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The Logical Framework as an Implementation and Monitoring Tool RBEC Environment & Energy Practice Workshop Almaty, Kazakhstan. 6-9 October 2004 John Hough, UNDP GEF BD PTA Reminder: The LogFrame is an Approach not a Matrix • Methodology -including a set of toolsto structure and facilitate: project planning project design project management project performance assessment Benefits LFA contributes to: structured project design process- logical sequence transparency- clear objectives, side effects participation- ownership, sustainability consistent project strategy assessment of performance- indicators (ex-post & during implementation) Basic Steps and Elements Problem Analysis Stakeholder Analysis Objectives Analysis Analysis of Alternatives Project Planning Project Planning Matrix (PPM) (the “logframe”) Problem Analysis • • • • • Establishing “cause and effect” relationships – a “problem tree” “lack of the solution is not the root cause of the problem”! Identifying “lack of knowledge” as the problem means that the solution is already pre-determined: ie. “provide knowledge” Getting people to focus on what they need to do vs. what they want to do is often the biggest challenge in project development Solution Driven Analysis often leads to solving the wrong problem Lessons learned 1. Doing “good work” or “achieving impact”? 2. “Seeing the wood for the trees” Problem Analysis Stakeholder Analysis Stakeholder Analysis • Problem Analysis cannot be done without Stakeholder Consultation. • Every stakeholder views the problem from a different angle. • Problem analysis and stakeholder identification and analysis are iterative processes, progress in one almost always means returning to the other. Problem Analysis Stakeholder Analysis Objectives Analysis Objectives Analysis • What is the project “going after”? • What are the indicators? Problem Analysis Stakeholder Analysis Objectives Analysis Alternative Analysis Alternative Analysis Systematic search for the best project approach. What outcomes are required to reach the objective? How best to reach each outcome? What outputs are required to reach each outcome? What activities are required to achieve each output? Set up criteria for assessment of alternatives, such as: resources available political feasibility social impact Writing the Objective Tree Objective Outcome 1 Outcome 2 Outcome 3 Fundamental Project Design Outcome 1 + Outcome 2 + Outcome 3 = Objective Lesson Learned • there should be no spare outcomes • nor should there be any outcomes that are not essential for the achievement of the objective In the logical logframe matrix we simply list the outcomes vertically Objective = Outcome 1 + Outcome 2 + Outcome 3 Assumptions Conditions that are necessary for the success of the project, but which are not under the direct influence of the project. Assess conditions according to importance and probability Need to be monitored / risks Pay attention to “killer assumptions” (= need to re-design project) Assumptions vs. Risks • Assumptions tend to be positive eg. “a supportive piece of legislation is passed” • Risks tend to negative eg. “increased pressure on a protected area as a consequence of a resettlement programme” • Assumptions can be formulated negatively as risks, and vice versa – risks as assumptions • Assumptions are generally identified during project design • Risks often appear during project implementation Converting Assumptions to Outcomes through Cofinancing • If a condition required through an assumption can be brought under the influence of the project, then it becomes a project outcome. • The costs of achieving that outcome would count as co-financing Combining Outcomes and Assumptions leads to the Objective Project Objective Outcome 1 Outcome 2 (Cofinanced) Assumption Listing these vertically in a logical logframe matrix we get: • • • • • • Objective = Outcome 1 + Outcome 2 + Outcome 3 + Assumption 1 + Assumption 2 From Objectives to Outcomes to Outputs Project Objective Outcome 1 Output Outcome 2 Output Output Outcome 3 Output Output Output Similarly these are written vertically: • • • • • Outcome 1 = Output 1 + Output 2 + Output 3 + there may be assumptions at this level too! From Objectives to Outcomes to Outputs to Activities Project Objective Outcome 1 (GEF Financed) Output Outcome 2 (Cofinanced) Output Output Output Activity Activity Activity Activity Activity Activity Activity Assumption Activity Input 3. Basic Steps and Elements Planning Phase Project Planning Matrix (PPM) ie. the logframe matrix combines the vertical and horizontal logic • • • • Objective = Outcomes 1+2+3 + Assumptions = Outputs 1+ 2+ 3+4 + Assumptions = Activities 1+2+3+4 + Assumptions 3. Basic Steps and Elements Planning Phase Project Planning Matrix (PPM) Project Planning Matrix (PPM) Reading /Interpreting the PPM Project Planning or “LogFrame” Matrix is a “Summary” of the Project WHY the project is carried out (development objective, immediate objectives) WHAT the project is supposed to produce (outputs) HOW the project is going to achieve the outputs (activities) HOW the success of the project can be measured (indicators) WHERE the data can be found (means of verification) WHICH external factors influence the project (assumptions) WHICH inputs are required for the project (inputs/budget) In a logframe we are not very interested in activities • • • • • Activities are the means to an end We are interested in “ends” or “impacts” Summarize the activities in the logframe Overloading the logframe with activities is confusing, and also a waste of effort since they are likely to change in the light of project circumstances Activities are detailed in a project management annual activity workplan Lesson learned GEF Projects tend to be “overdesigned” - They place far too much emphasis on “activities” - There is too much emphasis on measuring or counting outputs and activities GEF Strategic Business Plan Directions and Targets (GEF/C.21/ Inf.11) The SP’s are what we are “going after” • • • GEF Strategic Priority / Target • Review the impact indicators associated with these Project Objective / Target Project Outcomes / sub-Targets A word on terminology Development Goal = what the project contributes to, but does not on its own achieve Project Objective = what the project is accountable for delivering Project Outcomes = the constituent elements of a project. The sum of the project outcomes = the project objective Project targets are rolled up to achieve the SP targets SP1.Target 2: x (y%) countries show improvements in management effectiveness (policy, legislation, capacity, budgets) = Improvements in country 1 + Improvements in country 2 + etc Putting it all together MDG 7 GEF Achievements Convention Goals GEF 3 Outcomes Strategic Priority Targets UNDAF Outcomes SRF/MYFF Outcomes = (Development Goal) = SRF/MYFF Outputs CP / CPAP Outputs Project Objective Project Outcomes Project Outputs Project Activities Traditional Logframe Table Goals/Objectives/Outcomes Key Performance Indicator Increase protected areas of biodiversity in target region from X% in Year 1 to Y% by Year 2 % of target region protected Reduce CO2 emissions from X in Year 1 to Y by Year 2 Reduction in CO2 emissions Verification Means/Data Collection Strategy Assumptions or Risks Results Measurement Framework Goals/Objectives/ Outcomes Key Performance Indicator Baseline (Year 1) Target (Year 2) Target (Year 3) Target (end of project) Verification Means/Data Collection Strategy Assumptions or Risks ie. the Traditional Logframe Matrix and the Results Measurement Framework are easily combined Goals/Objectives/Outc omes Key Performance Indicator Baseline (Year 1) Target (Year 2) Increase protected areas of biodiversity in target region from X% in Year 1 to Y% by Year 2 % of target region protected X% Y% Reduce CO2 emissions from X in Year 1 to Y by Year 2 Reduction in CO2 emissions X Y Target (Year 3) Verification Means/Data Collection Strategy Assumptions or Risks A more objective PIR / APR? Goals/ Objectives/ Outcomes/ Assumptions & Risks Key Performance Indicator Increase protected areas of biodiversity in target region from X% in Year 1 to Y% by Year 2 % of target region protected Reduce CO2 emissions from X in Year 1 to Y by Year 2 Reduction in CO2 emissions Baseline (Year 1) Target (Year 2) Actual Level Achieved (Year 2) Target (Year x) Actual Level Achieved (Year x) Rating (HS, S, PS, U) X% Y% Z% ? X Y Z ? Excuses offered Using the logframe as an implementation and monitoring tool “Seeing the forest for the trees” • • • Focuses on targets and impacts, not activities or outputs Enables us to revisit the “alternatives” and adjust the activities or outputs on a regular basis Adaptive management Putting it all together MDG 7 GEF Achievements Convention Outcomes GEF 3 Outcomes Strategic Priority Targets UNDAF Outcomes CP/SRF/MYFF Outcomes = (Development Goal) = Project Objective Project Outcomes Project Outputs Project Activities Project Inputs CP/SRF/MYFF Outputs Indicators of What? Level of Objective What it is Objective Outcomes Examples Indicators Biodiversity conserved Changes / Impacts Impact Attitudes changed Institutions changed Outputs Activities Capacitated people Products / Processes Products / Process Workshops held People trained Inputs $ spent Dollars spent Eguipment supplied Delivery Convergence: outcomes and indicators Development Goal Marine Biodiversity in Chile State Pressure Response Output Activities Fish Populations Fishing Intensity Area of MUMPA’s Regulations Demarcation Staffing Workshops Decision Making Financial Tools Project Objective Increased Fish Populations Project Outcomes Reduced Fishing Intensity Outputs MUMPA’s Activities Regulations Demarcation Staffing Decision Making Financial Tools Training Disburseme nt Rates Scaling Objectives Chile Marine Biodiversity Development Goal MUMPA’s Project Objective Development Goal Legal Gazettement of MUMPA’s Outcome Project Objective Development Goal Legislation Output Outcome Project Objective Development Goal Legal Drafting Activity Output Outcome Project Objective Train lawyers Input Activity Output Outcome Objectives of Alternative Projects: • Reduced Fishing Intensity • Increased Fish Populations • MUMPA’s • Regulations • Demarcation • Staffing • Decision Making • Financial Tools Indicators of What? Level of Objective What it is Objective Outcomes Examples Indicators Biodiversity conserved Changes / Impacts Impact Attitudes changed Institutions changed Outputs Activities Capacitated people Products / Processes Products / Process Workshops held People trained Inputs $ spent Dollars spent Eguipment supplied Delivery Good Indicators • • • • Indicator is a quantitative or qualitative variable or parameter that provides a simple and reliable basis for assessing change or performance (the objective or outcome). Verifier. Variable or parameter that retains the essential meaning of the objective and that can be measured on the ground. Qualifier. Contribute to describe the verifier allowing to respond to: what, when, where, who Targets/ Baseline - values associated to the verifiers that define how much the objective is planned/expected to be achieved compared to the situation prior to project start. Intermediate targets (milestones) allow assessment of progress. Example of a Good Indicator Objective: “Conservation of keystone species” Indicator: • At the end of the fifth year (qualifier: when) • the population sizes (qualifier: what) • of species A, B and C (verifier) • within the boundaries of the park (qualifier: where) • have remained constant (target) • compared to X number at project-start level (baseline) Lesson Learned - Procrastination • Project designers defer measuring indicators to the inception phase • The inception phase defers measuring indicators to project implementation • Project implementation defers measuring indicators to the mid-term evaluation • The mid-term evaluation defers measuring indicators to the second half of project implementation • Project implementation defers measuring indicators to the final evaluation • The final evaluators say “we cannot prove this project has achieved anything”