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CUSTOMER_CODE SMUDE DIVISION_CODE SMUDE EVENT_CODE APR2016 ASSESSMENT_CODE MCA4020_APR2016 QUESTION_TYPE DESCRIPTIVE_QUESTION QUESTION_ID 72290 QUESTION_TEXT Explain the five important problems involved in the construction of index number. SCHEME OF EVALUATION 1. Purpose if Index Number: The first and important thing is to specify the purpose of using index number. There are many purpose for which the index number may be constructed like measure to general price level changes in a country or to measure the changes in the cost living of particular section of people or any other. (2 Marks) 2. Selection of Base year: Base period is defined as the period which data of any other year is compared to known the percentage of increase or decrease in changes. The index for the base year is always taken as 100. While selecting base year following points should be kept in mind: The base year should be normal. The base year should not be too distant from the given periods. Fixed base or chain base (2 Marks) 3. Selection of Number of items: The next problem in the construction of index number is the selection of items and their varieties included in the index should neither be too big nor too small. (2 Marks) 4. Selection of data: The data related to set of prices and of quantities consumed for the selected commodities for different periods, places etc is used to construct the index numbers. Not that the data should be collected from reliable sources. (2 Marks) 5. Selection of appropriate weights: The problem of selecting suitable weights to different commodities is very important and at the same time very difficult also as all items is not equally important. There are two types of indices. Unweighted Indices Weighted Indices (2 Marks) 6. Selection of suitable method of averaging: Since index numbers are specialized average, so need to decide which particular average of arithmetic mean, median, mode, geometric mean or harmonic mean should be used for constructing the index number. QUESTION_TYPE DESCRIPTIVE_QUESTION QUESTION_ID 72291 a. What are the requisites of Ideal measure of Dispersion? b. List out the Absolute Measure of variation. QUESTION_TEXT a) SCHEME OF EVALUATION 1. It should be easy to understand and simple to calculate. 2. It should be based on all values. 3. It should be rigidly defined. 4. It should not be affected by extreme values. 5. It should not be affected by sampling fluctuations 6. It should be capable of further algebraic treatment (6 Marks) b) 1. Range: 2. Quartile Deviation: 3. Mean Deviation 4. Standard Deviation (4 Marks) QUESTION_TYPE DESCRIPTIVE_QUESTION QUESTION_ID 72292 QUESTION_TEXT Briefly explain the five important laws of sampling theory. SCHEME OF EVALUATION The sampling theory is based on following five important laws. Law of statistical regularity Principle of inertia of large numbers Principle of persistence of small numbers Principle of validity Principle of optimization (2+2+2+2+2) 1. Law of statistical regularity The Law of statistical regularity states that a group of unit chosen at random from a large group tends to posses the characteristic of that large group. Suppose a particular characteristic of the population has a particular shape, then the same characteristic will also follow the same shape in the sample. 2. Principle of inertia of large numbers This principle states that “other thing being equal, as the sample size increases, the result tends to be more reliable and accurate”. Suppose that the population mean is 25 units. If a sample of size 50 results in average of 24.5 units, then larger sample of size 100 will result in 24.8 units. In other words, larger the sample size, more accurate will be the result. 3. Principle of persistence of small numbers If some of the units in a population possess markedly distinct characteristics, then it will be reflected in the sample values also. For example if there are 300 blind persons in a population of 1000 persons, the sample of 100 will have more or less same proportion of blind persons in it. 4. Principle of validity A sampling design is said to be a valid if it enables us to obtain tests and estimation about population parameters. 5. Principle of optimization. This principle aims at obtaining a desired level of efficiency at minimum cost or obtaining maximum possible efficiency with given level of cost. QUESTION_TYPE DESCRIPTIVE_QUESTION QUESTION_ID 72293 QUESTION_TEXT Define Correlation and explain its types. SCHEME OF EVALUATION Correlation is the statistical tool used to study the relationship between two or mare variables. Two variables are said to be correlated if the change in one variable there will be change in other variable. On the other hand if the change in one variable does not bring change in other variable then we say that the two variables are not correlated to each other. Types of correlation There are four types of correlation 1. Simple, partial and multiple correlation. 2. Positive and negative correlation 3. Perfect and imperfect correlation 4. Linear and nonlinear correlation 1. Simple, partial and multiple correlation. Simple correlation is the relationship between any two variables. Partial correlation is the study of relationship between any two out of three or more variables ignoring the effect of other variables. For example let us suppose that we have three variables X1=marks ma maths, X2= marks of science, X3= marks of English. So if we study the relationship between X1 and X2 ignoring the effect of other variable i.e X3, then it is partial correlation. Multiple correlation is the study of simultaneous relationship between one or group of other variables. For example if we study X1, X2, X3 simultaneously then correlation between X1 and (X2, X3) is multiple correlation. Multiple correlation is not commonly used. 2. Positive and negative correlation. Two variables are said to be positively correlated when both the variable under study move in the same direction, i.e if one variable increases the other variable should also increase and if one variable decreased other variable should also decrease. Variables are said to be negatively correlated if increase in one variable leads to decrease in other variable, and vice versa. That is the variable move in opposite direction. For positive correlation the graph will be upward curve where as in case of negative correlation the graph will be downward curve. 3. Perfect and imperfect correlation. When both the variables changes at a constant rate irrespective of the change in direction then it is called perfect correlation. When the variables changes at different ratio then it is called imperfect correlation. The values of perfect correlation is 1 or -1. The values of imperfect correlation lies in between -1 and +1. 4. Linear and nonlinear correlation. Linear correlation is correlation when the graph of the correlated data is a straight line. That is the variables are perfectly correlated. The linear correlation can be either positive or negative when the graph of straight line is either upward or downward in direction. On the other hand non linear or curvi-linear correlation is a correlation when the graph of the variables gives a curve of any direction. Like perfect correlation non linear correlation can be either be positive or negative in nature depending upon the upward and downward direction of curve. QUESTION_TYPE DESCRIPTIVE_QUESTION QUESTION_ID 72294 QUESTION_TEXT Briefly explain the different types of probability sampling. SCHEME OF EVALUATION The sampling theory is based on following five important laws. 1. Law of statistical regularity 2. Principle of inertia of large numbers 3. Principle of persistence of small numbers 4. Principle of validity 5. Principle of optimization (2+2+2+2+2) 1.simple random sampling under this technique, sample units are drawn in such a way that each and every unit in the population has an equal and independent chance of being included in the sample. If a sample unit is replaced before drawing the next unit, then it is known as simple random sampling with replace ment[SRSWR]. If the sample unit is not replaced before drawing the next unit, then it is called simple random sampling without replacement[SRSWOR]. In first case, probability of drawing a unit is 1/N, where N is the population size. In the second case probability of drawing a unit is 1/Nn. The selection of simple random sampling can be done by 1.lottery method 2.The use of table of random numbers. 2. Stratified random sampling this sampling desighn is most appropriate if the population is heterogeneous with respect to charecteristic under study or the population distribution is highly skewed. We subdevide the population into several groups or strata such that: 1. units within each stratum is more homogeneous 2. units between strata are heterogeneous. 3. Strata do not overlap, in other words, every unit of population belongs to one and only one stratum. The criteria used for stratificationare geographical, sociological, age sex, income and so on. The population of size 'N' is devided in to 'K' strata relatively homogeneous of size 'N1', 'N2', . . . 'Nk' such that N1+N2+N3+. . . +Nk=N'. then, we draw a simple random sample from each stratum either proportional to size of stratum or equal units from each stratum. 3.Systematic Sampling. This design is recommended if we have a complete list of sampling units arranged in some systamatic order such as geographical, chronological or alphabatical order. Suppose the population size is 'N'. the population units are serially numbered '1' to 'N' in some systamatic order and we wish to draw a sample of n units. This implies nK=N or K=N/n. From the first group, we select a unit at random. Suppose the unit selected is 6th unit, thereafter we select every 6 + Kth units. 4.Cluster Sampling. The total population is devided into recognisable sub-divisions, known as clusters such that within each cluster units are more heterogeneous and between clusters they are homogeneous. The units are selected from each cluster by suitable sampling techniques. 5. Multi stage sampling. The total population is devided in to several stages. The sampling process is carried out through several stages. QUESTION_TYPE DESCRIPTIVE_QUESTION QUESTION_ID 125370 QUESTION_TEXT Define covariance. State its 8 properties Covariance is a measure of association between two random variables. (2mark) Let X and Y be two random variables. Then the covariance is defined as Cov(X,Y)=E[{X-E(X)}{Y-E(Y)}] =E[XY-XE(Y)-YE(X)+E(X)E(Y)] =E(XY)-E(Y)E(X)-E(X)E(Y)+E(X)E(Y) =E(XY)-E(X)E(Y) Properties : (1+1+1+1+1+1+1+1) SCHEME OF EVALUATION 1. Cov(aX,bY)=abCov(XY) 2. Cov(X+a,Y+b)=Cov(XY) 3. Cov( 4. Cov(aX+b, cY+ d) 5. Cov(X+Y, Z)=Cov(XZ) + Cov(Y,Z) 6. 7. V( , )= = acCov(XY) Cov(aX+bY, cX+dY)= ac +(ad+bc) Cov(X,Y) + ac If X1, X2 … Xn be random variable, then )= +2 8. If X1, X2 … Xn be independent random variable random variable, then V( )=