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Sample AKT Questions involving Critical Appraisal RCGP: Questions on Research and Statisitics constitute 10% of the questions in the AKT 13. What are funnel plots primarily used for? A. Demonstrate the heterogeneity of a meta-analysis B. Demonstrate the existence of publication bias in meta-analyses C. Provide a graphical representation of the relative risk results in a case-control study D. Provide a graphical representation of the relative risk results in a cohort study E. Provide a graphical representation of the probability of a patient experiencing a particular adverse effect Funnel plots - show publication bias in meta-analyses A funnel plot is primarily used to demonstrate the existence of publication bias in meta-analyses. Funnel plots are usually drawn with treatment effects on the horizontal axis and study size on the vertical axis. Interpretation • a symmetrical, inverted funnel shape indicates that publication bias is unlikely • conversely, an asymmetrical funnel indicates a relationship between treatment effect and study size. This indicates either publication bias or a systematic difference between smaller and larger studies (‘small study effects’ 3. A double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled trial, conducted in primary care, of a new drug for stroke prevention shows statistical and clinical evidence that the drug is superior to placebo in preventing stroke. In deciding whether or not to use this new drug, which one of the following statistics is most useful? a ) NNK (Number Needed to Know) b ) NNT (Number Needed to Treat) c ) RRR (Relative Risk Reduction) d ) CER (Control Event Rate) e ) RRI (Relative Risk Increase) Answer: B The NNT (Number Needed to Treat) calculates the number of patients a clinician needs to treat in order to prevent one additional adverse outcome. 4. “The expanding use of qualitative research methodology has allowed us to gain knowledge about the characteristics, complexities and interrelationships of phenomena such as an individual’s experiences, emotions, beliefs and motives” (David Silverman, 2004). By applying this methodology in the primary care setting, we can obtain a greater understanding of the patients’ perspective and use this to improve patient health, the health care system and health service delivery. Which one of the following terms would you most associate with Qualitative rather than Quantitative research? a ) Purposive sampling b ) Controlled trials c ) Randomisation d ) Confidence interval e ) Double blind Answer: A The randomised double blind controlled trial is the gold standard in quantitative research. Prospective studies can be used in Quantitative and Qualitative studies. Confidence intervals are used in statistics in relation to numeric data in Quantitative research. Purposive sampling is a sampling method used in Qualitative Research and is the selection of the most productive sample to answer the research question. 1. You are reading a research paper regarding a new blood test that can be used to screen for colorectal cancer. It shows the following data: Cancer present Cancer absent Total no. of cases Blood test positive 80 40 120 Blood test negative 20 60 80 Total no. of cases 100 100 200 What is the specificity of this new test? a ) 20% b ) 33% c ) 60% d ) 66% e ) 75% f ) 80% Answer: C Specificity is a measure of how well the test identifies those who do not have disease as not having disease (60%). Sensitivity is a measure of how well the test identifies those with disease as having disease (80%). The positive predictive value indicates how many people with a positive result have the disease (66%). The negative predictive value indicates how many people with a negative result do not have the disease (75%). 6. A research project looking at the management of moderate hypertension divides its subjects into two groups. Group A, with 1776 subjects, receives anti-hypertensive medication. Group B, with 1800 subjects, receives a placebo. After five years the risk of a stroke in Group A is 12%, while in group B it is 20%. What is the Number Needed to Treat (NNT) to prevent one extra stroke? a ) 2.00 b ) 1.25 c ) 8.00 d ) 12.50 e ) 58.00 Anser: D NNT is the reciprocal of the absolute risk reduction. For patients with moderate hypertension, receiving placebo treatments, about 20% would be expected to have a stroke over the next five years. This risk is reduced to 12% with antihypertensive drugs. This results in an absolute risk reduction of 0.20-0.12=0.08. The reciprocal of this number is 12.5 - implying that a doctor would need to treat about 12.5 moderately hypertensive patients for five years before he or she could expect to prevent one extra stroke. 8. A study is performed looking at the chance of stroke in high-risk patients taking a new oral antithrombotic drug compared to warfarin. The following results are obtained: New drug Total number of patients 200 Warfarin 600 Number who had a stroke within a 3 year period 10 12 What is the relative risk of having a stroke within a 3 year period for patients taking the new drug compared to warfarin?ia A.A 3.33ia B.A 0.66ia C.A 1.2ia D.A 2.5ia E.A Cannot calculate from above dataia Submit answ er General advice from previous trainees sitting the AKT: The stats MCQs were harder than we expected as they covered funnel plots, forest plots and blobograms. The NNT calculations were also not straight forward.- Also know your mean, mode and median. A lot of the stats were about data interpretation of graphs.