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BIOMASS FUTURES:
Bioenergy Use in the EU Member States – Cumulative
Projections from the NREAPs and the associated
implications
Bogdan ATANASIU
[email protected]
www.ieep.eu
EIE/08/ 653/ June 2009- December 2011
Climate Change and Energy: EU 2020 targets
EU GHG: 20% reduction
Renewable Energy: 20% renewable energy in final gross energy
consumption
Renewable in transport: 10% renewable energy
Energy Efficiency: 20% less energy than BaU
EU final energy consumption in 2020
120%
-20%
80%
energy
efficiency
target
BaU 2020
renewable
energy
target
20%
Target 2020
2
RES Directive and NREAPs
Renewable Energy Directive 2009/28/EC (RES Directive)
• 20% share of RES in
gross final consumption
• 10% share of RES in
transport
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3
RES Directive and NREAPs
Renewable Energy Directive 2009/28/EC (RES Directive):
– Indirect energy efficiency reporting
– GHG emission reduction (tbd)
– Article 4: Compulsory NREAPs (tbd until 30 June 2010)
– Roadmaps on H&C, electricity and transport
– Progress monitoring (every 2 yrs.)
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4
NREAPs: state of play
• Only 23 NREAPs sent by the end of Oct. 2010
(missing Pl, Hu, Es, Be)
• Some NREAPs still under improvement (i.e. UK, Ireland)
• Not all of them translated in English
• Several of them incomplete or lacking in providing enough
details (i.e. Ro, Fi)
• Discrepancies between general RES trajectories and the
declarations in the detailed tables (tables 10-12)
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5
Bioenergy in NREAPs
• The main contributor to the 2020 target:
54.5% of the RES target (124.5Mtoe) by 2020
from
59% of RES (76.3Mtoe) in 2010
• Complex issue raising questions on their sustainability and
on their potential in reducing the GHG emissions.
• The contribution of biofuels produced from wastes,
residues, non-food cellulosic material, and ligno-cellulosic
material count twice that other biofuels
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6
Bioenergy: a complex problem
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7
RES roadmaps
23 NREAPs reported energy efficiency improvements: 9.72% by 2020
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8
Efforts in meeting the RES target
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9
Bioenergy share in RES target
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10
Bioenergy in RES electricity
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11
Bioenergy in RES H&C
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12
Bioenergy in RES Transport
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13
Biofuels article 21.2 and RES-T
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14
Bioenergy feedstock: 2005 -2020
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15
Bioenergy & NREAPs: conclusions
• For some countries the effort in reaching the RES target will be
significant
• Bio-energy is determinant in reaching the 2020 RES target: 54.4%
(17.7% in RES-E, 80% in RES-H&C, 90% in RES-T)
• Solid biomass: the main contributor (36% in RES), decreasing in
share but increasing in absolute value – question on sustainability in
some cases (i.e. forest wood burning for household heating)
• CHP not enough considered by several countries
(also in relation with DHC);
little development by 2020 in EU: 17.7% CHP and 15.5% DHC
• RES-T target falling short for some countries (Bg, Cy, Mt.)
• Biofuels art. 21.2 are not properly declared by all the MSs;
anticipate important role in meeting the RES-T target
• Estimated biofuel imports: 42%
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Thank you!
[email protected]
www.ieep.eu
IEEP is an independent not for profit institute dedicated to advancing an
environmentally sustainable Europe through policy analysis, development
and dissemination.
June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653
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