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Transcript
ABSTRACT
7th International ICABR Conference
Ravello, Italy, June 29, 30 - July 1, 2 and 3, 2003
Productivity, Public Goods and Public Policy: agricultural biotechnology Potentials
THE IMPACT OF A CHANGE IN DEMAND ON THE ESTIMATION
OF THE ECONOMIC BENEFITS FROM AGRICULTURAL R & D
Simbo Olubobokun
Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Saskatchewan, Canada.
Peter W. B. Phillips
Department of Agricultural Economics, University of Saskatchewan, Canada.
Over the past thirty years, tremendous progress has been made in agricultural
research and development (R & D). As a result, a number of studies have been
conducted to measure the social returns from various agricultural research expenditures
with the emphasis on the benefits resulting from changes in the supply of the improved
crops.
When measuring the economic benefits from scientific improvements in crops,
the focus has generally been on a shift in the production function resulting in a shift in the
supply curve, with an unchanged demand function. While some agricultural R & D will
only give rise to a shift in the production function, some have the potential to impact the
demand for the crop.
If a genetically modified (GM) crop has benefits that are significant to consumers
in addition to the benefits of producers, the social returns from such research
expenditures should incorporate a shift in the demand curve as well as the shift in the
supply curve of the crop. A shift in the demand for a crop will have an impact on the
distribution of benefits from agricultural R & D, which will in turn have policy
implications in research expenditures
As scientist continue to conduct research into the second generation of GM
products that have consumer benefits, this paper will provide insight into how to analyze
the social returns from research expenditures that have an impact on the demand and
supply of a crop.
This paper will investigate the demand for canola seed in a partial equilibrium
setting in an attempt to verify whether the health benefits of canola oil has changed the
demand for canola seed. The model will then be used to evaluate the demand for canola
seeds at different points when specific traits were introduced. This paper will also
consider the impact of a change in demand under different policy options such as export
subsidies and tariffs.