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2010 THE AUTHORS. JOURNAL COMPILATION Urological Oncology 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL ENDORECTAL MRI TO PREDICT pT3 PROSTATE CANCER BRAJTBORD ET AL. BJUI Endorectal magnetic resonance imaging has limited clinical ability to preoperatively predict pT3 prostate cancer BJU INTERNATIONAL Jonathan S. Brajtbord, Hugh J. Lavery, Fatima Nabizada-Pace, Prathibha Senaratne and David B. Samadi Department of Urology, The Mount Sinai Medical Center, New York, NY, USA Accepted for publication 25 May 2010 Study Type – Diagnostic (non consecutive case series) Level of Evidence 3b academic settings. A sub-group of high-risk patients was also analyzed for erMRI accuracy. RESULTS OBJECTIVES To assess the clinical value of preoperative knowledge of the presence of extracapsular extension (ECE) or seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) in the planning for prostatectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS An institutional database of 1161 roboticassisted laparoscopic prostatectomies (RALP) performed by a single surgeon (D.B.S.) was queried for those who underwent endorectal coil magnetic resonance imaging (erMRI) before robotic-assisted laparoscopic prostatectomy. erMRI reports were dichotomized into positive or negative and compared with the final histopathology. The erMRIs performed at academic centres were compared with those performed in non- INTRODUCTION Accurate preoperative staging of prostate cancer can aid in treatment selection as well as operative planning because it may alter the surgical approach to neurovascular bundle preservation. Preoperative knowledge of locally advanced disease may lead the surgeon to perform a wide resection of the neurovascular bundle on the affected side(s) [1]. However, the current clinical staging techniques of digital rectal examination, PSA and transrectal ultrasound-guided biopsy are often inaccurate, with as many as 30% being incorrectly staged [2,3]. One proposed way of improving staging is preoperative imaging, © The 179 patients who underwent erMRI had significantly worse disease compared to the 982 patients without imaging. Of the 110 patients with histopathologically organconfined disease, 81 (74%) were correctly diagnosed as such on erMRI, whereas 29 (26%) were felt to have cT3 disease and constituted false-positives. Among the 69 patients with pT3 disease, erMRI correctly predicted 30 (43%), whereas 39 (57%) were incorrectly considered organ-confined. The overall sensitivity and specificity for diagnosing pT3 disease was 43% and 73%. When stratified by pT3a and pT3b, the sensitivity and specificity of erMRI to accurately diagnose ECE is 33% and 81%, respectively. In evaluating SVI, erMRI has a sensitivity and specificity of 33% and 89%, respectively. The positive predictive value of and one of the most promising of such technologies is endorectal coil magnetic resonance imaging (erMRI) [4–11]. The accuracy of erMRI in staging prostate cancer is variable, with some studies suggesting a sensitivity and specificity for detecting T3 disease >90% [5,10]. These results have led to the conclusion that the erMRI adds incremental value to clinical parameters and nomograms for the detection of T3 disease [12]. The clinical applicability of such studies is questionable, however, because those that demonstrate the best performance characteristics of erMRI have been performed on all patients who presented erMRI to assess for ECE and SVI is 50% in both, with a negative predictive value of 61% and 63%, respectively. erMRIs performed at academic centres compared to nonacademic locations demonstrated similar rates of sensitivity at 67% vs 77% and specificity at 39% vs 54%, respectively (P = 0.33). CONCLUSIONS In the setting of the present study, which was designed to be more reflective of current practice patterns in the USA, erMRI has limited clinical value in preoperatively detecting ECE and SVI. The accuracy of detecting T3 disease did not improve in academic centres or in high-risk patients. KEYWORDS prostate cancer, neoplasm staging, endorectal magnetic resonance imaging (erMRI), radical prostatectomy for prostatectomy. As such, most of those patients had organ-confined disease. Additionally, all previous studies have used the reports of academic radiologists specialized in either MRI or the genitourinary system. Such specialists are rare in nonacademic centres, where the majority of the staging of prostate cancer is performed. We evaluated the accuracy of erMRI in predicting the presence of extracapsular extension (ECE) and seminal vesicle invasion (SVI) in patients with clinically localized prostate cancer. We reviewed our database of over 1100 robotic-assisted laparoscopic prostatectomies (RALP) for those who had a 2010 THE AUTHORS JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2 0 1 0 B J U I N T E R N A T I O N A L | doi:10.1111/j.1464-410X.2010.09599.x 1 B R A J T B O R D ET AL. preoperative MRI. An important difference between the present study and those that preceded it is that the MRIs were ordered on selected higher-risk patients, and performed both at private imaging centres, as well as academic institutions. This is more reflective of the current practice environment in the USA than previous study designs. MATERIALS AND METHODS A prospectively maintained, institutionalreview board approved database comprised of all patients undergoing RALP by a single surgeon (D.B.S.) is maintained by research staff at the Mount Sinai Medical Center. Patients undergoing RALP before August 2009 formed the base population for the current analyses (n = 1420). Data on 259 patients were incomplete and were excluded from the analyses; subsequent to these exclusions, completed data were available for 1161 patients. The database was queried for those who underwent erMRI before RALP, making this study a retrospective review of a prospective database. Some 179 (15%) patients underwent erMRI and comprised the study population. The majority of patients were selected for erMRI based upon clinical parameters worrisome for locally advanced disease: clinically palpable disease, high-risk PSA score, and a large volume of high Gleason score. However, some patients underwent erMRI at the discretion of referring urologists in the absence of clinical high-risk disease. No patients were excluded from consideration of RALP on the basis of erMRI findings. erMRI reports were dichotomized into positive or negative for both ECE and SVI because equivocal reports were considered positive. The presence of either ECE or SVI on erMRI constituted a ‘locally advanced’ tumour. The erMRI result was compared with the final histopathological stage as reported by our institutional genitourinary pathologists, which was considered as the gold standard for calculation of sensitivity and specificity. This analysis was repeated where equivocal reports were classified as negative and compared with the final histopathology. The tumour was staged according to the 2002 American Joint Commission on Cancer TNM staging system and graded according to the Gleason grading system [13]. Tumour at the inked resection margin was considered a positive surgical margin (PSM). PSMs were dichotomized into 2 TABLE 1 Preoperative characteristics Parameter Number of patients Age (years), mean PSA (ng/mL), mean PSA density Clinical T1c Clinical T2 Clinical T3 Biopsy, Gleason sum 6 7 (3 + 4) 7 (4 + 3) 8–10 Perineural invasion on biopsy Number of positive cores, mean Percent positive cores, mean Highest tumour % in single core, mean erMRI 179 59.3 6.6 0.15 105 (66) 50 (32) 2 (1.3) No erMRI 982 59.2 6.0 0.12 730 (88) 83 (10) 2 (0.24) P 61 (34) 60 (34) 22 (12) 35 (20) 52 (29) 4.87 39% 53% 596 (61) 250 (25) 85 (8.7) 51 (5.2) 133 (14) 2.80 23% 26% <0.001 0.91 0.056 0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 erMRI, endorectal coil magnetic resonance imaging. ‘focal’ or ‘extensive’ if the length of the margin was <2 mm or >2 mm, respectively. To assess the impact of preoperative risk factors on the performance characteristics of erMRI, we performed a sub-analysis of the data restricted to preoperatively high-risk patients. This was defined as those patients with a preoperative PSA ≥20 or biopsy Gleason score ≥8. To evaluate the effect of expert radiologist consultation on outcomes, we compared the erMRIs performed at academic centres with those performed at non-academic imaging centres. Because our institution performed the highest number of the academic MRIs, we also compared the results of our own institution with those of other academic hospital centres to validate the performance of our radiologists. Results were analyzed with SPSS, version 17.0 (SPSS inc. Chicago, IL, USA). Chi-squared and ANOVA were used to compare categorical and continuous variables, respectively. All statistical analyses were two-tailed with P < 0.05 considered statistically significant. RESULTS On preoperative evaluation, the 179 patients who underwent erMRI had significantly worse disease compared to the 982 patients without imaging (Table 1). Patients in the erMRI cohort had higher PSA, Gleason scores, rates of palpable nodules and more positive biopsy cores. Similarly, histopathological tumour characteristics were worse among patients who underwent preoperative erMRI (Table 2). On final histopathology, Gleason 6, 7 and 8–10 were present in 13%, 69% and 16% of patients undergoing erMRI, compared to 32%, 64% and 5% of patients without erMRI (P < 0.001). Locally-advanced (pT3 and pT4) cancers were found in 39% of patients in the erMRI cohort compared to 15% among those without an erMRI (P < 0.001). Of the 110 patients with histopathologically organ-confined disease, 81 (74%) were correctly diagnosed as such on erMRI, whereas 29 (26%) were considered to have cT3 disease and constituted false-positives. Among the 69 patients with pT3 disease, erMRI correctly predicted 30 (43%), whereas 39 (57%) were incorrectly considered to be organ-confined (Fig. 1). This results in an accuracy of 64%, with an overall sensitivity and specificity for diagnosing pT3 disease of 43% and 73%, respectively. The positive predictive value of erMRI is 50% with a negative predictive value of 67% (Table 3). When locally-advanced tumors were stratified by ECE and SVI, the sensitivity and specificity of erMRI to accurately diagnose ECE is 33% and 81%, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of erMRI to diagnose positive SVI was 33% and 89%, respectively. © JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 THE AUTHORS 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL ENDORECTAL MRI TO PREDICT pT3 PROSTATE CANCER No erMRI P 8 (4.5) 6 (3.4) 95 (53) 127 (13) 26 (2.6) 678 (69) <0.001 42 (23) 27 (15) 1 (0.56) 110 (11) 30 (3.1) 8 (0.81) <0.001 24 (13) 91 (51) 33 (18) 29 (16) 46.44 66 (37) 26 (15) 3 (1.7) 313 (32) 503 (51) 129 (13) 47 (4.8) 33.59 141 (14) 32 (3.3) 2 (0.20) <0.001 <0.001 <0.001 0.028 23 (13) 19 (11) 96 (9.7) 64 (6.5) 0.21 0.05 FIG. 1. Endorectal coil magnetic resonance imaging (erMRI) results stratified by pathological stage. TABLE 2 Pathological characteristics When the criteria used to define a positive erMRI were changed so that equivocal reports (n = 14) were considered negative, the specificity increased at the expense of sensitivity. The specificity in detecting ECE and SVI rose to 93% and 97%, respectively, whereas the sensitivity dropped to 19% and 10%. erMRIs performed at academic centres (n = 107) compared to non-academic locations (n = 72) demonstrated similar sensitivity and specificity rates: 67% vs 77% and 39% vs 54%, respectively (P = 0.33). No differences existed between our institution (n = 77) and other academic centres (n = 30) with respect to the ability of erMRI to accurately predict T3 disease (P = 0.85). 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 DISCUSSION Organ confined on erMRI locally advanced on erMRI pT2 pT3 TABLE 3 Performance characteristics of endorectal coil magnetic resonance imaging Parameter Sensitivity Specificity Positive predictive value Negative predictive value Accuracy Overall for T3 disease 43% 73% 50% 68% 62% ECE 33% 81% 50% 61% 63% Sensitivity: [(true positive/(true positive + false negative)] × 100 Specificity: [(true negative/(true negative + false positive)] × 100 Positive predictive value: [(true positive/(true positive + false positive)] × 100 Negative predictive value: [(true negative/(true negative + false negative)] × 100 Accuracy: [(true Positive + true negative)/patient population] × 100 ECE, extracapsular extension; SVI, seminal vesicle invasion. © A total of 101 (8.7%) patients were identified as high risk (PSA ≥20 or biopsy Gleason score ≥8), 36 of whom underwent erMRI, whereas 65 did not. The sensitivity and specificity for the erMRI to accurately diagnose pT3 disease in this cohort was 57% and 38%, respectively, which was not statistically different than those of the entire erMRI cohort (Table 4). erMRI # of Patients Pathological staging pT2: pT2a pT2b pT2c pT3: pT3a pT3b pT4: Pathology, Gleason sum 6 7 (3 + 4) 7 (4 + 3) 8–10 % Tumour volume, mean Extracapsular extension Seminal vesicle invasion Lymph node positive Positive surgical margin Focal (≤2 mm) Extensive (>2 mm) erMRI SVI 33% 89% 50% 63% 61% Variable results have been reported for the utility of erMRI in staging prostate cancer. In the prediction of ECE, studies have reported a sensitivity and specificity in the range from 13–95% and 49–97% [4–11]. A similar variability is present in the detection of SVI, with sensitivity in the range 23–80% and specificity in the range 81–99% specificity [4–11,14]. The results obtained in the present study are at the low end of these ranges, with a sensitivity of 43% and specificity of 74% for predicting such locally advanced disease. When the erMRI suggests the presence of SVI or ECE, the probability that the patient having locally advanced disease (the positive predictive value) is 50%, equivalent to a coin toss. This demonstrates that erMRI has a limited ability to preoperatively predict SVI and ECE, and a positive test does not reliably indicate the presence of extraprostatic disease. As such, it is difficult to make clinical decisions based on erMRI results. Why are the results of our series different from other series, which demonstrate a sensitivity and specificity of more than 90% [5,10]? Three aspects of the present study design differ from those that preceded it. The 2010 THE AUTHORS JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL 3 B R A J T B O R D ET AL. first is the selection of the patient population studied and thus the proportion of patients with high-risk disease. The second is related to the radiologist who interpreted the erMRI, and the third is the definition of a positive erMRI. Most previous studies have been performed on all patients undergoing prostatectomy [4,5,11,12,15–18]. Because erMRI may be more accurate in assessing patients with organ-confined disease [17] and most patients in the modern era have organconfined disease [19], this may increase the apparent accuracy of the erMRI. By contrast, we did not standardize the patients who underwent erMRI. Rather the decision to perform erMRI was made by either the operative surgeon (D.B.S.) or the referring urologist based on clinical parameters that were worrisome for locally advanced disease. As a result of these selection criteria, patients in the erMRI group had almost twice the rate of pT3/4 (39%) than previous studies, which typically have a locally-advanced rate of approximately 20% [15,17]. Given these selection criteria for erMRI and the subsequent high rate of locally advanced disease, it could also be expected that our series may demonstrate better performance characteristics, namely an improved sensitivity for detecting T3 disease. However, with a sensitivity and specificity of 43% and 73%, respectively, this was not the case. Even when high-risk patients who underwent an erMRI were selected from our series (PSA ≥20 or biopsy Gleason score ≥8, n = 36), the performance characteristics of the erMRI were unchanged from our overall series. Sensitivity to detect ECE on erMRI was slightly improved to 55% from 33%, and the positive predictive value improved from 50% to 73%, although these were not statistically significant. The findings obtained in the present study suggest that, even among highrisk patients, erMRI remains inaccurate. A second difference in the design of the present study design relates to the radiologists who perform the exam and interpret the results. All previous studies assessing the staging accuracy of erMRI were performed by genitourinary specialists in major academic institutions with a high volume of erMRIs. Indeed, almost all recent literature on the topic has come from a single institution that performs high volumes of erMRI and often MR spectroscopy 4 TABLE 4 Performance characteristics of endorectal coil magnetic resonance imaging in high-risk patients (PSA >20 or biopsy Gleason score >8) Parameter Sensitivity Specificity Positive predictive value Negative predictive value Accuracy Overall for T3 disease 57% 38% 76% 80% 53% ECE 55% 42% 73% 25% 49% SVI 25% 70% 40% 54% 50% ECE, extracapsular extension; SVI, seminal vesicle invasion. [4,12,15–18]. It has been suggested that such specialization is required to accurately read an erMRI. In a study designed to compare the accuracy of genitourinary MR between specialists and general radiologists, a significant improvement in the accuracy of erMRI to properly diagnose ECE and SVI was present only in the specialist group of radiologists [15]. The patients in the present study underwent erMRI at a mix of both academic and nonacademic institutions, with radiologists of varying levels of experience and specialization. To assess the impact of radiological specialization on the accuracy of erMRI in predicting locally-advanced disease, those patients who had erMRIs performed at academic centres were recompared with those performed in community hospitals and local imaging centres. Academic and community settings demonstrated similar sensitivity and specificity: 67% vs 77% sensitivity and 39% vs 54% specificity at the two settings, respectively (P = 0.33). Additionally, we found no difference in the accuracy of erMRIs performed in our institution compared to those conducted in other academic centres. We consider that the mix of academic and community imaging centres is reflective of current referral patterns in the community, where academic centres and specialized genitourinary radiologists are not always available. Consequently, this makes the results obtained in the present study more clinically relevant and applicable. Recent studies have defined a positive erMRI through the assignment of a score on a scale of 1–5 to determine the radiologist’s confidence in the presence or absence of ECE and SVI [4,12,18]. This scoring system is designed to identify the definitive presence or absence of T3 disease at the same time as permitting and capturing a variety of equivocal reports. On the basis of this scoring system, receiver-operating characteristic curves are created to reflect the accuracy of the erMRI in properly staging the cancer. However, the clinical utility of this method is questionable. Although it is appreciated that radiographic interpretation has inherent uncertainties, as clinicians, we seek dichotomous, ‘yes or no’ answers. For this reason, the results of the present study were dichotomized, with the 14 equivocal reports classified as positive. In a screening tool, it is advantageous to maximize the sensitivity to identify a greater amount of patients with the condition. As such, our classification of equivocal erMRIs as positive was considered to be appropriate. To assess the impact of our dichotomization scheme, the data were reanalyzed with equivocal reports classified as negative. As expected, by raising the threshold for a positive test, the sensitivity dropped to 19% as the specificity increased to 93%. The costs of the erMRI, in terms of both financial expense and patient discomfort, are rarely discussed in the literature. Often, patients need to restrict their diets to clear liquids on the day before the procedure and perform one or more enemas to clear their rectal vault of fecal material. The MRI machine can make patients feel claustrophobic, sometimes necessitating the use of a sedative. Patients must forgo at least part of a day’s work for travel to the imaging centre and completion of the procedure. Finally, a balloon-tipped probe is inserted into the patient’s rectum, inflated with 50–70 mL of air and rotated when the patient remains completely still for 30 min. Our institution charges $2500 for an erMRI, of which $823.32 is reimbursed by Medicare [20]. Clearly, if the erMRI is of great diagnostic © JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 THE AUTHORS 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL ENDORECTAL MRI TO PREDICT pT3 PROSTATE CANCER value and would significantly alter preoperative planning, the argument can be made that these costs are worthwhile for a more accurate preoperative diagnosis. However, given the low sensitivity of the present study, along with a 50% positive predictive value, it is difficult to justify the patient’s discomfort or the cost of the test. The present study has several limitations, in addition to the potential areas of criticism addressed above. Although the number of patients undergoing erMRI in the present study was larger than in many previous reports [5,9,17], other studies are larger [4,12,18] and the present study is a retrospective analysis. We did not standardize the patients who underwent erMRI; by definition, this results in selection bias. However, this is more reflective of the current practice environment, and a good diagnostic test should perform well, regardless of the patients upon whom it was performed. Additionally, we were unable to obtain the training and experience profiles of the radiologists who conducted the erMRIs; it is possible that some of the community imaging centres may employ fellowship-trained radiologists. positive erMRI does not reliably indicate the presence of extraprostatic disease. The accuracy of detecting T3 disease did not improve when restricted to high-risk patients or to erMRIs performed at academic centres. This supports the current recommendations against the widespread preoperative use of erMRI. 10 CONFLICT OF INTEREST None declared. REFERENCES 1 2 3 Despite the literature suggesting the strength of erMRI to detect ECE and its addition of incremental value to clinical variables [12], the routine use of erMRI for all patients diagnosed with prostate cancer has been discouraged. The Prostate-Specific Antigen Best Practice Statement of 2009 states that it is ‘generally unnecessary’ for patients with a PSA score of ≤25 to undergo radiological staging by CT or MRI [21]. Although this recommendation is based upon the limited ability of an MRI to predict lymphadenopathy (sensitivity of 36%) and not primary tumour stage [22], the data obtained in the present study support this recommendation. It should be noted that improvements in MRI technology currently being investigated (including MR spectroscopy and dynamic contrast enhancement) have shown promise over standard erMRI [23,24]. Such improvements may improve preoperative staging, although, at this time, the erMRI does not appear to be of much clinical utility. In conclusion, in the setting of the present study, which was designed to be more reflective of current practice patterns in the USA, the erMRI has limited clinical value in preoperatively detecting ECE and SVI. 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J Comput Assist Tomogr 2006; 30: 7–11 24 Yu KK, Scheidler J, Hricak H et al. Prostate cancer: prediction of extracapsular extension with endorectal MR imaging and three-dimensional proton MR spectroscopic imaging. Radiology 1999; 213: 481–8 Correspondence: David Samadi, Division of Robotics and Minimally Invasive Surgery, Department of Urology, The Mount Sinai Medical Center, 625 Madison Avenue, Suite 230, New York, NY 10022, USA. e-mail: [email protected] Abbreviations: ECE, extracapsular extension; erMRI, endorectal coil magnetic resonance imaging; PSM, positive surgical margin; RALP, robotic-assisted laparoscopic prostatectomy; SVI, seminal vesicle invasion. © JOURNAL COMPILATION © 2010 THE AUTHORS 2010 BJU INTERNATIONAL