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New Computationally-Enabled Theoretical Models to Support Health BC&M It is the year 2030. You are starting to test a theory that allows for predictions to support real time intervention on drug use. WHAT IS NEEDED to predict behavior? Articulate your theory and design an experiment to test it. THINK BOLD AND HIGH RISK HIGH REWARD!! Scribe: Jimi Huh 1.Niilo Saranummi 2.James Lester 3.Brigitte Piniewski 4.Ross Hammond 5.Vicente Traver 6.Loukianos Gatzoulis Breakout group summary 1 New Computationally-Enabled Theoretical Models to Support Health BC&M Ingredients of the model • Current (and past sequence of): – Physiology – Affect – Social context – Environmental context • Novelty of context; past experience • Experience of same-category others Breakout group summary 2 New Computationally-Enabled Theoretical Models to Support Health BC&M Ingredients of model (cont’d) • Stochasticity • Sensor data from drugs themselves on actual adherence • Real-time location of drugs, individual, and pharmacy/medical network nodes • Social network and reference groups Breakout group summary 3 New Computationally-Enabled Theoretical Models to Support Health BC&M Outputs of the model Breakout group summary 4 New Computationally-Enabled Theoretical Models to Support Health BC&M Experimental Design for Testing Breakout group summary 5 New Computationally-Enabled Theoretical Models to Support Health BC&M Conceptual form of the model • The model as “learning machine” – Discover the (unobservable) algorithms/heuristics used by actual individuals to choose behavior • Model as ally – Make the unobservable available to the participants; model can become a tool for “know thyself” and for individual self-improvement without threatening autonomy • Model as a learning companion – Tamagotchi electronic pet in Japan Breakout group summary 6 New Computationally-Enabled Theoretical Models to Support Health BC&M We did not address… • • • • Model technical design or feasibility Funding Ethical and privacy issues Sensor arrays and reliability needed for necessary data streams • Etc Breakout group summary 7