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HIP REPLACEMENT: AVOIDING AND MANAGING PROBLEMS Intensive care monitoring after total joint replacement A. F. Kamath, C. L. McAuliffe, J. T. Gutsche, L. M. Kosseim, E. L. Hume, K. D. Baldwin, Z. Kornfield, C. L. Israelite Patient safety is a critical issue in elective total joint replacement surgery. Identifying risk factors that might predict complications and intensive care unit (ICU) admission proves instrumental in reducing morbidity and mortality. The institution’s experience with risk stratification and pre-operative ICU triage has resulted in a reduction in unplanned ICU admissions and post-operative complications after total hip replacement. The application of the prediction tools to total knee replacement has proven less robust so far. This work also reviews areas for future research in patient safety and cost containment. From University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States Patient safety has come to the forefront of both government and lay scrutiny.1 At a time when the nation’s agenda has focused on health care reform, several key issues are closely connected including patient safety, risk stratification, and cost. Apart from internal institutional pressures to be accountable, orthopaedic surgeons face numerous public, governmental, and external pressures. In a changing politico-economic climate, finite resources strain the balance between cost containment and the infrastructure needed in order to reduce the risks, both in terms of morbidity and mortality inherent in total joint replacement (TJR) surgery. Broadening surgical indications, increased medical comorbidities, and case complexity all challenge the available resources in hospitals. A number of studies have explored these issues in order to understand the peri-operative morbidity and mortality associated with TJR, which is being performed in older and sicker patients.2 Increasing case complexity is compounded by the high prevalence of patient comorbidities.3 The reported rates of major adverse4,5 or life-threatening6 events, as well as direct surgical related complications,7 are high after elective lower limb TJR. Memtsoudis et al4 indicate there is a need for critical care services in nearly one-third of TJR patients, and this in turn prompts a discussion of resource allocation and screening methods. Surgeons must look closely at how patients are assessed after TJR. In a study by Parvizi et al,8 58% of patients who had a post-operative life-threatening complication after TJR surgery did not exhibit obvious risk factors during preoperative assessment. It is therefore urgent to A. F. Kamath, MD, Attending Surgeon E. L. Hume, MD, Attending Surgeon K. D. Baldwin, MD, MSPT, MPH, Attending Surgeon C. L. Israelite, MD, Attending Surgeon University of Pennsylvania, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 19104, USA. C. L. McAuliffe, BS, Candidate for Doctor of Medicine University of Pennsylvania, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104, USA. J. T. Gutsche, MD, Assistant Professor; Medical Director Intensive Care Unit Presbyterian Hospital Z. Kornfield, MD, Resident University of Pennsylvania, Department of Anesthesia and Critical Care, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104, USA. L. M. Kosseim, MD, Associate Professor University of Pennsylvania, Department of Internal Medicine, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19104, USA. Correspondence should be sent to A. F. Kamath; e-mail: [email protected] ©2013 The British Editorial Society of Bone & Joint Surgery doi:10.1302/0301-620X.95B11. 33093 $2.00 Bone Joint J 2013;95-B, Supple A:74–6. Received 7 September 2013; Accepted after revision 8 September 2013 74 Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2013;95-B, Supple A:74–6. develop accurate and timeous risk stratification models in order to increase patient safety, which ideally, should be accomplished prior to the patient’s admission to hospital. Retrospective9 and prospective10 studies were conducted at the authors’ institution in order to examine the morbidity and mortality after total hip replacement (THR). The study looked to establish a clinically useful risk model for prospective testing. Work has now extended to total knee replacement (TKR) patients, and this is the most recent evaluation of risk factors associated with unplanned admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) after TKR. Triage at joint replacement centres Post-operative triage to the ICU remains a complex, frequent clinical decision. The authors have looked at factors that might guide postoperative admission to the ICU and thus develop a predictive model of risk for unplanned ICU admission. This might be analogous to a TJR Apgar score, used to assess new born babies,11,12 and other work predicting post-operative risks after hip fracture surgery.13 Undertaking any safety study involves a multi-disciplinary effort (Fig. 1). Input must be obtained from critical care specialists, hospital administration, and biostatistics. Nursing and nurse management is critical, as resource allocation and nurse staffing has been related to mortality.14 Previous risk studies in THR patients Results of the authors’ retrospective study in THR were published in 2012.9 The study looked at certain pre-operative and intra-operative CCJR SUPPLEMENT TO THE BONE & JOINT JOURNAL INTENSIVE CARE MONITORING AFTER TOTAL JOINT REPLACEMENT Fig. 1 Diagram showing the interdisciplinary team approach. variables, as well as post-operative factors associated with those patients admitted unplanned to an ICU from a series of 1259 THR patients. In comparing unplanned ICU admissions with the control group, regression analysis demonstrated that age > 75 years, body mass index > 35 kg/m2, creatinine clearance < 60 mL/min, revision surgery, and prior myocardial infarction were independent risk factors for ICU admission. If a patient possessed several risk factors, the risk of unplanned admission to the ICU accordingly rose. This risk model was then applied in a prospective series of consecutive THR patients.10 All were assigned to either the ICU or a ward based on these multivariate risk factors. These triage criteria aimed to establish a threshold for planned ICU admission. The primary goal in this pilot study was to influence unplanned admission rates, as well as any major complications. Secondary outcomes included rapid response interventions and any medical or surgical events requiring acute attention. The authors found, with only a modest total increase in the number of planned ICU admissions that our pre-operative assessment resulted in a reduction in both unplanned ICU admissions and major complications in general. The mean number of ICU days for those who were admitted decreased from 2.5 days to 1.7 (2 to 11). This was statistically, as well as clinically significant, both for the institution and model performance characteristics worked in practice. Prediction of intensive care need for knee replacement patients TKR patients were analysed in a separate retrospective review. This study compared 55 patients who required admission to the ICU post-operatively with 164 patients who did not. The mean age of the ICU patients was 68 years (48 to 90), and the mean age for ward patients was 62 years (35 to 85). Of the intensive care admissions, 60% (33 of 55) were female, and 67% (111 of 164) of ward patients were female. VOL. 95-B, No. 11, NOVEMBER 2013 75 Univariate analysis was performed to identify factors that might be associated with a statistically significant risk of ICU admission. Revision surgery, creatinine clearance less than 60 mL/min, history of previous myocardial infarction, and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) Class 3 or greater were potential risk factors.15 The first multivariate model focused on factors that might be known at the time of scheduling a patient for surgery. Pre-operative variables predictive of unplanned ICU admission were age > 75 years, revision surgery, history of obstructive sleep apnea, creatinine clearance less than 60 mL/min, history of previous myocardial infarction and a prior venous thromboembolism. Of these, creatinine clearance less than 60 mL/min and history of previous myocardial infarction were the strongest predictors. The second multivariate model focused on variables known at initial assessment plus the ASA score obtained pre-operatively during the anaesthesia assessment. Out of the variables examined, the strongest individual predictors of ICU admission were previous myocardial infarction and ASA Class 3 or greater. In planning for a prospective trial for THR,10 one must consider the performance characteristics of the model. Choosing an appropriate threshold for planned ICU admission in a controlled trial might identify patients with two or more risk factors in addition to an ASA Class > 2. Applying this to the patients in the TKR, one would correctly identify 53 out of the 55 patients admitted to the ICU. However, this triage model would also have identified 85 patients who ultimately did not require intensive care, accounting for a high false positive rate. The strength of the model for TKR patients lies in its negative predictive value (0.93 (0.91 to 0.96)). Future study This work has inspired ideas for several future projects looking into the issues concerning patient safety, including examination of the costs attributable to ICU intervention. While the authors demonstrated only a modest increase in the total number of ICU admissions in the prospective arm of the THR study, it is unclear without formal cost analysis whether the increased costs of ICU monitoring are offset by the savings associated with reduced morbidity and mortality. Another study could look at the outcomes of patients referred from other institutions. Re-admission rates and longer-term clinical follow-up may offer insight into a lasting benefit, if any, to earlier peri-operative ICU care. Future work may also look at the influence of these safety measures on public and governmental perceptions of orthopaedic care. Of course, more data should allow us to define better the costs involved and resource use associated with tertiary/referral care of TJR patients; i.e. similar work in other fields of orthopaedic surgery has provided insight into ICU triage. 16 Yet the triage model established may not be applicable to other institutions due to its relevance to the authors’ institution; and it equally may not be as applicable to those that 76 A. F. KAMATH, C. L. MCAULIFFE, J. T. GUTSCHE, L. M. KOSSEIM, E. L. HUME, K. D. BALDWIN, Z. KORNFIELD, C. L. ISRAELITE perform less TJR surgery. The costs of ICU admission will be significant, and it is reasonable to assume that those patients with the highest medical risk may be most suitable for planned admission and monitoring. An internal analysis of patient characteristics may inform the decision to apply either this or a modified version of the risk model and triage criteria. Multi-centre data and harnessing of large clinical data sets may provide more generalised risk stratification and cost-benefit models. Conclusion Patient safety is intimately tied to the balance between risk reduction and cost containment. Safety has a direct relationship with the costs of care, reimbursement issues, public policy, patient perceptions and satisfaction with care. Work will need to be continued if patient safety in TJR is to be improved and to reconcile this with cost containment and reduced risk. According to selected risk factors, pre-operative triage to the ICU affects the reduction in post-operative unplanned ICU admissions as well as major complications, after elective THR. It validates a pre-operative risk stratification model in the authors’ institution, which is a useful decision making tool that facilitates the booking of a THR patient for an ICU admission at the time of pre-operative assessment. However, this area of work is an interdisciplinary effort. The issue of patient safety must bring together different parties across the spectrum of clinical care, and offers an opportunity for synergy. A study of risk factors that may predict unplanned ICU admission after TKR procedures was not as effective. Further work in larger patient populations, as well as the prospective validation of prediction tools, will allow for the creation of a more robust model for TKR. No benefits in any form have been received or will be received from a commercial party related directly or indirectly to the subject of this article. This paper is based on a study which was presented at the 29th Annual Winter 2012 Current Concepts in Joint Replacement® meeting held in Orlando, Florida, 12th – 15th December. References 1. Grady D The New York Times. http://www.nytimes.com/2010/11/25/health/ research/25patient.html?_r=0# (date last accessed 4 September 2013). 2. Boettcher WG. Total hip arthroplasties in the elderly: morbidity, mortality, and cost effectiveness. Clin Orthop Relat Res 1992;274:30–34. 3. Memtsoudis SG, Rosenberger P, Walz JM. Critical care issues in the patient after major joint replacement. J Intensive Care Med 2007;22:92–104. 4. Memtsoudis SG, Sun X, Chiu YL, et al. Utilization of critical care services among patients undergoing total hip and knee arthroplasty: epidemiology and risk factors. Anesthesiology 2012;117:107–116. 5. Mantilla CB, Horlocker TT, Schroeder DR, Berry DJ, Brown DL. Frequency of myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism, deep venous thrombosis, and death following primary hip or knee arthroplasty. Anesthesiology 2002;96:1140–1146. 6. Pulido L, Parvizi J, Macgibeny M, et al. In hospital complications after total joint arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty 2008;23(Suppl):139–145. 7. Liu SS, Della Valle AG, Besculides MC, Gaber LK, Memtsoudis SG. Trends in mortality, complications, and demographics for primary hip arthroplasty in the United States. Int Orthop 2009;33:643–651. 8. Parvizi J, Mui A, Purtill JJ, et al. Total joint arthroplasty: when do fatal or nearfatal complications occur? J Bone Joint Surg [Am] 2007;89-A:27–32. 9. Kamath AF, McAuliffe CL, Baldwin KD, et al. Unplanned admission to the intensive care unit after total hip arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty 2012;27:1027–1032. 10. Kamath AF, Gutsche JT, Kornfield ZN, et al. Prospective study of unplanned admission to the intensive care unit after total hip arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty 2013;28:1345–1348. 11. Wuerz TH, Regenbogen SE, Ehrenfeld JM, et al. The surgical apgar score in hip and knee arthroplasty. Clin Orthop Relat Res 2011;469:1119–1126. 12. Apgar V. A proposal for a new method of evaluation of the newborn infant. Curr Res Anesth Analg 1953;32:260–267. 13. Hirose J, Ide J, Irie H, Kikukawa K, Mizuta H. New equations for predicting postoperative risk in patients with hip fracture. Clin Orthop Relat Res 2009;467:3327– 3333. 14. Schilling P, Goulet JA, Dougherty PJ. Do higher hospital-wide nurse staffing levels reduce in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures: a pilot study. Clin Orthop Relat Res 2011;469:2932–2940. 15. No authors listed. American Society of Anesthesiologists. http://www.asahq.org/ Home/For-Members/Clinical-Information/ASA-Physical-Status-Classification-System (date last accessed 10 September 2013). 16. Shan LQ, Skaggs DL, Lee C, Kissinger C, Myung KS. Intensive care unit versus hospital floor: a comparative study of postoperative management of patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis. J Bone Joint Surg [Am] 2013;95-A:40. CCJR SUPPLEMENT TO THE BONE & JOINT JOURNAL