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National Radio Astronomy Observatory EVLA Workshop Deeper Knowledge Through Confusion Jim Condon Outline: • What can sensitive 1–10 GHz continuum surveys tell us about galaxy evolution? • Current problems with continuum surveys • EVLA: 5X deeper knowledge through confusion ( ~ 1000 nJy at 1.4 GHz, 600 nJy at 3 GHz, 400 nJy at 6 GHz, and 250 nJy at 10 GHz) • Unique EVLA contributions as a continuum pathfinder for the SKA EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 FIR and radio flux densities of starforming galaxies are correlated so the rescaled FIR (dashed curve) and radio (solid curve) LLFs of star-forming galaxies coincide; FIR and radio trace the same SFRD. EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 solid curve: 1.4 GHz dashed curve: FIR Luminosity Evolution Local visibility function yields counts normalized by static Euclidean counts ∆ log(L) ~ 1.2 evolution for all radio sources <z> ~ 0.8, ∆ log(z) ~ 0.5 over wide flux range EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 stars AGN stars AGN Condon (1989) and Wilner et al. (2008) models EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 Evolution of Star Formation: Radio View EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 Problems with current faint-source counts P(D) EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 1.4 GHz Huynh et al. (2005) EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 Deepest counts seem to disagree EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 Isotropy of faint NVSS sources 1.4 GHz source counts in 17 FLS fields • 2 is consistent with no clustering (P > 30%) • “Cosmic rms” < 16% (P > 99%) EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 Faint sources and sky brightness EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 EVLA sensitivity and confusion surveys EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 EVLA confusion surveys as pathfinders for SKA EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 Ultimate radio survey limits • confusion: c~ .03 K (1.4 GHz) instrumental natural • field of view Ω • dynamic range • noise EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 Summary: • S ~ 1 Jy surveys at 1.4 GHz can constrain the evolution of the SFRD to z ~ 1.5 • Current surveys disagree below S ~ 100 Jy • EVLA confusion surveys could yield source counts to S ~ 1 Jy at 1.4 GHz and measure the effective spectral index at this level. • EVLA confusion surveys will be the deepest pathfinders for SKA continuum surveys, and they will approach the natural confusion limit. EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 X-band surveys • Small numbers of sources • Spectral-index distributions differ? EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 Isotropy of strong sources Detecting distant sources and characterizing source populations EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 Power-density functions Vir A M82 The recent SFRD is proportional to ∫um d log(L) = 1.5 1019 W Hz-1 Mpc-3 at 1.4 GHz EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 Arp 220 EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17 The 1.4 GHz sky at 5 arcsec resolution, 23 µJy/beam = 0.6 K rms noise ~1/2 AGN ~1/2 starforming galaxies part of the Spitzer FLS / VLA survey EVLA Workshop 2008 Dec 17