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American Fisheries Society Symposium 73:83–107, 2010 © 2010 by the American Fisheries Society Intercontinental Comparison of Fish Life History Strategies along a Gradient of Hydrologic Variability Julian D. Olden* School of Aquatic and Fishery Sciences, Box 355020, University of Washington Seattle, Washington 98195, USA Mark J. Kennard Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith University, Nathan, Queensland 4111, Australia Abstract.—The flow regime is considered the primary driver of physical processes in riverine ecosystems; thus we expect that the trait composition of fish assemblages might respond similarly to hydrologic variability, even at broad spatial scales. Here, we test the hypothesis that freshwater fish life history strategies on two continents (southern United States and eastern Australia) converge along gradients of hydrologic variability and primary productivity at the drainage scale. Our results show that the fishes of the United States and Australia conform to the three-dimensional adaptive space arising from the trade-offs among three basic demographic parameters of survival, fecundity, and onset and duration of reproductive life. Species from both continents represent the endpoints in adaptive space defining the periodic (19% versus 33% for the United States and Australia, respectively), opportunistic (69% versus 52%), and equilibrium life history strategies (12% versus 15%). We found evidence that fish life history composition of drainage basins in the two continents have converged across similar gradients of hydrologic variability and productivity despite phylogenetic and historical differences. Moreover, these relationships were largely consistent with predictions from life history theory. Increasing hydrologic variability has promoted the greater prevalence of opportunistic strategists (a strategy that should maximize fitness in environmental settings dominated by unpredictable environmental change) while concurrently minimizing the persistence of periodic-type species (a strategy typically inhabits seasonal, periodically suitable environments). Our study provides a conceptual framework of management options for species in regulated rivers because life history strategies are the underlying determinants for population responses to environmental change and therefore can be used to classify typical population responses to flow alteration or mitigation via environmental flow prescriptions. Introduction nized (Naiman et al. 2008). Flow has been suggested to be the “master variable” that determines pattern and process in rivers, thus limiting the distribution and abundance of species and regulating ecological integrity (Poff et al. 1997). Natural spatial variation in the hydro- The importance of hydrologic variability for shaping the biophysical attributes and functioning of riverine ecosystems is well recog* Corresponding author: [email protected] 83 84 olden and kennard logic regime is influenced by variations in climate and basin geology, topography, and vegetation, which interact at multiple spatial and temporal scales to shape the physical template upon which ecological and evolutionary processes operate in river ecosystems (Poff and Ward 1990; Bunn and Arthington 2002; Lake 2008). The natural flow-regime paradigm postulates that the structure and function of riverine ecosystems, and the adaptations of their constituent riparian and aquatic species, are dictated by patterns of intra- and interannual variation in river flows (Poff et al. 1997). A rich body of literature has demonstrated that the longterm physical characteristics of flow variability have strong consequences at local to regional scales and at time intervals ranging from days (ecological effects) to millennia (evolutionary effects). Flow variability, including flood and drought events, interacts with the underlying geology to shape the river’s physical and chemical templates and constrain assemblage structure for fish (e.g., Lamouroux et al. 2002; Hoeinghaus et al. 2007; Kennard et al. 2007), stream invertebrates (e.g., Poff and Ward 1989; Vieira et al. 2004; Dewson et al. 2007), riparian plants (e.g., Nilsson et al. 1993; Naiman and Décamps 1997; Pettit et al. 2001), and riparian invertebrates (e.g., Wenninger and Fagan 2000; Lambeets et al. 2008). Adaptations to natural flow regimes include behaviors that enable insects to avoid desiccation by droughts, fish life history strategies that are synchronized to take advantage of floodplain inundation, and plant morphologies that protect roots by jettisoning seasonal biomass during floods (reviewed in Lytle and Poff 2004). There has been considerable interest in the identification of major axes of ecological strategy variation in freshwater ecosystems based on trait correlations across large numbers of species (Winemiller 2005; Olden et al. 2006; Poff et al. 2006; Verberk et al. 2008; Frimpong and Angermeier 2010, this volume). Species traits may be intercorrelated through physiological constraints, trade-offs (i.e., investments in one trait leaving fewer resources available for investment in another), or spin-offs (i.e., investments in one trait reduce costs or increase the benefits of investment in another trait), resulting in the creation of life history strategies or tactics represented as sets of coevolved traits that enable a species to cope with a range of ecological problems (Stearns 1992). Comparative studies from a diverse array of fishes in marine and freshwater systems have independently identified three primary life history strategies that represent the endpoints of a triangular continuum arising from essential trade-offs among the basic demographic parameters of survival, fecundity, and onset and duration of reproduction (Winemiller 1989, 1992; Winemiller and Rose 1992; Vila-Gispert and Moreno-Amich 2002; Vila-Gispert et al. 2002; King and McFarlane 2003; see Figure 1). Winemiller and Rose (1992) synthesized these life history trade-offs and proposed the following characteristic biological and habitat environmental attributes associated with the three life history strategies. Periodic strategists are large-bodied fishes with late maturation, high fecundity per spawning event, and low juvenile survivorship (i.e., no parental care) and typically inhabit seasonal, periodically suitable environments with large-space spatial (patchiness) and temporal (seasonality) heterogeneity. Opportunistic strategists are small-bodied fishes with early maturation, low fecundity per spawning event, and low juvenile survivorship and typically inhabit habitats subjected to frequent and intense disturbances. Equilibrium strategists are small to medium-bodied fishes with moderate maturation age, low fecundity per spawning event, and high juvenile survivorship (i.e., provides parental care) and typically intercontinental comparison of fish life histories 85 Figure 1.Triangular life history model depicting environmental gradients selecting for endpoint strategies defined by optimization of demographic parameters generation time, fecundity, and juvenile survivorship (modified from Winemiller 2005). Example species from the study regions and representative hydrologic regimes expected to favor each life history strategy are illustrated. Australian fish illustrations by B. J. Pusey; U.S. fish illustrations freely available on the Internet. inhabit environments with low variation in habitat quality and strong biotic interactions. The demographic parameters discussed above are direct reflections of the ways in which fish allocate energy to reproduction, and the three life history strategies of the continuum can be interpreted as being adaptive with respect to relative variability and predictability of temporal and spatial variation in abiotic environmental conditions, food availability, and predation pressure (Winemiller 2005). Hydrological variability plays a dominant role in shaping physical processes in riverine ecosystems, and a number of recent studies have supported the association between hydrology and fish life history strategies. Tedesco and Hugueny (2006) found that regional climate (presumably related to hydrologic variability) induced greater population synchrony of peri- odic fish species in rivers of the Cote d’Ivoire (Africa) compared to equilibrium species. By comparing trends in native and nonnative species distributions among fish life history strategies in the lower Colorado River basin (USA), Olden et al. (2006) found that century-long modifications in flow variability have likely promoted the spread of nonnative equilibrium strategies (favored in constant environments) while leading to greater distributional declines of native species located along the periodicopportunistic continuum (strategies favored in more unpredictable and variable environments). Tedesco et al. (2008) found higher proportions of periodic species in highly seasonal drainage basins of western Africa (e.g., rivers with short and predictably favorable seasons), whereas more hydrologically stable basins with a wet season of several months 86 olden and kennard were dominated by equilibrium strategists. Collectively, these studies (and others) suggest that the distributions of freshwater fishes are shaped, at least in part, by interactions between life history strategies and patterns of predictability and variability in hydrologic regimes. Enhancing our mechanistic understanding of the functional linkages between environmental drivers of fish species distributions will provide a foundation for predicting existing and future impacts of altered flow regimes, invasive species, and land-use change. Gaining this knowledge is predicated upon examining how fish assemblage structure varies in response to flow variability and testing the generality of these relationships across large spatial scales. By using the “habitat templet” concept proposed by Southwood (1977), and applied to riverine systems by Townsend and Hildrew (1994), we predict that because life history strategies are synchronized with long-term hydrologic dynamics, even geographically distant regions will presumably favor the persistence of species with similar traits if subjected to similar historical flow regimes. If the functional characteristics of organisms and communities are predictable from features of their environment, then convergence in these characteristics across regions implies the existence of key, repeated evolutionary mechanisms responsible for these relationships (Schluter 1986). Community convergence driven by similar environmental selective forces would be supported by observations of similar relationships between spatial variations in community life history composition along environmental gradients (Lytle and Poff 2004). In the present study, we explore this question by providing an intercontinental examination of patterns in fish functional composition across a gradient of hydrologic variability and productivity in the southern United States and eastern Australia, focusing on the oppor- tunistic-periodic-equilibrium trichotomy. The freshwater fish faunas differ strikingly between the two regions, with the U.S. fauna being extremely diverse and with low endemism in comparison to the comparatively depauperate and highly endemic Australian fauna. Our primary objective was to test the hypothesis that the relationship between fish life history patterns, hydrologic variability and net primary productivity (NPP) in the United States and Australia is concordant with predictions from life history theory, as proposed by Winemiller (1995, 2005) and McCann (1998) (Figure 1). Specifically, by virtue of their small size and rapid turnover rates, we predict that opportunistic species should maximize fitness (and thus be more prevalent) in drainage basins characterized by productive and frequently disturbed habitats (i.e., high hydrologic variability and high NPP). By contrast, periodic and equilibrium strategists are predicted to be more common in drainage basins exhibiting low-flow variability and either more productive habitats for periodic strategists (i.e., low hydrologic variability and high NPP) or less productive habitats for equilibrium strategists (i.e., low hydrologic variability and low NPP). For periodic strategists this may be seen as a consequence of the storage effect (i.e., long life stage buffers times of low recruitment: Warner and Chesson 1985) and high annual fecundities, and for equilibrium strategies as a result of low adult mortality rates that enable them to survive on lower resource biomass (McCann 1998). By taking a functional approach, our study underscores the theoretical expectation that species traits promoting local persistence will change along environmental gradients, thus facilitating the comparison of regions separated by large geographic distances and aiding the development of broadly applicable generalizations regarding patterns of fish life history strategies. If fish species show similar intercontinental comparison of fish life histories ecological responses to the same environmental challenges irrespective of their ancestry, we expect that hydrologic variability has selected for similar community patterns in fish life history strategies despite originating from completely different regional species pools at opposite sides of the world. Methods Study Region We used an updated global map of the KöppenGeiger climate classification (Peel et al. 2007) to identify study regions in the United States and Australia, having experienced similar regional climate (average annual air temperature and total precipitation) and runoff regimes. By selecting study regions from the same climate type, we were facilitating the direct comparison of fish assemblages from drainage basins that have likely experienced a similar range of historical climatic and runoff conditions while still exhibiting inter- 87 basin differences (see below). We selected drainage basins in the United States (n = 56 basins) and Australia (n = 56 basins) that are located within the temperate climate types Cfa and Cfb, representing the most prevalent climate that is common to both continents (Figure 2A). These climate regions are characterized by a temperate climate, without a dry season, and experience either a hot summer with the hottest month $228C (Cfa) or a warm summer with the hottest month less than 228C and $ 4 months where temperatures exceed 108C (Cfb). All drainage basins in the United States discharge to the Gulf of Mexico and are located in the Ohio River, Tennessee River, lower Mississippi River, and coastal regions of southeastern states, as well as including small areas of the upper Mississippi, Missouri, Arkansas, White, and Red rivers (Figure 2B). Drainage basins in Australia include all major eastern coastal rivers between the Fitzroy River in the north and the Tarwin River in the south (Figure 2C). Figure 2. (A) Global map of the Köppen-Geiger climate classification (from Peel et al. 2007) depicting the two study regions in the United States and Australia (squares) that are located within the temperate climate types Cfa and Cfb. (B) Fish species richness of drainage basins in the United States. (C) Fish species richness of drainage basins in Australia. 88 olden and kennard Species Distributions We assembled present-day species lists of native freshwater fishes (i.e., excluding nonnative translocated native species) for drainage basins located in our study region (hereafter termed the “United States” and “Australia” for brevity, although specifically referring to the southern United States and eastern Australia). We defined a freshwater fish in a relatively broad sense to include those species that can reproduce in freshwater and diadromous species that spend the majority of their lives in freshwaters. We excluded numerous species with strong marine or estuarine affinities that may enter freshwaters for only short periods of time. United States distribution data on 559 native fish species (from 36 families and 104 genera) in 56 drainage basins were obtained from the NatureServe Database (NatureServe 2004), which summarizes data compiled by state natural heritage programs, museum records, published literature, and expert opinion. The database was originally compiled at the 8-digit hydrologic unit code (representing a hierarchical system of drainages) but was converted to the four-digit hydrologic unit code scale to ensure the completeness of species records. Native freshwater fish species distribution data for Australia was assembled using information from Pusey et al. (2004), as well as by reference to data sets held by state government agencies, regional experts, existing literature, and interrogation of museum records. Fish occurrence data for Australia was obtained for 66 native fish species (from 25 families and 45 genera) in 56 drainage basins. Species Traits We used the scientific literature and electronic databases to provide a comprehensive functional description of the native freshwater fishes of the study regions in the United States and Australia. We collated data for 14 ecological and life history attributes that could be justified on the basis of our current state of knowledge and information available for the majority of species pools (Table 1). These traits were divided into five categories according to body morphology—maximum total body length, shape factor, and swim factor (following Webb 1984); behavior—substrate preference and vertical position; life history— longevity, age at maturation (female), length at maturation (female), total fecundity, egg size, spawning frequency, reproductive guild (following Balon 1975), and parental care (following Winemiller 1989); and trophic—trophic feeding guild according to adult feeding mode based on published diet analyses. Parental care was quantified as the Sxi for i = 1–3, where x1 = 0 if no special placement of zygotes, x1 = 1 if special placement of zygotes, x1 = 2 if both zygotes and larvae maintained in nest, x2 = 0 if no parental protection of zygotes or larvae, x2 = 1 if brief period of protection by one sex (<1 month), x2 = 2 if long period of protection by one sex (>1 month) or brief care by both sexes, x2 = 4 or lengthy protection by both sexes (>1 month), x3 = 0 if no nutritional contribution to larvae, x3 = 2 if brief period of nutritional contribution to larvae (<1 month), x3 = 4 if long period of nutritional contribution to larvae (1–2 months), and x3 = 8 if extremely long period of nutritional contribution to larvae (>2 months). Trait assignments were based on a multitiered data collection procedure. First, trait data were collected from species accounts in the comprehensive texts of the regional fish faunas: United States (references available upon request) and Australia (Pusey et al. 2004 and references therein). Second, we used species descriptions from the primary literature, state agency reports, university reports, and graduate theses. Third, we obtained data from elec- intercontinental comparison of fish life histories 89 Table 1. Ecological and life-history traits quantified for freshwater fishes of the United States and Australia. Trait Description Abbreviation Body morphology Maximum body length Maximum total body length (cm) Shape factor Ratio of total body length to maximum body depth Swim factor Ratio of minimum depth of the caudal peduncle to the maximum body depth Behavior Substrate preference Coarse (rocks, cobble, coarse gravel) Fine (sand, fine gravel) Silt/mud General Vertical position Benthic Nonbenthic Life history Longevity Maximum potential life span (years) Age at maturation Mean age at maturation (years) Length at maturation Mean total length at maturation (cm) Total Fecundity Total number of eggs or offspring per breeding season Egg size Mean diameter of mature (fully yolked) ovarian oocytes (mm) Spawning frequency Single spawning per lifetime Single spawning per season Multiple (batch/repeat/protracted) spawning per season Reproductive guild Nonguarders (open substratum spawners) Nonguarders (brood hiders) Guarders (substratum choosers) Guarders (nest spawners) Bearers (internal) Bearers (external) Parental care Metric representing the total energetic contribution of parents to their offspring sensu Winemiller (1989) Trophic Trophic guild Herbivore-detritivore (ca. >25% plant matter) Omnivore (ca. 5–25% plant matter) Invertivore Invertivore–piscivore tronic databases available on the World Wide Web, including FishBase, and U.S. state natural heritage programs. Fourth, expert knowledge was used to assign values to a small number of trait states that could not be obtained from the previous methods (mainly inferred from congenerics). Trait values were represented by ordinal, nominal, or continuous data (Table 1). Ordinal and nominal traits were assigned a single state based on a majority of evidence rule according to adult preferences, and median values for continuous traits were used when ranges were presented. Trait values for age and MBL ShapeF SwimF Coa Fin Sil Gen Ben Non-Ben Long MatAge MatLen Fecund EggS SinL SinS MulS NgOS NgBH GSC GNS BI BE ParentC HeDe Omni Inve InvePisc length at maturation were recorded for female specimens when possible. Environmental Variables Basin-level life history composition was modeled using contemporary environmental factors selected a priori, based on previous empirical demonstrations of their importance as determinants of global patterns of fish species richness (e.g., Oberdorff et al. 1997; Guégan et al. 1998). These variables included total surface area of the drainage basin (km2) and mean 90 olden and kennard annual runoff (million liters per square kilometer: ML/km2) as measures of habitat availability and diversity, net terrestrial primary productivity (NPP, metric tons of carbon per km2) as a measure of measure of available energy, and coefficient of variation in annual runoff as a measure of hydrologic variability. Net terrestrial primary productivity was used because net aquatic primary productivity was not available. Notably, by only selecting drainage basins that are located in the same climatic region, we eliminated the need to include variables such as latitude, air temperature, and annual precipitation to represent broad-scale climate conditions. Annual NPP was estimated using the Carnegie Ames Stanford Approach carbon model (the amount of carbon produced by ecosystems per 0.25 degree grid cell), where the average value of all grid cells in each basin was computed using a geographic information system. The NPP data set is distributed by the Columbia University Center for International Earth Science Information Network and was obtained from Imhoff et al. (2004). Briefly, the model incorporates satellite and climate data (1982–1998) to estimate the fixation and release of carbon based on a spatially and temporally resolved prediction of NPP in a steady state (described in detail by Imhoff and Bounoua 2006). We chose to apply a global model to estimate NPP rather than continental models that are readily available for both the United States (MODIS: Terra Dynamic Simulation Group) and Australia (Australian Natural Resources Data Library: CSIRO) to control for inherent differences in NPP predictions arising from differences in model structure. On an interannual basis, variability in basin runoff will act as a qualifier of disturbance and habitat availability and suitability in riverine ecosystems. We selected drainage basins from the United States and Australia located in same temperate climate type (Cfa and Cfb) to ensure a similar historical range of flow conditions but potentially some level of interbasin differences in hydrologic variability within and between study regions. Also, note that data availability precluded the quantification of intra-annual (seasonal) variability in discharge. However, we note that at the continental scale, there is a strong correlation between inter-annual variability (used in this study) and intra-annual variability in discharge: United States (R = 0.65, P < 0.05, n = 420, data source: Olden and Poff 2003) and Australia (R = 0.78, P < 0.05, n = 830, data source: Kennard et al., in press). Below, we discuss the methodology used to quantify basin runoff and hydrologic variability. For the United States, U.S. Geological Survey daily streamflow data for 1900–2002 were used to estimate runoff (streamflow per unit area) for the hydrologic cataloging units in the study region, following the approach of Krug et al. (1987). This data set is available from the U.S. Geological Survey (http://water.usgs. gov/waterwatch) and was created by first identifying stream gauges with the following characteristics: (1) complete data for each water year, (2) drainage basins contained entirely within a cataloging unit, and (3) drainage areas that did not overlap with the drainage basins of other gauges in the same cataloging unit. The average daily flow for the water year then was divided by the drainage basin area for each gauge to calculate runoff, and a drainage basin area weighted average runoff value was computed for each cataloging unit. An adequate number of gauges were identified using the above criteria only for some cataloging units during some years. For the remaining cataloging units, the runoff estimates were based on (1) gauges with small drainage basins with an unknown degree of overlap, (2) runoff values for neighboring cataloging units, and (3) average runoff values for larger accounting units. intercontinental comparison of fish life histories We refer the reader to Krug et al. (1987) for more details. For Australia, drainage basin runoff was estimated using discharge data modeled using the water balance module of the GROWEST program (Hutchinson et al. 2004). GROWEST operates on a weekly time step, converting monthly input rainfall and evaporation data to weekly values via cubic Bessel interpolation. The water balance module is conceptualized as a single “bucket” model. It adds rainfall to the previous soil storage and removes it by means of evapotranspiration. The soil water surplus or “runoff ” is the rainfall exceeding “bucketful” after allowing for evapotranspiration. Monthly rainfall and pan evaporation estimates were generated at a grid spacing of 0.01 degrees (approximately 1 km) using elevation values derived by resampling the 9 s DEM version 3 with bilinear interpolation and monthly climate surface coefficients for a 30-year period from 1971 to 2000. We refer the reader to Stein et al. (2008) for more details. Monthly and annual catchment water balance values were calculated from the accumulated totals of the upstream grid cell runoff estimates for each catchment. Although we recognize that differences exist in how runoff was modeled in the United States and Australia, the spatial resolution of global runoff models are too coarse to provide accurate estimates of runoff at the watershed scale. The range of variation in mean annual runoff (USA: 19.5–698.1 ML/km2, AUS: 23.3–734.2 ML/km) and NPP measured (USA: 2.6–10.7 metric tons of carbon/km2, AUS: 2.9–10.1 metric tons of carbon/km2) was similar for both regions, although drainage basins in the United States tended to be larger (mean = 35,584 km2, range = 9,453–84,433 km2) than in Australia (mean = 6,727 km2, range = 110–141,281 km2), and runoff in Australia was more variable (mean = 1.07, range = 91 0.45–2.10) than in the United States (mean = 0.56, range = 0.21–1.81). Data Analyses Accounting for phylogeny.—It is expected that species share similar life history attributes through descent from common ancestry (Fisher and Owens 2004). It is therefore necessary to account for phylogenetic effects when exploring patterns in ecological data because nonindependence among species violates the assumption of standard statistics that errors are uncorrelated and may result in biased parameter estimates and increased type I error rates if phylogeny is not taken into account. Phylogenetically informed analyses require an estimate of the phylogenetic relationships among the taxa concerned. Current approaches for controlling the effects of phylogeny typically involve the method of independent contrasts (Felsenstein 1985); however, this technique cannot accommodate mixed variables types that are present in our data set and requires a complete phylogeny (i.e., estimates of the branch lengths associated with the phylogenetic tree) that is currently not available. Therefore, we estimated the degree of phylogenetic relatedness following Tedesco et al. (2008), where all species within the same genus were assigned a value of 1.0, all species within the same family a value of 0.5, all species within the same order a value of 0.33, and all species from different orders a value of 0.25. The resulting phylogenetic similarity matrix was then converted to a phylogenetic dissimilarity matrix (i.e., 1 similarity) and used to account for phylogeny in subsequent analyses. Similarities in species’ trait characteristics.— We summarized similarities in species’ trait characteristics by conducting a principal coordinate analysis (PCoA) on the species-by-trait matrix. PCoA is a statistical methodology to 92 olden and kennard explore and to visualize similarities/dissimilarities in multivariate data by optimally representing the variability of a multidimensional data matrix (here, the species-by-trait matrix) in ordination space with reduced (i.e., lower) dimensionality. A species similarity matrix according to the 14 biological traits was calculated using Gower’s similarity coefficient, a metric able to accommodate mixed data types and missing values (Legendre and Legendre 1998). These properties make Gower’s coefficient an appropriate choice for our analysis given that the data set contains nominal, ordinal, and continuous traits and that it was not possible to assign values for all traits to all species given the lack of scientific knowledge (Table 1). Prior to conducting a PCoA, we used a modified version of the eigenvector method presented by Diniz-Filho et al. (1998) and applied by Olden et al. (2006) to partition the total variance in the biological trait distance matrix into its phylogenetic and specific components using a Mantel test. We regressed the phylogenetic distance matrix (see Accounting for phylogeny) against the trait distance matrix (based on Gower’s similarity) using a Mantel test to derive a residual matrix that represents trait similarities among species after controlling for phylogenetic relatedness. The Mantel test showed a low correlation between the trait and phylogenetic distance matrices (Mantel’s standardized R = 0.279, P = 0.244), indicating only a marginal degree of phylogenetic constraint. PCoA was then performed on the residual similarity matrix to summarize the dominant patterns of variation among the biological traits and examine functional similarities and differences among species. Only the first two principal components were statistically significant (P < 0.05, based on the broken-stick rule: Legendre and Legendre 1998), and they were used to facilitate visual interpretation of the resulting plots. Species life history strategies.—We examined the life history strategies of 257 fish species in the United States (limited to those species in which complete life history trait values were available but representative of the entire pool of U.S. species) and 66 fish species in Australia. We employed two approaches to quantify the community composition of basins with respect to the opportunistic, periodic, or equilibrium strategies. This analysis did not account for phylogeny, given its weak influence on patterns of life history trait variation (see result above). First, we evaluated the fish life history continuum model of Winemiller and Rose (1992) by plotting species’ positions in relation to three life history axes: (1) ln maturation size (a surrogate of maturation age that is highly correlated with maturation size in our study, Pearson’s R = 0.82 across all species); (2) ln mean fecundity; and (3) investment per progeny, calculated as ln(egg diameter + 1) + ln(parental care + 1). Each species was assigned to one of the three life history strategies (opportunistic, periodic, or equilibrium) by calculating the Euclidean distance in trivariate life history space between the species’ position and the strategy endpoints and designating the species to the closest strategy. Strategy endpoints where defined as the following: opportunistic (minimum fecundity, minimum juvenile investment, and minimum maturation size), periodic (maximum fecundity, minimum juvenile investment, and maximum maturation size), and equilibrium (mean fecundity, maximum juvenile investment, and maximum maturation size). This calculation was based on normalized trait values (i.e., standardized range between 0 and 1 for each trait) to ensure equal contributions of the three life history parameters. This approach represents an advance over past studies that have assigned species to life history intercontinental comparison of fish life histories strategies according to arbitrary, but ecologically relevant, thresholds (i.e., Tedesco et al. 2006; Hoeinghaus et al. 2007). Basin-level life history composition was summarized as the proportional species richness for each life history strategy. Second, we recognize that many species occupy immediate positions in life history space, thus questioning the validity of a strict classification of species into the opportunistperiodic-equilibrium trichotomy. We addressed this issue by computing a distanceweighted measure of proportional species richness for each life history strategy. This was accomplished by normalizing the Euclidean distances in trivariate life history space between species and each strategy endpoint (i.e., standardized range between 0 and 1 for each distance), computing the inverse of these values (so that larger values represent a greater “weight” or affinity of a species toward a life history strategy) and summing the weights for each strategy in each basin based on the species present. Basin-level life history composition was summarized as the proportional composition of each life history strategy. In essence, this method produces distance-weighted proportional species richness for each life history strategy. Last, we summarized patterns of life history diversity by conducting a principal component analyses (PCA) on seven life history traits that included maximum body size, longevity, length at maturation, maturation age, fecundity, egg size, and parental care (Table 1). All traits are continuous and were log(x + 1)-transformed prior to the analysis to account for heteroscedasticity. The resulting ordination summarizes life history similarities among fish species and enabled the identification of a reduced set of axes that best separated species along the opportunistic-periodic-equilibrium gradient. 93 Relationships of basin life history composition and environmental variables.—We used multiple linear regression analysis to model basin-level life history composition (summarized as the distance-weighted proportional strategy richness: see Species life history strategies) as a function of drainage basin area, mean annual runoff, mean NPP, and hydrologic variability. Analyses were conducted separately for the United States and Australia, and basin area, runoff, and NPP were log-transformed prior to analysis. Following Schluter (1986) and Lamouroux et al. (2002), basin-scale convergence was analyzed by comparing the effects of hydrologic variability and productivity on fish life history traits, where a similar effect (based on direction and significance) of these factors within both continents indicates convergence. Results Trait Composition of U.S. and Australian Fishes Freshwater fishes from the study regions in United States and Australia varied in their morphological, ecological, and life history attributes. The first two principal components of the PCoA, after controlling for phylogeny, explained 35.6% of the total variation represented by the 14 traits; additional axes were nonsignificant and did not alter the interpretation of results. The first principal axis identified a trait gradient that generally contrasted Australian fishes occurring mostly in the right-hand side of the ordination from the U.S. fishes that occupied the entire trait space (Figure 3). This axis describes a morphological and life history gradient, with large-bodied, long-lived, late maturing, highly fecund species with low parental care at high values and smaller-bodied, short-lived, early maturing, low fecund species with high parental 94 olden and kennard Figure 3. Two-dimensional ordination plot resulting from the principal coordinate analysis on the 14 biological traits for the fish species pools of the United States and Australia. (A) Fish species biplot where solid symbols represent the United States and open symbols represent Australia. (B) Eigenvector plot of the traits with the highest combined loadings (>0.50) on the first two principal components. Full descriptions of trait abbreviations are in Table 1. care at low values. Axis I also separated species with generalist feeding behaviors (omnivore, insectivore-piscivore) and low swim factors (i.e., stronger swimming ability) in positive ordination space from specialist invertivores with high swim factors (i.e., weaker swimming ability) in negative ordination space (Figure 3). While notable differences in continental species pools do exist, a large number of species from both the United States and Australia are located in positive axis I space, thus exhibiting trait similarities despite lacking a common ancestry (Figure 3). Other important discriminators of trait variation among species included vertical position (benthic versus nonbenthic), spawning frequency (single versus multiple spawning events per season), and substrate preference (coarse versus fine grain). Univariate trait comparisons support intercontinental comparison of fish life histories 95 Figure 4. Univariate comparisons of the fish species pools in the United States (black bars) and Australia (gray bars) according to (A) maximum body length, (B) swim factor, (C) total fecundity, (D) relative maturation (age of maturity/longevity), (E) reproductive guild, (F) parental care, and (G) trophic guild. continental patterns revealed in the multivariate analyses. The United States contained a greater proportion of fish species that were smaller-bodied (Figure 4A), exhibit lower fecundity (Figure 4C), and mature at a rela- tively older age (calculated as age of maturity divided by longevity) compared to the Australian fish species pool (Figure 4D). Australian fishes showed a slight trend toward exhibiting lower swim factors compared to 96 olden and kennard fishes of the United States (Figure 4B). The majority of United States fishes (>70%) either hide or guard their eggs during reproduction, whereas more than 65% of Australian species spawn on open substrate and exhibit no egg guarding (Figure 4E), a pattern also reflected in the relatively greater amount of parental care afforded by fish species of the United States compared to Australia (Figure 4F). Only small differences were observed for trophic guilds, with Australia containing relatively more piscivorous species and the United States supporting a relatively greater number of invertivores (Figure 4G). Life History Strategies of U.S. and Australian fishes Australian and United States freshwater fishes conformed to the life history continuum model defined by the demographic parameters of survival, fecundity, and onset and duration of reproduction (Figure 5A). We found strong evidence for the triangular adaptive surface Figure 5. Life history diversity of freshwater fishes from southern United States (solid triangles) and eastern Australia (open triangles). (A) Species are located on a two-dimensional triangular surface, embedded in the three-dimensional space established by fecundity (ln scale), length at maturity (ln scale) and juvenile survivorship (equal to ln (egg diameter + 1) + ln (parental care + 1)). The vertices of this triangular surface define three endpoint strategies: opportunistic, periodic, and equilibrium; and intermediate strategies are recognized within the gradient of life histories. (B) and (C) illustrate a three-dimensional linear plane fitted to all species (indicated by circles). intercontinental comparison of fish life histories anchored by the opportunistic, periodic, and equilibrium life history strategies (Figure 5B, 5C), where a two-dimensional linear plane showed a good fit to fish species of Australia (Pearson’s R = 0.65, P < 0.001, n = 66), the United States (R = 0.76, P < 0.001, n = 257), and both countries pooled (R = 0.71, P < 0.001, n = 323). For the United States, a conspicuous cluster of species were located in close proximity to the opportunistic endpoint, although all endpoint and intermediate strategies were well represented. By contrast, the majority of Australian fishes occupied positions in life history space along a linear axis connecting the opportunistic and periodic endpoints (i.e., fewer species with equilibrium characteristics). Species from both the United States and Australia occupied the extreme opportunistic, periodic, and equilibrium endpoints, although the majority of species take up intermediate positions in life history space. From the United States, examples of more opportunistic strategies include select species of shiners (Cyprinella spp. and Notropis spp., Family: Cyprinidae) and topminnows (Fundulus spp., Family: Fundulidae); periodic strategists include suckers (Ictiobus spp. and Catostomus spp., Family: Catostomidae) and pickerel (Esox spp., Family: Esocidae); and equilibrium strategists include black basses (Micropterus spp., Family: Centrarchidae) and catfishes (Ameiurus spp. and Noturus spp., Family: Ictaluridae). From Australia, examples of opportunistic strategists include select species of gudgeons (Hypseleotris spp., Family: Eleotridae) and rainbowfishes (Melanotaenia spp., Family: Melanotaeniidae); periodic strategists include basses (Macquaria spp., Family: Percichthyidae) and grunters (leathery grunter Scortum hillii and barred grunter Amniataba percoides, Family: Terapontidae); and equilibrium strategists include lungfish (Australian lungfish Neoceratodus forsteri, Family: Ceratodontidae) and catfishes 97 (dewfish Tandanus tandanus, Family: Plotosidae; Arius graeffei, Family: Ariidae). Despite these examples, the large majority of species exhibited immediate positions in life history space. Multivariate ordination of fish species according to their life history attributes identified two major gradients of trait variation represented by the first two PCA axes that explained 81.5% of the variance in the original seven life history characteristics (Figure 6). The first principal component revealed a dichotomy between periodic strategists (i.e., relatively larger species with a long life span, late [and old] maturation, and high fecundity) occurring on the positive scale, from opportunistic strategists (i.e., relatively smaller species with a short life span, early [and young] maturation, and low fecundity) occurring on the negative scale. The second principal component identified a dominant gradient of life history traits that contrasts species exhibiting high parental care, large egg size, and low fecundity with positive scores from species showing minimal parent care, small egg size, and relatively higher fecundity with negative scores. This represents a dichotomy between species considered equilibrium strategists versus periodic and opportunistic strategists (Figure 6). Basin Life History Composition along a Hydrologic and Productivity Gradient Drainage basins of the United States and Australia showed similarity in their composition of opportunistic life history strategies, on average representing 50–60% of a basin’s fish assemblage (Figure 7). By contrast, equilibrium strategists were relatively more prevalent in the United States compared to Australia, whereas periodic strategists were more common in Australia compared to the United States. Both approaches to quantifying life history compo- 98 olden and kennard Figure 6. Two-dimensional ordination plot resulting from the principal component analysis on the seven life history traits for the fish species pools of the United States and Australia. Species are identified by solid symbols (United States) and open symbols (Australia). Traits with the highest combined loadings (>0.50) on the first two principal components are illustrated. Full descriptions of trait abbreviations are in Table 1. sition of the drainage basins produced similar results. The relationship between proportional strategy richness and distance-weighted proportional strategy richness was significantly positive for periodic (Pearson’s R = 0.97, P < 0.001), opportunistic (R = 0.76, P < 0.001), and equilibrium strategies (R = 0.93, P < 0.001). Given the correlation between these estimates of life history composition (and similar results from multiple regression analyses), we report on the results based on the distanceweighted proportional strategy richness. Results from the multiple regression analysis provided strong support for the influence of hydrologic variability on fish life history trait composition in the United States and Australia (Table 2). In agreement with predictions from life history theory, hydrologic variability for both countries was positively (and significantly) associated with the prevalence of opportunistic strategists and negatively associated with periodic strategists. We found no statistical difference in the slope of these associations between the two continents. In contrast to life history theory, increasing hydrologic variability in Australia (but not the United States) was related to greater proportions of equilibrium strategists. Net primary productivity was positively concordant with the proportion of periodic strategists in Australian basins and with the proportion of opportunistic strategists in the United States and was negatively concordant with the equilibrium strategy for both countries, supporting predictions from life history theory. One exception, however, was the significant negative relationship between NPP and the proportion of species considered opportunistic in Australia. In contrast to flow variability, the slopes of this relationship differed for opportunistic and periodic strategies but were not significant different for equilibrium strategies (Table 2). These results intercontinental comparison of fish life histories 99 Figure 7. Ternary plot illustrating the relative proportion of periodic, opportunistic and equilibrium strategists in drainage basins of the United States (n = 56, solid symbol) and Australia (n = 56, open symbol). show that the association between hydrologic variability and life history of fishes was similar in the United States and Australia (two out of three strategies based on directionality and significance) but weaker concordance with productivity (one out of three strategies). Discussion Riverine biodiversity is generated and maintained by geographic variation in stream processes and fluvial disturbance regimes, which largely reflects regional differences in climate, geology, and topography. When investigating fish community–environment relationships at large spatial scales, a functional perspective using biological traits allows the comparison of species compositions that naturally differ due to biogeographic constraints on regional species pools. This is particularly relevant for our study of the fish faunas of southern United States and eastern Australia, which only have a single species/genus/family in common, flathead mullet Mugil cephalus. Despite widely different biogeographic histories, our study found that patterns of life history composition of river basins responded similarly along a gradient of hydrologic variability. In support of previous research for freshwater fishes in a diversity of environments (Winemiller 1989; Winemiller and Rose 1992; Vila-Gispert and Moreno-Amich 2002; VilaGispert et al. 2002; Olden et al. 2006, Tedesco et al. 2008), the fishes of the United States and Australia examined in our study conform to the three-dimensional adaptive space arising from the interrelationships among three basic demographic parameters of survival, fecundi- 0.115 0.476 * 1.034 <0.001 * 0.391 0.048 * –0.418 0.042 R2 = 0.303, F4,51 = 5.57, P < 0.001 –0.443 0.006 * –1.134 <0.001 * –0.605 0.002 * 0.498 0.013 R2 = 0.358, F4,51 = 7.10, P < 0.001 0.642 <0.001 0.720 0.001 * 0.585 0.001 –0.361 0.043 * R2 = 0.478, F4,51 = 11.66, P < 0.001 Model: Periodic Strategy –0.077 0.524 Basin area (km2) Runoff (ML/km2) –1.140 0.005 Flow variability – –1.200 <0.001 NPP (metric tons of carbon) + –0.300 0.181 Model R2 = 0.332, F4,51 = 6.34, P < 0.001 Model: Equilibrium Strategy –0.051 0.695 Basin area (km2) Runoff (ML/km2) 0.579 0.174 Flow variability – –0.257 0.449 NPP (metric tons of carbon) – –0.631 0.011 Model R2 = 0.225, F4,51 = 3.70, P = 0.010 Comparison of estimates 0.091 0.444 0.637 0.105 1.137 <0.001 0.589 0.010 R2 = 0.346, F4,51 = 6.74, P < 0.001 Basin area (km2) Runoff (ML/km2) Flow variability + NPP (metric tons of carbon) + Model Model: Opportunistic Strategy United States Australia Source of variation Prediction Estimate P Estimate P Table 2. Results from the multiple regression models relating proportional life-history strategy richness to basin area (log-transformed), annual runoff (log-transformed), flow variability (coefficient of variation) and annual net primary productivity (NPP, log-transformed). Life-history theory predictions of the factors associated with endpoint strategies are presented and follow Winemiller (1995, 2005) and Figure 1. * indicates no significant difference of regression estimates (slopes) between the United States and Australia based on P < 0.05, thus providing support for community convergence in life-history composition. 100 olden and kennard intercontinental comparison of fish life histories ty, and onset and duration of reproductive life. Our analyses revealed that species from both countries represent the endpoints defining the periodic, opportunistic, and equilibrium life history strategies, as well as occupying intermediate positions in life history space. A large majority of American fishes were characterized by the suite of opportunistic attributes, including small body size, short-lived, and low batch fecundity with multiple reproductive batches per breeding season. By contrast, the majority of Australian fishes were located along a life history axis connecting the opportunistic endpoint to the midpoint of the edge attaching the periodic and equilibrium endpoints. This axis defines a gradient of evolutionary “bet-hedging” (sensu Cole 1954) considered adaptive in relatively unpredictable environments where conditions are occasionally so bad that recruitment fails entirely (Stearns 1992). The bet-hedging suite of traits is also associated with relatively greater mobility to promote rapid recolonization after disturbance, a pattern supported by our finding that Australian fishes are characterized by smaller swim factors compared to fishes of the United States, indicating a stronger swimming ability (Webb 1984). Last, we found that approximately three-quarters of fishes in the United States exhibited relatively more parental care by hiding or guarding their eggs during reproduction, compared to Australia where approximately two-thirds of the species spawn on open substrate and exhibit no egg guarding. Our study, together with other largescale scale comparisons of freshwater fish traits, provides strong evidence that essential trade-offs produce intercontinental similarities in life history strategies despite divergent phylogenies. For example, in the edited book Community and Evolutionary Ecology of North American Stream Fishes, Moyle and Herbold (1987) reported that the body size and life history characteristics of fish communities in cold 101 headwater streams are very similar in North America and Europe, despite their independent origins. Through a series of exploratory analyses, the authors proposed that fish faunas in Europe and western North America shared greater trait similarity compared to eastern and western fishes of North America. Research by Winemiller and colleagues have showed that the freshwater fishes of South America and North America both encompass the trilateral life history space defined by the opportunisticperiodic-equilibrium trichotomy (Winemiller 1989; Winemiller and Rose 1992). This association was further explored by Vila-Gispert et al. (2002) who found consistency in basic life history patterns among 301 fish species from different regions of Europe, North America, and South America. Species from South America showed a greater tendency toward the opportunistic suite of traits, whereas North American and European fishes occupied immediate positions along an axis linking the opportunistic and periodic strategies. Drawing definitive conclusions from this study is complicated by the fact that fish species data were collected from entire continents, thus ignoring spatial variation in environmental conditions that shape species traits and assemblage functional composition. The present study tackles this problem by comparing fish faunas from regions experiencing similar long-term climatic regimes. Based on a hard classification of species, we found that the southern United States and eastern Australia contained similar fractions of equilibrium species (12% versus 15%, respectively), whereas the United States contained a greater proportion of opportunistic species (69% versus 52%) but less periodic species (19% versus 33%). However, it is important to note that the majority of species in both continents exhibit immediate strategies between these extremes. 102 olden and kennard We found that hydrologic variability and regional climate were related to patterns of fish life history variation in the United States and Australia. These relationships were generally the same between countries and consistent with predictions from life history theory for hydrologic variability but were much more variable for NPP. Hydrologic variability (both countries) and NPP (United States only) were positively related to basins with higher prevalence of opportunistic strategists, a life history that should maximize fitness in environmental settings dominated by unpredictable environmental change that cause frequent densityindependent mortality, followed by rapid colonization (Winemiller 1995, 2005). Many opportunistic species in southern United States and eastern Australia are associated with shallow riffle and marginal habitats, where changes in hydrologic regimes, including floods and droughts, induce major alterations in water depth, substrate characteristics, and habitat availability (Hoeinghaus et al. 2007; Kennard et al. 2007). In the absence of intense predation and resource limitation (likely to exist in warmer, productive regions) that promote low juvenile density dependence, opportunistictype species should be favored due to their high turnover (short juvenile phase of the life cycle) and high annual fecundity (multiple spawning events) (McCann 1998). Our findings also provide strong support for the negative influence of hydrologic variability on the prevalence of periodic strategists in basins of both the United States and Australia. The periodic strategy maximizes fecundity by delaying maturity (to achieve sufficient size and to acquire resources) and producing many smaller eggs as a tactic to increase juvenile survivorship. According to life history theory, large body size of periodic strategists enhances adult survivorship during suboptimal conditions and permits storage of energy and nutrients for future bouts of reproduction (Winemiller and Rose 1992). Because freshwater environments exhibit either spatial or temporal variability that is to some degree predictable, the periodic production schedule allows a fitness payoff when reproduction coincides with favorable environmental conditions. Given that drought and flood conditions represent significant agents of physical change in freshwater ecosystems (Lake 2008), small, but frequent, extreme flow events that induce mortality of early life stages of periodic-type species may significantly influence population abundance and species distributions. In contrast to life history theory, we found no support for the predicted negative relationship between hydrologic variability and the distribution of equilibrium strategists in Australia (a negative but nonsignificant relationship was observed for the United States). The equilibrium strategy optimizes juvenile survivorship by appointing a greater amount of material into each individual egg and/or the provision of parental care (Winemiller and Rose 1992). However, in support of theory—which predicts that the equilibrium configuration of life history traits should be favored in high juvenile density-dependent and resource-limited environments (McCann 1998)—we observed a significant negative relationship between net primary productivity and the prevalence of equilibrium species in basins of both the United States and Australia. This indicates that freshwater ecosystems located in less productive watersheds are characterized by relatively more equilibrium-type species. It is important to note that in contrast to hydrologic variability, there are strong predictions of how equilibrium-periodic life history strategies respond to patterns of hydrologic seasonality (i.e., predictability). For example, in support of theory, Tedesco et al. (2008) found a higher proportion of periodic strategists in highly seasonal basins intercontinental comparison of fish life histories of West Africa that exhibit short and predictable hydrologic season. The quantification of flow regime predictability in our study regions is presently not feasible, but will be the subject of future investigation. We found moderate evidence that life history traits of freshwater fish communities in southern United States and eastern Australia have converged across similar gradients of hydrologic variability (but not productivity) despite phylogenetic and historical differences between continents. Increasing hydrologic variability has promoted the greater prevalence of opportunistic strategists (and their associated biological traits) while concurrently minimizing the persistence of periodic-type species. Notably, no such relationship was found for equilibrium strategists. Our findings at the scale of the drainage basin correspond to the results of Lamouroux et al. (2002) at the local reach scale. Lamouroux et al. (2002) found that, within continents, local hydraulic and geomorphic variables were highly correlated with fish trait proportions in streams of France and the United States (Virginia). Taken together, convergence in the life history characteristics of fish assemblages across biogeographically distinct regions of the United States and Australia may imply the existence of key, repeated evolutionary mechanisms responsible for the observed flow:trait relationships. Despite the role of hydrologic variability and productivity in shaping life history diversity in Australia and the United States, divergent life history strategies are still expected in locations experiencing the same long-term environmental regimes. This occurs because species perceive the same environment very differently from another and thus use their environment at a range of different spatial and temporal scales (Winemiller 2005). Moreover, species “assigned” to the same life history strategy may have similar functional relations to their envi- 103 ronment, yet the actual traits possessed by species may differ because they originate from different systematic groups (Verberk et al. 2008). Consequently, other aspects of functional and life history variation should vary across dominant environmental gradients in freshwater ecosystems. Previous studies have shown that the stability of flow regimes is directly related to taxonomic and trophic diversity (Horwitz 1978), whereby assemblages characterized by generalists in hydrologically variable sites and more specialist species in stable sites (Poff and Allan 1995). Hoeinghaus et al. (2007) also reported the importance of hydrologic stability in shaping the functional attributes of fish faunas in rivers of Texas (United States). Fish life history strategies represent different solutions to particular ecological problems, thus providing a connection between species traits and environmental gradients in freshwater ecosystems. Despite the powerful role that species traits have to play in ecological studies, it is important to recognize a number of limitations that are common to previous studies, including our own. First, there exists a substantial temporal mismatch between the time period over which environmental variables were quantified (i.e., past century) and the evolutionary time period over which fish species have evolved and responded to environmental change (i.e., millennia). For this reason, it is perhaps not surprising that previous studies have had difficulty linking fish traits to descriptors of the physical environment. Second, we acknowledge that intraspecific variations in life history traits do exist at large-spatial scales and that assigning a single trait value to a species may not appropriately represent this variation. However, Blanck and Lamouroux (2007) found that species fecundity and life history traits related to body length varied more among species than between populations of the same species for European freshwater 104 olden and kennard fishes, suggesting that the relative position of species in opportunistic-periodic-equilibrium life history space is unlikely to be significantly affected by intraspecific trait variation. Third, data availability required us to quantify interannual hydrologic variability (i.e., variation in mean annual discharge) rather than intraannual seasonal variability, which we might expect to play a larger role in shaping at life history composition of fish communities (Tedesco et al. 2008). Fourth, our grain of analysis was the river basin, which clearly encompasses a great deal of environmental heterogeneity. Future investigations that link river hydrology to reach-scale fish assemblages are likely to yield greater insight into inter-continental community convergence in life history composition. In conclusion, balancing human and ecosystem needs for freshwater will require that our view of the ecology of rivers and the impacts associated with water use and infrastructural development be placed in the context of the natural flow regime and deviations from the natural condition. Our study provides a conceptual framework of management options for species in regulated rivers because life history strategies are the underlying determinants for population responses to environmental change (King and McFarlane 2003; Winemiller 2005) and therefore can be used to classify typical population responses to flow alteration or mitigation via environmental flow prescriptions. This can provide vital management advice for defining flow targets and predicting fish species responses to flow restoration. Given that hydrologic variability (this study) and predictability (Tedesco et al. 2008) act as landscape filters for fish life history traits, we expect that dam management practices will have persistent effects on fish faunas at local and regional scales. In the long term, dam-induced dampening of flow variability resulting from operations for flood control and water supply may shift communities away from opportunistic strategies and toward more periodic-equilibrium forms (Olden et al. 2006). Acknowledgments We gratefully acknowledge Meryl Mims and two anonymous reviewers for helpful comments, Zachary Shattuck for helping populate the fish trait database, Janet Stein for provision of environmental data, and Tarmo Raadik and Tom Raynor for providing unpublished fish distributional data. Funding support was provided by the USGS Lower Colorado River Basin Aquatic GAP Program ( JDO) and a postdoctoral fellowship from the Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith University (MJK). 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