properties Simple, low computation time, reasonable results Good for theoretical or long-range studies (averaged) Errors up to 40% (Mean Sun) or 60% (High Sun) Time-varying models also have errors (∼15%) Exponential structure: Spherical symmetry, co-rotating with Earth Hydrostatic equilibrium + perfect gas: ρ = ρ0 e Reference density and height, ρ0 , h0 Scale height H (changes with h!) h0 −h H ◮ Atmospheric Drag – p. 22/29 Static Models US Standard Atmosphere 62, 76 (0-1000 km) Tabulated Ideal, stationary atmosphere, at 45o N, moderate solar activity CIRA 65-90 (0-2500 km) COSPAR-International Reference Atmosphere. CIRA-72 and -86 incorporate dynamic models for h > 100km Harris-Priester (0-1000 km) Static. Fast. Tabulated for T∞ ⇒ Interpolate Includes subsolar hump (only LHA⊙ , equinoctial) Atmospheric Drag – p. 23/29 Time-Varying Models Comprehensive: include all the main effects Inherent errors: unpredictable Sun, proxies, data fit Better with past measured data. Reasonable predictions Numerically intensive ∼ 15% Time-Varying Models Comprehensive: include all the main effects Inherent errors: unpredictable Sun, proxies, data fit Better with past measured data. Reasonable predictions Numerically intensive Jacchia-Roberts (65,71,77, 81) ∼ 15% (70-700 km) The first. Uses satellite data. Late, also ISR Profile for T∞ (F10,7 , F 10,7 , Kp , φg , λ, δ⊙ , LHA⊙ , MJD, UT) Numerical int. diffusion PDE of each constituent: ρ(h) . Roberts: Integrate several profiles, tabulated polynomial fit Computationally intensive FORTRAN: MET/71, 77 Vallado and Montenbruck describe different modifications of the Jacchia model Atmospheric Drag – p. 24/29 Time-Varying Models MSIS 83, 86, MSISE 90, 2000 (0-2000 km) Mass Spectrometer & Incoherent Scatter + satellite tracking ¯ i) Profile T∞ (JD, hel , λg , φg , LST, F10.7 , F̄10.7 , Api , Ap Diffusion PDE for each constituent: 1 dni ni dh + 1 Hi + 1+αi dT T dh =0, series integration (faster) Add partial densities: ρ(h) = P ρi More recent, faster, exact; J-R still better in some cases ESA recommended standard / Mean cycle for predictions FORTRAN code available / Indices data sources: • ftp://ftp.ngdc.noaa.gov/STP/GEOMAGNETIC_DATA/INDICES/KP_AP/ • http://celestrak.com/SpaceData/ (Average F107 computed) Atmospheric Drag – p. 25/29 Time-Varying Models COSMOS (160-600 km) Tracking data fit of the COSMOS satellites ρ = ρn k1 k2 k3 k4 ρn - Night density profile: exponential k1 - Solar activity correction, F10.7 , 4 values k2 - Day/Night correction k3 - Semi-annual correction (small) k4 - Geomagnetic correction, ap Very simple, modular, fast, available (cf. Vallado) Good for orbits similar to the COSMOS satellites “Density Model for Satellite Orbit Predictions.” GOST 25645-84 Atmospheric Drag – p. 26/29 Comparison of Time-Varying Models Model Jacchia 71 Jacchia-Roberts Jacchia-Lineberry Jacchia-Gill Jacchia 77 Jacchia-Lafontaine MSIS 77 MSIS 86 TD88 DTM CPU 1,00 0,22 0,43 0.11 10,69 0,86 0,06 0,32 0,01 0,03 ∆ρ 0,01 0,13 0,02 0,13 0,13 0,18 0,21 0.91 0,40 ∆ρmax 0,03 0,35 0,08 0,35 0,36 0,53 1,45 7,49 1,22 Data from Montenbruck, p. 100 Atmospheric Drag – p. 27/29 Conclusions Atmospheric Drag is significant between 200-700 km Uncertainties in CD , ρ, A Static models have large erros Time-varying models’ typical error is about 15% Because of the model: indirect proxy Because of the Sun’s uncertainty Because of the fast solar storms Density is the heaviest computation load of orbit propagation Use the simplest model within the required precision New models coming, error down to 5% : Solar-2000, HASDM Space sensors allow direct measuring of EUV, without proxies Atmospheric Drag – p. 28/29 COWELL with drag acceleration ẏ = f (y, t) Begin Input data KB/File Initializations Load Indices Common block ITRF / H, Lat-Long rGCRF ODE Integrator Call Int step Save Data FILE Call Derivs Density Hell , φg , λ Drag Accel Other Accel End Atmospheric Drag – p. 29/29