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Transcript
OECD 2006 Report: Evaluation of support policy
developments in OECD countries.
1.
2.
3.
Main trends over time
Cross country comparisons
Cross commodity comparisons
•
•
Comparing the 2003-05 period with the 1986-88 period (base)
The PSE, the total monetary figure for the estimated level of
transfers to producers from consumers and taxpayers, is
denominated in the local currency of each country, so must be
converted into a single currency to allow comparison across
countries…. But leads to problems
% PSE which measures the share of transfers in the value of
gross producer receipts.

1.Overall support to producers over the long
term.
• Gradual and unsteady reduction.
• Table 1.2:
 PSE fell from 37% in base to 30% in 2003-2005.
 NAC (Nominal Assistance Coefficient – an expression of the monetary
value of transfers from consumers and taxpayers to producers relative
to current production valued at the border price) indicates that while in
1986-88 farm receipts were on average 60% higher than they would
be if entirely generated in world markets without any support, by 200305 they had fallen to 42% above their world market value.
 Result: Improvement in market orientation – with a greater share of
farm receipts generated in markets than created by government
intervention which is one of the principles set out in 1987 when the
OECD decided to reform agricultural policy.
2.Differences in support across countries
•
•



Looking at %PSE:
2005:
Increase – Iceland, Mexico, New Zealand (but Marginal
Decrease – E.U, Japan, Norway
Same – Australia, Canada, U.S, Korea, Turkey, Switzerland
Why? Changes in the Market Price Support (MPS) & changes in
budgetary support.
Examples.
• Over time:
 Average %PSE in 2003-05 was lower than 1986-88 average in all
countries except Turkey.
 Largest relative decreases were in New Zealand, Mexico, Canada,
Australia and U.S.
• Large differences in
estimated support among
countries:
 Below 5% in Australia & New
Zealand
 Less than 20% in Mexico &
U.S
 E.U higher than OECD
average of 34%
 Iceland, Japan, Korea, Norway
& Switzerland greater than
50%, approaching 70% in
some cases. BUT WHY??......
 Variations in policy objectives
 Different historical uses of
policy instruments
 Varying pace & degree of
progress in agricultural policy
reform.
Composition of support across countries
1.
2.
•
•
•
Output linked support measures
Payments tied to purchased inputs.
Bad because they distort production & trade and limit the
extent to which world markets influence domestic production
decisions.
But the OECD have changed the composition towards budgetary
payments.
1 & 2 above & share of MPS has decreased from 91% of overall
OECD support to producers in 1986-88 to 72% in 2003-05(fig
1.4&1.5)
However this figure is averaged among all OECD countries so it
still accounts for more than the 91% in Japan & Korea.
Status of agricultural reform by country
Australia
Support has fallen the %PSE is the second lowest, domestic & border prices are aligned.
Canada
Progress being made in reducing support & the reliance in distorting forms of support
E.U
Support has fallen & progress made in reducing distorting forms of support. Will be further
improvements after recent reforms.
Iceland
Support only reduced slightly, efforts are being made to decrease the distorting forms of
support but both indicators still remain high.
Japan
No reduction in either measure but recent policy decisions may lead to improvements.
Korea
Slight fall in both indicators, both remain high but the new rice policy may lead to a
decrease in the distorting forms of support.
Mexico
Progress has been made in both indicators
New
Zealand
Support has been reduced from an already low base to the lowest %PSE in the OECD
domestic prices are closely aligned to border prices & payment based on inputs have
decreased.
Norway
Little reduction in support, progress in lowering the most distorting forms of payments,
although both remain high.
Switzerland
Support has only fallen slightly %PSE is the highest in the OECD but significant
improvements have been made to reduce the most distorting forms of payments.
Turkey
Increase in support. Share of most distorting payments have decreased.
United
States
Modest reduction in support & reliance on the most distorting forms of support.
3.Cross commodity comparisons
• Influenced by : depreciation in USD, Euro & Yen relative to other
OECD currencies
• Dollar – dominated commodity prices in 2005 changed little from
2004 but nominal prices are higher in 2003-05 than in 1986-88.
 Cereal: rice increased, maize decreased, wheat stayed same but
still higher than in base.
 Oilseed: Decreased but still higher than in base
 Raw Sugar: increased – 25% higher than in base.
 Traded Dairy: increased – Milk 75% higher than in base.
 Beef & Pork: increased in 2005 relative to 2004.
but many other meat prices changed or fell.
Why?
 Animal diseases & health issues – BSE: Japan, Canada & U.S
Avian influenza: Turkey& E.U
FMD: Latin America