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APPENDIX 2B: APPROACHES TO CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE NETHERLANDS (SCENARIOS, MITIGATION, IDENTIFYING RISKS, ADAPTATION) Table 1: Forecasting climate change (Netherlands) Topic Approach Key organisations/institutions involved in forecasting climate change 1. Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management: this (national) Ministry does not conduct climate change forecasting, but is the main financial contributor to climate change forecasting in the Netherlands 2. Netherlands Ministry for Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment: this (national) Ministry does not conduct climate change forecasting, but does financially promote research programs to strengthen the knowledge infrastructure with regards to climate change forecasting 3. National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM): mainly focuses on climate change forecasting on the international level and analyzing the effects of (mitigation) measures taken to influence climate change. The RIVM is a semi-governmental organization and receives funding from the national government 4. Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute (KNMI): mainly focuses on the beta-side of climate change forecasting and concentrates on observation and monitoring. The KNMI develops scenario’s with regard to precipitation, wind above the Noordzee, temperature and cloudiness. The KNMI is a semi-governmental organization and receives funding from the national government 5. Netherlands Energy Research Foundation (ECN): the emphasis of climate change forecasting at ECN lies on both detecting the (in)direct effect of aerosols on the radiation balance and the development and implementation of a monitor for the verification of green house gas emissions in the Netherlands and Europe. 6. Climate Change and Biosphere Research Centre – Wageningen University and Research Centre (CCB Wageningen UR): climate change forecasting at the CCB Wageningen UR mainly focuses on mechanisms of climate change, e.g. research on the role of land cover in the regional energy and water balance and biogeochemical cycles and research on and monitoring of the formation and emission of Greenhouse Gases. CCB Wageningen UR is part of the University of Wageningen (NL) Organisational level at which climate change forecasting is taking place The level at which forecasting is taking place in the Netherlands varies from the global to the regional level. In particular RIVM and the CCB Wageningen UR are active at the global and European level. At this Topic Approach level the forecasting is mainly taking place by statistical models looking at the most probable development of the climate as a whole. ECN and KNMI are also active at the European level. Both ECN and KNMI focus on more specific aspects of climate change like effects of emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols on the climate and (KNMI) precipitation patterns and cloudiness for large regions within Europe, like Western Europe. With regards to forecasting at the national and regional level KNMI is the most important institute. ECN and CCB Wageningen UR also are active at this level. Like at the European level research mainly focuses on some aspects of climate change, rather than climate change as a whole, e.g. precipitation patterns and cloudiness. Regions that receive a lot of attention are the Rhine-delta, the North sea and agricultural areas. Topic The methods used for forecasting Approach Climate change forecasting in the Netherlands is mainly done by modelling. Scenario’s regarding emissions of greenhouse gases and changes in land use are often used as input. The most important models that are used, are: 1. IMAGE-Model: the RIVM and CCB Wageningen UR have played an important part in setting up this international model; the IMAGE-Model is an integrated, dynamic model for simulating the global Earth system. It does not specifically focus on climate change in the Netherlands. IMAGE uses historical data for the 1765-1995 period to initialise the carbon cycle and climate system. Simulations up to the year 2100 are made on the basis of scenario assumptions. However they are used for scaling-down information to the Dutch national level 2. Global Circulation Models: these models can be defined as statistical models that look at the most probable development of the climate. It is a deterministic model. These models are often used in the Netherlands to analyse global climate change, but do not specifically focus on climate change in the Netherlands. Like the IMAGE-model information from the GCM is sometimes used to scale-down information to the Dutch national level. 3. Intermediate Complexity Climate Model – SPIDO: this model is mainly used by KNMI and can be defined as a simplified climate model; unlike GCM and IMAGE, this model focuses on how variable and sensitive the climate is. It is mainly used to forecast climate change at the level of European or Dutch regions. 4. Regional Atmospheric Climate Models (RACMO): these models can also be defined as statistical models. They are like GCM’s but zoom in on smaller regions like Western-Europe or the Netherlands. Uses emission scenarios to define climate change scenarios. 5. Trajectory Model: a technical model, aimed at monitoring the composition of the atmosphere (ozone, CFK’s) and the greenhouse effect through the use of satellite pictures. Mainly focuses on trends in concentrations. Aims at global as well as regional changes and results/is resulting in an archive with information on de development of the most important greenhouse gases. Topic The outputs produced Availability of outputs Approach In general the regularity of forecasting depends on the project the forecast is part of. Time scales can range from seasonal to centennial. Specifically with regards to the Trajectory Model the KNMI has started to produce daily 5-day forecasts of evolution of the ozone layer, based on chemical analyses. Dutch forecasting mainly focuses on precipitation (also in relation to evaporation), cloudiness and radiation, temperature and wind. Most models result in both numerical data which is translated in maps. The resolution of these maps differs. Grid areas for GCM’s are usually 300 km’s by 300 km’s. Although IMAGE 2.2 is global in application, it performs many of its calculations either on a high-resolution terrestrial 0.5 by 0.5 degree grid or for the 17 world regions. The resolution of the RACMO, SPIDO and TM is closer to 50 km’s by 50 km’s. Output of climate change forecasting is not available from the internet. Forecasting institutions need to be contacted for more specific information. The websites of the different organisations only have general information on data, products and models used. Some data, products and models can be ordered others can be downloaded. For some of the downloadable products or models you need to register yourself. In most cases, if one needs specific information about climate change in a specific area, one needs to contact the institute or organization. Topic Approach Compatibility with spatial planning A lot of the models that are used in the Netherlands produce information on the development of precipitation and the chance of extreme precipitation at quite a low resolution (50 km’s by 50 km’s) this equals the size of the waterboard areas or the “Randstad” area (area in the West of the Netherlands composed out of the four Biggest cities – Amsterdam, Rotterdam, the Hague and Utrecht and the country side and smaller cities, towns and villages around and in between). This makes it possible to show whether or not adjustments to dike systems and water structures should take place and where. It is also possible to show what the frequency will be of the occurrence of fog, snow blizzards or extreme wind speeds in specific Dutch regions. This information is used for (re)constructing infrastructure and the development of tourism. Especially the KNMI focuses on these kind of high resolution projections A summary of the strengths and weaknesses of climate change forecasting (from here onwards) Strengths: Climate change research in Netherlands stands out because of the quality of observations and analyses, especially with regard to statistical measurements, long timelines and cloud-radiation Not only focuses on means of climate change, but also on extremes and the variability of the climate Very far in analysing the effects of chains of models, especially climate models and hydrological models. Climate change forecasting is getting more and more focused on applied research, meaning that in stead of forecasting pure for scientific reasons, forecasting is being done more and more to provide information at the local level about possible climate changes in order for local governments or institutions to be able to attune their plans in the most optimal and effective way; Monitoring the atmospheric composition through satellites. Paul Krutzen even won a Nobel Prize for Chemistry in 1995 with regards to this subject (he was connected to the Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Sciences) Weaknesses: interaction within climate models, particularly between clouds, precipitation and radiation. This is mainly due to firstly the fact that the grid areas of the models are too large, while the interaction takes place at a much lower level, secondly because of the use of wrong parameters and thirdly to short timelines. a lot of climate models reach a deadlock: when dryness occurs, in most models this will lead to decrease of precipitation and further occurrence of dryness, in reality the system is balanced again by external streams not much is known about how to use the knowledge on insecurities in forecasting to make decisions about for example spatial planning; the KNMI is working on how to do this insecurity surrounding projections for Topic Approach Any indication of future work planned in climate change forecasting evaporation is larger than insecurity surrounding temperature; this is caused by insecurities in (global) climate models, insecurities in methods used for local effect calculations, insufficiently dispersed weather- or measuring stations, ill maintenance of instruments and wrong economic or demographic (growth)numbers; to cope with these insecurities forecasting institutions like KNMI incorporated extreme high and low expected levels (both temperature and evaporation) in there projections little is known in the Netherlands about geographical areas that do not exist in the Netherlands, like mountain areas. An interesting development that has just occurred is the initiative “Platform Communication in Climate Change” (PCCC). The main aim of the PCCC is to enlarge the quality, effectiveness and efficiency of communication (especially between scientific research centers) on climate (change) in the Netherlands. Next to that in the future even more attention will be given to adaptation and the usefulness of the output of climate change models and scenarios. This can be seen in the BSIK-programme that is being set up at this moment. This program aims at strengthening the Dutch knowledge economy and tries to stimulate projects in which the corporate world and scientific institutions cooperate. One of the projects is the project called “Climate for Space, Space for Climate” that aims at strengthening the knowledge infrastructure between climate-experts and spatial planning experts. A big part of the program the KNMI is involved in for example concentrates on “tailoring climate scenarios”. Casestudies focus on: the effect of precipitation patterns on water levels in the Rhine delta and what measures it calls for precipitation patterns and the effects on sewage systems precipitation patterns and the effects on water levels in waterboard districts and measures needed to cope with these changes Topic Approach cloudiness and the effects on the use of solar energy North sea winds and the effect on tourism and coastal buildings The National Government will finance half of the program (€40 million) and the other half will be financed by institutions that are involved. The actual research will start in September 2004. New models are being set up, this concerns mainly high resolution models like for example the HIRLAM (High Resolution Limited Area Model). More attention will also be paid to relating local statistics to the RACMO-model, resulting in very small-scale climate models (resolution 25 km by 25 km). For now this is mainly proposed for waterboards and their districts. Next tot that models will be set up that relate clouds and thunder and models that relate wind and precipitation. Finally, the European cooperation will be strengthened. - Key documents used 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. http://arch.rivm.nl/ieweb/ieweb/index.html (NL + EN) http://www.ecn.nl/sf/products/env_air/index.en.html (NL + EN) http://www.knmi.nl/onderzk/index-nl.html (NL + EN) http://www.wageningen-ur.nl/ccb/ (NL + EN) http://www.dow.wau.nl/msa/wimek/ (NL + EN) Interview with Mr. B van den Hurk, from the KNMI, at March 29th 2004 Table 2: Mitigation (Netherlands) Topic Key organisations/institutions involved in producing/providing information on mitigation of climate change Approach The main actors with regard to mitigation are: Netherlands Ministry of Spatial Planning, Housing and the Environment (Ministerie van VROM), Directorate General Environment, Dept. Climate policy: This Department is the main responsible for overall mitigation policies and measures Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management (Ministerie van V&W): This Ministry is specifically responsible for reduction of emissions from transportation Netherlands Ministry of Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality (Ministerie van LNV): this Ministry is specifically responsible for the reduction of emissions form the agricultural sector. Policies focus on freigth traffic with regards to agriculture, emissions from the cattle industry (e.g. methane), emissions resulting from fertilizing ground and emissions resulting from swamps and peat areas Ministry of Economical Affairs (ministerie van EZ): This Ministry is mainly focusing on reduction of CO2-emissions and energy affairs Municipalities are also getting more and more active with regards to mitigation, this is especially caused by the world conferences “Think global, act local”. Municipalities also give subsidies to enhance mitigation measures. The National Government tries to support the municipalities and provinces in achieving mitigation via two agencies: Netherlands Agency for Energy and the Environment (NOVEM) (is part of the Ministry of Economic Affairs): advises both provinces and municipalities on how they can promote energy savings and enhance the use of sustainable energy National DuBo-Center (National Centre for Sustainable Building) (is supported by both the Ministry for Housing, Spatial planning and the Environment and the Association for Dutch Municipalities): advises on what individuals, governments and corporate institutions can do with regards to sustainable building and sustainable development; focuses on housing, corporate buildings, urban design and development of ground, roads and waterways. To help individuals, governments and corporate institutions achieve sustainable building the DuBo-centre has set up Measure packages Sustainable Building (order via DuBo-centre) Topic Organisational level at which information on climate change mitigation is prepared What topics does mitigation information cover? Compatibility with spatial planning Approach Information on climate change mitigation is prepared on all levels. On the national level the ministries integrate the global (Kyoto-protocol) and European policies and guidelines into their own national policies and plans. The provinces and municipalities on their turn translate the national policies and guidelines into local ambitions and activities. However, a lot of the policies at the national levels are guidelines and not obligations. “Lower” governments are therefore quite free in filling in the framework the national policies sets out. General topics: Reduction of emissions of fossil fuels Increase in availability and use of sustainable energy sources Target sectors: the built environment: housing (old and new), public/government buildings and company buildings trade and services traffic: mobility, transport and infrastructure agriculture industry energy and waste disposal (The Netherlands’ Climate Policy Implementation Plan; Part I: Measures in the Netherlands (1999); Brochure Climate change: the Dutch Policy (2000); Fourth National Environment Plan (Vierde Nationaal milieubeleidsplan) (2001); “Consistent values, new forms, Environmental policy 2002-2006” (Vaste waarden, nieuwe vormen, Milieubeleid 2002 -2006) (2002)(whereas the Fourth National Plan focuses on long term ambitions, the note focuses on short term ambitions)) Yes, especially the NOVEM en National Dubo-centre focus on how provinces, municipalities and civilians can contribute to climate change mitigation through sustainable urban development and sustainable building. They give guidelines and hand out examples of measures that provinces, municipalities and civilians can apply. Topic What is the country doing in practice to mitigate against climate change Approach General The main goal of the national government on the long term is to achieve a transition to a sustainable energy management and a further reduction of CO2 emissions. This goal is laid down in the Fourth National Environment Plan and the governmental note “Consistent values, new forms, Environmental policy 2002-2006”. Next to that mitigation policies are laid down in Parts 1 and 2 of the Climate Policy Implementation Plan (CPIP), issued in 1999 and 2000. This Plan mainly sets out how the Netherlands are to meet the Kyoto commitment. Half of the required emission reductions is achieved by domestic measures and half by measures abroad with flexible instruments from the Kyoto-protocol The domestic measures are laid down in part one of the Implementation Plan. It defines three packages of measures (maatregelpakketten): a basic-, a reserve- and an innovation package. The basic package contains measures which can be taken now and which offer a reasonable degree of certainty. The reserve package contains measures that will be prepared and that can be taken if things go awry during the run-up to the 2008-2012 period. Policies may be less successful than is currently assumed, or external circumstances may turn out less favorably than expected. The reserve package gives an added edge of certainty that the commitment to reduce emissions will actually be met. The third package contains initiatives intended to lead to innovation. It is expected that further reductions of greenhouse gas emissions will be needed after 2008-2012. The innovation package contains steps that the Netherlands will take to prepare for that situation. The packages not only focus on CO2 emissions but also on other greenhouse gases: thereby it connects to the Reduction program for Other Greenhouse gases (Reductieprogramma Overige Broeikasgassen – ROB) (www.robklimaat.nl), which uses incentives like special tax tariffs, subsidies and bounties to reduce emissions of “other” greenhouse gases and stimulates research on new technologies. The measures that have an international focus, are incorporated in Part 2 of the Implementation Plan, they are: Joint Implementation, Clean development Mechanism and International Emissions Trading In the Implementation Plan it was also announced that there would be 'evaluation moments' in 2002 and 2005. The first one has taken place and has resulted in the following report “The progress of the Netherlands climate change policy: an assessment at the 2002 evaluation moment”. This report assesses whether the implementation of policies and the actual reduction in emissions are on course for reaching the Kyoto target, whether external circumstances have changed, how international climate policies have evolved, and whether new possibilities for reducing emissions have been developed will also be assessed at the evaluation moments. To check if the implementation of policies is actually taking place and is effective, the DirectorateGeneral Environment of the Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment has set up a evaluation system to measure the implementation of the mitigation policies, this system is called the “Meer Jaren programma Milieu” or Multiple Years Program Environment and is coupled to the Fourth National Environment Plan. Next to that the National Institute RIVM (National Institute for Public Health and the Environment) Topic Approach Households (share in total greenhouse gas emissions is 9%) the Construction order 2003 (national law) holds rules on energy efficiency in new buildings (thermal isolation, restriction of air permeability and energy performance) A National Measure package Sustainable Building Housing (Nationaal Pakket Woningbouw) has been set up for new and existing housing, holding possible measures to diminish negative effects on the environment of designing, building and managing new and existing housing, measures relate to materials, use of energy, use of water and the environment inside and outside the house Energy Performance Advice (EPA): gives home owners and renters insight into attractive possibilities for saving energy; households that actually take measures to conserve energy can receive a premium Energy Performance on Location (EPL): policy aimed at the construction of efficient energy supply systems at the neighbourhood level (district heating, combined heat and power, heat pumps) Energy Performance Norm (EPN): Since 1995 applications for building permits need to be accompanied by a calculation following the Energy Performance Norm (EPN). With this method the energy use of buildings is being expressed in a dimensionless coefficient: the energy performance coefficient (EPC), which does not have a relation with the form of a building. A low EPC indicates that a building is using less energy or uses energy in a more efficient way. The EPC’s of different buildings are comparable; the EPC’s for new buildings are higher than the EPC for existing buildings energy tax is being raised gradually, making energy savings measures more and more attractive to households an energy bounty has been made available (from the revenue raised by the energy tax) to reward purchasers of the most energy efficient appliances (household appliances with an A-label); this also includes renewable energy/photovoltaic special provisions in the energy tax stimulate the use of Green Energy, energy used from the renewable source. This kind of energy is free of energy tax when its supplied as a separate product to small scale energy users eco-teams have been set up to inform consumers about how changes in behaviour and lifestyle can have a large impact on households’ individual energy use (directly, but also energy used associated with the production of the goods and services that households consume (The Netherlands’ Climate Policy Implementation Plan; Part I: Measures in the Netherlands (1999); Brochure Climate change: government measures in households (2000); Fourth National Environment Plan (2001); “Consistent values, new forms, Environmental policy 2002-2006” (2002); Construction Order 2003; National Measure package Sustainable Building Housing (2003)) Topic Approach Trade and services (share in total greenhouse gas emissions is 4%) companies covered by the general administrative orders based on the Environmental Management Act have to demonstrate which energy measures they have taken; all profitable measures must be taken and if necessary the authorities can impose profitable measures (with a further requirement) a National Measure package Sustainable Building Commercial and Industrial Buildings (Nationaal Pakket Utiliteitsbouw) has been set up for new commercial and industrial buildings and the management of existing buildings, holding possible measures to diminish negative effects on the environment of designing, building and managing new and existing buildings, measures relate to materials, use of energy, use of water and the environment inside and outside the buildings Energy Performance Advice (EPA): can help identify measures; owners and users of buildings who make use of the EPA and tale measures (and who are obliges tot pay corporate or personal income taxes) will be eligible for a tax break via the energy investment tax credit Energy Performance Norm (EPN): Since 1995 applications for building permits need to be accompanied by a calculation following the Energy Performance Norm (EPN) and energy performance coefficient (EPC). The EPC’s for new buildings are higher than the EPC for existing buildings. The EPC’s for public/government and company buildings are higher than the EPC’s for housing special provisions in the energy tax stimulate the use of Green Energy, energy used from the renewable source. This kind of energy is free of energy tax when its supplied as a separate product to small scale energy users (The Netherlands’ Climate Policy Implementation Plan; Part I: Measures in the Netherlands (1999); Brochure Climate change: government measures in the sector trade, services and government (2000); Fourth National Environment Plan (2001); “Consistent values, new forms, Environmental policy 20022006” (2002); National Measure package Sustainable Building Commercial and Industrial Buildings (2003)) Topic Approach Traffic a National Measure package Sustainable Building Ground-, Road and Water building (Nationaal Pakket Duurzaam Bouwen Grond-, Weg- en Waterbouw) has been set up for the development of ground, roads or waterways, holding possible measures to diminish negative effects on the environment of designing, building and managing ground, roads and waterways, measures relate to materials, use of energy, use of water and effects on nature, landscape and the environment agreements with car manufacturers to reduce emission of CO2 per kilometre of new cars by 2008 with 0,4 Mtonnes introduction of labels indicating CO2 emission, fuel consumption and relative fuel efficiency of new passenger cars (labels are similar tot those used for refrigerators and washing machines) with regards to differentiation of the vehicle purchase tax and bounties for energy efficient cars. road pricing plans to improve access to the large cities (energy savings and reductions in CO2 emissions are a side-effect) policies aimed at locations: service industries and other industries and companies that attract a lot of people need to be located close to public transport, car-dependent industries like distribution companies need to be located close to highways discouragement of commuter traffic: tax deductions for the cost of commuting in a private car is being eliminated, and the standard deduction for the costs of commuting by public transport is being lowered proportionately discouragement of personal use of company cars: the income imputed for using a company car for private purposes is being differentiated. The imputed income will be lower for fewer than average personal kilometres exemption tax private cars (Belasting Personen Motorvoertuigen – BPM) for hybrid cars encouragement of carpooling stricter control of speed limits on highways: lower speeds mean less emission of CO2 encouragement of more fuel efficient driving behaviour, through monitoring instruments on the dashboard like econometer, computer for fuel consumption and cruise control (their value is excluded from the base used to calculate the purchase tax), through agreements with car manufacturers and garage industries to install these instruments standard in new cars and through public information campaigns like “The New Driving” (“Het Nieuwe Rijden”)campaign higher tire pressures are promoted (they reduce road friction and with it fuel consumption) through public information campaigns and agreements with the car and garage industries (The Netherlands’ Climate Policy Implementation Plan; Part I: Measures in the Netherlands (1999); Brochure Climate change: government measures in the traffic sector (2000); Fourth National Environment Plan (2001); “Consistent values, new forms, Environmental policy 2002-2006” (2002); National Measure package Sustainable Building Ground-, Road and Water building (2003)) Topic Approach Agriculture encouragement of energy saving by energy-investment deductions (Energie-investeringsaftrek – EIA) arrangement arbitrary amortization environment-investments (regeling willekeurige afschrijving milieu-investeringen - VAMIL) small scale cogeneration (combined production of heat and power with use of the heat in a useful application) improved productivity (more production per square meter) policies pertaining to manure and ammonia emissions special tariffs for glasshouse horticulture with regards to ecotax environmental covenant (runs until 2010) with the greenhouse horticulture sector addressing the following goals: further introduction of energy saving techniques in greenhouses a rise in the number of energy efficient greenhouses through restructuring, relocating and new construction increasing supplies of residual heat increasing supplies of CO2 for fertilization so that natural gas use exclusively for fertilization purposes will decline expert and sharp energy management (The Netherlands’ Climate Policy Implementation Plan; Part I: Measures in the Netherlands (1999); Brochure Climate change: government measures in the agricultural sector (2000); Fourth National Environment Plan (2001); “Consistent values, new forms, Environmental policy 2002-2006” (2002)) Topic Approach Industry a National Measure package Sustainable Building Commercial and Industrial Buildings (Nationaal Pakket Utiliteitsbouw) has been set up for new commercial and industrial buildings and the management of existing buildings, holding possible measures to diminish negative effects on the environment of designing, building and managing new and existing buildings, measures relate to materials, use of energy, use of water and the environment inside and outside the buildings encouragement of energy saving by energy-investment deductions (Energie-investeringsaftrek – EIA) arrangement arbitrary amortization environment-investments (regeling willekeurige afschrijving milieu-investeringen - VAMIL) industrial cooperation in optimizing the product life cycle, external logistics and sustainable commercial sites encouragement of increase use of renewable energy encouragement of more efficient use of HFC’s and PFC’s encouragement of reduction of PFC emissions during the production of primary aluminium, e. g. through better leak prevention and return systems encouragement of reduction of HFC in the chemical industry through e.g. the installation of an afterburner, better leak prevention and return systems in order to make it possible for companies to deliver the performance being asked of them fiscal incentive programs have been introduced: e.g. the budget of the energy investment tax credit has been raised and extra funds have been made available to support projects in which residual heat is utilized (The Netherlands’ Climate Policy Implementation Plan; Part I: Measures in the Netherlands (1999); Brochure Climate change: government measures in industry (2000); Fourth National Environment Plan (2001); “Consistent values, new forms, Environmental policy 2002-2006” (2002); National Measure package Sustainable Building Commercial and Industrial Buildings (2003)) Topic A summary of the strengths and weaknesses of the country’s approach to mitigation Approach Energy and waste disposal encouragement of energy saving by energy-investment deductions (Energie-investeringsaftrek – EIA) arrangement arbitrary amortization environment-investments (regeling willekeurige afschrijving milieu-investeringen - VAMIL) introduction of the Law Environmental Quality Electricity Production (Wet milieukwaliteit elektriciteitsproductie – MEP) voluntary agreement with owners of coal-fired power plants to reduce CO2 emissions, mainly through increase of use of renewable energy like biomass instead of the coal currently used as fuel. encouragement of more efficient use of coal and gas utilization of residual heat from new electric capacity (The Netherlands’ Climate Policy Implementation Plan; Part I: Measures in the Netherlands (1999); Brochure Climate change: government measures in the sector energy and waste disposal (2000); Fourth National Environment Plan (2001); “Consistent values, new forms, Environmental policy 20022006” (2002)) Strengths Weaknesses A strength is that the Dutch government still has the There exists a lot of insecurity opinion that that climate policy is a must and unlike other about how the race between on countries tries to find solution to actually reduce the one hand growth in number emissions, even though an actual reduction is hard to and volume of especially the achieve. Especially because easy measures have already number of cars and on the other been applied (e.g. reduction of CO2 emissions), but hand technological development further reduction of emissions of e.g. CH4 or methane should be approached. Are requires more difficult measures technological developments sound Another strength is that Dutch mitigation not only enough to reduce the growing focuses on the national but also the provincial and local number of cars and the emissions level to reduce emissions and promote a more efficient that result from that? use of energy. The NOVEM and DuBo-centre play Next to that it seems that the important roles in distributing information about possible number of households that aim at mitigation measures. The Ministry of Housing, Spatial an efficient use of energy is getting planning and Environment also tries to set a good smaller. A lot of households lack example: the building the Ministry is situated in is well consciousness surrounding energy connected by public transport and build in a sustainable efficiency. In spite of the money Topic Approach way A strength of the countries approach to mitigation is also that it is very broad: it focuses on different sectors that take part in activities that lead to climate change Any indication of future work planned on climate change and mitigation Key documents used they have to make extra investments, a lot of households refuse to spend more than necessary, just because they want the freedom to spend it on anything they like and there are so many other things to spend money on. There are no totally new developments to be expected in the near future. The road that has already been laid out, will be followed. Little adjustments might take place as a result from the different monitoring activities. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. http://www.vrom.nl (NL + EN) http://minlnv.nl (NL + EN) http;//www.ez.nl (NL + EN) http://www.verkeerenwaterstaat.nl/?lc=uk&page=5 (NL + EN) www.dubo-centrum.nl (NL) www.novem.nl (NL) www.robklimaat.nl (NL + EN) Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (1999), The Netherlands’ Climate Policy Implementation Plan; Part I: Measures in the Netherlands (NL + EN) Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2000), The Netherlands’ Climate Policy Implementation Plan; Part II: Cooperation with foreign countries (NL + EN) Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2000), Brochure Climate change: government measures in households (NL + EN) Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2000), Brochure Climate change: government measures in industry (NL + EN) Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2000), Brochure Climate change: government measures in the agricultural sector (NL + EN) Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2000), Brochure Climate change: government measures in the sector energy and waste disposal (NL + EN) Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2000), Brochure Climate change: government measures in the sector trade, services and government (NL + EN) Topic Approach 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2000), Brochure Climate change: government measures in the traffic sector (NL + EN) Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2000), Brochure Climate change: the Dutch policy (NL + EN) Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2002), The progress of the Netherlands climate change policy: an assessment at the 2002 evaluation moment (NL + EN) Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2002), Note Vaste waarden, nieuwe vormen; Milieubeleid 2002-2006 (NL) Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2002), Where there’s a will, there’s a world, Fourth National Environmental Policy Plan (NMP 4) (in this plan the Multiple Years Program Environment is integrated) (NL + EN) RIVM (2003), Environmental Balance 2003 (NL + EN) Stichting Bouwresearch (2003), National Measure package Sustainable Building Commercial and Industrial Buildings (2003)) Stichting Bouwresearch (2003), National Measure package Sustainable Building Commercial and Industrial Buildings Stichting Bouwresearch (2003), National Measure package Sustainable Building Housing Stichting Bouwresearch (2003), National Measure package Sustainable Development Table 3: Climate change risks/impacts identified for each major sector (Netherlands) Topic Key organisations/institutions involved in providing information on risks/impacts on key sectors Approach Netherlands Ministry of Spatial Planning, Housing and the Environment (Ministerie van VROM), Directorate-General Space, Dept. Water, Green space and Economic Affairs and the Directorate-General External Safety: these departments of the Ministry are the most important ones focusing on identification of general risks and impacts and in particular on possible risks to the built environment and people living in certain areas Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management (Ministerie van V&W): This Ministry is mainly responsible for identifying risks concerning water and effects on infrastructure Netherlands Ministry of Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality (Ministerie van LNV): this Ministry is mainly responsible for identifying risks with regards to agriculture and nature National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM): this institute and especially the Environmental- and Nature Planning Bureau that is part of it, is closely related to the Ministry of VROM and the Ministry of Public Health, Wellbeing and Sport (VWS) and conducts broad research on risks of climate change, e.g. impacts on water, agriculture, vegetation and public health. The results of the research is laid down in he annual Environmental Balance Different Institutes connected to the Ministry of V&W, like the National Institute for Sweetwater Management and Treatment of Disposal Water (RIZA), National Institute for the Coast and Sea (RIKZ) and the Dept. Road and Water building (DWW): focus on identifying risks related to water and risks of flooding Dutch Economical Institute (NEI) (a non-governmental agency): focuses on research on effects of climate change on the economy and business Agriculture Economical Institute (LEI) (part of the University of Wageningen, NL): focuses on research on effects of climate change on agriculture ALTERRA (part of the University of Wageningen, NL): focuses on research on effects of climate change on nature and green spaces and looks at all aspects that relate to that as well Central Planning Bureau (CBP) (Part of the Ministry of Economic Affairs): Topic Organisational level at which information on risks/impacts on key sectors is prepared Approach focuses mainly on research on effects of climate change on water and flood risks As can be seen above most research on risks and impacts is being done by national institutes. However their research does focus on the local and regional level as well as the national level. The Institutes form the Ministry of V&W for example focus on the risks of flooding within dikerings (areas surrounded by dikes) and the risk that dikes will “explode” or break again because of dryness, like happened during last years dry summer. The RIVM for example looks at the harmful effects of water and heat to buildings. Only recently a new initiative has come up: the provinces of North- and South-Holland have conducted a study, called “Vision on the Dutch coast 2050” on the relation between safety and spatial planning along the coast line, resulting in a list of weak links on the coast line. The safety of these weak links will probably diminish within 20 years. Also important spatial issues are going on at these weak spots, mostly the spatial quality is at risk. This has resulted only recently in a “development perspective” for the coast line of South Holland (see “Adaptation”) Sector The sectors that are mentioned here do not follow from a National Impact Program as that does not exist, but are the main themes of the note “Consistent values, new forms”, the Environmental Balance 2003 and Nature Balance 2003 Impacts/Risks Topic Which sectors are covered? Approach Environmental Flora and fauna Cultural heritage and landscapes Social Housing Public health due to inland flow of salt water in dry periods salt and sweet water mix, which causes some sweet water species to decline in number; some species that live on dry land will decline in number due to flooding of these lands; due to warmer temperatures year round, some species (especially birds) will not spend winters in the Netherlands anymore because Nordic countries meet their conditions as well high temperatures have caused the start of the growing season of plants and flowers to take place 3 or 4 weeks earlier than it did in the first half of the 20th century extreme weather conditions ask for different approaches to the protection of historic buildings (long warm, dry periods can cause thatched roofs to burn more easily) flooding can damage cultural landscapes of high value due to flooding of rivers houses will be damaged. Worst case scenario’s are that levels rise fast and high and lead to drowning of civilians (like during the flood in 1953) due to disappearance or erosion of beaches and dunes, houses along the coastal line may have to be moved or broken down extreme precipitation can cause sewage systems to disrupt leading to flooding of houses and backyards due to smog that is enhanced by climate changes and greenhouse gases, more people will get difficulties in breathing or respiratory diseases like asthma increased mortality because of heat waves increased harmful ultraviolet exposure because of thinning of the ozone layer Topic Approach Economic Agriculture Tourism sector high temperatures have caused the start of the growing season of plants and flowers to take place 3 or 4 weeks earlier than it did in the first half of the 20th century increased temperatures will benefit horticulture because of les energy (heating) use and possibility to cultivate more species elevated CO2 levels and temperatures will result in increased rates of photosynthesis and hence increased rates of crop development, especially for sugar beet and carrot, except for cauliflower and fruit trees long dry periods can lead to constrains in watering farmland, which has a negative effects on crops flooding of rivers and farmlands nearby can destroy crops and cattle and therewith has a negative effect on the income of farmers and the food supply due to inland flow of salt water in dry periods salt and sweet water mix, which can have detrimental effects on certain crops; disappearance or erosion of beaches and dunes disrupts the tourism sector: there’s less space along the coastline for beach resorts, sunbathing, beach cabins, beach clubs and boulevards higher mean temperatures may result in an increase of outdoor activities indirect effects depending on direct effects on freshwater systems and flora and fauna Topic Approach Industry Traffic/infrastructure A summary of the strengths and weaknesses of the country’s approach to identifying risks/impacts in key sectors due to water shortages in dry periods electricity plants and water dependent industries have to be closed down, because there is not enough cooling water socio-economic impact of climate change might result in changes in demand and consequently in production due to floods storage areas for dangerous materials might be affected, resulting in dangerous situations with regards to safety or economic damage extreme precipitation can lead to flooding of roads and railways and causes delays in road and railway transport extreme winds and precipitation can disrupt air traffic, resulting in extra costs extreme precipitation can cause sewage systems to disrupt leading to flooding of streets, causing traffic jams resulting in extra costs flooded roads can cut of villages from “the rest of the world” extreme dryness can cause rivers to run dry, which disrupts shipping Strengths A strength of the Dutch approach to identifying climate change risks/impacts, is that it is quite broad and conducted on a regular bases. A specific strength is the identification of risks regarding rising sea levels and flooding. Water has always been one of the major “enemies” of the Dutch, the long history in defence from water makes it possible for the Dutch Weaknesses A weakness is mainly that research is being conducted very separately, there is not a lot of communication between the different governmental departments that are conducting research. Topic Any indication of future work planned on identifying impacts/risks Key documents used Approach government to identify risks and impacts in a effective and fast way A strength is also that identification of risks is taking place at both the national and the regional and the local level, this makes it easier in a later stage for spatial planners to attune their activities to what is actually happening or might happen. As was mentioned with regards to climate change forecasting even more attention will be given to adaptation and the usefulness of the output of climate change models and scenarios. This also results in more research on possible risks and impacts. A first step in the “right” direction the project called “Climate for Space, Space for Climate” that is part of the BSIK-program (see climate change forecasting) (http://www.wau.nl/ccb/index_files/main_files/ICESKIS.html). A big part of the program the KNMI is involved in for example concentrates on effects of rising water levels in the Rhine-delta due to increased precipitation, problems occurring in sewage systems due to increased precipitation, impacts on use of solar energy of increased cloudiness and the effect on tourism and coastal buildings from increased North sea winds. Next tot that, at this moment several national governments, provinces and water boards are working on a dryness study on water policy and water management in periods of water shortages. The study is expected to result in proposition on how to cope with dry periods, by implementing structural and optional measures or by accepting damage (http://www.droogtestudie.nl/). Finally, it is also expected that more attention will go out to the possible effects of climate change on public health and the fear that people might develop with regards to climate change issues. 1. http://www.vrom.nl (NL + EN) 2. http://minlnv.nl (NL + EN) 3. http;//www.ez.nl (NL + EN) 4. http://www.verkeerenwaterstaat.nl/?lc=uk&page=5 (NL + EN) 5. http://www.rivm.nl/en/milieu/ (NL + EN) 6. http://www.rikz.nl/home/NL/index.html (NL) Topic Approach http://www.riza.nl/index_uk.html (NL + EN) http://www.minvenw.nl/rws/dww/home/engels/index_eng.html (NL + EN) http://www.nei.nl/ (NL + EN) http://www.lei.nl/lei_engels/HTML/home.htm (NL + EN) http://www.alterra.nl/ (NL + EN) http://www.cpb.nl/eng/research/ (NL + EN) http://www.wateractueel.nl (NL) http://www.droogtestudie.nl/ (NL) http://www.wau.nl/ccb/index_files/main_files/ICESKIS.html (NL) (mentioned below are the most important impact assessment documents; please look at the websites above for other interesting impact assessment activities) 16. Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (2002), Note Vaste waarden, nieuwe vormen; Milieubeleid 2002-2006 (NL) 17. Provinces of North- and South-Holland (2002), “Vision on the Dutch coast 2050” 18. RIVM (2003), Environmental Balance 2003 (NL + EN) 19. RIVM (2003), Naturebalance (NL + EN) 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. Table 4: Adaptation (Netherlands) Topic Key organisations/institutions involved in producing information on adapting to climate change Organisational level at which information on climate change adaptation is prepared Approach Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management (Ministerie van V&W): this ministry is the main political responsible for adaptation. Netherlands ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment, Directorate general Space, Dept. Water, Green space and Economic Affairs: this dept. is specifically responsible for spatial water policies, coastal policies and regional water policies (focusing on dryness, floods and quality of water). It also advises the Ministry of V&W in their adaptation policies in order to enhance the attention for spatial planning . Netherlands Ministry of Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality (Ministerie van LNV): focuses on adaptation measures that have to do with the effect of climate change on the quantity and quality of nature. Also plays an advisory role towards the Ministry of V& W to make sure that possible effects of floods and dryness on all aspects of the agriculture and the food industry are being incorporated in the adaptation policies set out by the Ministry of V & W. Netherlands Ministry of Economic Affairs: mainly has an advisory role towards the Ministry of V&W, interferes in order to get attention for economic damage resulting from floods and dryness Information on climate change adaptation regarding water is mainly prepared at the national level. Most waterways and roads are owned by the Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, therefore this Ministry is primarily responsible for dealing with problems and creating solutions for these problems. Next to that there is a lot of cooperation between the national governments (especially the ministry of V & W and the Ministry of VROM) and the water district boards: the elaboration and translation of the general guidelines takes place by the district waterboards, for they are responsible for the areas within the dikerings. With regards to other sectors like spatial planning, housing etc. policies and measures are prepared at the national level, which then act as important guidelines for policies that are being set up at the provincial or municipal level. In many cases binding deals are being made between the national governments and provinces, municipalities and other actors involved. In some cases however initiatives also come from lower governments. For example the provinces of North- and South-Holland have conducted a study on the relation between Topic Approach safety and spatial planning along the coast line, this has resulted only recently in a “development perspective” for the coast line of South Holland. In the perspective the province states its strategy for the coastal defence and focuses on spatial, economic, scenic and ecological opportunities and effects for the Dutch coast. Sector The sectors that are mentioned here do not follow from a National Adaptation Program as that does not exist, but are the main themes of the note “Consistent values, new forms”, the Environmental Balance 2003 and Nature Balance 2003 Adaptation Measures Topic What sectors does adaptation information cover? Approach Environmental Water management general strategy: try to hold the water, if that doesn’t work try to store the water and only if that doesn’t work dispose the water creation of space for storage and disposal of water (temporary storage in surface retention areas; enlargement of amount of surface water; enlargement of disposal capacity) creation of space for water at extreme weather conditions digging new rivers alongside the existing rivers to ease the flow of water and create more capacity in case of extreme rainfalls heighten dikes move obstacles in or over the waterway to ease the flow of the river (the Great Rivers Deltaplan (1996); Fourth National Waterplan (1998); Waterpolicy in the 21st century (2000); the Third National Coastal Policyplan (2000); National Administrative Agreement on water (2003); The Disaster Management Strategy for the Flooding of the Rhine (2003) ); Policyplan “Space for the river” (draft)) Topic Approach Flora and fauna Cultural heritage offer species comparable sites elsewhere, the ecological main structure plays a big part in this regard setting priorities straight in dry periods (nature, agriculture, industry etc) (Nature for People, People for Nature (2000); Environmental Balance 2003; Nature Balance 2003) heighten dikes around buildings or landscapes of high cultural value (the Great Rivers Deltaplan (1996); Fourth National Waterplan (1998); Waterpolicy in the 21st century (2000); National Administrative Agreement on water (2003); Policyplan “Space for the river” (draft)) use valuable historical aspects like “terps” or “mounds” to decrease chance of possible damage caused by flooding (Belvedere (1999) enhance the historic coastal line (heighten or expand dunes) strengthen coastal defence system to protect valuable buildings and structures in towns and cities along the coast (Third National Coastal Plan) Topic Approach Social Housing water is playing an active instead of passive role in the planning process: urbanization and asphalted areas can lead to water problems like abundance in times of extreme precipitation and can form obstacles in the distribution to or between natural areas. The national government has introduced the “watertest” or “watertoets” in this regard. The aim of the watertest is to prevent negative effects of urbanization and asphalted areas and make use of chances the watersytem is offering for urbanization. In 2003 the watertest was incorporated in the Law on spatial planning: each spatial plan has to hold a watertest. (Law on Spatial Planning (2003)) remove housing from summer- and winterbeds heighten dikes near housing in risky areas (the Great Rivers Deltaplan (1996); Fourth National Waterplan (1998); Waterpolicy in the 21st century (2000); National Administrative Agreement on water (2003); Policyplan “Space for the river” (draft)) strengthen coastal defence system to protect housing along the coast (Third National Coastal Plan) Topic Approach Public Health Economic Agriculture improved control of climate change effects more public information campaigns about effects of climate changes on health (Fourth National Environment Plan (2001)) different distribution of water: retaining water in the ground and using surface water to water farmland moving crop, especially sensitive crops to different locations (the Great Rivers Deltaplan (1996); Fourth National Waterplan (1998); Waterpolicy in the 21st century (2000); National Administrative Agreement on water (2003); Policyplan “Space for the river” (draft)) setting priorities straight in dry periods: looking at different interests (nature, agriculture, industry etc) ( Fourth National Environment Plan (2001)) Tourism sector raising of beach levels to make sure strengthening coastal defence systems to protect tourist areas and towns along the coast (Third National Coastal Plan) creating more facilities for recreation and tourism coupled to water, rivers and lakes (Nature for People, People for Nature (2000) Topic Approach Industry setting priorities straight in dry periods: looking at different interests (nature, agriculture, industry etc) ( Fourth National Environment Plan (2001)) obligation to conduct a watertest in case of a new spatial plan (see above) (Law on Spatial Planning 2003) introduction of Very Open Asphaltic Concrete (ZOAB) to reduce inconveniences with regards to water divert main roads if they are in summer or winter beds heighten dikes on which infrastructure is situated (the Great Rivers Deltaplan (1996); Fourth National Waterplan (1998); Waterpolicy in the 21st century (2000); National Administrative Agreement on water (2003); Policyplan “Space for the river” (draft)) Traffic/Infrastructure obligation to conduct a watertest in case of a new spatial plan (see above) (Law on Spatial Planning 2003) The National law on Dikes and Dams holds rules and regulations on the safety issues surrounding waterways and coast lines. These however are more technical laws concentrating at heights of dikes etc. The National Policy plans set up at the national level, like the Fourth National Environmental Policy Plan (NMP 4) and the Nature policy plan (Nature for people, people for nature) do set out the main goals with regard to spatial planning in relation to climate change effects, but these are not mandatory and leave a lot of room for provinces and municipalities to interpret. For example the structure and situation of the ecological main corridor is set out in general at the national level, but the exact amount of land or the exact content are to be What is actually happening in terms of achieving adaptation Topic Compatibility with spatial planning Approach decided upon at the local level. Provincial governments do however have a big say in spatial plans set up by local governments, they have to approve all plans and can withhold approval if they think some stakes have not been looked at enough. Therefore the national government tries to persuade provincial governments into focusing on issues related to climate change effects in their spatial plans. The national government also focuses on waterboards and municipalities directly. Adaptation measures are usually achieved via agreements involving financial input from both the national and provincial governments. A good example is the activities involved with regard to the development of the National Policyplan “Space for the River”, which aims at making more space available for rivers in order to be better able to cope with extreme precipitation and floods. Rijkswaterstaat, the main responsible for the waterways in the Netherlands, is the main lead in this plan, which holds a lot of money. The money is used to achieve adaptation, either by making deals with landowners, to buy land or to heighten or remove dikes. Other ways in which the national governments tries to persuade “lower” governments and civilians into helping in adaptation are: integrating an activity agenda (also for the local level) in the new National Spatial Plan, which will form the base for new agreements bounties and subsidies, like the Investment Budget Rural Areas (ILG) and the Regional Water Subsidies, to stimulate especially farmers and people involved in sand reclamation The Ministry of VROM is especially focussing on the role spatial planning can play with regards to the new water management policies, especially the new “Space for the River”. The Ministry is especially focussing on the context of the river “what qualities does it hold? What chances/opportunities does it offer?” With the answers to these questions the right measure, right location and right design/layout can be decided upon. Quite new is the combination of giving more room to the river and city development. A municipality will be able to integrate their own goals (like building more houses) with goals surrounding the “Space for the River” policy. For example by creating a new river alongside an existing one, more possibilities will exist to build houses along the waterfront (a type of housing that is very popular in the Netherlands at this moment). Yes especially with consideration to water a lot of information is provided on what part water should play in constructing new areas or reconstructing existing areas or landscapes Topic A summary of the strengths and weaknesses of the country’s approach to adaptation Approach in order to minimize the different risks. Other measures to adapt to climate change usually involve more technical knowledge. Strengths Weaknesses The Dutch government is very far in developing Although there are a lot of measures to be able to cope with flooding. Very policies and measures, at this positive is the fact that the government focus is moment concrete elaboration changing from just dike reinforcement and the has in many cases not yet raising of beach levels, to the whole area taken place. For example, in surrounding the river or the coast line as a whole. 2003 15 % of the dikes were More and more policies look at the context and far from meeting proper the effect for example a flood might have, instead standards and the quality and of just at the chance of flood taking place. safety of another 35% was The focus is changing to anticipating instead of disputable (in part because of reacting: water is given more space and emergency a lack of information). flood areas are created. There still seems to be a lack The government is making more and more deals of consciousness about the with provincial and regional or local governments, danger of floods. Even though this makes it possible to tailor policies to a specific a big part of the Netherlands local or regional situation. is below sea level, most inhabitants are convinced flooding will not take place, on the one hand because of the smallness of the chance that it might happen and on the other hand because of the trust in the dike system. Next top that the government is not providing enough information and incentives on what measures can be applied to diminish the chance of damage caused by high water or flooding, e.g. by building Topic Any indication of future work planned in relation to climate change and adaptation measures Key documents used Approach “waterproof” Next to that policies and measures mainly focus on problems that result from flooding and extreme precipitation, much less attention is given to dryness. Dryness however is also a very big problem. More attention might also be given to coping with the social en economical results of flooding and extreme rainfall: it is not yet clear how much financial help should be given to “victims” and who (national, provincial or local government) should give it. At this moment agreements are being made between several Ministries (especially Ministry of VROM and Ministry of V & W) about the further development of emergency retention areas and the claim on space it involves. Somewhere this year the results will be known of the study on Dutch Dryness Study that is being conducted momentarily, by the National and Provincial governments and the water boards. Among other things the study will state what measures can or should be taken to deal with the effects of dryness. More attention will also go out to studies regarding the breaking of dikes because of dryness and rising temperatures. Finally, more attention will be given to the opportunities that exist for tourism in relation to the growth in number and size of water related areas. 1. 2. 3. 4. http://www.vrom.nl (NL + EN) http://minlnv.nl (NL + EN) http;//www.ez.nl (NL + EN) http://www.verkeerenwaterstaat.nl/?lc=uk&page=5 (NL + EN) Topic Approach 5. 6. http://www.ruimtevoorderivier.nl (NL) www.kaderrichtlijnwater.nl (NL) 7. 8. 9. Law on Dikes and Dams 1996 (Wet op de waterkering) Law on Spatial Planning 2003 (Wet op de Ruimtelijke Ordening) Construction order 2003 (Bouwbesluit 2003) (NL + EN) 10. Commission Water Management 21st century (2000), Advice on Water policy in the 21st century (NL + EN) National government, provinces, Co-operative Interprovincial Conference (Samenwerkingsverband Interprovinciaal Overleg), the Union of Dutch Municipalities (VNG) and the Union of Water Boards (2003), the National Administrative Agreement on Water Netherlands Ministry of Agriculture, Nature and Food quality (2000), National Nature Policyplan, Nature for People, People for Nature (NL + EN) Netherlands Ministry of Education, Culture and Science, Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, Netherlands Ministry on Housing, Spatial Planning and Environment and Netherlands Ministry on Agriculture, Nature and Food quality (1999), Cultural heritage policy plan Belvedere (NL) Netherlands Ministry on Housing, Spatial Planning and Environment (2001), Fourth national Environment Plan (NL + EN) Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management (1996), The Great Rivers Delta plan (NL + EN) Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management (1998), Fourth National Water Plan 1998-2006 (NL + EN) Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management (2000), A different approach to water, Water Management Policy in the 21st century (NL + EN) Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management (2000), Third National Coastal Policy plan (NL + EN) Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management (2003), The Disaster Management Strategy for the Flooding of the Rhine and Maas (NL + EN) Netherlands Ministry of Transport, Public Works and Water Management, Netherlands Ministry on Housing, Spatial Planning and Environment and Netherlands 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. Topic Approach Ministry on Agriculture, Nature and Food quality (draft policy plan), Space for the River (NL) 21. RIVM (2003), Environmental Balance 2003 (NL + EN) 22. RIVM (2003), Naturebalance (NL + EN) Balance between mitigation of and adaptation to climate change With regards to policies both mitigation and adaptation get an equal amount of attention by the national government. However, mitigation gets less direct government funding than adaptation. Mitigation measures are mostly paid by waterboards, (car)industries, households etc. Adaptation on the other hand receives more funding from national governments, in particular the Ministry of V&W and the Ministry of LNV. The Ministry of VROM plays a minimal role in funding adaptation measures. Table 5: Overall conclusions (Netherlands) Topic Approach National/regional funding allocated to climate change programmes At this moment most national funding is going out to identification of risks/impacts ( most important contributors are Ministry of VROM and Ministry of VWS with regards to the RIVM; the Ministry of V&W with regards to the water institutes; the Ministry of LNV with regards to the ALTERRA; a big part also comes from the private sector) and adaptation (the Ministry of V&W is funding adaptation regarding main waterways; the Ministry of LNV is funding nature protection and nature development, like the ecological main corridor; the Ministry of VROM is playing only a minimal role in funding adaptation directly) Forecasting is mostly funded by the Ministry of V&W. the Ministry of VROM and the Ministry of EZ are mostly concentrating on expertise and knowledge programs surrounding forecasting. Mitigation gets the least amount of funding, most measures have to be paid by the different sectors, like the waterboards, (car)industry and households. Regional funding form provinces, municipalities and waterboards mainly focuses on adaptation. Focus of country’s approach Historically mitigation is getting a lot of attention. However, since a couple of years adaptation is also playing a big role, mainly caused by emergence of flooding of rivers in the south-eastern part of the Netherlands a couple of years ago. Nowadays they receive an equal amount of government attention. This also true for identification of risks/impacts. Forecasting on the other hands seems to be running behind in all this, receiving both less attention and less funding over the years. Because the Dutch policies, measures and forecasting-output focus on the local level and on not only environmental but also social and economic factors, forecasting, mitigation- and adaptation policies are very compatible with spatial planning. There are several Dutch panels and programmes on climate change that include both governmental, semi-governmental, non-governmental and scientific institutions, examples are: COOL (Climate OptiOns for the Long term) (www.wau.nl/cool/) – part of Usefulness for and compatibility with spatial planning How well integrated is the approach to climate change across scientists and policy makers Topic Brief conclusions on positive/good and negative/poor aspects of the country’s overall approach to climate change Approach the now terminated programme Dutch National Research Programme on Global Air Pollution and Climate Change (NRP)(www.nop.nl) the Dutch Climate Platform (PCCC) (www.wageningen-ur.nl/ccb/PCCC) the Netherlands Centre for Climate Research (NCCR) (www.knmi.nl/onderzk/CKO/index.html). The BSIK program that is being set up at this moment will also play a big role in integrating approaches (http://www.wau.nl/ccb/index_files/main_files/ICESKIS.html). Country has a very broad approach focussing on all levels (national, regional and local) and on both mitigation and adaptation. A strength is also that the governments focus at regional and local level next to the national level: provinces, municipalities, water boards, private companies, farmers and households are all involved in achieving both mitigation and adaptation. A bit worrying is the decreasing amount of attention for forecasting. In the future more investments could/should be made in forecasting as output can play a big role in helping local governments and spatial planners into adapting beforehand on possible climate changes and related effects. With regards to adaptation the focus should shift from water management to other sectors that are also influenced by climate change and are getting less or little attention at this moment.