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3.4.3 The International Economy The European Union (EU) What countries have most recently joined he EU? What do you think has been the impact of this EU enlargement? Who may join next? AQA ECON4: T HE NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY T HE E UROPEAN U NION (EU) You should have an elementary understanding of the institutional structure of the EU, notably the role of the European Commission and the European Central Bank Note: a detailed knowledge of these institutions is not expected You should be able to discuss the main features of customs unions and understand the significance of the EU as a customs union. The EU as a customs union should be considered in relation to the Single European Market (SEM) You should have an appreciation of the potential impact on the UK economy of EU enlargement You should be able to evaluate Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) and the single European currency in the context of the debate over UK membership T HE I NSTITUTIONAL S TRUCTURE OF THE E UROPEAN U NION (EU) The EU was originally formed in 1958, with 6 original member states; Belgium, Netherlands, Luxembourg, France, Germany and Italy The UK joined in 1973, and there are currently 28 member states The EU has a wide range of social and economic objectives, which include: Creation of an internal market where competition is free and undistorted Sustainable development, based on balanced economic growth and price stability, a highly competitive social market economy, aiming at full employment and social progress, and a high level of protection and improvement of the quality of the environment The promotion of scientific and technological advance The combating of social exclusion and discrimination The promotion of economic, social and territorial cohesion, and solidarity among Member States EU I NSTITUTIONS In order to achieve these objectives the EU has established a number of institutions to influence and set policy. NB: You only require an elementary understanding of these institutions. European Commission European Central Bank Council of Ministers European Parliament This represents the whole of the EU and is responsible for the implementation of EU laws and policies. The central bank for the 18 countries that have the Euro as their currency. They have aims to maintain price stability, implement monetary policy, control the money supply, oversee the banking system and support the economic aims of each member state. The Council of Ministers is comprised of ministers representing each member state and is the EU’s main decision making and legislative body. This is the only directly elected part of the EU. It is designed to debate, amend, propose or reject new EU laws. However, this is a process of codecision with the Council of Ministers, who ultimately ratify any changes to EU law. C USTOMS U NIONS The EU is not a free trade area as such, but a customs union A free trade area is a group of countries that have removed most or all tariffs and/or quotas A customs union will involve internal free trade amongst member states, but also includes a common external tariff Each member of the customs union cannot pursue their own international trade policy, instead trade negotiations are conducted on behalf of all member states The EU is the biggest customs union in the world with a 15.5% share of world trade It is important to differentiate a customs union from the Single European Market (SEM), which in addition to having no internal trade barriers and a common external tariff, also involves the free movement of goods, services, capital and labour which promotes deeper economic integration and market liberalisation T HE S INGLE E UROPEAN M ARKET The Single market has 28 member states and is a major world trading power. As an economic force, it is larger than the USA, but being a member brings various issues for the UK. Advantages Disadvantages Trade creation Trade is encouraged within member states because there are no barriers, so additional trade is created within the block. Trade diversion The existence of the common external tariff, diverts trade away from the EU. Goods within the SEM may be more expensive, and this could damage consumer welfare. Competition Stronger competitive forces within the SEM can drive productive and dynamic efficiency, which will benefit consumers. Monopolies In some markets e.g. gas and electricity, there has been significant merger activity and the creation of large monopolies seeking to exploit the available economies of scale. Access to markets The SEM creates a market of 28 countries and a population of over 500m, offering significant scope for firms to expand. Unemployment In some countries, workers may lose their jobs as production is transferred to member states with lower labour costs. Freedom of movement There is the right to live and work anywhere within the SEM without restriction which boosts labour mobility. Cost Membership of the SEM costs the UK around £15bn per year. EU E NLARGEMENT Since its inception in 1958, the EU has grown from 6 to 28 member states, with Croatia the most recent country to join in 2013 At the current time there are a further 5 candidate countries for EU membership; Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Turkey Potential positive implications of enlargement include: In 2013 the EU restarted talks with Turkey after 3 years. EU enlargement has increased the potential for economies of scale and free trade across a larger geographical area and population For consumers, the increased competition may drive down production costs leading to lower prices and increased choice and quality For firms, they will be able to take advantage of the relative low wages of new accession countries However, there are some potential negatives to EU enlargement, which include: Can the UK cope with the influx of migrant workers from new accession countries? New countries may require additional support from the EU, which may be partly funded by stronger nations EU enlargement may increase bureaucratic costs for all existing members E CONOMIC AND M ONETARY U NION (EMU) Economic and Monetary Union is a an extension of the EU as a Customs Union and Single European Market The aim is to expand integration to include common monetary and fiscal policies EMU comprises three core elements In essence, each member will adopt a single currency and operate with one interest rate, set by the ECB The Euro was introduced on 1st January 1999, and now includes 18 countries with Latvia the most recent country to join the Euro in 2014 The Euro is used by over 330m people across Europe, and is now the second most traded currency in the world behind the US dollar Latvia becomes 18th state to join the eurozone. To what extent do you think membership will bring stability? A single currency (the euro) An independent central bank (the ECB) The Stability and Growth Pact A DVANTAGES For euro member countries trading with others in the euro area, currency transaction costs are zero, which lowers business costs Competition However, The Telegraph reports “The euro has failed to boost trade between the countries that adopted it”. Consumers and firms do not have to factor exchange rates into price comparisons Transaction costs For euro states, it is no longer a requirement to exchange currencies when trading, which means exchange rate risk is significantly reduced, which encourage trade between member states Price transparency E URO Trade creation OF THE The additional trade creation also encourages greater competition within euro member states, which can help reduce prices and promote efficiency Certainty Overall, a single currency gives greater certainty for consumers and firms, as it significantly reduces volatility in large areas of the SEM D ISADVANTAGES Countries who wish to join the eurozone must achieve certain economic criteria, so that economies are ‘converged’ to some degree. This may be achievable in the short term, but may hide underlying structural issues in an economy which may add costs in future years Fiscal policy constraints The ECB sets one interest rate for all 18 countries in the eurozone, which may or may not be appropriate to them. Economic challenges will remain for each member state, but a common monetary policy is unlikely to be suitable for all countries in all situations Convergence issues Trade can be diverted away from countries that do not have the euro due to existence of exchange rate risks Loss of control of monetary policy E URO Trade diversion OF THE The Stability and Growth Pact requires that governments strictly control their budget deficits. By implication, this creates limitations for a member state when attempting to meet each countries own economic objectives Asymmetric shocks A single policy by the ECB might affect member states in different ways as some countries will be more sensitive to policy changes than others T HE UK AND THE E URO (1) As far as the UK is concerned, there are a number of arguments for and against joining the euro. Arguments in favour Arguments against Lower transaction costs Loss of independence of monetary policy Certainty around exchange rate fluctuations Impact on the housing market. The UK has a high proportion of home owners who are sensitive to interest rate movements The UK will be able to exert greater influence over economic policy within Europe No room to devalue currency to correct a BoP deficit Price transparency Conversion costs More inward investment from eurozone countries Loss of control over fiscal policy T HE UK E URO (2) In 1997, Gordon Brown, the then Chancellor of the Exchequer, put in place 5 economic tests that the UK must pass if it were to join the euro The tests concerned: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. AND THE Convergence Flexibility Investment UK financial services industry UK employment In recent times, the UK has shown little appetite to join the euro George Osborne was recently quoted as saying it was essential to "protect the collective interests of non-eurozone member states”, although membership of the euro has recently become tied up in a debate as to whether the UK should stay in the EU The lack of appetite to join the euro has been exacerbated by a number of difficulties in eurozone countries with Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain all requiring significant bailouts from other member states to maintain the euro as leading world currency D EBATE Motion: “this house believes that the UK should, at no cost, join the eurozone” Split the class into 2 (or 4) teams Decide which team will argue for the motion and which one against Each team should carry out additional research and prepare their case Host your debate, why not invite year 12 economists to take part?