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Party Behaviour in Scotland Eve Hepburn University of Edinburgh Paper presented at the annual Elections, Public Opinion and Parties (EPOP) conference, University of Edinburgh, 12-14 September 2014 1. Introduction This paper examines the territorialisation of party behaviour in Scotland since devolution, and in particular the ‘contagion effect’ of the national question on the positions of Scotland’s political parties. It is argued that the traditional class-based understandings of party competition have limited application in Scottish politics unless they are considered in tandem with the strength, and often pre-eminence, of a territorial dimension (in similarity to Quebec and many other substate nations where territorial concerns and demands for self-government are central). Yet, far from constituting a divisive cleavage between parties in Scotland, we argue that the national question has become more of a valence issue in Scottish politics, whereby no party would dare to speak against the political empowerment of the Scottish nation. Instead, parties have adopted a range of positions in favour of increased territorial autonomy, including support for fiscal autonomy, the creation of a cosmopolitan Scottish identity, and increased control over welfare and social services. With all of the bluster between the ‘yes’ and the ‘no’ campaigns in the independence referendum in 2014, it would be easy to ignore the fact that, in terms of a national yardstick, all of the parties in Scotland are moving in the same direction: towards greater selfdetermination. This has not always been the case. The ‘national question’ has often proved a divisive issue in Scottish politics, with the leading British mainstream parties – the Labour Party and the Conservative Party – taking (often bitterly) opposing positions to Scottish ‘home rule’ at different points in time. Why has the national question become a valence issue in Scottish politics, endorsed by all and sundry? We argue that there has been an important territorial contagion effect in Scottish politics, especially since devolution, whereby the main catalyst of contagion during this period – the SNP – has encouraged other parties to take stronger territorial stances. Again, this has not always been the case. Arguably the Labour Party in Scotland held the title of territorial contagion ‘catalyst’ during the 1980s and 1990s when it encouraged other parties in Scotland to support demands for devolution. However, with the attainment of devolution (or at least an initial settlement thereof), Labour has struggled to articulate its new territorial position. The SNP has instead picked up the gauntlet, with the help of a new devolved Scottish political arena to air its concerns, in its quest for greater Scottish self-determination. The SNP’s demands for independence, undergirded by the threat it has posed as the minority – and then the majority – government in Scotland, has catalysed other parties to offer greater powers for Scotland in a bid to undermine secessionist claims. This now means that all parties in Scotland are claiming to stand up for Scottish interests and to demand greater powers for Scotland. In fact, some commentators have argued that the fate of the United Kingdom depends less on the independence strategy of the SNP and more on its indirect influence on other parties, whereby UK parties’ ability to transform themselves into more Scottish creatures, to avoid being seen as the puppets of Westminster, and their commitment to taking the devolution process of 1 constitutional renewal more seriously are the issues that will make or break the independence referendum in September 2014 (McLeish and Brown, 2012). This paper therefore seeks to understand the electoral calculus underlying the stance that Scottish parties take with respect to the ‘national question’. Following on from this research group’s broader theoretical framework, it employs the concepts of ‘issue ownership’ and ‘contagion’ to understand how the territorial dimension structures party competition in Scotland. Based on this issue ownership perspective, our general hypothesis is that Scottish parties need to take a position on the national question and its various dimensions – including the constitutional issue, national identity and territorial interests – in addition to projecting an image of competence to win over the electorate. While the SNP – as the main nationalist party in Scotland – may be the ‘owner’ of the national question issue and the contagion ‘catalyst’ affecting the positions of other parties on this issue, it will also face competition from other parties in presenting itself as the most ‘Scottish’ party representing Scotland’s interests. Therefore, the SNP’s success in eliciting a territorial contagion effect on other parties may undermine its ownership claim and ‘unique selling point’ in being an autonomy-seeking party. Our hypotheses are therefore as follows: H1 Nationalist parties ‘own’ the national question in substate politics. H2 Nationalist parties have a contagion effect on other parties in the substate party system, which are obliged to take stronger positions on the national question. H3 The national question has become a multiple-ordering dimension, which supersedes and structures other cleavages – class, post-materialism – in the substate party system. This analysis draws on a mixed-methods empirical analysis of Scottish party positions on the national question. The first source of information comes from a content analysis of political party manifestos for Scotland, which reveal how parties portray their political orientations to voters during elections. For this we used a specially adapted coding scheme to measure the issue profile of substate and statewide parties on the national question. The coding scheme captures the main dimensions of the national question as conceptualised in the theoretical framework, including: the constitutional issue, identity (language and cosmopolitanism) and territorial interests (social, economic and supranational). The party manifestos of the two most recent Scottish and UK elections were selected: the 2010 UK general election (including the manifestos of the SNP, UK Labour Party, UK Conservative Party and the UK Liberal Democrats) and the 2011 Scottish parliamentary election (including the manifestos of the SNP, Scottish Labour Party, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party and Scottish Liberal Democrats). Thus a total of 8 manifestos – covering substate and state parties – were subject to analysis. The coding procedure included the division of each manifesto into ‘quasi sentences’, each representing an argument expressed by a sentence or part of it, and assigning each quasi-sentence to (a) an exclusive ‘issue salience’ category and (b) an exclusive directional category to determine the relative positioning of parties on substate issues. This enabled us to determine the salience and positioning of parties on each of the dimensions and subdimensions of the national question: (1) the constitution; (2) language; (3) cosmopolitanism; (4) social policy; (5) economic policy; and (6) supranationalism. The second source of data comes in the form of semi-structured elite interviews with senior party officials. The interviews, which were based on a series of questions organized around the three themes of the national question – the constitutional issue, the identity issue and territorial interests – were asked consistently of each participant involved. They provided us with a valuable source of ‘insider information’ not captured in official manifestos. The interviews allowed us to 2 compare what was said by politicians in a one-on-one setting with what the party officially states in its election manifestos. Interviews were conducted in November 2012 with at least 2 members from the four most important parties on each level of government in Scotland. This included Members of the Scottish Parliament (MSPs) for the SNP, Scottish Labour Party, Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party and Scottish Liberal Democrats; in addition to Scottish Members of (the UK) Parliament for the SNP and the UK Labour Party, for a total of twelve interviews. The paper begins with an overview of party politics in Scotland, with a particular focus on the tug-of-war between the Scottish Labour Party (SLP) and the Scottish National Party (SNP) on the territorial and class dimensions of party competition in their bid to become Scotland’s dominant party. It then considers the various dimensions of the ‘territorial contagion’ effect in the period under study, and introduces the data used to measure the effects of this contagion. The empirical meat of the paper is then presented: an analysis of how political parties compete on the three principal dimensions of the ‘national question’ in Scottish politics: (1) the constitutional dimension; (2) the identity dimension (including positions on language and cosmopolitanism); and (3) the regional interests dimension (including social policy, economic policy and supranational policy). Finally, the paper will examine the multi-level dimension of party politics in Scotland, and in particular how the territorial dimension has moved to becoming a more a consensual ‘valence issue’ between parties in Scotland, and more of a schism between Scottish and UK parties in the sense of a classical ‘centre-periphery’ cleavage. 2. Overview of the ‘National Question’ in Scottish Politics Over a century of embattled constitutional politics in Scotland reached tipping point in the year 2014: the year of Scotland’s first (but possibly not last) referendum on breaking away from the UK state. For some, the proposition of secession during a period of economic recession and global interdependence is an unnatural and distracting one: the real focus should be on bread-and-butter politics and improving the quality of people’s lives. For others, independence is the answer to economic stagnation and social inequality, as it would allow Scotland to carve out its own distinctive policy programme to address the values, needs and interests of its people. Scotland’s political parties, which have spearheaded these opposing ‘unionist’ and ‘nationalist’ positons, have long been aware that the ‘national question’ has been intrinsically tied up with the traditional ‘social class’ cleavage in Scottish politics. Any party that wishes to gain some votes at the polls cannot take a position on one issue without thinking through the implications for the other. And due to the strong link between Scottish identity and state welfarism (McEwen, 2002; Beland and Lecours, 2005) the party that is able to successfully fuse issues of self-determination with socioeconomic matters is likely to gain the upper hand in Scottish politics. Over the course of the second half of the twentieth century, it was the Labour Party in Scotland which deftly navigated its way through the territorial-socioeconomic nexus of party competition to best represent the attitudes and values of Scottish voters. The Labour Party had been ‘Scotland’s party’ since the steep decline of the Conservatives in the 1960s. This became especially apparent during the UK Thatcher governments of 1979-90, when Scots voted consistently for Labour. On the class cleavage, Labour was indomitably centre-left (at least until the creation of New Labour), taking a progressive and redistributive stance on socio-economic issues. This resonated strongly with a Scottish electorate whose national identity was somewhat predicated on (the myth of) egalitarianism (McCrone, 1992; Brown et al 1998). 3 On the territorial dimension, otherwise known as the ‘national question’, Labour’s position was far less consistent. Labour moved from a position of outright hostility to Scottish self-government to supporting some form of Home Rule, and swithered back and forward thereafter (Keating and Bleiman, 1979; Hepburn, 2010). As one former Scottish Labour MSP stated ‘since the inception of the Labour Party at the start of the last century, Labour’s position on home rule or devolution has changed. It has been very confused, hesitant, ambiguous, ambivalent, and at some points, nearly nonexistent’ (interview, 16 November 2012). Throughout the twentieth century the Labour Party experienced divisions within its own ranks on how best to address the national question (Geekie and Levy, 1989). This was most evident in the first failed devolution referendum in 1979 when the UK Labour Party – the reluctant instigator of the plebiscite – was embarrassingly split on the issue (Newell, 1998). But the course that it finally set upon from the 1980s onwards – support for a devolved assembly that received the extensive backing of civic society - was the one that would increasingly receive the broadest support amongst the Scottish electorate. Labour was rewarded in the polls: taking an average of 40-45% per cent of votes in Scotland in general elections from 1983 to 1997. However, despite Scotland’s political predisposition towards the Labour Party, this support was insufficient to make a difference in UK elections and a series of Conservative governments were returned to Westminster 1979-1992. When Labour finally clawed back the reins of power in the 1997 general election and implemented its commitment to devolution, a large majority of Scots voted in favour of the proposal for a Scottish Parliament in 1997 (Trench, 2007; Mitchell, 2009; Jeffery and Mitchell, 2010; Keating, 2010). However, during the Scottish Labour Party’s early years in coalition government with the Scottish Liberal Democrats in the new Scottish Parliament, from 1999-2003 and 2003-7, its stance on both the social class cleavage and the national question began to change. On the former, pressures from Tony Blair’s modernising UK ‘New Labour’ Party were felt within the Scottish leadership, and the Scottish branch began to edge to the centre (Bradbury, 2006). This was particularly evident in the party’s support for the creation of public private partnerships (PPPs) in healthcare – which many saw as a worrying move towards privatisation and a lurch to the right (Hassan and Shaw, 2012). On the territorial issue, the Scottish Labour Party was committed to stalling the issue: devolution had been achieved and the party had no desire for further powers for Holyrood (see analysis of interviews with Labour MSPs in Hepburn, 2010). This was the first of number of strategic mistakes that the Labour Party in Scotland made, which enabled the rise of the more staunchly socialdemocratic, independence-seeking Scottish National Party. The SNP had been a peripheral party in Scottish politics for most of its life. Established in 1934, the SNP achieved its first electoral breakthrough into UK politics in October 1974 when it won 30% of the vote and 11 of Scotland’s 72 seats in the UK Parliament. The nationalist ‘threat’ led directly to Labour’s proposal for the devolution referendum in 1979; however after the embarrassing failure of the plebiscite – in which the SNP ran a separate campaign from Labour and only 51.6% Scots voted in favour with a turnout of 63.8% (less than constitutionally required) – the ‘national question’ was wiped off the UK Government’s agenda with the election of Margaret Thatcher’s centralising Conservative Party later that year. While the 1980s and early 1990s were a period of consolidation for the Labour Party in Scotland – which had engaged in the cross-party Scottish Constitutional Commission to create a blueprint for a Scottish Parliament – the SNP’s self-exclusion from these activities seemed small-minded and petty. The SNP entered a wilderness period, achieving 114 14% of the vote in UK general elections in the 1980s, while the Labour Party solidly continued to gain around 43% of the vote in Scotland. The SNP’s decision to support the creation of a Scottish Parliament in a crossparty ‘Yes’ campaign with Labour, the Liberal Democrats, Greens and other civic and political organisations, gave the party the life support it so desperately needed. It was able to present itself as a team-player working in the best interests of Scotland. However, it was really the creation of the Scottish Parliament itself that marked the real ascent of the SNP to power. In the first elections of 1999, the SNP became official opposition to the Labour-Liberal Democrat government, which gave it a platform and mouthpiece for independence that it had previously only dreamed of. During the early days of devolution, the SNP also underwent an extensive degree of professionalization and centralisation of party structures (Mitchell, Bennie and Johns, 2011). Ideologically, it showed itself during First Minister’s Questions to sit to the left of the Labour-Liberal Democrat government, especially on the issue of privatisation of public services. And on the territorial dimension, the SNP began to portray its goal of independence as less one of secession from the UK and more one of the natural extension of devolution. In other words, the SNP was making its bid to outmanoeuvre the Scottish Labour Party on both the class and territorial dimensions of party competition, by cleaving its positions more closely with the centre-left, proautonomy views of the electorate. When the SNP formed a minority government in the Scottish Parliament in 2007, political commentators were aghast. The mixed PR electoral system had been designed so as to prevent the dominance of one party and to engender coalition. Certainly, the 2007-11 SNP government was marked by the need for cooperation with other parties – in particular the Scottish Conservatives – to implement its agenda. However, while the SNP continued and radically expanded the distinctive centre-left policies that the previous Labour-LibDem government had introduced (such as…), thereby positioning itself as the protector of social democracy in Scotland, the SNP was initially unable to achieve traction on its territorial aims. Its bid to hold a referendum on independence was defeated in the Parliament: the SNP government simply did not have the votes. As such, it pushed the territorial issue onto the backburner and focussed instead on its responsibilities of competent government. In this the SNP was successful, and was rewarded at the polls in 2011. Studies have shown the support for the SNP’s landslide victory in the 2011 parliamentary elections was not on the back of the territorial dimension or a desire for independence; it was based on the fact that the SNP seemed to be doing a good job in government (Johns et al 2012). However, this did not stop the SNP from pushing its territorial agenda. In 2012, and this time with a strong majority in the Scottish Parliament, it achieved its aim of passing a bill to hold an independence referendum, and it set the date for the plebiscite in 2014. Thus the SNP had drawn a political battlefield on the future of Scotland underpinned by a two-year long campaign – the longest in British history. 3. Issue Ownership and the Contagion Effect As aforementioned, we believe that the national question has become a valence issue in the sense that there is now general agreement between political parties on the direction of policies. And as we hypothesised, whoever ‘owns’ the issue of the national question has the potential to have a contagion effect on other parties. However, that potential is circumscribed by two conditions. First, the owner of the national question must have sufficient electoral strength or ‘party system relevance’ in Sartori’s (1976) terms, to constitute a sufficient threat to other political actors in that 5 system. Second, contagion is most likely to occur when other parties are seen to be weak on the issue of territory, in particular when they are viewed as beholden to central-state interests (for a full theory of territorial contagion, see Hepburn, 2014a). So let us begin by examining the main players involved in contagion: the owners and catalysts of the national question, and the targets of the territorial contagion effect. To begin with, we hypothesise that the main nationalist party will be the ‘owner’ of the national question and will have a contagious effect on the territorial stances of other parties. In Scotland, the main nationalist party is the Scottish National Party (SNP), who has rapidly increased its electoral ‘threat’ to other parties since devolution, initially becoming official opposition (1999-2007), then forming a minority government (2007-11) and then a majority government (2011-). It is important to note that, unlike Quebec, the SNP does not face a nationalist challenger in Scotland: the SNP is the only party proclaiming to be nationalist. However, it is not the only party seeking independence. Two smaller parties – the Scottish Green Party and the Scottish Socialists – have also made independence a policy aim, though for very different reasons. While the Greens believe independence would enable Scotland to improve the welfare system and its environmental record, the Socialists wish to see an independent Scotland implement sweeping redistributive reforms. But as CoConvenor of the Scottish Greens, Patrick Harvie, has said, ‘agreeing on independence doesn’t mean we’ll ever agree [with the SNP’s position] on the oil industry, the roadbuilding programme or the future of the Corporation tax’ (Harvie, 2014: 22). However, despite supporting independence, the Greens and Socialists have had insufficient party-system relevance (polling between 3-7% of the vote in Scottish parliamentary elections 1999-2011) to have a contagion effect like the SNP. Yet while the Scottish National Party (SNP) may constitute the main catalyst of territorial contagion in today’s independence referendum-fuelled politics, this was not always the case. During the 1980s and 1990s, one could argue that Labour’s leadership of the Scottish Constitutional Convention and support for devolution had an impact on the positions of other parties in Scotland, encouraging them to collectively put their weight behind the creation of a Scottish Parliament in 1997, even despite their contrasting constitutional aims (independence for the SNP, Scottish Greens and Scottish Socialists; and federalism for the Scottish Liberal Democrats). To this end, Scottish Labour played the part of ‘catalyst’ of the territorial contagion effect – rallying support around a loosely left-of-centre autonomy-seeking project. Both Labour and the SNP, as Scotland’s two leading parties with the greatest potential for ‘territorial contagion’, now compete on centre-left, pro-autonomy platforms. This underlines the fact that party competition in Scotland tends to take place on the left side of the ideological spectrum. Four out of the five main parties in the Scottish Parliament may be classified as ‘centre-left’ (Labour, SNP, Scottish Greens and the Liberal Democrats) than centre-right (Conservatives). Because of the centre-left consensus, party positions on social issues in Scotland often converge. However, the national question has had a more complex effect on party politics. Let us know consider who the other ‘targets’ of territorial contagion might be. The Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party (SCUP) has separate origins in Scotland, and was an independent party until 1965. When the Labour Party was vehemently opposed to Home Rule in the 1920s and 1940s, the SCUP was actually in favour of administrative devolution, and it was the first UK party to make a commitment to a (weak) form of devolution (Mitchell, 1998; Chaney, 2013). However, during its integration – some may say absorption – into the UK Conservative Party, the SCUP abandoned any commitment to home rule for Scotland 6 and maintained a strongly unionist – some would say unitarist – position (Hepburn, 2010). This was particularly evident under Thatcher’s leadership of the party from 1975, when the party came to be perceived as an English, anti-Scottish Party (Seawright, 1996, 2004). The party was opposed to the activities of the Scottish Constitutional Convention in the 1980s and 1990s, and it voted against Scottish devolution in both referendums in 1979 and 1997. This was not a wise strategic decision amongst an increasingly pro-devolution Scottish public. The Conservatives lost all of their seats in Scotland in the 1997 general elections, forcing the party to hold an internal review that led to the decision to secure greater organisational autonomy for the party and to advance a policy position of supporting the Scottish Parliament (see Detterbeck and Hepburn, 2011; Convery, 2013). In contrast, the Scottish Liberal Democrats have always supported Scottish Home Rule and decentralisation as part of their federalist agenda. And because the UK Liberal Democrats are a federal organisation, the Scottish branch has always exercised a substantial degree of autonomy over policy programmes. This has led the Scottish LibDems to move considerably to the left of their UK brethren on many social policy issues, and often at times to the left of Labour and the SNP. Like the SNP (and also the Conservatives) the party benefitted considerably from devolution, and it became junior government coalition partner to Labour in the first two sessions of Scottish Parliament, from 1999-2003 and 2003-7. During this period, the LibDems spearheaded several distinctive public policies for Scotland, including the introduction of free care for the elderly, and during the SNP administrations from 2007 onwards it has also played an important role in pushing for more socially-minded policies, for instance on extending free childcare provision for pre-schoolers (Keating, 2010). Having provided an overview of the Scottish party system and the main political players in Scotland – be they potential catalysts or targets of territorial contagion – let us know shift our attention to the period under study (2010-2014) to examine in detail the effect of the national question on Scottish party behaviour. 4. The Constitutional Issue According to one of our Scottish Labour Party interviewees, ‘there isn’t really any ideological divide apart from the constitution’ (interview, 13 November 2012). Throughout the postwar period, but in the years since the SNP took power especially, all of the major parties in Scotland have been at pains to emphasise their differences on whether or not Scotland’s constitutional future should be that of independent statehood. This independence-unionism cleavage has been strengthened during the two-year long campaigns in advance of the independence referendum in 2014, whereby unionist parties have put their differences behind them to collectively endorse a ‘no’ outcome while the SNP and the Green Party have campaigned for a ‘yes’ vote – resulting in a very black-and-white perspective on constitutional politics. However, this cleavage on the constitutional issue is ‘greyer’ and more nuanced than party rhetoric makes out and when the actual positions of parties are looked at. Far from constituting a clear division between anti- and pro-independence supporters, there are a range of constitutional solutions proposed by the parties for self-determination. To begin with, the SNP has always advocated ‘degrees of independence for Scotland within larger political frameworks’ (Hepburn, 2009: 190). This has involved articulating a vision of independence within the British Empire, then the Commonwealth, then the European Union, and now within the ‘social union’ of the British Isles. The SNP’s interpretation of independence is far from the nineteenth century understanding of sovereignty. Instead, the SNP has been forced to 7 recognise its interdependence – not only on a global or European stage, but also within the United Kingdom. To that end, SNP leader Alex Salmond has stressed the continuation of a ‘social union’ between the people of Scotland and the rest of the UK (rUK) in a post-independence scenario (BBC, 12 July 2013)1. Indeed, in emphasising that that an independent Scotland could remain part of the United Kingdom, the SNP has stressed several ‘unions’ with rUK in its vision of independence, including the social union, a currency union (keeping the pound sterling), and a monarchic union (keeping the Queen as head of state) in addition to the partnership it would continue with the UK within the European Union and NATO. As one SNP MSP has argued, ‘after independence, Scotland, assuming there is a yes vote, would probably, with the rest of the UK, be the two most integrated countries anywhere in the world’ (interview, 21 November 2012). Commentators have described this ‘unionist’ nationalist position as ‘independence-lite’ while critics have argued that this has been ‘part of the SNP agenda, you know, “don’t scare the horses: we’re still going to be part of Britain”’ (interview with Scottish Labour Party MSP, 13 November 2012). While the SNP has been at pains to emphasise that independence won’t really be a big step away from the current devolved settlement, and that Scottish people will still maintain the same cultural, social, economic and monetary links to the rest of the UK, its competitors in the Scottish party system have been moving onto the same terrain. The parties supporting the ‘no’ campaign have argued that their constitutional proposals would also move beyond the devolution settlement but would allow Scotland to continue its strong partnership with the UK. According to one Scottish Labour MSP, ‘our view is “we’re better together”. That is not, however, a defence of the status quo. It’s certainly not really a defence of the Union, and the way it’s presented as it was signed in 1707. It is a defence of devolution, of a strong Scottish Parliament in a devolved UK… I would like to see a greater degree of autonomy all around’ (interview, 15 November, 2012). Thus, while Labour in the early days of devolution refused to even consider granting the Scottish Parliament any more powers (see interviews with Labour MSPs conducted in Hepburn, 2010), Labour has done a sharp u-turn in response to the SNP’s entry into government in 2007. This first manifested itself in the creation of the ‘Calman’ Commission on Scottish Devolution in 2008, which was supported by Labour, the LibDems and the Conservatives (and not the SNP), whose recommendations for Scotland’s future – including more powers over revenue-raising and capital-borrowing – were included in the Scotland Act 2014 (see Commission on Scottish Devolution, 2009). But Scottish Labour has realised that Calman does not go far enough for Scottish voters. The problem is, it is often unclear to Scots – both within and outwith the party – exactly what Labour is promising for Scotland in the event of a no vote. As one Scottish Labour MSP said in response to the question ‘could you describe your party’s position on what Scotland’s relationship should be with the rest of the UK’, his answer was ‘I don’t know! I don’t know what it is! (interview, 13 November, 2012). Another former Scottish Labour MSP described his party as having ‘completely lost the plot on the constitutional issue post-1999’ (interview, 16 November 2012). The Scottish Labour Party attempted to address such concerns when it established a Devolution Commission in 2012, which recommended a raft of new powers, including making the Scottish Parliament indissoluble, increasing powers over income tax and assuming control over housing benefits (Scottish Labour, 2014).2 1 2 http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-23287920 http://www.scottishlabour.org.uk/campaigns/entry/devolution-commission 8 However, there is evidence that some party members wish to move beyond this position of an empowered devolved settlement. One Scottish Labour MSP said that ‘in the long run [devolution] starts to become difficult when you have one part of the country [England] that is not devolved in any way…that’s why I’m kind of attracted to federalism’ (interview, 15 November, 2012). Another Scottish Labour MSP admitted that ‘I am not entirely optimistic about the Commission, as someone who would want substantially more powers for the Scottish Parliament’ (interview, 13 November 2012). It is quite unsurprising – given Labour’s reticence on the constitutional issue – that a group of Labour MSP broke from the party line to come out in favour of independence. ‘Labour for Independence’ was formed in 2012 in response to polls that approximately 30% of Labour voters in Scotland favour independence, and is firmly in the ‘yes’ camp on the referendum.3 No similar organisation has broken away from the Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party (SCUP). While Labour and the SNP are both competing for the same broad electoral base – pro-autonomy, centre-left – the SCUP has a different following. Out of all the parties, it considers itself to be the most ‘unionist’ and most in favour of a strong, United Kingdom (Aughey, 2011). According to one SCUP MSP, ‘we believe that Scotland has been very well served by being part of the Union of Nations of the UK’ (interview, 14 November, 2012). However, the party has also – grudgingly – supported the Scottish Parliament, since its radical u-turn on the constitutional issue after its electoral pummelling in 1997. It appears that support for devolution is strategic rather than principled. In the early days, it needed to win back Scottish voters. In the present climate, it needs to take on the SNP: ‘the acid test of the transfer of powers to the Scottish Parliament has been a political judgement as to what would be the best way to stop the SNP from progressing further’ (interview with SCUP MSP, 14 November, 2012). This is a clear indication of ‘contagion’ from the SNP. In response, the SCUP – in similarity to Scottish Labour – supported the UK Calman Commission and then held its own party Commission on the Future Governance of Scotland. The SCUP commission’s recommendations went even further than Labour’s, proposing full powers over income tax, shared VAT receipts and control over housing benefit and attendance allowance (SCUP, 2014).4 Some members of the party wish to take this a step forward and create a federal UK, which would ‘create a much more stable constitutional settlement than what we currently have. We are constantly having this debate about more powers, more powers, more powers. You can’t go on doing that forever’ (interview, 20 November 2012). One party that has staunchly defended the federal model has been the Scottish Liberal Democrats. One Scottish LibDem MSP described the position as ‘in favour of a federal UK in what we call “home rule in a federal UK”. What we want to have is permanent powers here, rather than powers on loan, which we currently have, which would make the Scottish Parliament a much more equal partner with the UK’ (interview, 14 November 2012). However, the problem for a federal solution, continues the MSP is that ‘we don’t know what England will do’. This is a big gamble, and one reason why federalism has not featured largely in the independence campaigns in 2012-14, despite members of all three unionist parties – as described above – supporting this constitutional option. Instead, the Scottish LibDems have also focussed their energy on proposing additional powers for the devolved Scottish Parliament through an emphasis on the terminology of ‘Home Rule’. Thus the 3 http://www.labourforindy.com/ http://www.scottishconservatives.com/2014/06/strathclyde-commission-scotland-full-powers-incometax/ 4 9 Scottish LibDems also supported the Calman Commission and created a party ‘Home Rule and Community Rule Commission’ to examine the best options for Scotland. Prior to the Labour and Conservative commissions, the LibDem Commission recommended the creation of a federal UK structure, with the Scottish Parliament gaining powers over almost all income tax, capital gains tax and air passenger duty (Scottish Liberal Democrats, 2012).5 Thus, the three pro-UK parties have proposed variations on considerably enhancing the Scottish parliament’s powers, especially with regard to its fiscal autonomy. This led to the leaders of the Scottish Labour, LibDem and Conservative parties agreeing to a declaration of more powers for the Scottish Parliament, stating that: ‘The Scottish Labour Party, the Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party and the Scottish Liberal Democrats have each produced our own visions of the new powers which the Scottish Parliament needs. We shall put those visions before the Scottish people at the next general election and all three parties guarantee to start delivering more powers for the Scottish Parliament as swiftly as possible in 2015. This commitment will deliver a stronger Scottish Parliament in a stronger United Kingdom’ (BBC, 5 August 2014).6 The declaration was later signed by the leaders of the UK Conservative, Labour and Liberal Democrat parties. However, critics – including the SNP and civic society leaders – have voiced concerns that these proposals will not be implemented if the referendum fails. These concerns were heightened following the publication of a public opinion poll by the ESRC Centre for Constitutional Change at the University of Edinburgh and Cardiff University that indicated that ‘the English are keen to punish the Scots for flirting with – or in the case of a Yes vote, achieving – independence’, including reducing current levels of public spending on Scotland (Scotsman, 20 August 2014).7 One source of pressure, to stall implementation of any further transfers of power to the Scottish Parliament, may come from Scottish MPs. Scotland’s representatives in Westminster have historically had an uncomfortable relationship with devolution to Edinburgh, as it directly leads to the reduction in their own power in London. As one Scottish Labour MSP insinuated, ‘there has to be a bit of a tradeoff when it comes to more powers for the Scottish Parliament, because if you want more powers for the Scottish Parliament, there’s bound to be some consequences for Westminster…[Labour MPs] would be nervous about too many extra powers for the Scottish Parliament because it would come off, in one way or another, it would affect their influence in Scotland and so it’s hard to argue for more Scottish influence in Westminster while you’re simultaneously arguing for more power for the Scottish Parliament’ (interview, 13 November 2013). Despite this, some senior Labour Party officials promised more fiscal powers for Scotland than the Scottish Labour leader Johann Lamont had done. One Scottish Labour MSP found it ‘paradoxical the way some leading Westminster figures are making more progressive statements on it than some of the Scottish Parliament leaders’ (interview, 13 November 2012) while a Scottish MP for Labour retorted that ‘in the past it was the other way round, MPs were accused of wanting less devolution of MSPs’ (interview, 15 November 2012). In any case, it is clear that the independence referendum has resulted in a ‘contagion boost’ on the national question, with all of the pro-UK parties vying to promise more powers for the Scottish Parliament in the event of a no vote. However, given that the SNP has sought to moderate its position on independence that 5 http://scotlibdems.org.uk/homerule http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-28654142 7 http://www.scotsman.com/news/leader-comment-english-opinion-on-independence-1-3514693 6 10 promising that Scotland would retain its cultural, economic and social links with the rest of the UK in the event of a yes vote, it could be argued that the constitutional issue – far from being the biggest division on Scottish politics – has in many ways become a valence issue, with all parties now arguing for greater constitutional powers. 5. Identity 5a. Cosmopolitanism Scottish parties have achieved a remarkable degree of consensus on their construction of the Scottish nation as an open, plural and multicultural place to live. While Scottish identity remains a central aspect of the national question, there are fewer cultural associations with a ‘Scottish’ identity than many other substate nations (Hamilton, 1990; Calder, 1994; McCrone, 1992; Brown et al 1998). Moreover, numerous studies have shown that Scots are comfortable holding multiple identities – Scottish, British, European – which are far from mutually exclusive (Moreno, 2005). The SNP has been a staunch defender of a multicultural Scotland, whereby newcomers to Scotland are seen to make up the ‘tartan tapestry’ of Scottish culture (see Hepburn and Rosie, 2014). The SNP Government set out its vision of a cosmopolitan Scotland in a Race Equality Statement in 2008, as a place that ‘embraces diversity whilst also fostering a sense of common purpose and goals’ and which supports multiculturalism and pluralism as way of creating ‘a strong, fair and inclusive national identity’ (Scottish Government, 2008: 1, 8). The SNP is also a strong advocate of increasing levels of immigration to Scotland – which is a unique position in the increasingly restrictive UK political landscape (see Hepburn, 2014b). The rationale for this is economic as well as cultural: the SNP wishes to increase immigration to grow Scotland’s economy and population as well as benefit from the cultural enrichment that this brings (Hepburn and Rosie, 2014). These positive attitudes towards integration were confirmed in the manifesto analysis and interviews. As one SNP MSP put it, ‘at a political level, we are always very keen to emphasize that this is a civic nationalist party, rather than an ethnic nationalist party; we are based on the community. Communities evolve; people come into communities and become part of communities, rather than it being based on some kind of strange ideal of what it means to be ethnically Scottish’ (interview, 21 November 2012). This position has received broad support across the political spectrum in Scotland. The Scottish Labour Party and Scottish Liberal Democrats, who were in coalition government in the early years of devolution, preceded the SNP government in their desire to foster a plural, multicultural Scotland through their ‘One Scotland, Many Cultures’ campaign that was launched in 2002. This campaign – which was intended to combat racism in Scotland – sought to emphasise how Scotland was a place of many cultures that enriched people’s lives (Scottish Executive, 2002). The Labour-Dem government launched a related policy programme in 2004, Fresh Talent whose focus was on attracting immigrants to Scotland. This initiative represented Scotland as a land of immigrants, built on mutual respect for cultural differences (Scottish Executive, 2005; for a fuller analysis of Scotland’s approach to immigrant integration, see Hepburn 2014c). Again, this desire to foster an inclusive nation that celebrates cultural differences as part of the Scottish identity landscape was confirmed in the data analysis. As one Labour MSP said, ‘I think we should be a multicultural society. … it’s one area where Labour and the SNP have actually sung from the same song sheet. I think there’s been a general willingness to talk about multiculturalism rather than, you know, I think a lot of people in England have been very negative about multiculturalism and see it as the opposite of integration… I think we are quite 11 strong politically in terms of respecting different cultures and religions’ (interview, 13 November 2012). Similarly, an MSP for the Scottish Liberal Democrats thought that ‘on the whole, we all have good story to tell, we are a welcoming and encouraging country and that’s what we have to work very hard on’ (interview, 14 November 2012). Meanwhile, the SCUP – while not directly employing the terminology of multiculturalism – have given their implicit support for the creation of an inclusive, plural and tolerant nation. As one MSP revealed ‘I would say that Scots have been demonstratively a more tolerant nation than England. I think that one of the things we bring to the Union is that tolerance’ (interview with SCUP MSP, 14 November 2012). It is interesting to note that, while the cosmopolitan dimension of the national question has clearly become a valence issue in Scotland, with all of the parties endorsing the vision of a plural, multicultural Scotland that supports increased immigration, the views of their UK counterparts couldn’t be more different. The UK Labour, Liberal Democrat and Conservative parties have all rejected the multiculturalist model of immigrant integration, blaming it for the creation of segregated communities living ‘parallel lives’ in the UK (Blair, 2006; Cameron, 2011). Instead, the UK parties have proposed a more assimilationist approach towards immigrant integration, emphasising coercive civic integration (and in particular, compulsory requirements for immigrants to demonstrate their adoption of British values and fluency in the English language to gain entry and avoid deportation), community cohesion (depicted as ‘communities getting on together), shared values and common citizenship (see Lewis and Craig, 2014; Hepburn, 2014c). Thus, while the multiculturalist model has become a valence issue in Scotland, the coercive civic integration model has become a valence issue in UK politics. Scottish parties view this assimilationist approach as alien, with one Scottish Labour MSP stating, ‘I think that’s one of the good things because we’re not criticising multiculturalism, I think the danger in England is that “integration” comes to mean “assimilation”. I don’t think we have that view of integration here’ (interview, 13 November 2012). 5b. Language Unlike Quebec, the issue of language plays a very minor role in Scottish debates about the national question. This is because the most prominent minority language in Scotland – Gaelic – is only spoken by about 1% of the population, with the majority of Gaelic-speakers concentrated in the western isles and the north-west Highlands (Paterson et al, 2014). For most Scots, especially those living in the ‘central belt’, the Gaelic language is as foreign to them as Flemish or Basque. As such, ‘Gaelic does not serve as a talisman of Scottish national identity’ (McLeod, 2001: 7) unlike many other nationalist movements in Europe and North America. Furthermore, Gaelic is only one language or ‘dialect’ amongst many in Scotland. Others, which have been given far less prominent in policymaking and are not recognised as official languages, include Doric (spoken in the north-east) and Scots or ‘Lallans’ (spoken in the south). The issue of language constitutes a valence issue in Scottish politics. The general attitude amongst all parties is that Gaelic should be recognised and protected; however, it should not be imposed upon the Scottish population. Out of all the parties, the SNP is probably the most pro-Gaelic (even through the official recognition of Gaelic as one of Scotland’s languages was passed by the Labour-LibDem government in 2005). Gaelic provides a signifier of Scotland’s cultural distinctiveness for some members of the SNP. However, the party’s general approach has been very cautious. When asked whether he thought that the Gaelic language should be strengthened in Scotland, he diplomatically replied that ‘It depends what you mean by “strengthened”. 12 Gaelic is a language that is indigenous to Scotland and is something that is part of our heritage and plays a role in our culture. It is hard to say that it is any near as significant as French is in Quebec because it is not something that is on the lips of everyone every day. But it is something that is uniquely Scottish and it doesn’t belong to any other country. The level of importance that we place on it, it’s up to people’ (interview, 21 November, 2012). Another SNP MSP recognised that ‘there are criticisms that we put too many resources in. Don’t force-feed a diet of Gaelic to people, but I think it has to be available (interview, 12 November, 2012). This commitment to the Gaelic language being ‘available’ is reflective of the SNP’s general stance: it supports the Gaelic language (as it must respond to concerns of its Gaelic-speaking supporters) however it does not believe that Gaelic should be imposed as Scotland’s national language (unlike, say, Wales), as this would encounter widespread public opposition. One former Scottish Labour MSP confides that ‘The SNP, by the very nature of their Scottishness, is more inclined to be involved [in promoting Gaelic] now. But to be fair, they haven’t really pushed Gaelic that much further, either’ (interview, 16 November, 2012). Indeed, the SNP recognises that Gaelic is one language among many, and is quite foreign to some Scots. Other party members believe that Scotland’s other ‘dialects’ should be strengthened: ‘I absolutely think that that language needs to be fostered. But I also do live in a Scots speaking part of Scotland and probably the richest vein of Scot speakers left in Scotland. I think that should be important to nurture too and give kids pride in their language because when I was at school, we were corrected when we spoke in Scots in the classroom’ (interview with SNP MP, 15 November 2012). Scotland’s other parties also believe that Gaelic is an important, constituent part of Scotland’s culture. However, few argue that Gaelic is central to identity. One Scottish Liberal Democrat MSP summed this up when he said that, ‘I think that those who want to strengthen it should absolutely get on and strengthen it. But Gaelic is not the only language in Scotland. We have lots of dialects and I think we should celebrate them all. I think it’s very disappointing that the Scottish government concentrates only on Gaelic and suggests that only Gaelic matters. Actually I think that Doric in the Northeast, the Shetland dialect in my part of the world, and others around the country have the role that they want to play in our country’ (interview, 14 November, 2012). A Scottish Labour MSP reiterated the same view: ‘People should not be excluded from using it as a language. I think it’s reasonable that there’s some access to Gaelic-medium education, but I would be dubious about a massive increase. It is just not remotely the same as the French/English issue in Quebec’ (interview, 15 November, 2012). Meanwhile, another Scottish Labour MSP made the point that ‘Gaelic is very much a marginal thing in Scotland… the second language is probably not Gaelic but more something like Polish’ (interview, 13 November, 2012). Finally, the SCUP are probably the least supportive of promoting Gaelic as a Scottish language than the other parties. However, they still acknowledge the place of Gaelic in Scotland’s culture and history. As one SCUP MSP put it, ‘whilst I don’t wish to see it die because, I mean, in parts of Scotland it has a very natural heritage, there are other languages – Doric for example – in Scotland which are dying’ (interview, 14 November 2012). However, the Conservatives are also the most concerned about the amount of money being spent on protecting Gaelic – including establishing bilingual road signs in part of the country with no Gaelic heritage – during a period of economic recession. As the SCUP MSP continued, ‘I am not against it – strengthening [Gaelic] naturally – I just don’t think it should be artificially 13 strengthened. It’s potentially a colossal waste of money’ (ibid). So while language is a valence issue in Scotland – no party is opposed to strengthening Gaelic and there is support across all parties that other dialects should be acknowledged and protected – there are some differences over the degree to which funds should be spent on Gaelic. 6. Regional Interests 6a. Supranational Interests While European integration once provided a bone of contention between parties in Scotland – most notably with the Conservatives being pro-economic integration but hostile to political and social integration, and the centre-left parties such as Labour, the SNP and LibDems strongly supporting the social dimension – in the current period of study there was more consensus on supranational issues (for a detailed analysis of Scottish party responses to European integration, see Hepburn, 2006, 2010). All of the parties have become increasingly critical of the lack of political accountability in the European Union and have become wary of the European single currency. However, none of the parties in Scotland wishes to exit the EU and withdraw their membership (unlike some of the UK parties). Instead, European integration is still viewed as a generally positive development for Scotland. The only real divide on the European issue is whether parties want Scotland to have its own seat on the European Council as a small independent member-state (SNP), or if Scottish interests are best represented through being part of a large, powerful member-state (the rest) (see Bulmer et al 2006; Jeffery, 2005; Hepburn, 2010). The SNP moved to a position of supporting European integration in the late 1980s, which coincided with the period of structural funding reform, and Jacques Delors’ compelling vision of a ‘social Europe’. The SNP also adopted its position of ‘independence in Europe’ in 1988, whereby Europe was portrayed as an external economic and political framework for Scottish independence that in a way could replace the structure of the UK. However, the SNP’s position on Europe become more cautious in the early 2000s, and moved to open criticism by the end of that decade (see Hepburn, 2008, 2010, 2011). During the period of analysis, the SNP took the position of ‘critical friend’ of Europe. One SNP MP put it this way: ‘We’ve been very keen to work with our neighbours. We’re very pro-democratic Europe and procooperative Europe. Many folk in the SNP have a problem with the current integrationist direction of travel…there were many other people in the SNP who had problems with the Lisbon Treaty and the way in which it was never really put to any kind of democratic mandate’ (interview, 15 November 2012). As well as criticising the lack of democratic accountability in the EU and the weakness of European parliamentarians, the SNP has been scathing of the Common Fisheries Policy and its consequences for the Scottish fishing industry: ‘the fisheries management over the past three decades has been catastrophic for the communities I represent. It just hasn’t worked’ (ibid). On the issue of the single currency, while the SNP was once wholly in favour of adopting the ‘Euro’ (albeit subject to referendum), the party did a u-turn after the Euro currency crisis and it now favours keeping the pound sterling currency. As an SNP MSP put it, ‘It takes us back to about 1997 with the Labour Government. They said they would join the euro when the economic conditions were right. Our view is much the same, except our analysis was that the economic conditions were right for Scotland’ (interview, 21 November 2012). Scottish Labour’s position isn’t too dissimilar from the SNP. It also wishes to see a reformed Europe with more democratic governance, however it does not wish to pull its membership. As one Scottish Labour MSP intimated, ‘No doubt, the EU has 14 been a good thing for both for the UK and for Scotland. In the early days of Europe, Scotland did very well in terms of things like European Structural Funds. That’s less true now simply because of how Europe is meant to work…we’ve seen less of the benefit in recent years, but there’s no doubt in my mind that Europe is a good thing. I think that were Scotland to become independent, I do accept that one way or another we would be likely to remain in the EU, if that’s what we wanted. All the major parties in Scotland do want that’ (interview, 15 November 2012). This view was echoed by another Scottish Labour MSP who stated, ‘as far as it is going, I’m not particularly supporting it going a lot further and I’m not enthusiastic in the present circumstances about joining the euro, and I think that’s probably got a degree of consensus in Scotland, including the SNP. But I am comfortable with where Europe has got to’ (interview, 13 November, 2012). Scottish Labour’s position has clearly become much more critical since its peak in pro-Europeanism in the mid-1990s. The Scottish LibDems have followed a similar trajectory: while they once unconditionally supported European integration and the creation of a federal Europe, they are also – like the SNP and Scottish Labour – more cautious now. As one Scottish LibDem MSP argued, ‘overall, it has been a very successful institution, if you take off the recent and past experiences that have been chaotic. But it does actually pose a challenge for Scotland and the United Kingdom and even for proEuropeans like myself about, if there is a requirement for fiscal and political control in tandem and what does that mean because of the EU? It’s quite a challenge for us. So pro-Europeans are going through a reflection period trying to assess, if you’re not in the euro, where do you stand? The future is still within Europe. People suggesting withdrawal are just not living in the real world’ (interview, 14 November, 2012) The Scottish LibDems have clearly been going through a period of soul-searching on their support for European integration, which has become a serious electoral handicap. Less so the SCUP, who have always been critical of the non-single market aspects of European integration. One SCUP MSP’s views are fairly representative of those of the party: ‘I’m just one of those who believe that we have joined an economic union, not a political union, and that the broader interference of the European Union in all other aspects of national sovereignty has been unhealthy’ (interview, 14 November 2012). But this more critical view does not mean that the Scottish Conservatives want to leave the EU: ‘I don’t think I favour pulling out. It’s one of these issues where I would like to find some sort of middle ground, where … in effect we are already halfway there. We’re members of the EU, but we’re not part of the eurozone. I think that would be the best place for us to be, as part of a free trade area, but not part of this ever-closer political union’ (interview, 20 November, 2012). Thus European integration has become a valence issue in Scottish politics, with all parties moving towards the Conservatives’ more cautious and critical position, but still remaining broadly positive about the benefits that the EU offers Scotland and seeking to maintain full membership. This contrasts sharply with political debates taking place south of the border, where there is a strong strain of anti-Europeanism – evident in sections of the UK Conservative Party and the United Kingdom Independence Party (UKIP) – and where the traditionally more proEuropean parties – Labour and the LibDems – have also become more hostile to many aspects of integration. Scottish parties are very much aware of the different tone to European debates in England. As one former Labour MP and MSP stated: ‘I am a big fan of Europe. I don’t like the drift of anti-Europeanism that we see in Westminster, the danger that the Labour Party could be a bit opportunistic on that’ (interview, 16 November 2012). Another Scottish Labour MP pointed out that ‘the little England 15 aspect we do get, amongst some of those in England, doesn’t apply in the same way [in Scotland]’ (interview 15 November 2012). Finally, the SNP is scathing of UK parties’ anti-Europeanism, and in that context seeks to position itself as much more sympathetic towards integration: ‘The UK government has mercilessly used it [Europe] as a bogeyman. You get all these stories of straight bananas and stuff.’ (interview with SNP MSP, 12 November 2012). The SNP’s desire to distance itself from the UK government’s position on Europe is very similar to its strategy on multiculturalism and immigration, seeking to present Scotland as a much more open, progressive, outward-looking and tolerant nation than Britain/England. 6b. Social Interests In similarity to Quebec, the Scottish model of governance is characterised by a commitment to universalism in public services and an interventionist state (Keating 2007, 2010; Mooney et al 2006). Owing to the fact that party competition takes place on the left of the political spectrum (with four parties out of five considering themselves as centre-left), Scottish parties tend to adopt a more social-democratic and welfarist approach to social policy. This tendency is even acknowledged by the Scottish Conservative and Unionist Party, the only self-professed centre-right party in Scotland, which proclaims to be more to the ‘centre’ on many social issues than the ‘right’ like its UK counterparts. As one SCUP MSP admitted, ‘Undoubtedly it’s [Scotland’s] more social democratic than in England and you see that in the makeup of Parliament and in the way the debates go’ (interview, 20 November 2012). The two parties battling it out to be the ‘protector’ of a Scottish social model are the SNP and the Scottish Labour Party. And since New Labour’s move to the centre(-right) and its openness to the partial privatisation of public services, the SNP appear to be winning that argument in the period under analysis. As part of the ‘yes’ campaign, a group was set up by the Jimmy Reid Foundation called ‘the Common Weal’, whose programme was broadly endorsed by the SNP. ‘I think we have a different ethos around the common weal. And I make no apologies for using a Scots word, because I don’t know an English word for it’ (interview with SNP MP, 15 November 2014). The closest word may be something akin to ‘egalitarianism’, with an emphasis on equal opportunity, inclusion, sustainability and a strong welfare state. The common weal has been defined as ‘a distinctively Scottish version of the type of society that has been achieved in the Nordic area’ (Reid Foundation, 2013). In particular, the social-democratic Nordic approach to social development has been contrasted with the market-driven approach of the UK Government. According to one SNP MSP, there is fertile ground for developing a common weal project in Scotland: ‘All issues have a more left-liberal consensus in the Scottish Parliament than in the UK Parliament. We have an unusual political party system in that the two main parties draw on centre-left social democratic traditions. Obviously, in Parliament, I’m going to be at pains to point how the Labour party that defied that tradition in terms of their actual policy program, but it’s fair enough to say that they are embedded in that tradition. In many ways, we sit more to the left certainly’ (interview, 21 November 2012). The SNP made a particular point of trying to replace Labour as the protector of working-class interests when Scottish Labour leader Johnn Lamont made a statement in which she was seen to be criticising the welfare state. In a radical policy u-turn she committed the party to ending the provision of free universal benefits in Scotland such as free prescriptions, free care for the elderly and free tuition fees, which she viewed as ‘wrong’ and ‘unaffordable’ (Independent, 26 16 September 2012).8 This created significant tensions within the party. As one Scottish Labour MSP admitted, ‘Labour’s got a problem there because we’ve opened up the possibility of reviewing these things [like universal benefits] and if we come to any sort of conclusions we can be accused of abolishing all these things, which probably we would do in practice…although universal entitlements tend to be associated with the left, to some degree, equally you can criticise them from a sort of redistributionist point of view’ (interview, 13 November 2012). The media frenzy following Lamont’s admission that she would seek to review universal benefits indicates, however, that these are equated with a strong welfare state that is tied to Scottish values. In response, the SNP criticised Lamont’s plans to destroy Scotland’s ‘shared social bonds’ (Independent, 26 September 2012) and instead emphasised its leftist commitment to more generous welfare provisions, a higher minimum wage, renationalisation of the Royal Mail and the creation of workers’ councils (Scottish Government, 2013). In addition to vying with the Scottish Labour Party on who is best placed to protect the Scottish social model of egalitarianism and the common weal, the SNP have also been competing with the UK parties on social issues. For instance, the SNP have argued that independence is the only way to ‘protect’ the British welfare state, and in particular the National Health Service (NHS) from the privatisation plans of UK parties (Salmond, 2014: 12). The SNP has also strongly criticised the UK Government’s ‘austerity cuts’ to social benefits, and has vowed to undo all of these policies in an independent Scotland. The SNP’s competitors have acknowledged that this is a powerful strategy: ‘bits of the welfare state seem to be disappearing and that’s a big issue in this campaign and I think that the SNP is going to run very strongly on the welfare cuts’ (interview with Scottish Labour MSP, 13 November 2012). However, the SNP has not been alone in its criticism of the UK parties. Scottish Labour has also vowed to end the austerity cuts of the Conservative-Liberal Coalition in Westminster. As one Scottish Labour MSP admitted, ‘I think the place where we as Labour politicians feel the most frustration around the division between devolved and reserved [powers] is that those areas of the tax and welfare system. For example, it is our responsibility to deal with homelessness. We have passed some fairly radical homelessness legislation in Scotland but the practicalities of moving people from homelessness to sustainable tenancies involve benefits’ (interview, 15 November, 2012). As such, Scottish Labour seeks to gain control over social security and housing benefits for the Scottish Parliament, to ensure a more progressive and equitable approach housing that is in line with Scottish policy. As Scottish Labour Party leader Johann Lamond admits, ‘mostly we just disagree [with the SNP] on the best way to achieve common aims’ (Lamont, 2014: 17). In this sense, there is evidence that while the ‘social model’ in Scotland is largely a valence issue (with only moderate dissent from the Conservatives), it has become a strong cleavage between Scottish and UK parties, with the former seeking to protect Scotland from a ruthless market-driven approach to social development. 6c. Economic Interests While there is general agreement that Scotland is a more left-of-centre country, which is reflected in the more progressive and universalist approach to social policies in the Scottish Parliament and amongst Scottish parties, there is perhaps less consensus on 8 http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/scottish-labour-plans-to-end-free-universal-benefits8176116.html 17 the economic dimension of the ‘Scottish model of governance’. This is because, while the SNP proclaims to be a broadly centre-left social democratic party, this is mainly evident in its social policies. On economic policies, the SNP embraces a more marketoriented approach that some commentators have described as ‘flirting with economic liberalism’ (The Spectator, 23 September 2013).9 For instance, the SNP supports lower levels of corporation tax ‘to counterbalance the pull of London and the SouthEast’, increasing private sector investment (especially into renewable energy), cutting air passenger duty, reducing national insurance contributions and diversifying the business base (Scottish Government, 2013).10 In that sense, the SNP’s economic position is closer to the Scottish Conservative Party, which commends the SNP’s ‘willingness to be more entrepreneurial with respect to business’ (interview with SCUP MSP, 14 November 2012). This was clear during the SNP’s first government 2007-11, when it relied heavily on the Conservative Party to support its budget, and both parties found agreement on many economic policy and taxation issues. One SNP MSP sought to describe the party’s ideology with regard to socioeconomic policy: ‘I understand it as a kind of amalgamation of Robert Burns and Adam Smith, kind of good economics and prudent business ally to a social conscience. So we’re left of centre, but were not anti-business’ (interview, 12 November, 2012). Meanwhile, the Scottish Labour Party has vigorously attacked the SNP’s economic policy, portraying SNP leader Alex Salmond as a ‘tax-cutting friend of big business’ (BBC, 21 March 2014). Instead, Labour has articulated a more interventionist approach with regards to the economy, emphasising its commitment to taxing banker’s bonuses, ending tax cuts for hedge funds, introducing a new 50 pence top rate of income tax, fairer labour market rules and an extension of the living wage to more public sector agencies (Scottish Labour Party, 2014).11 The economic division between Labour and the SNP is echoed in the two parties’ bases of support – while Labour relies heavily on trade union funding, the SNP has been able to entice donations from wealthy benefactors and courts businesses in Scotland (see Hassan and Shaw, 2011; Mitchell, Bennie and Johns, 2011). However, the main debates on economic policy in Scotland during the period of analysis have been linked to the constitutional question. As one Scottish Labour MSP maintained, ‘in terms of more powers for the Parliament, the economic area is probably the key area that people are talking about. And a lot of the debate is around fiscal powers’ (interview, 13 November 2013). While the SNP seeks full fiscal control in an independent Scottish state, the pro-UK parties, as we saw above, are all suggesting various degree of fiscal autonomy for a devolved Scottish Parliament. As another Scottish Labour MSP stated, ‘Our party’s position is that Scotland is stronger as part of that larger national unit and a lot of the arguments for that are economic. They are around the pooling of both risk and opportunity’ (interview, 15 November 2012). The Scottish Conservatives and Liberal Democrats both agree – as part of their collective ‘Better Together’ campaign – that Scotland’s economy would be better protected as part of the Union, benefitting from the ‘UK’s economic strength, stability and international reputation’ (Better Together, 2014).12 Perhaps the most heated battle in the economic debate around the national question has been the SNP’s proposition that Scotland will be able to continue using the pound sterling as its currency after independence. As an SNP MSP explains, 9 http://www.spectator.co.uk/the-week/leading-article/9082521/the-scottish-play/ http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Publications/2013/11/2439/downloads 11 http://www.scottishlabour.org.uk/campaigns/entry/together-we-can 12 http://b.3cdn.net/better/24c7a4e844ef0eb433_ycm6i5qz6.pdf 10 18 ‘given the current economic conditions, we think it would be best to stay in a poundzone for at least ten years and as with all decisions and under independence it will be something that we can review and take a decision that is right for Scotland over that period. It is interesting to note that the Republic of Ireland got independence in 1922 and then printed their own pound sterling and use the pound sterling right up until 1979, then had an independent currency and then went with the euro. Those are the three options that are open to an independent Scotland’ (interview, 21 November 2012). Yet the pro-UK parties, including the Chancellor of the UK Exchequer, have vehemently denied this possibility that Scotland can share a currency union with rUK as it would expose the rUK to ‘unacceptable risks’ (Better Together, 2014). However, despite these disagreements over the currency of an independent Scotland, and the extent to which the Scottish government should court the business community to grow the economy, some politicians believe that there are less economic divisions between Scottish parties than the rhetoric suggests: ‘the general approach is a bit more social-democratic, there’s probably more consensus around the deficit reduction is going too far too fast, that kind of thing, there’s probably a consensus around that in the Parliament and probably more hostility to the coalition government’ (interview, 13 November 2013). Furthermore, there are certainly other areas of consensus amongst Scottish parties on economic issues – for instance, putting immigration at the centre of Scotland’s economic development policy (Scottish Government, 2008). However, in general, the economic dimension of the national question – in addition to the constitutional issue, and indeed probably because it has been so intricately linked with the constitutional issue – provides a source of contestation and disagreement between Scotland’s political parties. 7. Multi-level Dimension The primary focus of this paper so far has been on the impact of the national question on party behaviour in Scotland. Our next question is: what has been the impact of the Scottish question on multi-level politics in the UK? In particular, has the SNP had a contagion effect on UK parties in addition to other Scottish parties? Do we see a reinforcement of a territorial cleavage between the UK ‘centre’ and the Scottish ‘periphery’? Moreover, if some aspects of the national question have become a valence issue in Scotland, with all parties agreeing on the direction that certain territorial policies should take, what effect has that had on multi-level politics? Based on the data collected, we would argue that there has been a strengthening of the centre-periphery cleavage on the national question, with Scottish and UK parties (regardless of their political persuasion) taking opposite sides. In particular, there have been occasions when Scottish parties from across the ideological spectrum have acted as a ‘territorial bloc’ in defence of Scottish interests against the UK Government/UK parties. Putting this into historical context, this was particularly notable during the campaigns that led up to the creation of the Scottish Parliament. Many scholars have argued that Margaret Thatcher’s Conservative government in London – which was so despised by Scots – was primarily responsible for uniting the nationalist movement (in particular in overcoming divisions between Labour and the SNP) in their end goal of achieving devolution (Nairn, 2003; McEwen, 2006; Beland and Lecours, 2005; Hepburn 2006). Similarly, with respect to David Cameron’s Conservative-Liberal parliament, there is clear evidence of agreement between the SNP and Labour in criticising London’s welfare policies (Hepburn, 2010b). In both cases, this ‘defence’ of Scottish values and interests 19 brought together parties from across the ‘constitutional divide’ in addition to civil society organisations. Yet even putting aside SNP-Labour opposition to Conservative(-Liberal) governments in Westminster, there have been several other occasions when Scottish parties – including the Conservatives – have acted as a territorial bloc against UK parties in their defence of distinct Scottish needs and interests. We witnessed earlier in this discussion how all of Scotland’s parties have supported increased levels of immigration to Scotland in addition to the need to foster an open, tolerant and plural society that is respectful of different cultures – which lies in sharp contrast to the increasingly restrictive immigration and integration policies being endorsed by all of the major UK parties. We also saw that on social policy, there has been a great deal of consensus amongst Scottish parties on the need to protect Scotland’s distinct policy style and emphasis on welfarism and universalism from the marketization measures being pursued in Whitehall – something that unites the SNP, LibDems and Labour, with the Scottish Conservatives kicking up much less fuss than they do in London. Clearly, then, when Scottish parties believe that their distinct Scottish interests are under threat from measures taken in London (such as social benefits), or when there is a particular policy that would clearly favour Scotland (such as immigration), there seems to be agreement on the need to present a united front against Westminster. And despite their divisions on some issues, it appears that some of the SNP’s competitors might think that having the nationalists in power in Edinburgh may be the best way to get Scotland’s interests heard in London. As one Scottish Liberal Democrat MSP astonishingly intimated, ‘while I might not agree with a nationalist government in Edinburgh on issues, there is no question that they make a Scottish argument. I don’t think there’s been a time when Scottish issues haven’t been more understood at the top of government than now’ (interview, 14 November, 2012). 8. Conclusion We set out the hypothesis at the start of this paper that parties in Scotland must take a stance on the national question, which has become a primary dimension of party competition. Moreover, we hypothesised that there has been a territorial ‘contagion’ effect in Scotland, and that the catalyst of contagion is also the ‘owner’ of the nationalist question, which we assumed was the leading nationalist party operating in the territory – the Scottish National Party. To what extent have these expectations been met in the analysis of the interviews and manifestos data? Our first main finding is that the SNP has been the successful ‘owner’ of several dimensions of the national question. In particular, the SNP has – during the period of analysis – led on the issues of constitutional change, language, cosmopolitanism, and social policy. Taking these sub-categories separately, we saw that the SNP’s demands for independence directly encouraged other parties in Scotland to adopt stronger territorial autonomy demands, in particular eliciting a commitment from all three pro-UK parties – Scottish Labour, the Scottish Conservatives and the Scottish Liberal Democrats – to guarantee enhanced powers for the Scottish Parliament in the event of a ‘no’ vote in the referendum. Given that these three parties only decided to make this commitment in 2014, months before the plebiscite on referendum, indicates that the independence referendum has had a ‘contagion boost’ on the constitutional issue, with all other parties seeking to strengthen their constitutional demands to own the issue and undermine the SNP’s claims to have Scotland’s best interests at heart in its constitutional proposals. While the constitutional issue has provided the greatest source of contestation between 20 Scottish parties – especially since the referendum campaign has pitted the ‘yes’ side for independence against the ‘no’ side for remaining in the UK – when one looks in greater detail at the parties’ constitutional policies, there is actually less differences between them than one might expect. The SNP has advanced a vision of ‘independence-lite’ that retains most of the unions that Scotland currently shares with the rUK, whilst the Better Together camp have all supported enhanced powers for the Scottish Parliament, with all three parties considering federalism as an option for constitutionally consolidating Scottish self-determination without leaving the UK. On the issue of language, while it was the Scottish Labour-Liberal Democrat government that passed the landmark legislation on recognising Gaelic as an official language in 2005, it is currently the SNP which ‘leads’ on the issue of Gaelic language protection. However, the issue of language protection is not central to the national question in Scotland, whereby only a tiny percentage of the population of Scotland speak Gaelic, and many others speak other regional dialects. As one Scottish Labour MSP admitted, ‘the SNP would be quite supportive of the Gaelic, but we can’t really criticise that or be very enthusiastic about it. It is still very marginal so language in that sense is not so important’ (interview, 13 November 2012). In any case, the issue of language is a valence one in Scotland, with all parties supporting the protection of the language (and indeed other dialects), though with slight disagreement on the amount of money that should be dedicated to that plight. Equally, on the issue of cosmopolitanism, the SNP are also leading on this dimension of the national question. Even though the Scottish multiculturalist approach was initiated by the Scottish Labour-Liberal Democrat coalition government with the launch of the ‘One Scotland, Many Cultures’ campaign, the SNP has built on and significantly extended this approach to integration, most notably in its race equality statement and its position on immigration. The SNP has sought to encourage the creation of a plural, multicultural Scottish identity that all newcomers to Scotland can share, thereby highlighting its impeccably civic nationalist credentials. This has received the strong support of all of Scotland’s parties. Equally, the SNP have – building upon the previous Lab-LibDem government’s Fresh Talent initiative – argued that Scotland must have increased levels of integration to satisfy labour market demand and to offset population aging and decline. Again, none of the parties have disagreed with this position (unlike parties in Westminster), with even the Conservatives proclaiming that ‘I think that Scotland has benefited overall from immigrant communities wherever they have come from. I think where we have an expanding economy and skill needs, yeah, of course we should bring people in. We have plenty of space!’ (interview, 20 November, 2012). The social dimension is the one that the SNP has faced the greatest competition over ‘issue ownership’. The Scottish Labour Party, as examined in an earlier section of this paper, once held the lead over this issue by presenting itself as the party with Scotland’s best social interests at heart. However, with criticisms of the Labour Party lurching to the centre(-right) under Tony Blair’s government (although certainly to a lesser extent in Scotland than in England), and with Scottish Labour’s recent difficulties in explaining its withdrawal of commitment to universalism, the SNP has sought to portray itself as the party to the left of Labour. This has involved promises to protect Scotland’s social model from threats of marketization and privatisation emanating from Westminster. Indeed, the SNP has presented its position as seeking to protect the ‘British welfare state’ – in particular the NHS and social benefits – from a government in London that is bent on privatising off public services in the UK. The SNP’s opponents – especially those whose ‘parent parties’ are not 21 currently in government in Westminster – have had a difficult time criticising this position. Indeed, one could speculate that there is a broad consensus in Scotland over a generally welfarist, interventionist state in social matters, with broad support for maintaining public services such as healthcare and education free at the point of use. Even the Conservatives have a more moderate position on social policy than their UK counterparts, for instance with current SCUP leader Ruth Davidson identifying the Scottish Government’s recent legislation on Equal Marriage as the ‘highlight of her year’ (Davidson, Holyrood, 2014: xx). What of the other dimensions of the national question that we have looked at? Has the SNP also owned these issues? On the economic dimension, it appears that the Scottish Labour Party has – and continues to – lead on this aspect of the national question. The SNP’s proposed tax cuts for business have concerned and sometimes alienated many Labour voters who would otherwise for the SNP. Scottish Labour has also committed itself to the economic dimension of the Scottish model of governance – in increasing the top rate of income tax and taxing bankers bonuses – even if it is having difficulty positioning itself on the social dimension. Finally, with respect to the supranational dimension, it is surprising to find that – as a consistently stalwart critic of various aspects of European integration – it is probably the Conservative Party’s position to which other parties have moved. All of the parties in Scotland, but most notably the SNP, have moved from very pro-European positions in the 1990s, to more cautious and sceptical approaches. The positions of Scotland’s parties on the various dimensions of the national question have been summarised in Table 1 below. Table 1: Scottish/UK Party Positions on the National Question SCOTTISH/UK PARTIES SNP (1) Constitutional issue (2) Identity Cosmopolitanism Language Owner, stable position on Independence Now Owner: Promulticultural and proimmigration Now Owner. Gaelic is fairly, but not hugely important Lab LibDem Con Clear contagion & change in position: Calman to devo max in Scotland (both Scottish & UK parties) Clear contagion & change in position: Calman to federalism in Scotland (both Scottish & UK parties) Clear contagion & change in position: Calman to devo max Previous owner: Promulticultural and proimmigration (valence) Previous owner: Promulticultural and proimmigration (valence) Moderately promulticultural and proimmigration (valence) UK party is more restrictive on immigration and antimulticultural Previous owner: Moderate support for Gaelic (valence) UK party is more restrictive on immigration and antimulticultural Previous owner: Moderate support for Gaelic (valence) 22 (both Scottish & UK parties) UK party is more restrictive on immigration and antimulticultural Moderate support for Gaelic, critical of funds allocated (valence) (3) Regional Interests Supranational Social Economic Multi-level dimension No UK party position No UK party position Generally proEU but increasingly critical (valence) Generally proEU but increasingly critical (valence) Generally proEU but increasingly critical (valence) Claims ownership: ProScottish social model (left) For UK party, much more critical Claims ownership: ProScottish social model (left) For UK party, much more critical Pro-Scottish social model (left) UK party split on EU membership Moderately resistant to social model (centre-right) UK party more open to marketisation Claims ownership: proworker (left) UK party more open to marketisation More open to business model (right) UK party supports marketisation More open to business model (right) For UK party, more open to business Opposition to UK policies (especially social model and welfare, Europe, immigration) UK party open to business UK party open to business Hamstrung (in coalition government) but divergence on immigration, multicultural, welfare and social model, Europe Hamstrung (in coalition govt) but divergence on immigration, multicultural, Europe Departs from social model, pro-business (right) Opposition to UK policies (especially immigration, multicultural, welfare and social model, Europe) No UK party position Generally proEU but increasingly critical (owner?) One question that we have sought to answer in this research project is: has the ‘contagion effect’ on the national question been an advantage or a disadvantage for the catalysts of contagion – the nationalist parties. Do nationalist parties benefit from other parties taking up the mantle of the national question and moving onto ‘their ground’ as it were? Or does this present a threat to nationalist parties, as others may seek to replace them as the main defender of territorial interests? In the Scottish case, we can – under the period of analysis – answer that territorial contagion has had positive results for the SNP. The electoral threat posed by the SNP to other parties, its ‘party-system relevance’ as the governing party, and its legislation on holding a referendum on independence have galvanised all parties in Scotland to take the national question seriously and to propose various constitutional alternatives to secession, whereby the end result should be a more powerful Scottish Parliament. Even in the case of a ‘no’ vote in the referendum, this may not necessarily hurt the SNP politically or electorally. As one former Scottish Labour MSP indicated, ‘To me, what the unionist parties don’t appreciate is that if they want a decisive victory, a 55/45 [result] would not be a decisive victory and any closer would be quite 23 calamitous for them. I think Salmond sees that; I don’t think he expects to win’ (interview, 16 November 2012). 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