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P R O C E D E G A S T R E A T I N G B.V. Valorisation of CO2 from Waste Incineration Flue Gases Phase 2: Business Cases FINAL REPORT J.M.G.-S. Monteiro P.J.G. Huttenhuis G.F. Versteeg Enschede, November 2015 Clients: CONTENT LIST CONTENT LIST .......................................................................................................... 2 1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................. 3 2 COST ESTIMATIONS ......................................................................................... 3 2.1 INVESTMENTS .................................................................................................. 3 2.2 CONSUMABLES ................................................................................................ 5 2.3 ADDITIONAL COSTS .......................................................................................... 6 2.4 TOTAL COSTS .................................................................................................. 7 2.5 ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ................................................................................ 7 3 CASH FLOWS ..................................................................................................... 8 4 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS .................................................................................. 10 5 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................. 14 6 APPENDIX – PLOT SPACE .............................................................................. 16 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. 1 Introduction This report presents two business cases, based on basic design data for two different plants for CO 2 capture and compression. Both plants are based on absorption technologies and use Bilisol as the absorbent, but while the first plant has a conventional CO2 capture plant configuration, the second uses the PAS technology developed for low temperature regeneration. The plants are designed to produce 14.9 ton/h CO2. A schematic representation of the processes is given in Figure 1. The designs are described in detail elsewhere (see previous report: Valorisation of CO2 from Waste Incineration Flue Gasses. Phase 1: Feasibility Study). Figure 1: Process scheme for CO2 capture and compression plants 2 Cost estimations 2.1 Investments We provide budget prices for both plant configurations. The scope of supply includes: Basic engineering Detailed engineering Fabrication and assembly Due to the limited information on the project, the following items are excluded from the budget price scope: Civil and buildings Connections and modifications of interface systems. Safety systems and related equipment. FINAL REPORT 3 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. Lighting Platforms and ladders Assembly at location of AEB Commissioning, start-up and training Motor cabling and switches MCC (hardware and cabling) PLC (hardware and programming) Spare parts Instrument air system To account for the abovementioned scope exclusions, a value of 3 million euros is added to the investment in each case. Additionally, it is estimated that the project coordination costs adds up to 0.5 million euros, and that contingencies are about 5% of the investments. The total investment is given in Table 1, with expected accuracy of ±30%. Table 1: Total Investment Calculations Quench unit Capture unit Compression unit Total Budget Price Budget Price exclusions (see above) Project coordination Contingencies (5% investment) Total investment Conventional [€] PAS [€] 2 015 000 5 735 000 5 500 000 13 250 000 3 000 000 500 000 837 500 17 587 500 2 015 000 19 715 000 5 500 000 27 230 000 3 000 000 500 000 1 536 500 32 266 500 The price difference between the PAS and the conventional technologies is explained mainly by the differences between the two designs as described in the report of phase 1, amongst which we highlight: PAS compressors: in order to regenerate the solvent at low temperature, the pressure in the 1 reboiler has to be reduced . PAS compressor stages are needed to bring the stripped CO2 from 0.2 bar to 2 bar. These compressors account for 10 million euros in the investment for the PAS plant. The PAS compressors are quite large (ca. 25 x 15 x 10m), due to the high volumetric flow; Reboiler: because the reboiler in the PAS configuration operates at a lower temperature, it uses hot water as heating medium, and requires a much larger area than the steam reboiler designed for the conventional case; Desorber: the PAS configuration has 3 packed desorption sections, while the conventional scheme has only one packed section; 1 It is important to notice that this is a consequence of working at lower regeneration temperature (using recovered waste heat), and not necessarily a characteristic of the PAS technology. FINAL REPORT 4 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. Low density: the PAS process operates at low pressures resulting in low gas density and very large pipe and valve diameters (52 inches). Also the amount of piping and valves is higher at PAS compared to the conventional configuration. The PAS compressors in the desorption section also significantly contribute to the PAS configuration having a higher price. These compressors are quite large (ca. 25 x 15 x 10m), due to the high volumetric flow. Additionally, PAS requires additional compressor coolers which are not present in the Conventional case. Some of the items listed above may be object of a process optimization, in special the dimensions of the PAS desorption columns and the design of the reboiler, which can help making the PAS technology more competitive. 2.2 Consumables The costs of consumables are assumed as follows: Electricity: € 50/MWh (confirmed by AEB); Confidential information Cooling water: € 0.10/m (estimated by Procede). Sweet water cooling has been assumed to be Confidential information 3 available at 20ºC, and a cooling approach of 10ºC is used to the calculate the cooling water demand; 3 Heating water: € 0.10/m (estimated by Procede). Heating water is used for low temperature Confidential information heating and is assumed to be available at 80ºC. A heating approach of 10ºC is used to the calculate the heating water demand; Steam: € 6/GJ (estimated by Procede). Steam is used for high temperature heating, and is assumed to be saturated at 4 bara (ca. 143.7ºC). Solvent price is 2 €/kg (consumption is estimated at 1 kg/ton CO2 captured). The plants are assumed to operate for 4000 h/y, due to the seasonal need for CO 2 by the consumer. The consumables are assumed to be available abundantly, i.e. in the quantities defined by each simulation. These quantities are given in Table 2. Table 2: Consumable requirements Conventional PAS capture capture plant plant 216 1 477 13 744 3 692 0 57 596 0 0 3 6 299 772 3 084 823 1 613 843 563 537 3 0 0 2 697 508 0 Quench unit Electricity (MWh/y) Steam (MWh/y) Cooling water (m /y) Heating water (m /y) Compression As can be seen in Table 2, the PAS technology with low temperature regeneration does not require steam. Heating water is used instead, allowing for waste heat utilization. The electricity consumption in the PAS capture plant is higher than that of the conventional plant due to the PAS compressors. On the other FINAL REPORT 5 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. hand, the cooling water demand is lower in the PAS configuration, due to lower power requirement in the stripper condenser (as the water evaporated in the reboiler is to a large extent condensed in the stripper itself). The PAS configuration leads to about 31% savings on consumables expenditures as compares to a conventional plant, as can be seen in Figure 2. The additional cost of electricity, due to the PAS compressors, is overcompensated by the savings in heat and cooling water. As seen in Table 2 and Figure 2, most of the cooling water consumption/cost is due to the quench unit. The quench unit serves two purposes: it removes impurities from the flue gas, and also cools the flue gas down. As indicated in Figure 1, the quench unit is optional and is included in the present configurations as to provide a conservative design. If the quench unit is not present, the cooling of the flue gas will take place in the absorber column itself (heat will be transferred to Bilisol). This can potentially lower the total cooling cost, but more precise figures can only be given upon simulation of such a case. Confidential information Figure 2: Consumables costs per unit 2.3 Additional costs Maintenance is estimated as 3.5% of the total investment cost per year and the plants are assumed to require 2 FTE at a cost of 68.000 €/FTE/year. FINAL REPORT 6 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. 2.4 Total costs The total costs associated to each technology route are calculated using a depreciation period of 20 years. The price of capturing and compressing CO2 is about 69.5 €/ton for the conventional process, and nearly 82 €/ton for the PAS process (see Figure 3 for cost per unit). It should be pointed out that this price also includes the gas quenching and the compression of the captured CO 2 to 21 bar. Although the PAS technology leads to a reduction in consumable costs, that does not compensate for the higher investment. The higher investment in the PAS case also leads to higher maintenance costs (additional costs), which is reasonable, since the PAS configuration includes significantly more (rotating) equipment. In Figure 3, the budget cases results are given separately for each unit. From this graph it is clear that the cost of capturing CO2 is about 40 €/ton for the conventional process, and 52 €/ton for the PAS technology. Confidential Confidential Quenching contributes with ca. 15Confidential €/ton to the price; while compression contributes with 15.4 €/ton. Confidential Confidential information Figure 3: Results from budget cases per unit 2.5 Additional information 2 The total plot space required if the conventional CO2 capture technology is used is 850 m , whereas if the 2 PAS technology is chosen, the total plot space is 1450 m . The difference is due to the PAS compressor (ca. 25 x 15 x 10m), as well as to the higher volumetric flow in the latter case, since the desorption operates at low pressure. The plot space is given in details in the appendix. FINAL REPORT 7 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. 3 Cash flows Figure 4 shows the cash flows of both process alternatives: PAS and conventional, considering that the captured CO2 is sold at the price of 35 €/ton, which is the estimated price of CO2 sold to the OCAP. The project economic analyses consider inflation of 1.5%, discount rate of 8% and depreciation time of 20 years. A third curve is also included in the graph, identified as PAS#2, which represents the results that would be obtained with a theoretical 2 nd generation of the PAS technology in which the investment costs are reduced by 40%. In this scenario, all the evaluated technologies give negative results. Figure 4 : Accumulated Discounted Cash Flow for the CO2 price of 35€/ton A similar study is presented in Figure 5, but considering the CO2 price as 80 €/ton, which is the estimated price of food-grade CO2 in the food and beverage industry. In this scenario, the accumulated discounted cash flow for conventional and the PAS#2 technologies turn positive around year 21 and 16, respectively. FINAL REPORT 8 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. Figure 5: Accumulated Discounted Cash Flow for the CO2 price of 80€/ton FINAL REPORT 9 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. 4 Sensitivity Analysis The next figures shows the net present value of both process alternatives (PAS and conventional) under different scenarios, and how it is affected by the project variables. As can be seen in Figure 6, the NPV of the conventional plant when the CO2 base price is 35 €/ton is mostly affected by the CO2 price itself, the investment cost, the heat demand/price and the cooling water demand/price, in this order. The break-even point (NPV=0) occurs at CO2 price of about 84 €/ton, with all other variables kept constant. Figure 6: Sensitivity analysis for the NPV. Conventional Bilisol plant with CO 2 base price of 35€/ton Figure 7: Sensitivity analysis for the NPV. Conventional Bilisol plant with CO 2 base price of 80€/ton FINAL REPORT 10 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. When the CO2 base price is 80€/ton, the NPV is mostly affected by the CO 2 price itself, as illustrated in Figure 7. The other variables have less influence on the NPV. The internal return rate (IRR) for the conventional plant with CO2 base price at 80€/ton is ca. 6.2%, and is highly affected by the CO2 price and the investment costs, as can be seen in Figure 8. Figure 8: Sensitivity analysis for the IRR. Conventional Bilisol plant with CO2 base price of 80€/ton As can be seen in Figure 9, the NPV of the PAS plant when the CO2 base price is 35€/ton is mostly affected by the investment cost and the CO2 price itself. The shift in the relative impact of these variables in comparison to the conventional scenario is a consequence of the high investment cost in the PAS scenario. When the CO2 base price is 80 €/ton, the NPV of the PAS plant is mostly affected by the CO2 price itself, as illustrated in Figure 10. In the PAS scenario, the heat demand/price has a low influence on the plant’s NPV. The break-even point (NPV=0) occurs at CO2 price of 106 €/ton, with all other variables kept constant. This price is nearly equal to the estimated price for food-grade CO2 (80 €/ton). The internal return rate (IRR) for the PAS plant with CO2 base price at 80€/ton is ca. -0.1%, and is highly affected by the CO2 price and the investment costs, as can be seen in Figure 11. FINAL REPORT 11 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. Figure 9: Sensitivity analysis for the NPV. PAS Bilisol plant with CO2 base price of 35€/ton Figure 10: Sensitivity analysis for the NPV. PAS Bilisol plant with CO2 base price of 80€/ton FINAL REPORT 12 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. Figure 11: Sensitivity analysis for the IRR. PAS Bilisol plant with CO2 base price of 80€/ton FINAL REPORT 13 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. 5 Conclusions and Recommendations This report presents two business cases, based on basic design data for two different plants for CO 2 capture. Both plants uses Bilisol (a CO2 capture solvent developed by Procede) as the absorbent, but while the first plant has a conventional plant configuration, the second uses the low temperature PAS technology. The designs are described in detail elsewhere (see our previous report: Valorisation of CO2 from Waste Incineration Flue Gases. Phase 1: Feasibility Study). It is estimated that the total cost of treating the flue gas (quench + CO 2 capture + compression to 21 bara) is 69.45 €/ton for the conventional process, and nearly 82 €/ton for the PAS process, as shown in Figure 3. Both plant configurations where designed as having gas quenching units. In these units, the inlet gas comes (presumably) from the upstream flue gas treating system at 66ºC, and is cooled down to 40ºC before entering the quench tower. It should be further investigated whether the quench unit can be skipped, thus significantly lowering the operational and capital costs of both process configurations (PAS and conventional). Although the low temperature PAS configuration leads to lower OPEX (about 31% savings), the higher investment cost makes the PAS configuration unattractive. Improved process design could make the low temperature PAS technology economically competitive. For instance, depending on the produced flue gas moisture content, temperature and pressure, and due to the low temperature in the reboiler (60ºC), the flue gas may have enough heat to regenerate Bilisol in the PAS low temperature configuration. Although the suggested heat integration would lead to higher investment, it could lower the regeneration cost to nearly zero, while also potentially saving cooling costs in the upstream flue gas treating system. Moreover, a subsidy for waste heat utilization would further increase the competitiveness of the PAS technology. The break-even CO2 price for the conventional technology is 84 €/ton, whereas for the PAS technology it is 106 €/ton. It is estimated that the OCAP CO2 price is about 35 €/ton. Therefore, the economic feasibility of the technologies improved achieved if CO2 emission penalty is adopted. The economical assessment is greatly dependent on the cost and design parameters. It is recommended that, for the next phases of the AEB project, the design basis are defined according to the existing plant capacities, especially regarding (utilities availability and quality). These quantities should be clearly defined before any design activity. This also allows for identifying opportunities for efficiently integrating the units (compression, quench, capture and hot water units). Moreover, the cost of utilities should be FINAL REPORT 14 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. defined by AEB. Finally, costing of equipment and EPC should be re-estimated by contacting vendors, so that a higher accuracy can be provided. FINAL REPORT 15 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. 6 Appendix – Plot space Figure 12: Plot space for plant using the conventional technology FINAL REPORT 16 Bilisol PAS vs Conventional Business Cases Procede Gas Treating B.V. Figure 13: Plot space for plant using the PAS technology FINAL REPORT 17