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Producer Origination What Is Your Batting Average? December 14, 2016 1 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination 2 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination WHAT KEPT THEM FROM WINNING? WHY DID THEY WIN? • They had a span of 39,466 days between World Series wins • Was it the curse of the Billy Goat? • Can you imagine the overwhelming expectation of performance placed on the players? • Was it the quality of the players? • Was it just chance on the losses and wins? 3 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination 4 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination What Makes a Great Hitter? • Yogi Berra said that baseball was 90% mental and the other half is physical • Baseball is different than other games • Gives players time to think before each action • On average there is .4 seconds from release of the ball to crossing the plate • Great hitters know….FOCUS • • • • • • How many outs there are What the count is How many players on base Anticipate the next pitch They constantly see “What do I know now vs What do I not know” How to focus on the next pitch • Home run hits sell a lot of tickets • The value of a player for the team is about their batting average and on base percentage • Hitters fail 2/3 of the time 5 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination What Makes a Great Grain Marketer? • Focus on the big picture • Everything is in perspective, keep your eye on the ball • What is the market as a whole, what are the influencers • Goals on where they want to be, they try new things • Knowing costs and desired or expected returns • Steer away from the “I don’t do that” • Collect and prioritize information • Filter out the noise • What is important? What is just a headline? • Proactive and executes plans vs reacting to circumstance • Execute when the plan falls in place, adjust as the influence changes • Recognize what they don’t know vs what they do know • Surround yourself with people that have a vested interest in your success Great things are done by a series of small things coming together Vincent Van Gogh 6 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination Noise and Confusion Global Economies Malaysian Palm Oil Money Flow Terrorism US Dollar OPEC Italy Trump Global veg oil Geo Political South American Production Soybean acres Brexit Weather 7 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination WHAT DO I DO NOW? 8 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination Let us help you build your Grain Marketing Portfolio 9 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination Farm Direct Fertilizer 10 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination Fertilizer Industry Today Producer Trader Direct to Grower Distributor Retailor Producer Grower Producer ADM Trader Distributor Buying Group Retailor Grower Estimated Savings of $20-$60 Dollars an Acre 11 Grower © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination At a Glance… • 17 ADM Fertilizer Terminals • • • 8 Locations are Connected to Grain Facilities 8 Locations are Rail Shuttle Facilities 281,000 tons of Available Warehouse Capacity Holloway 7.5k T 15k T Casselton 7.5k T Twin Brooks Tulare 50k T St. Paul St. Paul 5k T 19k T OshkoshLiq MarionDry MarionLiq 6k T E. Dubuque 20k T 17k T Winona 15k T LaSalle 25k T 14k T 5k T Camanche Evansville 9k T 16k T 8 Interior Terminals (2 Liquid Terminals) Trading offices (Minneapolis & Kansas City) St Louis Inola 12 30k T Concordia Hutchinso n River Terminals 8 5k T 15k T © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination ADMIS Brokerage Services 13 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination Crop Insurance Corn CoProducts Agrible Animal Nutrition Grainbridge Market Intelligence Farmer Customer ADM Processing Direct FOB Trucking Brokerage Services 14 Farmer Direct Fertilizer Grain & Oilseed Receiving Points © Archer Daniels Midland 2015 Producer Origination THANK YOU 15 © Archer Daniels Midland 2015