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ECO 102 Macroeconomics Chapter 3 Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Prof. Dr. Magdy El-Shourbagui Head of the Department of Economics College of Business & Economics Misr University for Science & Technology www.magdyel-shourbagui.com 1 Learning Objectives Define the following terms: aggregate demand, aggregate supply, economy’s potential real GDP, and macroeconomic equilibrium. Distinguish between the aggregate demand curve and the aggregate supply curve. Identify and describe the reasons for downward slope of the aggregate demand curve. Identify and describe the factors that shift the aggregate demand curve. Explain and illustrate graphically the macroeconomic equilibrium in the short run 2 The Meaning of Aggregate Demand Aggregate Demand, AD is the quantity demanded of all final goods and services (Real GDP) at different price levels. AD can be calculated by the following equation: Real GDP = Y = AD = C + I + G + NX = C + I + G + (X -M) Where: C = personal consumption spending, I = gross private domestic spending, G = government spending, NX = net exports of goods and services, X = exports of goods and services, and M = imports of goods and services. 3 The Aggregate Demand Curve The Aggregate demand, AD curve is downward-sloping, specifying a negative relationship between the price level as independent variable and the quantity of real GDP demanded as dependent variable. 4 Reasons for Downward slope of the Aggregate Demand Curve 1. The price level and consumption (The Real wealth effect or the real money balance effect), 2. The price level and investment (The interest rate effect), and 3. The price level and net exports (The international trade effect). 5 1. The price level and consumption (The Real wealth effect or the real money balance effect), Real Wealth is the value of money in bank, bonds, stocks, and non-monetary assets people own measured in terms of what they will buy. The price level consumers feel wealthier quantity of goods and services demanded the real purchasing power of money balances (currency and bank deposits) and the real, monetary wealth real wealth. encourages them to spend more quantity demanded of Real GDP 6 2. The Price Level and Investment (The Interest Rate Effect) the purchasing power of money the domestic saving the banks will provide more loans supply of credit money needed to buy fixed bundle of goods and services the interest rate spending on investment goods by households and businesses 7 3. The Price Level and Net Exports (The International Trade Effect) the domestic goods will be cheaper relative to foreign goods Exports (X) and Imports (M) Net Exports (NX) 8 A Change in the Quantity Demanded of the Real GDP: A Movement along the Aggregate Demand Curve A change in the quantity demanded of real GDP caused by a change in the price level. It is shown by a movement along the aggregate demand curve P Y 9 A Change in Aggregate Demand: Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve A Change in aggregate demand is the change in the quantity demanded of real GDP as the change in the following factors: Consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports. These factors will affect the quantity demanded of real GDP at any given price level. The aggregate demand curve shifts, when one of the factors above changes. 10 An Increase in Aggregate Demand An increase in aggregate demand is represented by an outward shift of the entire aggregate demand curve. If aggregate demand increases, greater quantities of real GDP are demanded at each possible price level for the year. 11 A Decrease in Aggregate Demand A decrease in aggregate demand is represented by an inward shift of the entire aggregate demand curve. When aggregate demand decreases, a less quantity of real GDP is demanded at each possible price level for the year. 12 Factors that shift the Aggregate Demand Curve The aggregate demand curve will shift as a result of changes in the following: 1. 2. 3. 4. Consumption Spending (C); Investment Spending (I); Government Spending (G); and Net Exports (NX). The AD curve shifts to the right side when aggregate demand increases. However, the AD curve shifts to the left side when aggregate demand decreases. 13 Factors that shift the Aggregate Demand Curve 1. Consumption Spending (C) The following factors can cause consumption spending to change: a) Consumer Wealth; b) Personal Income Taxes; and c) Expectations about Future Income, and Inflation. a) Consumer Wealth Consumer Wealth Consumption Spending (C) consumers feel wealthier aggregate demand demand for goods and services by consumers rightward shift of the aggregate demand curve 14 Factors that shift the Aggregate Demand Curve b) Personal Income Taxes personal income tax Consumption Spending (C) disposable income of households aggregate demand rightward shift of the aggregate demand curve 15 Factors that shift the Aggregate Demand Curve c) Expectations about Future Income, and Inflation expected future income Consumption Spending (C) A increase in expected inflation Consumption Spending (C) the amount of consumption goods that people plan to buy today aggregate demand rightward shift of the aggregate demand curve buying goods and services cheaper today aggregate demand rightward shift of the aggregate demand curve 16 Factors that shift the Aggregate Demand Curve 2. Investment Spending (I) The following factors can cause investment spending to change: a) Interest Rates; b) Corporate Profits Taxes; and c) Expectations about Future Sales. a) Interest Rates The interest rates Investment Spending (I) borrowing by investors aggregate demand rightward shift of the aggregate demand curve 17 Factors that shift the Aggregate Demand Curve b) Corporate Profits Taxes Taxes on profits of firms Investment Spending (I) firms after-tax profits aggregate demand rightward shift of the aggregate demand curve 18 Factors that shift the Aggregate Demand Curve c) Expectations about Future Sales Expected future sales Investment Spending ( I ) today profits expectations aggregate demand rightward shift of the aggregate demand curve 19 Factors that shift the Aggregate Demand Curve 3. Government Spending (G) An increase in government purchases of goods and services increases aggregate demand. This shifts the aggregate demand curve to the right 4. Net Exports (NX) The following factors can cause net exports to change: a) Foreign Real Income; and b) Foreign Exchange Rate. 20 Factors that shift the Aggregate Demand Curve a) Foreign Real Income Foreign real income (Real GDP of foreign countries) aggregate demand The exports of the home country rightward shift of the aggregate demand curve AD = C + I + G + X - M 21 Factors that shift the Aggregate Demand Curve b) Foreign Exchange Rate Foreign exchange rate (price of foreign currency ) Exports and aggregate demand Imports The prices of domestic goods and services relative to foreign goods and services Net exports rightward shift of the aggregate demand curve 22 The Meaning of Aggregate Supply Aggregate supply, AS is the quantity supplied of all final goods and services (Real GDP) at different price levels. ). This is represented by the aggregate production function: Y = f (N, K, L, T) Where: Y = The aggregate supply (Real GDP); f = depends on; N = Labor; K = Capital; L = Land; T = The State of Technology. 23 The short-Run Aggregate Supply Curve The Short-Run Aggregate Supply, SRAS curve is upward-sloping, specifying a positive relationship between the price level as independent variable and the quantity supplied of real GDP as dependent variable. 24 3.2.2.2 The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve Page 75 till Figure 3.11: A Change in Aggregate Supply in the Short-Run: Shifts of the Short-Run Aggregate Supply Curve page 81 and 3.3.2 Long-Run Macroeconomic Equilibrium page 82 25 1 Short-Run macroeconomic Equilibrium When the quantity demanded of real GDP equals the quantity supplied of real GDP, the Short-Run macroeconomic equilibrium occurs The short-run equilibrium point (n) is the interaction of the AD curve and SRAS curve. This intersection determines the equilibrium price level (Pe) and the equilibrium real GDP (Ye). 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34