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Quantitative Finance I Syllabus WS 2010/2011 Principal literature: 1. Campbell, Lo and MacKinlay (CLM): The Econometrics of Financial Markets, Princeton, 1997. 2. Tsay R.S.: Analysis of Financial Time Series, Wiley, 2002. 4. Barucci E.(BE): Financial Markets Theory,Springer, 2003. 6. Hamilton J.C. (HJ): Time Setries Analysis, Princeton, 1994 7. Evzen Kocenda, Alexander Cerny (2007) Elements of Time Series Econometrics. The Karolinum Press, UK 8. Walter Enders (2004) .Applied Econometric Time Series, Second Edition 9. Hommes CH (2006) Heterogeneous agent models in economics and finance. In: Tesfatsion L, Judd KL (eds) Handbook of computational economics, agent-based computational economics, vol 2. Elsevier Science BV, Amsterdam, pp 1109–1186 Lecture notes and other material used during lectures will also be available at: http://staff.utia.cas.cz/barunik/ Classification and Organization: Final Exam: ……………………. 40% Midterm Exam: ……………….... 20% Homeworks and Presentations: ... 40% + Extra points for active class participation / extraordinary presentation and homeworks……………………… max 10% Course Organization: Winter Semester, every Tuesday, 15:30 - 18:20 Room 105, IES, Opletalova 26, Prague 1 Lecturers: Jozef Baruník (JB) [email protected] Lukáš Vácha (LV) [email protected] Quantitative Finance I Syllabus cont. 5.10. (JB+LV) 1. Introductory Lecture 12.10. (JB) 1. Introduction to Financial Time Series (Assets, Prices, Random Walk, Moving average Models) (CLM, Chapter 2). Exercise: Simulation of random walk - application on stock market time series. Homework: Random walk in selected time series.. 19.10. (JB) 2. Testing for Random Walk in Asset Prices - Statistical Theory, Unit Root Tests.* (CLM, Chapter 2). Exercise: Testing for random walk - application on stock market time series. Homework: Testing for random walk in selected time series. * Optional: Overview of Classical Linear Regression 26.10. (LV) 3. Linear Models of Financial Time Series - Moving Average Models, AR, ARMA, ARIMA. (BC, Chapter 5). Exercise: Application on real-world data. Homework: Estimation of MA, AR, ARMA, ARIMA 2.11. (JB+LV) 4. Reading (modeling volatility) Exercise: Reading Homework: Reading 9.11. (LV) 5. Introduction to Nonlinearities in Financial Data I (Modelling volatility and correlation, GARCH models) Exercise: Application on the real-world data Homework: GARCH estimation Quantitative Finance I Syllabus cont. 16.11 (JB) 6. Introduction to Nonlinearities in Financial Data II (Threshold models, Parametric Estimation, Neural Networks) Exercise: Application on the real-world data Homework: Kernel Regression estimation 23.11. (JB+LV) 7. Reading (high-frequency data) Exercise: Reading Homework: Reading 30.11 (JB) 8. High-frequency financial models I (Realized Volatility) Exercise: basic properties of high-frequency data series Homework: Estimation 7.12. (JB) 9. High-frequency financial models II (Jumps, microstructure noise bias on realized volatility estimation) Exercise: realized volatility estimation Homework: realized volatility estimation 14.12. (LV) 10. Heterogeneous Agent Models (HAM) I. Exercise & Homework: Simulation of basic HAM model. Additional Reading: Brock WA, Hommes CH (1998) Heterogeneous beliefs and routes to chaos in a simple asset pricing model. J Econ Dyn Control 22:1235–1274 21.12. (LV) 11. Heterogeneous Agent Models (HAM) II. Exercise: Simulations. Homework: Simulation of basic HAM model. ? (JB, LV) 12. Final