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Northeast Groundfish: Ecological Indicators Updated Results - Version: June 2015 Has the status of fish stocks changed? Indicator: Fishing Mortality This indicator shows the rate at which fishing removed fish from stocks. Additional charts provided below. The images in this downloadable fact sheet may not show all the components within each indicator. To work with an interactive display of the data underlying this indicator, go to: http://www.catchshareindicators.org/results/northeast/ecological/fishery-stock-status-fishing-mortality/ Northeast: Fishery Stock Status – Fishing Mortality Updated June 2015 1 Key Terms and Definitions: Maximum sustainable yield (MSY): The largest long-term average catch or yield that can be taken from a stock or stock complex under prevailing ecological and environmental conditions. This is often used as a management goal. Fishing Mortality (F): A measurement of the rate of removal of fish from a population by fishing. Fishing mortality can be reported as either annual or instantaneous. Annual mortality is the percentage of fish dying in one year. Instantaneous is that percentage of fish dying at any one time. The acceptable rates of fishing mortality may vary from stock to stock. FMSY: The rate of fishing mortality that, if applied constantly, would result in maximum sustainable yield (MSY). F/FMSY: The ratio of actual fishing mortality (F) in a given year to the current estimate of the level that would provide maximum sustainable yield (FMSY); overfishing is occurring when F/FMSY ≥ 1. Maximum Fishing Mortality Threshold (MFMT): The threshold above which a stock is said to be experiencing overfishing, typically set at FMSY. Overfishing: A rate or level of fishing mortality that jeopardizes the capacity of a fishery to produce the maximum sustainable yield on a continuing basis (F>FMSY). High Fishing Mortality Rate: The actual fishing mortality (F) exceeds the overfishing limit (F>1.5FMSY). Overview On average, fishing mortality rate (F), defined as fish removed through fishing as opposed to predation or other causes of death, remained above the rates that would produce maximum sustained yields (FMSY) throughout the extended baseline. The average generally declined through time, eventually reaching levels near FMSY in recent years. The average ratio of F to FMSY (F/FMSY, see Key Terms and Definitions) remained above one (with overfishing occurring across stocks on average) until 2007, declined through the first year of the Northeast Multispecies Sector Program (2010), and gradually increased in recent years, though remained below one. In any given year, overfishing was occurring on some stocks (where fishing mortality exceeded levels that produce maximum sustainable yield). The proportion of stocks with high fishing mortality (levels that exceed FMSY by 50 percent or more) peaked at 82 percent in 1992-93 and during the project’s eight-year baseline period reached a high of 71 percent in 2003. It declined to 18 percent in 2013. Baseline Period Along with the project baseline beginning in 2002, an extended baseline beginning in 1980 illustrates longer-term trends in stock status. On average across the 16 allocated stocks, fishing mortality ranged from 86 to 303 percent of the levels that would produce FMSY between 1980 and 2001. The average ratio of fishing mortality rate to FMSY has been steadily declining since 1995, when the fishery resource was declared a disaster and stock rebuilding plans were implemented (History of the Fishery). Three-quarters of those stocks experienced declines in fishing mortality rates during the most recent decades (of the extended baseline), with Cape Cod/Gulf of Maine (CC/GOM) yellowtail flounder experiencing the most pronounced reduction from 849 percent of FMSY in 2000 to 173 percent of FMSY in 2007. Northeast: Fishery Stock Status – Fishing Mortality Updated June 2015 2 The proportion of stocks that experienced overfishing (F>FMSY) declined from approximately 71 percent in 2002 to between 35 and 53 percent in the period from 2006 through 2009. Only two stocks—Western Georges Bank (GB) haddock and Acadian redfish—did not experience overfishing at any point. The proportion of stocks experiencing high fishing mortality rates (F>1.5FMSY) declined from 71 to 35 percent between 2003 and 2009. In all, 12 of the 16 stocks allocated in the Northeast Multispecies Sector Program experienced a high rate of fishing mortality at some point during the project baseline, with an average fishing mortality rate of 776 percent in the worst case (GB yellowtail flounder in 2004), but average fishing mortality ratios declined during the project baseline. Six stocks experienced high fishing mortality in every year of the project baseline. Some of the high fishing mortality rates were a result of earlier stock assessments that overestimated stock abundance. This led to overestimated target catches at the beginning of the catch share period, such as in the case of GOM cod until a new assessment was undertaken in 2011. Catch Share Program The analysis includes data for the first four years of the Northeast Multispecies Sector Program (20102013). The average ratio of fishing mortality to FMSY declined slightly in the first year of the sector program from 86 percent in 2009 to 69 percent in 2010, but then it increased to 74 percent in 2013. However, there were variable trends in fishing mortality on an individual species basis. For example, average F/FMSY on GOM haddock increased by 35 percent following implementation of the catch share program from 2009 to 2013. In contrast, fishing mortality ratios on CC/GOM yellowtail flounder and GB yellowtail flounder declined by 52 and 53 percent, respectively, following implementation of the Northeast Multispecies Sector Program. In many stocks, changes in fishing mortality ratios were smaller. GOM cod continues to be exploited well in excess of FMSY; this persistent overfishing is largely a result of updated stock assessments in 2011 and 2012 that revealed the stock to be in worse condition than previously estimated. In the first year of the Northeast Multispecies Sector Program, fishing mortality ratios of six stocks were less than 50 percent of FMSY, and the proportion of stocks with high fishing rates was the lowest of any year through the project baseline and sector program years. These instances of low fishing mortality may have been a consequence of species with low ACLs constraining catches of other target species (Ratio of Catch to Quota). The proportion of stocks with overfishing or high fishing mortality fell from 35 to 20 percent from 2010 to 2013. Data Gaps and Limitations Data were available from relatively recent stock assessments for most stocks, but not all stocks are assessed every year. As a result, annual data are typically not consistently available for any given stock. Therefore the analysis uses the dataset available on an individual stock basis; in the cases where years have not been assessed, stock fishing mortality from the most recently assessed year is used. It may be several years until all targeted stocks have been assessed for enough years of the catch share program to engage in a meaningful analysis. Northeast: Fishery Stock Status – Fishing Mortality Updated June 2015 3 Stock reference points are updated over time; calculations of fishing mortality ratios (F/FMSY) relied on yearly estimated fishing mortality compared to the current FMSY estimate. In order to track tends among groups of species, stocks that have required rebuilding plans are separated to observe trends in fishing mortality ratios among that group. These analyses are not intended as a measure of the appropriateness of management decisions at any point in time but rather an indicator of change. Another limitation is that the fisheries exploitation rate was measured differently for different stocks. F MSY is typically estimated as FMSY=MSY/(summary biomass at MSY), or sometimes based on a proxy, such as F40% (the fishing mortality that reduces spawning stock biomass to 40 percent). Differences in the way that FMSY is estimated should be taken into account when comparing the performance of individual stocks. Information Sources Brooks, E.N., Sutherland, S., Van Eeckhaute, L., and Palmer, M.C. 2012. Georges Bank Haddock Assessment Update. National Marine Fisheries Service, Northeast Fisheries Science Center Groundfish Assessment Updates 12-06. Group, N.D.W. 2010. Stock Assessment of Pollock in US Waters for 2010. National Marine Fisheries Service, Northeast Fisheries Science Center Stock Assessment Workshop 10-17. Legault, C., Alade, L., Emery, S., King, J., and Sherman, S. 2012a. Cape Cod-Gulf of Maine Yellowtail Flounder Groundfish Assessment Update. National Marine Fisheries Service, Northeast Fisheries Science Center Groundfish Assessment Updates 12-06. Legault, C., Alade, L., Stone, H.H., and Gross, W.E. 2012b. Stock Assessment of Georges Bank Yellowtail Flounder for 2012. Transboundary Resources Assessment Committee. Miller, T.J. 2012. Gulf of Maine-Georges Bank Acadian Redfish. Northeast Fisheries Science Center Groundfish Assessment Updates 12-06. Northeast Fisheries Science Center. 2011. 52nd Northeast Regional Stock Assessment Workshop (52nd SAW): Northeast Fisheries Science Center Reference Document 11-17. Northeast Fisheries Science Center. 2012a. Gulf of Maine Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua) Stock Assessment for 2011, Updated through 2010. Stock Assessment Workshop 12-05: 1–369. Northeast Fisheries Science Center. 2012b. Southern New England Mid-Atlantic Yellowtail Flounder (Limanda ferruginea) Stock Assessment for 2012, Updated through 2011. Stock Assessment Workshop 1218: 1–246. Northeast Fisheries Science Center. 2013a. Stock Assessment of Georges Bank Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua) for 2012. Stock Assessment Workshop 13-11: 1–206. Northeast Fisheries Science Center. 2013b. Gulf of Maine Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua) Stock Assessment for 2012, Updated through 2011. Northeast Fisheries Science Center Stock Assessment Workshop 13-11. Northeast: Fishery Stock Status – Fishing Mortality Updated June 2015 4 Northeast Fisheries Science Center. 2014a. Gulf of Maine Atlantic Cod (Gadus morhua) Stock Assessment for 2014, Updated through 2013. Scientific and Statistical Committee 14-10. Northeast Fisheries Science Center. 2014b. Operational Assessments and Peer Review Reports for Georges Bank winter flounder, Gulf of Maine Winter Flounder, and Pollock. Groundfish Plan Development Team 1410. O’Brien, L., and Dayton, J. 2012. Gulf of Maine-Georges Bank American Plaice Assessment for 2012. National Marine Fisheries Service, Northeast Fisheries Science Center Groundfish Assessment Updates 1206. Palmer, M.C., Sutherland, S., and Brooks, E.N. 2012. 2012 Update of the Gulf of Maine haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus) stock assessment: an update of the resource through calendar year 2010. National Marine Fisheries Service, Northeast Fisheries Science Center Groundfish Assessment Updates 1206. Shepherd, G., Sosebee, K., and Brooks, L. 2013. Gulf of Maine/Georges Bank White Hake (Urophycis tenuis) Stock Assessment for 2013, Updated through 2011. National Marine Fisheries Service, Northeast Fisheries Science Center Reference Documents 13-10. Van Eeckhaute, L., Brooks, E.N., and Hansen, S.C. 2012. Assessment of Eastern Georges Bank Haddock for 2012. Transboundary Resources Assessment Committee. Wang, Y., and O’Brien, L. 2012. Assessment of Eastern Georges Bank Atlantic Cod for 2012. Transboundary Resources Assessment Committee: 1–88. Wigley, S.E., and Emery, S. 2012. Witch Flounder. National Marine Fisheries Service, Northeast Fisheries Science Center Groundfish Assessment Updates 12-06. Northeast: Fishery Stock Status – Fishing Mortality Updated June 2015 5 Charts Proportion of Stocks with high Fishing Mortality Northeast: Fishery Stock Status – Fishing Mortality Updated June 2015 6 Northeast: Fishery Stock Status – Fishing Mortality Updated June 2015 7 F/FMSY Ratios for Allocated Stocks Northeast: Fishery Stock Status – Fishing Mortality Updated June 2015 8