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Social Networks in Human Disease Douglas Luke Introduction to Network Medicine October 28, 2013 http://cphss.wustl.edu Goals The role of ‘above-the-skin’ social networks in human disease Three domains Infectious diseases Chronic diseases Network-relevant disease interventions Future directions Making the social-physiological link Frontiers – statistical and computational modeling of social network disease processes The brain as a large network: • 1011 neurons • 1015 synaptic connections http://humanconnectome.org/ http://13pt.com/projects/nyt110621/ Biological networks: Food webs (Wikipedia: Summerhayes & Elton’s 1923 food web of Bear Island) Social networks MLK Genogram Moreno Sociogram What is the connection between social networks and human diseases? CONCEPTUAL MODEL Social networks and human disease conceptual model Adapted from Berkman, et al, 2000, SSM Dynamic version of model Where has network analysis been used in public health? From Luke & Harris (2007) ARPH Multiple analytic approaches Luke & Stamatakis, 2012, ARPH Social networks as platforms for contagion INFECTIOUS DISEASE Social networks structure contagious flows Two broad types of social network theories (Borgatti, 2011) Network flow model (pipeline) Network coordination model (social position, bonds) Modern infectious disease control informed by network analysis From traditional S-I-R models to network informed models First HIV/AIDS network graphic (Auerbach et al, 1984; Luke & Stamatakis, 2012) Traditional S-I-R models ignore social structure Jun,2002 (http://dimacs.rutgers.edu/Workshops/EpidTutorial) Traditional S-I-R models ignore social structure Assumes random mixing Jun,2002 (http://dimacs.rutgers.edu/Workshops/EpidTutorial) Modern epidemiology recognizes importance of social networks High school romantic contacts Peter S. Bearman, James Moody, and Katherine Stovel, Chains of affection: The structure of adolescent romantic and sexual networks, American Journal of Sociology 110, 44-91 (2004). Need to take social network structure into account (Dimitrov & Meyers, 2010) Sex is scale-free From Liljeros, et al. (2001). The web of human sexual contacts. Nature, 411, 907-908. Risk of infection based on network properties From Christley, et al, 2005, AJE Modeling dynamic infectious disease network processes (Dimitrov & Meyers, 2010) Social networks as environments that promote or inhibit health behavior and disease risk CHRONIC DISEASE Social networks & chronic disease Common applications Cancer, CVD, and other major chronic conditions Smoking, drinking, and other substance use Obesity and physical activity Theoretical challenge Homophily – tendency for connected actors in a social network to look like each other (e.g., smoking status) How to disentangle social influence from social selection as causes of homophily Social networks implicated in chronic disease Primary prevention Secondary prevention Social networks related to wide variety of behavioral risk factors Smoking, drinking, exercise, breast-feeding, etc. Peer and family networks can influence cancer screening Tertiary prevention Numerous studies show that social support and size of social network increase life expectancy after cancer, heart disease, stroke From Kroenke, 2006, JCO From Kroenke, 2006, JCO General association of social support and network size with cancer mortality From Pinquart, 2010, Oncology/Hematology From Ennett & Bauman, 1993, JHSB From Alexander, et al., 2001, JAH From Alexander, et al., 2001, JAH Theoretical challenge Homophily Homophily – tendency for people who are connected in a network (e.g., friends) to be more similar to each other (e.g., smoking status); Birds of a feather flock together Challenge is to disentangle two potential causes of homophily Social selection Social influence Underlying cause of homophily: Selection vs. influence Disentangling peer influence and selection-obesity Clustering of obesity (yellow circles) in a social network (Christakis & Fowler, 2007) Disentangling peer influence and selection-smoking From Hall & Valente, 2007, AB From Mercken, et al., 2010, Addiction Developing more effective interventions and treatments that operate on social networks or use social network information DISEASE INTERVENTIONS Disease interventions Conceptual model Two types Direct intervention to the social network itself (1) Use social network information to enhance an intervention or disease treatment (2) Who are the critical players in a pediatric hospital ward? Original graphic by Jan Willem Tulp. Based on Isella, 2011, PLOS One. Can disease networks be modified? Alcoholics Anonymous - best example of an effective network disease intervention From Kelly, et al, 2011, DAD From Valente, et al., 2003, AJPH Targeted social distancing design for pandemic influenza “For influenza as infectious as the 1957-58 Asian flu…, closing schools and keeping children at home reduced the attack rate by >90%.” From Glass, et al., 2005, EID Research gaps and methodological advancements FUTURE DIRECTIONS Methodological challenges and opportunities Much early work based on large, self-report surveys using extremely simple measures of social support and network size Current work uses more sophisticated network visualization and description, using whole network data New statistical network modeling techniques allows for sophisticated hypothesis testing ERGM (exponential random graph modeling) New frontier is integrating social network information into computational modeling ABM (agent-based modeling) Types of network methods (n = 76 empirical network studies) Modeling dissemination of Best Practices in Tobacco Control From Luke, et al., 2013, HEB Modeling dissemination of Best Practices in Tobacco Control From Luke, et al., 2013, HEB Interaction of social network characteristics and tobacco control messaging From Hammond, 2006, Brookings Report Bahr, et al., 2009, Obesity Encounter types reported by a social network From Read, et al, 2008, JRSI Simulated epidemics based on social networks and isolation strategies From Read, et al, 2008, JRSI For more information: Douglas Luke http://cphss.wustl.edu [email protected]