Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
1-1 1-2 ISSUED IN PUBLIC INTEREST Advisable “All material in slides need not be understood. Use your current working environment and experience to relate to situations. Errors and omissions regrettable. Subject to corrections on Being brought to notice” 1-3 1-4 Marketing Research Process 1-5 Research Design Definition • The research design is the master plan specifying the methods and procedures for collecting and analyzing the needed information. • A choice of research design reflects decisions about the priority being given to a range of dimensions of the research process. 1-6 A Classification of Market Research Designs Research Design Exploratory Research Secondary Data Conclusive Research Experience Surveys Pilot Studies Case Studies See next slide 1-7 A Classification of Market Research Designs Research Design Exploratory Research Cross-sectional Study Longitudinal Study Secondary Data Study Conclusive Research Descriptive Design Causal Design Experiment Survey Observation Portfolio 1-8 Which is the “Best” Research Design & Method? It depends on the Problem of interest, Level of information needed, Resources, Researcher’s experience, etc. 1-9 Research Design: Some Observations • The overall research design for a project may include one or more of these three designs as part(s) of it. • Further, if more than one design is to be used, typically we progress from Exploratory toward Causal. 1-10 Exploratory Research Usually conducted during the initial stage of the research process Exploratory research to gain ideas and insights Purposes To narrow the scope of the research topic, and To transform ambiguous problems into well-defined ones Example: Newspaper facing & decreasing sales to generate possible explanation. Malls/hypermarkets/supermarkets having weekly sales trend & opportunity as heavy Friday sales. 1-11 Exploratory Research Techniques Secondary Data Analysis Secondary data are data previously collected & assembled for some project other than the one at hand Pilot Studies A collective term for any small-scale exploratory research technique that uses sampling but does not apply rigorous standards Includes Focus Group Interviews Unstructured, free-flowing interview with a small group of people Projective Techniques Indirect means of questioning that enables a respondent to project beliefs and feelings onto a third party or an inanimate object Word association tests, sentence completion tests, role playing Case Studies Intensively investigate one or a few situations similar to the problem situation Experience Surveys Individuals who are knowledgeable about a particular research problem are questioned 1-12 Conclusive Research More structured & formal than exploratory data Provide specific information that aids the decision maker in evaluating alternative courses of action. Sound statistical methods & formal research methodologies are used to increase the reliability of the information. Data sought tends to be specific & decisive 1-13 Types of Conclusive Research Descriptive Research Research objectives are clearly defined Obtain summary measures to address research questions . Examines who, what, when, where, why, & how questions Describes attitudes, perceptions, characteristics, activities and situations. Trends in lifestyle with respect to age, sex, etc. Causal Research Provides evidence that a cause-and-effect relationship exists or does not exist. For cause-and-effect connection between managerial decisions and market outcome. Example-how people react to a newspaper’s topic selection and space allocation. 1-14 Common Characteristics of Descriptive Studies Build on previous information Show relationships between variables Representative samples required Structured research plans Require substantial resources Conclusive findings 1-15 Major Types of Descriptive Studies Descriptive Studies Sales Studies • Market Potential • Market Share • Sales Analysis Consumer Perception & Behavior Studies Market Characteristic Studies •Distribution • Image • Product Usage • Advertising • Pricing •Competitive Analysis 1-16 Cross Sectional vs. Longitudinal Designs Cross Sectional Design Longitudinal Design Time Sample Surveyed at T1 Sample Surveyed at T1 T1 Same Sample also Surveyed at T2 T2 1-17 Common Characteristics of Causal Studies Logical Time Sequence For causality to exist, the cause must either precede or occur simultaneously with the effect. Concomitant Variation Extent to which the cause and effect vary together as hypothesized. Control for Other Possible Causal Factors Environment, psychological factors. 1-18 Questions Addressed by Causal Research * Marketing director of local beer company, “Will replacing TV commercial A with commercial B lead to increase in consumer preference on our brand?” * Chairman of a charity organization. “Will it be worthwhile to mail to previous donors an attractive and expensive brochure to solicit higher contributions this year?” * The sales manager of a local life insurance company. “Will training in the use of computers for client management increase agents’ sales?” * Marketing VP of fashion chain, “Can we improve profitability of our fashion clothing line by increasing its price by 10%?” 1-19 How Descriptive & Causal Designs Differ Relationship between the variables Descriptive designs determine degree of association Causal designs infer whether one or more variables influence another variable Degree of environmental control Descriptive designs enjoy lesser degrees of control Order of the variables In descriptive designs, variables are not logically ordered 1-20 Comparison of Research Designs Exploratory Descriptive Causal Purpose ID problems, gain insights Describe things Determine causeand-effect relationships Assumed background knowledge Minimal Considerable Considerable Degree of structure Very little High High Flexibility High Some Little Sample Non-representative Representative Representative Research environment Relaxed Formal Highly controlled Cost Low Medium High Findings Preliminary Conclusive Conclusive 1-21 Descriptive Research Data Collection Methods Surveys Interviews Observations Portfolios 1-22 Descriptive Research 1. Surveys May be used to reveal summary statistics by showing responses to all possible questionnaire items. May be used to explore relationships between 2 or more variables. Often provide leads in identifying needed changes 1-23 Descriptive Research Characteristics of a Good Survey Good questioning techniques Use complete sentences Offer a limited set of answers Interesting Worded so that questions mean the same to all Provide definitions for confusing terms Uses the “I don’t know” answer very carefully 1-24 Descriptive Research Survey Forms Personal interviews Telephone interviews Mailed Questionnaire Factors to be considered Sampling Type of population Question Form Question Content Response rates Costs Available facilities Length of data collection Computer assisted techniques for data collection 1-25 Descriptive Research Survey Form – Personal Interviews Advantages Interviewer’s ability to observe the respondent and obtain visual cues Detail introspection possible Disadvantages Require more staff time Require more travel time 1-26 Descriptive Research Survey Form – Telephone Interview Advantages Less expensive Less time-consuming Disadvantages Limited telephone access. Interviewer less interested to respond. Lack of interviewer’s ability to observe the respondent and obtain visual cues 1-27 Descriptive Research Survey Form – Mailed Questionnaires A letter of transmittal should accompany mailed questionnaires. Should state purpose and importance of research Should state importance of responding Should give a time frame to respond Should include a confidentiality statement Should include an offer to share results Should include a thank-you note to the respondent 1-28 Descriptive Research Survey Form – Mailed Questionnaires Advantages Ability to reach large number of people across a wide geographic area Ease and low cost of distribution Minimal amount of staff required Allows respondents to respond in their time frame Disadvantages Lower response rate Need to design a survey instrument with a simple format 1-29 Descriptive Research 2-Interviews More time efficient Allow the researcher to establish a rapport with the respondent Allow the acquisition of more in-depth information Allow for interviewer observation Allow the interviewer to obtain visual cues May be personal or telephone interviews 1-30 Descriptive Research 3. Observational Research Methods • • • • • • Naturally occurring behaviors observed in natural contexts Contexts that are contrived to be realistic Require direct observation of behavior Data gathered without intermediary instruments Can yield a wealth of invaluable information Can be a complicated process 1-31 Descriptive Research 3. Observational Research Methods • In marketing and the social sciences, observational research (or field research) is a social research technique that involves the direct observation of phenomena in their natural setting. This differentiates it from experimental research in which a quasiartificial environment is created to control for spurious factors, and where at least one of the variables is manipulated as part of the experiment. Generally, there are three types of observational research: • • • • • Covert observational research Overt observational research Researcher Participation 1-32 Descriptive Research Observational Research Methods Compared with quantitative research and experimental research, observational research tends to be less reliable but often more valid. The main advantage of observational research is flexibility. The researchers can change their approach as needed. Also it measures behavior directly, not reports of behavior or intentions. The main disadvantage is it is limited to behavioral variables. It cannot be used to study cognitive or affective variables. Another disadvantage is that observational data is not usually general 1-33 Descriptive Research 3. Observational Research Methods Covert observational research - The researchers do not identify themselves. Either they mix in with the subjects undetected, or they observe from a distance. The advantages of this approach are: (1) It is not necessary to get the subjects’ cooperation, and (2) The subjects’ behaviour will not be contaminated by the presence of the researcher. Some researchers have ethical misgivings with the deceit involved in this approach. 1-34 Descriptive Research 3. Observational Research Methods Overt observational research - The researchers identify themselves as researchers and explain the purpose of their observations. The problem with this approach is subjects may modify their behaviour when they know they are being watched. They portray their “ideal self” rather than their true self in what is called the Hawthorne Effect. The advantage that the overt approach has over the covert approach is that there is no deception Researcher Participation - The researcher participates in what they are observing so as to get a finer appreciation of the phenomena. 1-35 Descriptive Research Observational Research Methods In marketing research, the most frequently used types of observational techniques are: Personal observation Observing products in use to detect usage patterns and problems Observing license plates in store parking lots Determining the socio-economic status of shoppers Determining the level of package scrutiny Determining the time it takes to make a purchase decision Mechanical observation Eye-tracking analysis while subjects watch advertisements Ocumeters-what the subject is looking at Pupilometers - how interested is the viewer Electronic checkout scanners - records purchase behaviour On-site cameras in stores Nielsen box for tracking television station watching Voice pitch meters - measures emotional reactions Psychogalvanometer-measures galvanic skin response 1-36 Descriptive Research Observational Research Methods Audits Retail audits to determine the quality of service in stores Inventory audits to determine product acceptance Shelf space audits Trace Analysis Credit card records Computer cookie records Garbology-looking for traces of purchase patterns in garbage Detecting store traffic patterns by observing the wear in the floor (long term) or the dirt on the floor (short term) Exposure to advertisements Content analysis Observe the content of magazines, television broadcasts, radio broadcasts, or newspapers, either articles, programs, or advertisements 1-37 Descriptive Research 4. Portfolios Provide a descriptive measure of client work based on actual performance Consist of learner-created products that reflect the processes of learning and development over time 1-38 Casual Design-Experiments • An experiment is defined as manipulating (changing values/situations) one or more independent variables to see how the dependent variable(s) is/are affected, while also controlling the affects of additional extraneous variables. • Independent variables: those over which the researcher has control and wishes to manipulate i.e. package size, ad copy, price. • Dependent variables: those over which the researcher has little to no direct control, but has a strong interest in testing i.e. sales, profit, market share. • Extraneous variables: those that may effect a dependent variable but are not independent variables. • An experimental design is a procedure for devising an experimental setting such that a change in the dependent variable may be solely attributed to a change in an independent variable. 1-39 How Valid Are Experiments? • An experiment is valid if: • The observed change in the dependent variable is, in fact, due to the independent variable (internal validity) • If the results of the experiment apply to the “real world” outside the experimental setting (external validity) 1-40 Types of Experiments Laboratory experiment Experiment Scientific investigation in which an investigator manipulates and controls one or more independent variables and observes the dependent variable for variation concomitant to the manipulation of the independent variables Research investigation in which investigator creates a situation with exact conditions so as to control some, and manipulate other, variables Field experiment Research study in a realistic situation in which one or more independent variables are manipulated by the experimenter under as carefully controlled conditions as the situation will permit 1-41 Test Marketing • • Test marketing is the phrase commonly used to indicate an experiment, study, or test that is conducted in a field setting. Two broad classes: • To test the sales potential for a new product or service • To test variations in the marketing mix for a product or service 1-42 Types of Test Markets • • • • • • • Standard test market: one in which the firm tests the product and/or marketing mix variables through the companies normal distribution channels. Advantage • Good reflection of how the product will perform. Disadvantage Competition automatically known product/packaging and can sabotage you. Controlled test markets: ones that are conducted by outside research firms that guarantee distribution of the product through prespecified types and numbers of distributors. Advantage • It gets the product out faster most of the time. • Can also be used in places that are harder to get into. Disadvantage • May not represent firms actual distribution system • Competition can still sabotage you 1-43 Types of Test Markets • • • • • • Simulated test markets: subjects are selected based on target market of test product. Advantages • Much harder for competition to sabotage you • Faster to do • Good if you want to spot a clearly weak product quickly. • Save yourself money. Disadvantages • Equation they throw it into is based on assumptions and assumptions may not always be accurate. • No indication of how willing retailers/ distributers are to cooperate. Electronic test markets: those in which a panel of consumers has agreed to carry identification cards that each consumer presents when buying goods and services. Advantage • Easy to track Disadvantage • Customers or retailers may not co-operate 1-44 Test Markets • • Test marketing is used in both consumer markets and industrial or B2B markets as well. Lead country test market: test marketing conducted in specific foreign countries that seem good predictors for an entire continent 1-45 Criteria for Selecting Test Market Cities • • • • • Representativeness: Do demographics match the total market? Degree of isolation: Delhi and Mumbai are isolated markets; Ghaziabad & Noida is not isolated. Ability to control distribution and promotion: Are there preexisting arrangements to distribute the new product in selected channels of distribution? Are local media designed to test variations/effects in promotional messages? 1-46 Test Marketing • • Pros: • Allows most accurate method of forecasting future sales • Allows firms the opportunity to pretest marketing mix variables Cons: • Does not yield infallible results • Are expensive • Exposes the new product or service to competitors • Takes time to conduct 1-47 1-48 Questions 4. 5. 6. 7. What do you understand by Research Design. Discuss the Exploratory Research Design in detail? Discuss Descriptive Research Design in detail? Discuss various data collection methods? 1-49 Thanks