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BIOMASS FUTURES: Bioenergy Use in the EU Member States – Cumulative Projections from the NREAPs and the associated implications Bogdan ATANASIU [email protected] www.ieep.eu EIE/08/ 653/ June 2009- December 2011 Climate Change and Energy: EU 2020 targets EU GHG: 20% reduction Renewable Energy: 20% renewable energy in final gross energy consumption Renewable in transport: 10% renewable energy Energy Efficiency: 20% less energy than BaU EU final energy consumption in 2020 120% -20% 80% energy efficiency target BaU 2020 renewable energy target 20% Target 2020 2 RES Directive and NREAPs Renewable Energy Directive 2009/28/EC (RES Directive) • 20% share of RES in gross final consumption • 10% share of RES in transport June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 3 RES Directive and NREAPs Renewable Energy Directive 2009/28/EC (RES Directive): – Indirect energy efficiency reporting – GHG emission reduction (tbd) – Article 4: Compulsory NREAPs (tbd until 30 June 2010) – Roadmaps on H&C, electricity and transport – Progress monitoring (every 2 yrs.) June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 4 NREAPs: state of play • Only 23 NREAPs sent by the end of Oct. 2010 (missing Pl, Hu, Es, Be) • Some NREAPs still under improvement (i.e. UK, Ireland) • Not all of them translated in English • Several of them incomplete or lacking in providing enough details (i.e. Ro, Fi) • Discrepancies between general RES trajectories and the declarations in the detailed tables (tables 10-12) June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 5 Bioenergy in NREAPs • The main contributor to the 2020 target: 54.5% of the RES target (124.5Mtoe) by 2020 from 59% of RES (76.3Mtoe) in 2010 • Complex issue raising questions on their sustainability and on their potential in reducing the GHG emissions. • The contribution of biofuels produced from wastes, residues, non-food cellulosic material, and ligno-cellulosic material count twice that other biofuels June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 6 Bioenergy: a complex problem June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 7 RES roadmaps 23 NREAPs reported energy efficiency improvements: 9.72% by 2020 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 8 Efforts in meeting the RES target June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 9 Bioenergy share in RES target June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 10 Bioenergy in RES electricity June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 11 Bioenergy in RES H&C June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 12 Bioenergy in RES Transport June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 13 Biofuels article 21.2 and RES-T June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 14 Bioenergy feedstock: 2005 -2020 June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 15 Bioenergy & NREAPs: conclusions • For some countries the effort in reaching the RES target will be significant • Bio-energy is determinant in reaching the 2020 RES target: 54.4% (17.7% in RES-E, 80% in RES-H&C, 90% in RES-T) • Solid biomass: the main contributor (36% in RES), decreasing in share but increasing in absolute value – question on sustainability in some cases (i.e. forest wood burning for household heating) • CHP not enough considered by several countries (also in relation with DHC); little development by 2020 in EU: 17.7% CHP and 15.5% DHC • RES-T target falling short for some countries (Bg, Cy, Mt.) • Biofuels art. 21.2 are not properly declared by all the MSs; anticipate important role in meeting the RES-T target • Estimated biofuel imports: 42% June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 16 Thank you! [email protected] www.ieep.eu IEEP is an independent not for profit institute dedicated to advancing an environmentally sustainable Europe through policy analysis, development and dissemination. June 2009- December 2011- EIE/08/653 30/4/2010 17