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Modern hormone contraceptive use before hCG remission does not increase the risk of gestational trophoblastic neoplasia following complete hydatidiform mole Antonio Braga PhD a,b, Izildinha Maestá PhD b, Dee Short BSc c, Philip Savage FRCP c, Richard Harvey PhD c, Michael J Seckl FRCP c a Trophoblastic Disease Center, Maternity School of Rio de Janeiro Federal University and Antonio Pedro University Hospital at Fluminense Federal University, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. Postdoctoral Program of Science without Borders (Brazilian Government) – Charing Cross Gestational Trophoblastic Disease Centre, Charing Cross Hospital, Imperial College School of Medicine, London, UK and Postdoctoral Program of Gynecology, Obstetrics and Mastology Postgraduate of Botucatu Medical School, UNESP- São Paulo State University, Botucatu, São Paulo, Brazil. b Trophoblastic Disease Center, Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Botucatu Medical School, UNESP- São Paulo State University, Botucatu, São Paulo, Brazil c Charing Cross Gestational Trophoblastic Disease Centre, Charing Cross Hospital, Imperial College School of Medicine, London, UK Correspondence to: Prof Michael J Seckl, Department of Medical Oncology, Charing Cross Hospital Campus, Imperial College NHS Healthcare Trust, London W6 8RF, UK email: [email protected] Contributors MJS conceived and designed the study. AB and DS participated in data collection. RH did hCG assays. PS and MJS treated the patients. AB, IM, PS and MJS contributed to data analysis and interpretation. AB, IM and MJS wrote the report. All authors have seen and approved the final version of the report. Conflicts of interest We declare that we have no conflicts of interest. Acknowledgments MJS thanks the National Commissioning Group and Department of Health for continuing support of the GTD service. MJS is supported by the Imperial College Experimental Cancer Medicine Centre (ECMC) grant from Cancer Research UK, the Department of Health, and the Imperial College National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre (NIHR BRC). AB thanks the Postdoctoral Program of Science without Borders – Brazilian Government. Abstract Objective To re-evaluate the safety of low dose hormone contraceptives (HC) after uterine evacuation of complete hydatidiform mole (CHM). Design Non-concurrent cohort study. Setting Charing Cross Hospital Gestational Trophoblastic Disease Centre, London, United Kingdom. Participants 2,423 women with CHM of whom 154 commenced HC whilst their human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) was still elevated, followed between 2003 and 2012. Main outcome measures Time to hCG remission, risk of developing postmolar gestational trophoblastic neoplasia (GTN) and proportion of patients with high FIGO risk score. Results No relationship was observed between HC use with time to hCG remission (HC users verses non-users: 12 weeks in both, p = 0.192), GTN development (HC users verses non-users: 20.1% and 16.7%, p = 0.266) or high-risk FIGO score (HC users vs nonusers: 0% and 8%, p = 0.152). Moreover, no association between HC and GTN development was found, even when an age-adjusted model was used (OR = 1.37, 95% CI = 0.91 to 2.08, p = 0.132) Conclusions The use of modern HC is not associated with development of postmolar GTN or delayed time to hCG remission. Therefore, HC can be safely used for birth control following CHM regardless of hCG level. Introduction Gestational trophoblastic disease (GTD) comprises a spectrum of pregnancyrelated disorders that result from genetic abnormalities often established at conception. GTD consists of the premalignant entities of complete (CHM) and partial hydatidiform mole (PHM), and the malignant condition of gestational trophoblastic neoplasia (GTN). GTN includes invasive mole, choriocarcinoma, placental-site trophoblastic tumor, and the extremely rare epithelioid trophoblastic tumor. 1–3 Although hydatidiform mole is a self-limited process that completely resolves 4–6 following uterine evacuation in most cases, 15-20% of CHM and 0.5-5% PHM behave malignantly. This is usually clinically detected by a plateaued or rising human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) on three and two consecutive weekly samples, respectively. 6 Consequently, monitoring with serial determinations of quantitative hCG values is essential for the early detection and prompt treatment of post-molar GTN. 5,7,8 In the vast majority of GTN cases, single-agent chemotherapy is highly effective and the overall cure rate is around 100%. 1–3 Such high survival rates allows giving patients the least toxic therapy first, and thus avoids exposure to more harmful treatments. 1 Because pregnancy interferes with monitoring hCG levels and may delay the diagnosis of post-molar GTN, the use of a reliable contraception method for up to 6 months from normalization of the hCG level is very important. 9 Among the several forms of contraceptives available, hormonal contraception (HC) remains one of the most common reversible methods in many countries. However, early population based and reasonably large studies 11–13 10 suggested that HC used whilst the hCG was still elevated increased the incidence of developing GTN following molar pregnancy. In contrast several smaller non-population based studies have shown no significant association between the use of HC and the risk of postmolar GTN or the abnormal elimination of hCG14–24. Whilst these discrepant results might reflect case ascertainment bias in the smaller non-population based studies, it is also conceivable that the differences observed are due to the use of more modern low dose HCs. Nevertheless, the controversy persists with some national and/or institutional guidelines recommending HC avoidance at least until the hCG is normal whilst other do not. 23 We have therefore re-evaluated the use of HC in a cohort of patients exposed to modern low dose HC after molar evacuation in a large population. Methods The Charing Cross Hospital Gestational Trophoblastic Disease Centre electronic data base was screened to identify all registered CHM between Jan 2003 and Dec 2012. Patients with a normal initial hCG value after uterine evacuation of their CHM were excluded as the purpose of the study was to assess the effect of HCs on risk of developing GTN in patients who still had an elevated hCG. Furthermore, patients where HC status on the molar registration document was not completed or where there was uncertainty as to when HC use had begun were excluded. Of 2,777 patients, 2,423 met these entry criteria (Figure 1). A non-commercial one-site in-house competitive hCG radioimmunoassay using a rabbit polyclonal antibody was utilized for detecting and monitoring hCG as previously described. 1,25 Serum and urine hCG levels <5 IU/L and < 25 IU/L, respectively, were considered normal. 1,25 Information regarding age at registration, HC use, development of CHM into GTN requiring chemotherapy, time to hCG remission, and FIGO risk score were collected from our GTD electronic database and medical records. Low-dose HC were defined as birth control pills, injectables, skin patches, implants and vaginal rings containing <50micrograms estrogen, in either a combination of estrogen and progestin or progestin alone. Time to hCG remission (weeks) was defined as the period between CHM evacuation and first normal serum hCG value ( 5 IU/L). Patient follow-up was conducted according to the Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists guidelines. 26 Briefly, if hCG reverted to normal ≤56 days after uterine evacuation of the CHM then follow up continued for 6 months from the date of uterine evacuation. However, if the hCG reverted to normal > 56 days after the evacuation then follow-up was for 6 months from normalization of the hCG levels. All histopathological samples were centrally reviewed as previously described. 1 The criteria used for indicating chemotherapy / making a GTN diagnosis are listed in Box 1. All identified GTN cases were reviewed and discussed in weekly multidisciplinary meetings until treatment was completed. 27,28 The study was approved by the local institution review board. Statistical analysis Outliers were checked by exploratory analysis before statistical analysis. The Mann-Whitney test was used to compare time to hCG remission between HC users and nonusers. The relationship between HC use and GTN development was assessed using the Chi-square test and an age-adjusted logistic model. The relationship between HC use and FIGO risk score was assessed by Fisher’s exact test. Significance level was set at p 0.05. A retrospective analysis showed that our sample size of 2,423 patients of whom 154 were using HC was sufficient to detect a difference of 8% in GTN risk with 80% power and a type I error of 5%. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software (version 21.0, SPSS, Inc, Chicago, IL). Results A total of 2,777 patients with CHM were registered during the study period, of which, postmolar hCG regression curve information was available for 2,509, the remainder already having a normal hCG as their first value following CHM evacuation. Information regarding HC use was available for 2,423 (154= HC users, 2,269= non-HC users), and so these were included in the subsequent analysis (Figure 1). Median patient age was 30 years (range 15-56). GTN requiring chemotherapy was detected in 409 patients (17%), of whom 378 (92%) were classified as low-risk and 31 (8%) as high risk. Table 1 demonstrated that no relationship was observed between HC use and any of the following: time to hCG remission (HC users: 12 weeks verses (vs) HC nonusers: 12 weeks, p = 0.192); post-CHM GTN development (HC users: 20.1% vs HC nonusers: 16.7%, p = 0.266); and high-risk FIGO score (HC users: 0% vs HC nonusers: 8%, p = 0.152). The risk of developing GTN after CHM increased 3% for every one-year increase in patient age (OR = 1.03, 95% CI = 1.02 to 1.04, p <0.001). However, no association between HC and GTN development was found, even when an age-adjusted model was used (OR = 1.37, 95% CI = 0.91 to 2.08, p = 0.132) (Table 2). Discussion This study provides strong evidence that HC may be safely initiated immediately after uterine evacuation, even whilst the hCG concentration is still elevated. Our results show that besides not affecting time to GTD remission, HC had no influence on the risk of developing postmolar GTN or on FIGO risk score. The use of HC during postmolar follow-up has several advantages: promotes effective contraception (99.0-99.7% with perfect use and 92-97% with typical use), with high level of user satisfaction, which contributes to better compliance, 30 29 and blocks the synthesis of pituitary derived hCG or LH that can cause false positive hCG results. 31,32 Nevertheless, even in referral centers where HC is routinely recommended, the pregnancy rate before the completion of molar pregnancy surveillance occurred in 12-23%, indicating the difficulty of maintaining contraception during the post-molar follow-up. 33,34 Strengths and limitations of study Despite its retrospective nature, this study represents the largest series comparing the effects of HC on the prognosis of patients with GTD. In order to minimize the limitations of the design of our investigation, we included all patients with CHM followed at the Charing Cross Trophoblastic Disease Center between 2003 and 2012. Nearly all of these women had sufficient information for inclusion in the study and because this was UK population based case ascertainment bias seems less likely to be an issue here than in other studies. 21 Comparison with other studies In our study, the type of contraception had no influence on time to hCG remission (12 weeks for both HC users and nonusers). Stone and colleagues, 11 in their early study of the relationship of oral conception to GTN development after molar evacuation, reported that time to hCG normalization was longer in patients taking HC compared to those using other methods of contraception. This could be explained as a consequence of the higher doses of hormones used. 21,23 In contrast, and consistent with our findings, other studies found no association between HC and time to hCG regression. 14,19,21 The only exception was Morrow and colleagues, 16 who reported a significant difference in hCG regression time. However, they observed each treatment group during a different time period, and used different hCG-assays in each group. 23 The latter point is important as it is now well recognised that using different hCG assays can have significant impact on the actual hCG results obtained. 1,25 A strength of the present study is that we have used the same hCG assay throughout. Certainly, the most important finding to emerge from this investigation is that HC use was not associated with the occurrence of postmolar GTN, a result similar to others studies. 14–22 In contrast, the original Stone et al paper showed the opposite. Why is there such a discrepancy? One of the explanations that Stone and colleagues, 11 used to justify a higher occurrence of GTN in users of HC was that these contraceptive methods would promote a downregulation in the immunologic reaction of the receptor against trophoblastic disease, resulting in exacerbated cell proliferation. However, in vitro studies using trophoblastic cell lines treated with estrogen and progestin did not change the rate of cell proliferation or even the production of hCG. 35,36 Nevertheless, placental tissue and trophoblastic tumours do express estrogen receptor beta and progesterone receptors and others have shown effects of hormones on these tissues. 37,38 Interestingly, recent work shows that estrogen receptor alpha is not nuclear in GTD tissues but did not examine estrogen receptor beta. 39 If ostrogens do play a role in GTD biology then the most likely explanation for the marked difference in results between the early work of Stone and the more recent papers including this study is the reduction in dose of modern hormone contraceptives. Conclusion This study indicates that use of modern HC is not associated with development of postmolar GTN or delayed time to hCG remission. Therefore, HC can be safely used for birth control following CHM regardless of hCG level. What this paper adds box Section 1: What is already known on this subject During postmolar follow up, the use of a reliable contraception method for several months is essential to enable early detection of postmolar GTN. Conflicting data exist regarding the safety of hormone contraceptives with some showing an increased risk of GTN development particularly when started whilst the hCG is still elevated. Section 2: What this study adds The use of modern hormone contraceptive is not associated with development of postmolar GTN or delayed time to human chorionic gonadotropin remission. Hormone contraceptive can be safely used for birth control following CHM regardless of hCG level. References 1. Seckl MJ, Sebire NJ, Berkowitz RS. Gestational trophoblastic disease. Lancet 2010; 376: 717–29. 2. Lurain JR. Gestational trophoblastic disease I: epidemiology, pathology, clinical presentation and diagnosis of gestational trophoblastic disease, and management of hydatidiform mole. 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The expression of cathepsin D, oestrogen receptor immunohistochemical and progestogen study. receptor Histopathology 1995; in hydatidiform 27: 341–7.37. mole--an Gambino YP, Maymó JL, Pérez-Pérez A, Dueñas JL, Sánchez-Margalet V, Calvo JC, Varone CL 17Beta-estradiol enhances leptin expression in human placental cells through genomic and nongenomic actions. Biol Reprod. 2010; 83(1): 42-51. 38. Liu X, Li X, Yin L, Ding J, Jin H, Feng Y. Genistein inhibits placental choriocarcinoma cell line JAR invasion through ERβ/MTA3/Snail/E-cadherin pathway. Oncol Lett. 2011; 2(5): 891-897 39. Shoni M, Nagymanyoki Z, Vitonis AF, Jimenez C, Ng SW, Quade BJ, Berkowitz RS p-21-Activated kinase-1, -4 and -6 and estrogen receptor expression pattern in normal placenta and gestational trophoblastic diseases. Gynecol Oncol. 2013; 131(3): 759-63 . . . Box 1. Indications for chemotherapy Plateaued or rising hCG after evacuation* Heavy vaginal bleeding or evidence of gastrointestinal or peritoneal hemorrhage Histological evidence of choriocarcinoma Evidence of metastases in the brain, liver or gastrointestinal tract, or radiological opacities of >2 cm on chest X-ray Serum hCG of ≥ 20,000 IU/L > 4 weeks after evacuation, because of the risk of uterine perforation Raised hCG 6 months after evacuation even if still falling (now omitted) *Plateaued or rising is defined as four or more equivalent values of hCG over at least 3 weeks (days 1, 7, 14, and 21) and two consecutive rises in hCG of 10% or greater over at least 2 weeks (days 1, 7, and 14) respectively). Figure 1. Overview of study population CHM N = 2,777 Exclusions hCG normal N = 186 no hCG information N = 82 no HC information N = 86 Elevated hCG N = 2,423 HC users non-HC users N = 154 N = 2,269 Table 1. Relationship between use of hormonal contraceptives and gestational trophoblastic neoplasia in patients with complete hydatidiform mole. Variables Hormonal contraceptive use 1 CHM Outcome Spontaneous remission GTN development2 GTN 2 FIGO risk score Low-risk FIGO score High-risk FIGO score Time to hCG normalisation (weeks) No (N = 2269) 1891 (83,3%) 378 (16,7%) No (N = 378) 347 (91,8%) 31 (8,2%) No (N = 2269) 12 [8;16] (1 – 204)6 p Yes (N = 154) 123 (79,9%) 31 (20,1%) Yes (N = 31) 31 (100,0%) 0 (0,0%) Yes (N = 154) 12 [8;16] (4 – 88) 6 0,266 (3) 0,152 (4) 0,192 (5) (1) CHM – complete hydatidiform mole (2) GTN – gestational trophoblastic neoplasia (3 Chi-square test (4) Fisher’s exact test (5) Mann-Whitney test (6) Median [1st Quartil; 3rd Quartil] (Minimum-Maximum) Table 2. Adjusted logistic model to explain the occurrence of postmolar GTN depending on patient's age and hormonal contraceptive use. Variable β SE Wald test P OR CI (OR;95%) HC use 0,32 0,21 2,27 0,132 1,37 (0,91 to 2,08) Age (years) 0,03 0,01 31,72 0,000 1,04 (1,02 to 1,05) Constant -2,72 0,21 167,78 0,000 0,07 Key: estimate; SE standard error; OR overall risk; CI confidence interval