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PROJECT INFORMATION DOCUMENT (PID) APPRAISAL STAGE Project Name Region Sector Project ID Borrower(s) Implementing Agency Environment Category Date PID Prepared Date of Appraisal Authorization Date of Board Approval Report No.: AB6383 Zambia Kafue Town - Muzuma - Victoria Falls Regional Transmission Line Reinforcement Project AFRICA Power (100%) P124351 REPUBLIC OF ZAMBIA ZESCO Limited Stand No. 6949 Great East Road Zambia Tel: 260-211-362771 Fax: 260-211-222753 [email protected] [ ] A [X] B [ ] C [ ] FI [ ] TBD (to be determined) March 16, 2011 February 24, 2011 May 26, 2011 1. Country and Sector Background 1. Zambia is a low-income country of about 12 million inhabitants with a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita of US$950 (2009). Zambia has made significant socio-economic progress over the past decade. A relatively stable macroeconomic environment and improved macroeconomic policies1 since 1996 have resulted in a number of gains, which further increased following privatization of the mining industry in the 2000’s and a return to fiscal discipline with low inflation. However, Zambia’s rank in the UN Human Development Index for 2010 is 150 out of 169 countries and real GDP per capita in 2009 was only 64 percent of per capita GDP in 1965. Despite the gains, the sources and benefits of economic growth have been narrowly focused on capital-intensive industrial (mining and construction) and services sectors, which has yet to translate into lowering poverty and raising living standards. 2. The improved fiscal position has afforded the country much-needed latitude to increase spending on development objectives. The focus of the Government’s strategy is on increasing domestic revenue mobilization and reprioritizing expenditures, shifting towards capital investment and social-sector spending to reduce poverty while maintaining a sustainable fiscal position. A. Sectoral and Institutional Context 3. The overall national electrification rate is about 22 percent, with about 40 percent of the population in urban and peri-urban areas and only 3.1 percent in rural areas having access to electricity. Electricity is a key input for the industrial and commercial sectors, which account for nearly 70% of electricity consumption 1 World Bank. "Zambia: Country Economic Memorandum." Policies for Growth and Diversification. 2004. Report No. 28069-ZM. 4. Limited investment in energy infrastructure has been a significant obstacle to growth and to the development of a more dynamic and diversified export sector. The rapid expansion of mining and other energy-intensive industries over the years absorbed the surplus of electricity that characterized Zambia’s energy sector through the 1990’s. However, generating capacity additions are under development to cope with the growing demand (see paragraph 6) based on the Government’s strategy for the development of the sector over the medium to long-term. The strategy also focuses on improving the efficiency of sector performance, and further integration of Zambia’s power system into the Southern African Power Pool (SAPP). 5. A reliable energy supply is acknowledged as being vital to the growth of the national economy, and while the Government is committed to continuing to advance reforms in the energy sector, it also recognizes that the long term sustainable solution lies in the power system’s further integration in the Southern African Power Pool for more cost-effective electricity supplies, improved security and reliability of supply in addition to the benefits that participation in the pool would bring. The Government sees also the potential of Zambia becoming the future electricity trading hub with the interconnections of the Eastern Central and Southern African Power Pools, which would enable Zambia to maximize benefits from participation in the regional power markets around it. 6. The proposed project to strengthen the high voltage transmission link to Namibia, and to provide an additional power transmission corridor for power flows between the northern and southern member countries of the SAPP is in line with the approach to further regional integration. Zambia is interconnected in the north with DRC through 220 kV transmission lines, and in the south by 330 kV lines with Zimbabwe within the SAPP high voltage transmission grid. The National Electricity Dispatch Center of the Zambia power system serves as one of the area control centers of SAPP that monitors power flows between DRC and the rest of SAPP as well as assuring integrity and security of the interconnected regional transmission system under emergency situations. 2. Objectives 7. The development objective of the project is to improve the reliability of ZESCO’s regional power trade transmission network infrastructure. 3. Rationale for Bank Involvement 8. The proposed project will support reinforcement of the existing transmission network, increasing ZESCO’s power transfer capacity to the southern part of the country, reducing the high level of technical losses in the network, and bringing additional revenues for ZESCO through wheeling charges gained from cross-border power trade, and enabling ZESCO to more actively participate in the short-term energy market. The proposed project is directly linked to Bank’s Infrastructure Development strategy under the current Zambia Country Assistance Strategy (CAS) – Accelerating and Sharing Growth through Improved Competitiveness. The CAS articulates three priority areas in the support to the energy sector: (i) financing new generation and transmission capacity and demand-side management measures to mitigate the power crisis; (ii) provision of financing and technical assistance for access expansion to increase the current low electrification rate; and (iii) provision of investment and technical assistance to ZESCO to improve efficiency and quality of services. 4. Description 9. The project will have three components: (a) Component 1: Upgrading of the existing 220kV transmission line to 330kV. This component consists of replacing the existing 341 kilometers of 220kV transmission cable from Kafue-town through Muzuma to Victoria Falls with a new 330 kV transmission cable on the same towers. (b) Component 2: Reinforcement and Construction of Substations. Under the this component, the existing 220 kV transformers and associated switchgear equipment will be decommissioned and replaced with 330 kV transformers and associated equipment at the Kafue Town and Muzuma substations, and new 330/220 kV substation will be constructed at Livingstone. The use of available bays within the Kafue Town and Muzuma substations for installation of the new transformers and other equipment, and the deliberate selection of the site for the new Livingstone substation in an unpopulated area will minimize the environmental and social impacts of the project and will increase the implementation speed. (c) Component 3: Project Management, Environmental and Social Mitigation, and TA. This component will support (i) the financing of the services of the Engineering and Project Implementation Management consultant; (ii) environmental and social mitigation activities as detailed in the Project’s Environmental Impact Assessment and Resettlement Policy Framework (RPF); (iii) technical assistance to ZESCO to improve its capacity in designing, developing and executing investment projects for improved service delivery in electricity generation, transmission and distribution; and (iv) strengthening of the project implementation team for effective project monitoring and implementation. 5. Financing Source: BORROWER/RECIPIENT International Development Association (IDA) EC: European Investment Bank Total ($m.) 20 60 30 110 6. Implementation 10. ZESCO Limited will be the implementing agency. ZESCO will establish a full time Project Implementation Unit (PIU) that will be responsible for the implementation of the project. The PIU will receive full support from the Environmental and Social Affairs Unit (ESAU) of ZESCO through an Environmental Coordinator for the implementation of the Environmental and Social mitigation plan. 11. An engineering consultant will be financed under component 3 of the project to assist ZESCO in two phases with (i) review of design and preparation of the bidding documents for components 1 and 2; and (ii) supervision of construction and preparation for operation and maintenance of the complete investment (the full transmission line and the upgrade of substations) undertaken in Components 1 and 2. 7. Sustainability The Government of Zambia is fully committed to supporting this project. The Ministry of Finance and National Planning (MoFNP) has agreed to provide tax and duty exemptions for all imported goods and international services under the project. ZESCO’s management has demonstrated its commitment by its highly responsive and active support for this project. 12. 13. There are two key factors that determine the sustainability of the project’s development objective: (a) Timely expansion of least cost generation in Zambia. The current generation capacity and the proposed generation expansion plan under the PSDMP (largely through completion of ongoing power station rehabilitation and new hydropower generation) is considered adequate for meeting the cross-border power trade commitments and the growing loads in southern Zambia by 2015. The completion of the 360MW Kariba North Bank extension in calendar year (CY) 14, 120MW ItezhiTezhi hydropower plant in CY15, 40MW Lusiwasi Hydro station and a number of smaller mini hydro projects would increase ZESCO electricity production by 38% to 15,006 MWh in CY15. The Kafue Gorge Lower (KGL) project which is expected to become operational by 2017-2018 will provide an additional 600 MW in new generation capacity. These could support regional power trade and increased domestic consumption. (b) Financial viability of ZESCO. ZESCO’s financial performance until a few years ago was adversely affected by power supply constraints, high distribution losses, low electricity tariffs and high payroll costs. However, implementation of a series of major tariff increases in 2009 - 2010 (totaling about 87%) has allowed ZESCO to significantly improve its financial performance and put the company on the path to financial sustainability. Finical performance of ZESCO is expected to further improve in FY11-FY19, mainly due to increase in generation and implementation of new transmission projects that would enable the company to significantly increase electricity exports and domestic sales. Increased electricity production, coupled with significant tariff increases described above, will allow ZESCO to maintain financial sustainability in the medium to long term and successfully service increased debt obligations: the Debt Service Coverage Ratio is expected to remain above 1.75 level in FY11-FY19. 8. Lessons Learned from Past Operations in the Country/Sector 14. The Bank’s experience with power sector and other infrastructure projects in Zambia has been incorporated in the design of this project. These include careful assessment of the financial viability of the utility (ZESCO) and its cash flow projections; effective partnership arrangements for close coordination among donor partners during both design and implementation; and commitment of all parties involved to implementation of the safeguards mitigation plan. 9. Safeguard Policies (including public consultation) Safeguard Policies Triggered by the Project Environmental Assessment (OP/BP 4.01) Natural Habitats (OP/BP 4.04) Pest Management (OP 4.09) Indigenous Peoples (OP/BP 4.10) Physical Cultural Resources (OP/BP 4.11) Involuntary Resettlement (OP/BP 4.12) Forests (OP/BP 4.36) Safety of Dams (OP/BP 4.37) Projects on International Waterways (OP/BP 7.50) Projects in Disputed Areas (OP/BP 7.60)* Yes [ X] [] [] [] [] [X ] [] [] [] [] No [] [ X] [ X] [X ] [X ] [] [X ] [ X] [X ] [ X] 10. List of Factual Technical Documents 15. The following documents are on file for this project: Feasibility Study for the Kafue Town – Muzuma – Livingstone 220kV Transmission Line Upgrade Project Environmental Impact Assessment Report for the Kafue Town – Muzuma – Victoria Falls 220 kV to 330 kV Line Upgrade Project Review of Load Forecast Study ZESCO Limited Financial Statements 931 March 2010) Resettlement Policy Framework for the Kafue Town – Muzuma – Livingstone 220kV Transmission Line Upgrade 11. Contact point Contact: Title: Tel: Fax: Email: Bobak Rezaian Senior Energy Specialist (202) 473-3290 (202) 473-5123 [email protected] 12. For more information contact: The InfoShop The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Washington, D.C. 20433 Telephone: (202) 458-4500 Fax: (202) 522-1500 Email: [email protected] Web: http://www.worldbank.org/infoshop * By supporting the proposed project, the Bank does not intend to prejudice the final determination of the parties' claims on the disputed areas