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S.E. Georgian Bay Historical Musky Nursery Habitat Productivity: Importance of Water Levels, Human Development & Invasive Species on Population Dynamics Presented by: Supervised by: JP Leblanc Dr. Chow-Fraser Muskies in Georgian Bay • Apex Predators & Long-Lived (> 30 yrs of age) • Economically Important • Naturally Reproducing Populations Sensitive to Habitat Alterations – Muskies Spawn & YOY establish territories in Coastal Wetlands (< 1.5 m deep) • Data Suggest that S.E. GB Muskies are Experiencing Population Difficulties 2 Study Site: S.E. Georgian Bay Water Level Declines Systemic Throughout Georgian Bay (Ongoing since 1999) Human Shoreline Development is Greater in the South S.E. Georgian Bay Site: • Suspected Failed Reproduction • Historical Nursery Site Inventory 3 Historic Musky Nursery Sites in S.E. Georgian Bay: Craig & Black (MNR 1981) 1987 Successful Musky Reproduction in S.E. Georgian Bay in 1981 Extracted from Craig & Black (1986); locations of musky nursery sites. 4 What’s Happened Since Then: Historical Nursery Sites & Low Water Levels 1987 Lost Wetland Area: > 50% Altered Community Structure Homogenization of Flora and Fauna (Midwood et al. 2012) Reduced Habitat Structure 2002 2012 5 Sensitive Musky Populations Naturally Reproducing Musky Populations are Sensitive Altered Breeding Habitats Georgian Bay Musky Breeding Habitat Limited Suitable Habitat for Successful Reproduction Failed Reproduction How Have Historical Nursery Sites Changed Because of Water Level Declines and Human Development? Are They Still Productive? Size Structure Shift & Population Declines 6 Historical Coastal Musky Nursery Sites are NO Longer Productive Water Level Declines & Increased Human Development Homogenizes Habitat Structure 1987 Invasive Species (i.e., Round Gobies) & Altered Fish Community Increases Competition and Depredation 2002 S.E. Georgian Bay has Lost a Substantial Amount of Historically Critical Nursery Habitat 7 Implications: Muskies in S.E. Georgian Bay may still be reproducing successfully Smaller muskies are still angled Currently it cannot be determined if recruitment can sustain current population densities The loss of musky nursery habitat may lead to population declines 8 Future Research Needs: If muskies have found novel spawning/nursery sites that have become available due to sustained water level declines where are they? Even if novel spawning/nursery sites have suitable structural habitat (e.g., submergent vegetative edges) does Round Goby egg predation limit musky reproduction? 9 Acknowledgments Thanks to: • • • • • • • • • • • • • Dr. Chow-Fraser Jon Midwood Harvey & Lorna Mierke Jerry Burke Arunas Liskauskas Mike McKie The Flowers Ralph & Caroline Grose Dan Weller Chris Biberhofer Julia Rutledge Jim Hutchings Logistical Support: Jim Herod • Muskies Canada Inc., Hamilton Chapter • Ministry of Natural Resources A. Liskauskas 10 Questions? 11