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Getting from Roulette to Reliable: High Value Care for the Last Part of Life Aging America: A Reform Agenda for Living Well and Dying Well The Hasting Center Symposium, Washington, DC May 20, 2008 Joanne Lynn, MD, MA, MS [email protected] (Speaking on my own, not for US government policy) © Copyright 2003, Onion, Inc., All rights reserved. 2 By permission of Johnny Hart and Creators Syndicate, Inc. 3 How Americans Die: A Century of Change 1900 Age at death Top Causes 46 years 2000 78 years Infection Cancer Accident Childbirth Organ system failure Stroke/Dementia Disability Not much 2-4 yrs ave. before death, <6% die without related bills Financing Private, Public, substantialin US - 83% in Medicare ~½ of women die in modest Medicaid 4 Why target fatal chronic illness? • It’s big – >1/3 of lifetime expenses, most “being ill” • It’s bad – unreliable, often harmful • It’s ugly – little political will for reform – Unpleasant and complicated situations – Inadequate data and methods – Bad manners 5 But – Some Promising Innovations • Hospice • PACE (Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly) • SNP (Special Needs Plans – capitated high-risk) • Palliative care – now in most hospitals • Elderly and Disabled Waivers • CARE and Care Transitions, upcoming from CMS 6 CARE: Continuity Assessment Record & Evaluation • • • • • Beneficiary’s health situation At critical times, such as transfers On-line, real-time Information to “downstream” clinicians Quality and payment information to Medicare In demonstration now, in QIO agenda by fall. 7 Care Transitions in Communities • Build on Dartmouth Data • Target Seriously Ill Medicare Beneficiaries • Assure Continuity and Reliability • Support by Quality Improvement Organizations (QIOs) • With ALL Clinical Service Providers • And Community Leaders How can we learn to improve quality and also deliberately enhance efficiency? 8 Lewis and Clark – leaving St Louis, May 1804 9 Pushing for Reform THE BUSINESS CASE: THE AIM: – Social consensus on how to live and die with serious illness THE STRATEGIES: – Engender political demand – Engender the workforce – Tailor services, payment, quality measures to populations10 The Business Case • Pay well only for continuity care • Make planning ahead standard • Permit continuity over time and setting • Change the information flow – Require feedback “upstream” – Give relevant information to patients/families 11 The AIM • Public stories – TV, famous people, other media • Honest accounting of costs and benefits • Include patient and caregiver voices – payment, and quality in coverage, • Demonstrations – in substantial regions • Compare small areas 12 Caregivers – Politics and Needs • Organize caregivers for political power • Demand reasonable working conditions • Demand a role in setting priorities 13 Employee Work Force • Change the skill mix for physicians • Leadership positions for nurses, social workers • Fair labor practices for aides 14 Tailor Care to Populations… 15 Short Decline, “Dying” Cancer Function High Low death Time 16 Exacerbations and Sudden Dying Function High Mostly Chronic Heart or Lung Failure Low death Time 17 Function High Dwindling Course Frailty and dementia death Low Time 18 Tailor Care to Populations… First – short course to dying **Mesh hospice and conventional care Second – exacerbations **Move services to home, advance care planning Third – dwindling course **Family support, nursing homes, supportive care 19 We have much to learn and little time 20 Map of the US, 1802 21 Map of the United States, 1826 22 Maps of the US, 1802 and 1824 Maps from the Smithsonian Institution Collection 23 Some Resources for Reform Transitions - http://www.cfmc.org/value/co/index.htm Patients and families • Web – www.growthhouse.org • Handbook for Mortals (Oxford U Press, 1999) Policy • Sick to Death and Not Going to Take it Anymore! Reforming Health Care for the Last Years of Life (U California Press, 2004) Quality Improvement • Common Sense Guide to Improving Palliative Care (Oxford U Press., 2006) 24