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Instructor R. Zamora AP Environmental Science Edinburg North High School Core Case Study Southern Sea Otters: Are They Back From the Brink of Extinction? Historical abundance and distribution: 1 million along NA Pacific Coast Habitat: Kelp Forests Habits: Use tools to eat shellfish By early 1900s, hunted to near extinction Fur Viewed as competitors for shellfish kelp forests disappeared Keystone species Depredates herbivorous invertebrates (e.g., sea urchins) Maintains ecologically and economically important kelps Recovery of otter populations recovery of kelp forests and overall diversity upsets commercial and recreational shellfishers Focus of this chapter, Population dynamics – study of how populations change in their distribution, numbers, age structure, and density. Focus Questions What are the major characteristics of populations? How do populations respond to changes in environmental conditions? How do species differ in their reproductive patterns? Population Dynamics and Carrying Capacity Population Distribution Three patterns of distribution or dispersion: Clumping – most common Uniform – when there is intense competition for resources Random – least common Four reasons for clumping distributions Resources vary from place to place Living in groups provides protection against predators Living in groups gives some predators a better chance at getting food Mating or caring for young Changes in Population Size: Entrances and Exits Population size is influenced by: Births Deaths Immigration Emigration Change in Population Births Immigration Deaths Emigration Age structure: Young Populations Can Grow Fast Rate of population change depends on age structure – proportion of individuals at various ages. Usually described by three main categories: Pre-reproductive ages (juvenile or immature) Reproductive ages (adult) Post-reproductive (senescent) Senescents Adults Immatures Growing Pop. Stable Pop. Decreasing Pop. Limits on Population Growth: Biotic Potential vs. Environmental Resistance No pop. can grow indefinitely limits to growth in nature (lesson from one of nature’s four sustainability principles) Pops. vary in their biotic potential – capacity for growth. Intrinsic rate of increase (r) – rate at which a pop would grow if it had unlimited resources. Populations with high r: Reproduce early in life Have short generation times Can reproduce many times Have many offspring each time they reproduce Example: House fly 5.6 x 106 descendants in 13-mo Example: Bacteria w. generation time of 20-min 0.3-m deep layer over the earth in 36-h There is a size limit to growth imposed by limiting factors. Limiting factors: water, light, living space, nutrients, competition, predation, and disease. Environmental resistance – all factors that limit growth of a pop Negative, or corrective feedback Biotic potential and environmental resistance lead to carry capacity (K) – the maximum population size that a particular habitat can sustain indefinitely w/o degrading the habitat. Exponential and Logistic Population Growth: J-curves and S-curves With ample resources a pop can grow rapidly, but as resources become limited, its growth rate slows and levels off. With few, or no limitations populations grow exponentially (exponential growth) at a fixed rate (e.g., 2%). N-t plot produces a J-shaped curve Logistic growth involves rapid growth followed by a steady decline w/ time until pop size levels off. Decrease occurs as pop experiences environmental resistance N-t plot produces a S-shaped (or sigmoid) curve Figure 8-3. No population can continue to increase in size indefinitely. Figure 8-4. Logistic growth of sheep after being introduced to the island of Tasmania Brown tree snake Multiplied exponentially Up to 5000 km-2 Venomous Caused more than 2000 power outages Caused the extinction of 8 out of 11 of Guam’s forests birds. http://www.npswapa.org/gallery/album59/Brown_tree_snake_Boiga_irregularis_U SGS_Photograph Figure 8-5. Brown tree snake was accidentally introduced to Guam during WWII. What influence would a decline in population size of a keystone species have on community composition? Decrease in populations of species dependent on the keystone species. Increase in species that move in to occupy part or all of vacant niches. Exceeding Carrying Capacity: Move, Change Habits, or Decline in Size The transition from exponential growth to logistic growth may not be smooth. Occurs because of a reproductive lag time. Dieback, or crash ensues (Fig. 8-6) Figure 8-6. Exponential growth, overshoot, and population crash after introduction to St. Paul Island in Bearing Sea in 1910. Carrying capacity if an area or volume is not fixed. Habitat may be degraded by the population that exceeded K. Also, K varies temporally increasing or decreasing seasonally or year to year. Weather Climate Other factors K for a population man increase by developing adaptive traits through natural selection. Population may migrate when K has been exceeded. Humans are not exempt from population overshoot and dieback. Ireland, 1845, 1 million died, 3 million migrated Polynesians on Eater Island, pop crashed after using up most of island trees Earth’s carrying capacity for humans has been extended by technological, social, and cultural changes. Population Density and Population Change: Effects of Crowding Population density – the number of individuals in a population found in a particular area or volume. Pop density can affect how rapidly it can grow or decline. Some control factors are not affected by population density. Density-dependent factors can control population size increase as the density increases. Competition, predation, parasitism, and diseases (e.g., bubonic plague in the 14th century) Tend to regulate a pop at a fairly constant size, often near K Density independent factors control independently of pop density. Mostly abiotic Examples: freezes, floods, hurricanes, fire, pollution, and habitat destruction Types of Population Change Curves in Nature Four general patterns: Stable – size fluctuates slightly above and below K Irruptive – explosive growth to a high peak and then crash. Characteristic of short-lived, rapidly reproducing species Linked to seasonal changes in weather and nutrient availability Cyclic – regular cycles of increase and decrease Characteristic of species in stable environments Rise and fall of lemmings every 3-4 years Lynx and snowshoe hare, 10-yr (Fig 8-7) Top-down pop regulation Bottom-up regulation Irregular – no pattern in change of population size Figure 8-7 Cases Study: Exploding White-tailed Deer Population in the US Since the 1930s the white-tailed deer population in the US has exploded. By 1900, reduced to 500 000 1920s and 30s laws passed to protect deer, and wolves and mountain lions nearly eliminated Today there are 25-30 million Problem with the rebound Encroachment Suburbanization Vector for Lyme disease Solutions Change hunting regulations Trap and relocate Birth control Reproductive Patterns Ways to reproduce: Sexual Partners Not Always Needed Asexual Reproduction Produces clones Common in taxa such as bacteria, plants and some animals such as corals. Sexual Reproduction Mixes genetic material of two parents producing offspring w/ genetic traits of each parent. Disadvantages of sexual reproduction First, males don’t give birth; female has to produce twice as many offspring to break even. Second, increased change of genetic errors separation and recombination of chromosomes. Third, courtship and mating is expensive (time and energy budgets), can cause disease, and injury may be inflicted in males that combat for mates. Advantages Provides genetic diversity in offspring Males of some species can help raise young Figure 8-8. Courtship display Reproductive Patterns: Opportunists and Competitors Species differ in reproductive strategies to help ensure survival. (instead opportunists) (good competitors) Most species have Figure 8-9. Positions of r-selected and Kselected species on the sigmoid population growth curve. reproductive patterns between extreme r- and Kselected species. Reproductive patterns may give a species a temporary advantage, but the ultimate population regulator is available habitat. Survivorship Curves A representation of age structure that shows the percentage of members surviving at different ages (Fig. 8-11) There are three generalized curves: late loss, early loss, and constant loss. A life table shows projected life expectancy and probability of death for individuals at each age in a survivorship curve. Figure 8-11. Survivorship curves for populations of different species. The problems to be faced are vast and complex, but come down to this: 6.7 billion people are breeding exponentially. The process of fulfilling their wants and needs is stripping earth of its biotic capacity to support life; a climactic burst of consumption by a single species is overwhelming the skies, earth, waters, and fauna. -Paul Hawken The next chapter applies the principles of population dynamics discussed in this chapter to the growth of human population and its environmental impact. The principle of population dynamics are also used to help us harvest fish and wildlife resources more sustainably. Figure 9-1. Crowded street in China.