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Producer Origination
What Is Your Batting Average?
December 14, 2016
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
WHAT KEPT THEM FROM WINNING?
WHY DID THEY WIN?
• They had a span of 39,466 days between World Series wins
• Was it the curse of the Billy Goat?
• Can you imagine the overwhelming expectation of
performance placed on the players?
• Was it the quality of the players?
• Was it just chance on the losses and wins?
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
What Makes a Great Hitter?
• Yogi Berra said that baseball was 90% mental and the other half is
physical
• Baseball is different than other games
• Gives players time to think before each action
• On average there is .4 seconds from release of the ball to crossing the
plate
• Great hitters know….FOCUS
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•
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How many outs there are
What the count is
How many players on base
Anticipate the next pitch
They constantly see “What do I know now vs What do I not know”
How to focus on the next pitch
• Home run hits sell a lot of tickets
• The value of a player for the team is about their batting average and
on base percentage
• Hitters fail 2/3 of the time
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
What Makes a Great Grain Marketer?
• Focus on the big picture
• Everything is in perspective, keep your eye on the ball
• What is the market as a whole, what are the influencers
• Goals on where they want to be, they try new things
• Knowing costs and desired or expected returns
• Steer away from the “I don’t do that”
• Collect and prioritize information
• Filter out the noise
• What is important? What is just a headline?
• Proactive and executes plans vs reacting to circumstance
• Execute when the plan falls in place, adjust as the influence changes
• Recognize what they don’t know vs what they do know
• Surround yourself with people that have a vested interest in your
success
Great things are done by a series of small things coming together
Vincent Van Gogh
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
Noise and
Confusion
Global Economies
Malaysian Palm Oil
Money Flow
Terrorism
US Dollar
OPEC
Italy
Trump
Global veg oil
Geo Political
South American Production
Soybean acres
Brexit
Weather
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
WHAT DO I DO NOW?
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
Let us help you build your Grain
Marketing Portfolio
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
Farm Direct Fertilizer
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
Fertilizer Industry Today
Producer
Trader
Direct to Grower
Distributor
Retailor
Producer
Grower
Producer
ADM
Trader
Distributor
Buying Group
Retailor
Grower
Estimated Savings of $20-$60 Dollars an Acre
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Grower
© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
At a Glance…
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17 ADM Fertilizer Terminals
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8 Locations are Connected to Grain Facilities
8 Locations are Rail Shuttle Facilities
281,000 tons of Available Warehouse Capacity
Holloway
7.5k T
15k T
Casselton
7.5k T
Twin
Brooks
Tulare
50k T
St. Paul
St. Paul
5k T
19k T
OshkoshLiq
MarionDry
MarionLiq
6k T
E. Dubuque
20k T
17k T
Winona
15k T
LaSalle
25k T
14k T
5k T
Camanche
Evansville
9k T
16k T
8
Interior
Terminals (2
Liquid Terminals)
Trading offices
(Minneapolis &
Kansas City)
St Louis
Inola
12
30k T
Concordia
Hutchinso
n
River Terminals
8
5k T
15k T
© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
ADMIS Brokerage Services
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
Crop
Insurance
Corn CoProducts
Agrible
Animal
Nutrition
Grainbridge
Market
Intelligence
Farmer
Customer
ADM
Processing
Direct
FOB
Trucking
Brokerage
Services
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Farmer
Direct
Fertilizer
Grain &
Oilseed
Receiving
Points
© Archer Daniels Midland 2015
Producer Origination
THANK YOU
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© Archer Daniels Midland 2015